Prediction of pre-eclampsia at St. Mary's hospital lacor, a low-resource setting in northern Uganda, a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pre-eclampsia is the second leading cause of maternal death in Uganda. However, mothers report to the hospitals late due to health care challenges. Therefore, we developed and validated the prediction models for prenatal screening for pre-eclampsia.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study at St. Mary's hospital lacor in Gulu city. We included 1,004 pregnant mothers screened at 16-24 weeks (using maternal history, physical examination, uterine artery Doppler indices, and blood tests), followed up, and delivered. We built models in RStudio. Because the incidence of pre-eclampsia was low (4.3%), we generated synthetic balanced data using the ROSE (Random Over and under Sampling Examples) package in RStudio by over-sampling pre-eclampsia and under-sampling non-preeclampsia. As a result, we got 383 (48.8%) and 399 (51.2%) for pre-eclampsia and non-preeclampsia, respectively. Finally, we evaluated the actual model performance against the ROSE-derived synthetic dataset using K-fold cross-validation in RStudio.

RESULTS

Maternal history of pre-eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 32.75, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 6.59-182.05, p = 0.000), serum alkaline phosphatase(ALP) < 98 IU/L (aOR = 7.14, 95% CI 1.76-24.45, p = 0.003), diastolic hypertension ≥ 90 mmHg (aOR = 4.90, 95% CI 1.15-18.01, p = 0.022), bilateral end diastolic notch (aOR = 4.54, 95% CI 1.65-12.20, p = 0.003) and body mass index of ≥ 26.56 kg/m² (aOR = 3.86, 95% CI 1.25-14.15, p = 0.027) were independent risk factors for pre-eclampsia. Maternal age ≥ 35 years (aOR = 3.88, 95% CI 0.94-15.44, p = 0.056), nulliparity (aOR = 4.25, 95% CI 1.08-20.18, p = 0.051) and white blood cell count ≥ 11,000 (aOR = 8.43, 95% CI 0.92-70.62, p = 0.050) may be risk factors for pre-eclampsia, and lymphocyte count of 800 - 4000 cells/microliter (aOR = 0.29, 95% CI 0.08-1.22, p = 0.074) may be protective against pre-eclampsia. A combination of all the above variables predicted pre-eclampsia with 77.0% accuracy, 80.4% sensitivity, 73.6% specificity, and 84.9% area under the curve (AUC).

CONCLUSION

The predictors of pre-eclampsia were maternal age ≥ 35 years, nulliparity, maternal history of pre-eclampsia, body mass index, diastolic pressure, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, serum ALP and end-diastolic notch of the uterine arteries. This prediction model can predict pre-eclampsia in prenatal clinics with 77% accuracy.

Incidental Finding of Extreme Elevation of Serum Alkaline Phosphatase in Pregnancy

Increased levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) should alert us to changes in the liver, kidney, bone and malignancy. However, there is a physiological increase in pregnancy up to twice the upper limit. There has been a paucity of cases reporting extreme elevations of ALP in pregnancy. This is a case of an incidental pregnancy finding of a 24-fold increase in ALP in the third trimester (2877 U/L). The patient was kept under surveillance and ALP levels were monitored during the postpartum period.

Literature suggests a correlation between ALP elevation and several perinatal complications, proposing it could represent an important tool in monitoring high-risk pregnancies and underlying placental damage. We report a case with no perinatal complications and normal labor at term, with a placenta showing lesions of chronic villitis. We should not rely exclusively on an isolated, marked rise in ALP to dictate the approach in the absence of other fetomaternal considerations.

Does an abnormally elevated maternal alkaline phosphatase pose problems for the fetus?

We report a potential association between an abnormally raised pregnancy level of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR). There are few reports of women with abnormally high ALP during pregnancy. However, there is work to suggest an association with placental insufficiency, low birth weight and preterm delivery. In conjunction with a rising ALP, fetal IUGR and intermittent absence of umbilical artery end diastolic flow had evolved. A greatly elevated ALP may be a marker for placental insufficiency and IUGR.

Changes in biochemical tests in pregnancy and their clinical significance

Interpretation of laboratory investigations relies on reference intervals. Physiological changes in pregnancy may result in significant changes in normal values for many biochemical assays, and as such results may be misinterpreted as abnormal or mask a pathological state. The aims of this review are as follows: 1. To review the major physiological changes in biochemical tests in normal pregnancy. 2. To outline where these physiological changes are important in interpreting laboratory investigations in pregnancy. 3. To document the most common causes of abnormalities in biochemical tests in pregnancy, as well as important pregnancy-specific causes.

Review article: Investigations and the pregnant woman in the emergency department - part 1: Laboratory investigations

Accurate assessment of the pregnant patient in the ED depends on knowledge of physiological changes in pregnancy, and how these changes may impact on pathology tests, appearance on point-of-care ultrasound and electrocardiography. In addition the emergency physician needs to be cognisant of disorders that are unique to or more common in pregnancy. Part 1 of this review addresses potential deviations in laboratory investigation reference intervals resulting from physiological alterations in pregnancy, and the important causes of abnormal laboratory results in pregnancy. Part 2 will address the role of point-of-care ultrasound in pregnancy, physiological changes that may affect interpretation of point-of-care ultrasound, physiological changes in electrocardiography, and the safety of radiological procedures in the pregnant patient.

Extreme Elevation of Alkaline Phosphatase in a Pregnancy Complicated by Gestational Diabetes and Infant with Neonatal Alloimmune Thrombocytopenia

There have been few case reports of isolated elevation of alkaline phosphatase beyond the normal physiologic amount with subsequent return to baseline after delivery. Here we present a similar case of extreme elevation of alkaline phosphatase in a pregnancy complicated by gestational diabetes and subsequently by neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (NAIT).

Risk factors for adverse fetal outcomes among women with early- versus late-onset intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

To determine risk factors for adverse fetal outcomes (AFOs) among women with intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP) on the basis of time of onset.

METHODS

In a retrospective analysis, data were obtained for all women with ICP admitted to two centers in Guangzhou, China, between February 1, 1993, and January 31, 2014. Patients were divided into group A (early-onset ICP) and group B (late-onset ICP), and were further divided on the basis of severity. The frequency of AFOs was assessed.

RESULTS

Among 371 eligible women, 57 (15.4%) were in group A and 314 (84.6%) in group B. AFOs affected 20 (35.1%) women in group A and 67 (21.3%) in group B (P=0.024), and 12 (54.5%) of 22 women in group A and 21 (29.6%) of 71 in group B with severe ICP (P=0.032). Independent risk factors for AFO in group A were increased levels of serum bile acid (P=0.016) and alkaline phosphatase (P=0.004). Independent risk factors in group B were increased levels of alkaline phosphatase (P<0.001) and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (P=0.001).

CONCLUSION

Early-onset ICP is associated with a higher frequency of AFO than is late-onset ICP, especially in severe disease. The risk factors differ between early-onset and late-onset ICP.