Risk Factors for Worsening of Acute Pancreatitis in Patients Admitted with Mild Acute Pancreatitis

Pancreatic Iodine Density and Fat Fraction on Dual-Energy Computed Tomography in Acute Pancreatitis

The aim of our study was to investigate iodine density (ID) and fat fraction (FF) on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). This retrospective study included 72 patients with clinically confirmed AP and 62 control subjects with DECT of the abdomen. Two radiologists assessed necrosis and measured attenuation values, ID, and FF in three pancreatic segments. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine the optimal threshold for ID for the differentiation between AP groups. The ID was significantly higher in interstitial edematous AP compared to necrotizing AP and the control group (both p < 0.05). The ROC curve analysis revealed the thresholds of ID for detecting pancreatic necrosis ≤ 2.2, ≤2.3, and ≤2.4 mg/mL (AUC between 0.880 and 0.893, p > 0.05) for the head, body, and tail, respectively. The FF was significantly higher for pancreatitis groups when compared with the control group in the head and body segments (both p < 0.001). In the tail, the difference was significant in necrotizing AP (p = 0.028). The ID values were independent of attenuation values correlated with the FF values in pancreatic tissue. Iodine density values allow for differentiation between morphologic types of AP.

Relationship of computed tomography quantified visceral adiposity with the severity and complications of acute pancreatitis: a systematic review

Whilst obesity and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) have been reported to be associated with an increased risk of severe AP, the established predictive scoring systems have not yet encompassed the impact of obesity or visceral adiposity. In the acute setting, computed tomography (CT) is often performed to assess AP severity and associated complications. With the added benefit of quantifying body fat distribution, it can be opportunistically used to quantify visceral adiposity and assess its relationship with the course of AP. This systematic review identified fifteen studies evaluating the relationship between visceral adiposity measured on CT and the severity of presentations of acute pancreatitis from January 2000 to November 2022. The primary outcome was to assess the relationship between CT quantified VAT and AP severity. The secondary outcomes were to assess the impact of VAT on patients developing local and systemic complications associated with AP. Whilst ten studies showed there was a significant correlation between an increased VAT and AP severity, five studies found otherwise. The majority of current literature demonstrate a positive correlation between increased VAT and AP severity. CT quantification VAT is a promising prognostic indicator with the potential to guide initial management, prompt more aggressive treatment measures or earlier re-evaluation and to aid disease prognostication in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Visceral adipose tissue predicts severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis in obese patients

Acute pancreatitis is a common systemic inflammatory disease, manifested by a spectrum of severity, ranging from mild in the majority of patients to severe acute pancreatitis. Patients with severe acute pancreatitis suffer from severe local and systemic complications and organ failure, leading to a poor prognosis. The early recognition of the severe condition is important to improve prognosis. Obesity has risen in tandem with an increase in the severity of acute pancreatitis in recent years. Studies have revealed that adipose tissue, particularly visceral adipose tissue is associated with the prognosis of acute pancreatitis. This review discussed the role of visceral adipose tissue in obese patients with acute pancreatitis and explored the possible mechanism involved.

Association between time in range 70-180 mg/dl in early stage and severity with in patients acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

It is not well understood whether glucose control in the early stage of acute pancreatitis(AP) is related to outcome. This study aimed to investigate the association between blood glucose time in range (TIR) of 70-180 mg/dL in the first 72 h(h) on admission and the progression of AP.

METHODS

Individuals admitted with AP to the Gastroenterology Department of the Affiliated Changzhou No.2 People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between January 2017 and December 2021 were included and retrospectively evaluated. The percentage of TIR between 70 and 180 mg/dL in the first 72 h was calculated. According to the progress of AP at discharge, patients were divided into mild pancreatitis(MAP), and moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP), or severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) groups. We examined the association between TIR or TIR ≥ 70% and AP severity using logistic regression models stratified by a glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level of 6.5%. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to assess the ability of the TIR to predict MSAP or SAP.

RESULTS

A total of 298 individuals were included, of whom 35 developed MSAP or SAP. Logistic regression analyses indicated that TIR was independently associated with the incidence of more serious AP (odds ratio [OR] = 0.962, 95% CI = 0.941-0.983, p = 0.001). This association remained significant in individuals with HbA1c levels ≤ 6.5% (OR = 0.928, 95% CI = 0.888-0.969, p = 0.001). A TIR ≥ 70% was independently associated with reduced severity only in people with well-antecedent controls (OR = 0.238; 95% CI = 0.071-0.802; p = 0.020). TIR was not powerful enough to predict the severity of AP in both patients with poor antecedent glucose control (AUC = 0.641) or with HbA1c < 6.5% (AUC = 0.668).

CONCLUSIONS

TIR was independently associated with severity in patients with AP, particularly those with good antecedent glucose control.

Establishment and Validation of a Nomogram Prediction Model for the Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Background

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) can progress to lung and kidney dysfunction, and blood clotting within 48 hours of its onset, and is associated with a high mortality rate. The aim of this study was to establish a reliable diagnostic prediction model for the early stage of severe pancreatitis.

Methods

The clinical data of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis from October 2017 to June 2022 at the Shangluo Central Hospital were collected. The risk factors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. A novel nomogram model was then established by multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

The data of 436 patients with acute pancreatitis, 45 (10.3%) patients had progressed to SAP. Through univariate and LASSO regression analyses, the neutrophils (P <0.001), albumin (P < 0.001), blood glucose (P < 0.001), serum calcium (P < 0.001), serum creatinine (P < 0.001), blood urea nitrogen (P < 0.001) and procalcitonin (P = 0.005) were identified as independent predictive factors for SAP. The nomogram built on the basis of these factors predicted SAP with sensitivity of 0.733, specificity of 0.9, positive predictive value of 0.458 and negative predictive value of 0.967. Furthermore, the concordance index of the nomogram reached 0.889 (95% CI, 0.837-0.941), and the area under the curve (AUC) in receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was significantly higher than that of the APACHEII and ABISAP scoring systems. The established model was validated by plotting the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC).

Conclusion

We established a nomogram to predict the progression of early acute pancreatitis to SAP with high discrimination and accuracy.

The Clinical Characteristics and Outcome of Elderly Patients With Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify the risk factors for the progression of acute pancreatitis (AP) to severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and death in elderly patients.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective study conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital. Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, duration of hospitalization, complications, interventions, and mortality rates were collected.

RESULTS

Between January 2010 and January 2021, 2084 elderly patients with AP were included in this study. The mean age of the patients was 70.0 years (standard deviation, 7.1 years). Among them, 324 (15.5%) had SAP and 105 died (5.0%). The 90-day mortality rate in the SAP group was significantly higher than that in the AP group (P < 0.0001). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that trauma, hypertension, and smoking were risk factors for SAP. After multivariate adjustment, acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney injury, sepsis, organ perforation, and abdominal hemorrhage were associated with higher 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Traumatic pancreatitis, hypertension, and smoking are independent risk factors for SAP in elderly patients. Acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney injury, sepsis, organ perforation, and abdominal hemorrhage are independent risk factors for death in elderly patients with AP.

Assessment of Acute Pancreatitis Severity and Prognosis with CT-Measured Body Composition

Objective

The aim of this study was to investigate the possible association of muscle and adipose parameters with the severity and prognosis of patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis (AP).

Methods

A total of 392 hospitalized patients and 309 controls were enrolled in the study analysis from April 1, 2016, to February 1, 2021. The computed tomography scans of each population were evaluated for muscle and adipose parameters. The effects of parameters on developing moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) or severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Associations with disease recurrence and death were analyzed through Cox regression analysis.

Results

The AP patients had higher levels of visceral adipose tissue (144.25 vs 97.81 cm², p < 0.001) and subcutaneous adipose tissue (135 vs 120 cm², p < 0.001) but lower levels of adipose tissue attenuation (visceral and subcutaneous) and skeletal muscle attenuation (SMA) than the controls (p < 0.05, respectively). Visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and SMA differed significantly with p-values of 0.014 and 0.003 in the different severity groups of AP. In multivariate analysis, VAT and SMA were associated with MSAP or SAP, with odds ratios of 1.003 and 0.973, respectively (95% CI 1.000-1.006, p = 0.041; 95% CI 0.953-0.993, p = 0.010). Cox regression analysis showed that low SMA was strongly associated with an increased mortality in MSAP and SAP patients (HR 10.500, 95% CI 1.344-82.025, p = 0.025). Regression analysis also showed an association of VAT loss of more than 17% with reduced 1-year recurrence of acute pancreatitis (HR 0.427, 95% CI 0.189-0.967, p = 0.041).

Conclusion

VAT and SMA were influential factors for the severity and prognosis of patients with AP. Patients should proper diet and exercise after discharge to reduce VAT and strengthen muscle function to improve prognosis.

THE ACCEPTANCE OF CHANGES IN THE MANAGEMENT OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE PANCREATITIS AFTER THE REVISED ATLANTA CLASSIFICATION

BACKGROUND

New recommendations for the management of patients with acute pancreatitis were set after the Atlanta Classification was revised in 2012.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present systematic review is to assess whether these recommendations have already been accepted and implemented in daily medical practices.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was carried out in studies conducted with humans and published in English and Portuguese language from 10/25/2012 to 11/30/2018. The search was conducted in databases such as PubMed/Medline, Cochrane and SciELO, based on the following descriptors/Boolean operator: "Acute pancreatitis" AND "Atlanta". Only Randomized Clinical Trials comprising some recommendations released after the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012 were included in the study.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were selected and considered valid after inclusion, exclusion and qualitative evaluation criteria application. These studies were stratified as to whether, or not, they applied the recommendations suggested after the Atlanta Classification revision. Based on the results, 68.5% of the studies applied the recommendations, with emphasis on the application of severity classification (mild, moderately severe, severe); 16.4% of them were North-American and 14.7% were Chinese. The remaining 31.5% just focused on comparing or validating the severity classification.

CONCLUSION

Few studies have disclosed any form of acceptance or practice of these recommendations, despite the US and Chinese efforts. The lack of incorporation of these recommendations didn't enable harnessing the benefits of their application in the clinical practice (particularly the improvement of the communication among health professionals and directly association with the worst prognoses); thus, it is necessary mobilizing the international medical community in order to change this scenario.

IL-10-1082G>A polymorphism, use of opioids and age affect the course of acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE

We aimed to determine the association of two of the most important functional polymorphisms of IL-8 and IL-10 with the clinical course and outcome of acute pancreatitis.

METHOD

Ninety-three patients with acute pancreatitis were genotyped for IL-8-251T>A and IL-10-1082G>A using PCR-RFLP. The severity of the disease was determined based on the Atlanta Classification system.

RESULTS

In patients treated with opioids, the odds for severe form of acute pancreatitis, its complications, and death were increased. Advanced age was associated with higher odds of organ/multiple organ failure and other systemic complications. Multivariate logistic regression analyses confirmed the observed effect of age and use of opioids, and revealed higher odds for the development of severe form of acute pancreatitis [P = 0.017, odds ratio (OR): 4.324, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.305-14.323], its complications in general (P = 0.011, OR: 4.936, 95% CI: 1.442-16.897), pancreatic necrosis (P = 0.032, OR: 3.922, 95% CI: 1.122-13.707) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (P = 0.037, OR: 3.838, 95% CI: 1.085-13.583) in the absence of IL-10-1082G>A variant allele. The effect of IL-8 -251T>A on acute pancreatitis severity or mortality was not detected.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests the IL-10 -1082A allele as a protective factor in acute pancreatitis. Opioid analgesics treatment in acute pancreatitis is associated with severity, complications and mortality, while advanced age increases the risk of systemic complications.

Clinical efficacy of duodenoscopy combined with laparoscopy in the treatment of patients with severe acute pancreatitis and pancreatic pseudocyst, and the effects on IL-6 and CRP

The study aimed to investigate the clinical efficacy of duodenoscopy combined with laparoscopy in the treatment of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and pancreatic pseudocyst (PP), and its effects on serum inflammatory factors. Altogether 94 patients complicated with SAP and PP who were admitted to Weifang People's Hospital (Weifang, China) from September 2015 to December 2018 were included. Based on the different operation methods, 49 patients who underwent traditional laparotomy under laparoscopic surgery were included in group A, and 45 patients who underwent duodenoscopy and laparoscopy under duodenoscope to treat the drainage of nipple and pancreatic pseudocysts were included in group B. The expression levels of related serum indexes and serum stress indexes before and at 48 h after surgery, the postoperative nausea, vomiting and abdominal pain scores, as well as the clinical efficacy, perioperative related indexes, recovery and complications were compared between the two groups. The prognostic factors in both groups were assessed via Logistic univariate and multivariate analyses. C-reactive protein (CRP), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-β (IL-β), endotoxin and nuclear factor κB (NF-κB) were significantly lower in group B than those in group A (P<0.001). Upregulating cortisol and norepinephrine in group B was lower than that in group A (P<0.001). The total effective rate in group B was higher than that in group A (P<0.05). The perioperative related indexes, recovery, and postoperative complications in group B were better than those in group A (P<0.05). Scores of abdominal pain, nausea and vomiting in group B were markedly lower than those in group A (P<0.001). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that CRP, TNF-α, IL-6, IL-β and surgical methods were independent risk factors for the prognosis of patients with SAP and PP. In conclusion, the combined treatment with duodenoscopy and laparoscopic surgery has little inflammatory and stress reaction, and it is highly safe, worthy to be popularized.

Assessment of the course of acute pancreatitis in the light of aetiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The main causes of acute pancreatitis (AP) are biliary disease, alcohol consumption, hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the effects of these aetiological factors on the severity and outcome of AP. Pubmed and Embase were searched between 01/01/2012 and 31/05/2020. Included articles involved adult alcoholic, biliary, HTG- or post-ERCP AP (PAP) patients. Primary outcome was severity, secondary outcomes were organ failures, intensive care unit admission, recurrence rate, pancreatic necrosis, mortality, length of hospital stay, pseudocyst, fluid collection and systematic inflammatory response syndrome. Data were analysed from 127 eligible studies. The risk for non-mild (moderately severe and severe) condition was the highest in HTG-induced AP (HTG-AP) followed by alcoholic AP (AAP), biliary AP (BAP) and PAP. Recurrence rate was significantly lower among BAP vs. HTG-AP or AAP patients (OR = 2.69 and 2.98, 95% CI 1.55–4.65 and 2.22–4.01, respectively). Mortality rate was significantly greater in HTG-AP vs. AAP or BAP (OR = 1.72 and 1.50, 95% CI 1.04–2.84 and 0.96–2.35, respectively), pancreatic necrosis occurred more frequently in AAP than BAP patients (OR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.08–2.30). Overall, there is a potential association between aetiology and the development and course of AP. HTG-AP is associated with the highest number of complications. Furthermore, AAP is likely to be more severe than BAP or PAP. Greater emphasis should be placed on determining aetiology on admission.

Class III obesity rather than metabolic syndrome impacts clinical outcomes of acute pancreatitis: A propensity score weighted analysis

OBJECTIVES

The incidence rates of acute pancreatitis (AP) and the prevalence of class III obesity, and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are increasing in the US. Since class III obesity was associated with adverse clinical outcomes of AP, we sought to understand if the presence of metabolic comorbidities collectively recognized, as MetS were associated with worse clinical outcomes and increased health-care utilization.

METHODS

The Nationwide Readmissions Database (NRD) (2010-2014) was reviewed to identify all adult subjects with a principal discharge diagnosis of AP. Inpatient mortality, severe AP (SAP), and 30-day readmissions were the primary outcomes analyzed. Propensity score weighted analyses were used to compare AP subjects with and without MetS and were further stratified by class III obesity status.

RESULTS

MetS was associated with 12.91% (139,165/1,078,183) of all admissions with AP. Propensity score weighted analyses showed that MetS was associated with an increased proportion of SAP (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.17, 1.25), but decreased mortality (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.54, 0.70) and 30-day readmissions (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.83, 0.89). Propensity score weighted analyses also revealed that class III obesity was independently associated with increased mortality in AP subjects with (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.41, 2.61) and without MetS (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.26, 1.92), and increased SAP in subjects with and without MetS.

CONCLUSIONS

Class III obesity appears to be the primary factor associated with adverse clinical outcomes in subjects with MetS admitted with AP. This has significant implications for patient management and future research targeting AP.

Machine Learning Models of Acute Kidney Injury Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis Patients

Background. Acute kidney injury (AKI) has long been recognized as a common and important complication of acute pancreatitis (AP). In the study, machine learning (ML) techniques were used to establish predictive models for AKI in AP patients during hospitalization. This is a retrospective review of prospectively collected data of AP patients admitted within one week after the onset of abdominal pain to our department from January 2014 to January 2019. Eighty patients developed AKI after admission (AKI group) and 254 patients did not (non-AKI group) in the hospital. With the provision of additional information such as demographic characteristics or laboratory data, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), classification and regression tree (CART), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were used to build models of AKI prediction and compared to the predictive performance of the classic model using logistic regression (LR). XGBoost performed best in predicting AKI with an AUC of 91.93% among the machine learning models. The AUC of logistic regression analysis was 87.28%. Present findings suggest that compared to the classical logistic regression model, machine learning models using features that can be easily obtained at admission had a better performance in predicting AKI in the AP patients.

Evaluation of the Severity of Hyperlipidemia Pancreatitis Using CT-measured Visceral Adipose Tissue

BACKGROUND

Computed tomography-measured visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and the distribution of VAT are highly correlated with the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). To date, all available data are from the overall AP patient population; no subgroup analysis has been conducted to evaluate patients with moderately severe AP or patients with hyperlipidemia acute pancreatitis (HLAP) as independent populations. Currently, studies on the relationship between VAT and HLAP are lacking.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 235 patients with moderately severe AP or severe acute pancreatitis were divided into 2 groups according to whether hyperlipidemia was present: the HLAP group and the non-HLAP group. The general inpatient information was collected, and computed tomography was used to measure VAT, subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), total adipose tissue, and VAT/SAT (V/S). The data were subjected to t test, χ test, matrix scatter plot, logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic analyses to evaluate the relationship between VAT and HLAP severity.

RESULTS

Significant differences were observed in VAT, SAT, total adipose tissue, and triglycerides (TGs) between the HLAP group and the non-HLAP group (P<0.001). Significant correlations were observed between VAT and body mass index (r=0.425, P=0.017) and between VAT and TG (r=0.367, P=0.042). In the HLAP group, VAT, V/S, TG, and local complications may have significant effects on disease severity. The receiver operating characteristic curves showed that VAT and V/S were more reliable than TGs in evaluating disease severity [area under the curve (AUC) of VAT: 0.819, P<0.001; AUC of V/S: 0.855, P<0.001; AUC of TG: 0.671, P=0.04]. Disease severity was reliably evaluated at 139 cm, the cut-off value of VAT. The cut-off value of V/S was 1.145; high V/S was associated with extended intensive care unit stay. VAT and its distribution had no significant effects on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with moderately severe to severe HLAP, VAT was correlated with body mass index and TG. VAT and V/S were valuable factors for evaluating disease severity and prognosis. However, VAT had no effect on mortality, and VAT could not be used to evaluate patients with moderately severe to severe non-HLAP.

Does Etiology of Pancreatitis Matter? Differences in Outcomes Among Patients With Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography, Acute Biliary, and Alcoholic Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

We compared outcomes of acute alcoholic pancreatitis (AAP), acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP), and post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis (PEP).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study conducted at a tertiary care center between June 2007 and June 2012.

RESULTS

A total of 300 (68%) patients were diagnosed with AAP, 88 (20%) with ABP, and 55 (12%) with PEP. Longer length of hospital stay (LOHS) was more common in ABP (23%) as compared with AAP (10%) and PEP (7%, P = 0.025). Pseudocyst (P = 0.048), organ failure (OF) (P = 0.01), need for interventions (P ≤ 0.001), and mortality (P = 0.002) occurred more in ABP as compared with other groups. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome was associated with LOHS of more than 10 days (P = 0.01) and multi-OF (P = 0.05). Chronic pancreatitis was associated more with pseudocyst (P < 0.001) and mortality (P = 0.03). Serum urea nitrogen of greater than 25 g/dL predicted LOHS of more than 10 days (P = 0.02), OF (P < 0.001), multi-OF (P < 0.001), and persistent OF (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Acute biliary pancreatitis is a more severe disease compared with PEP and AAP. Chronic pancreatitis, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and high serum urea nitrogen are important predictors of morbidity.

Effectiveness of continuous veno-venous hemofiltration in the treatment of severe acute pancreatitis

Continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (CVVH) in the treatment of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) was investigated. A total of 60 patients with SAP treated in Affiliated Dongtai Hospital of Nantong University from October 2015 to October 2017 were enrolled in this retrospective study. Among them, 32 patients received CVVH and routine internal medicine therapy (the CVVH group), and 28 received routine internal medicine therapy (the control group). Then biochemical indexes and severity of SAP after treatment were detected to investigate the roles of CVVH and routine internal medicine therapy in treating SAP. Inflammatory factors in both the CVVH and control groups were significantly decreased after treatment (P<0.05), and CVVH could eliminate more factors. Comparison of blood biochemical indexes between the CVVH and control groups were carried out. Significant improvement was found (P<0.05) after CVVH and routine internal medicine therapy. Besides, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II grade was significantly decreased in the CVVH group compared with that in the control group after 7 days. CVVH therapy can effectively reduce the levels of inflammatory factors in SAP patients, improve their biochemical and physiological indicators, and have high clinical application value.

Elderly persons with acute pancreatitis - specifics of the clinical course of the disease

Background

As may readily be inferred from clinical observations, there is an increasing prevalence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in the elderly, even though the precise nature of the relationship between a patient's age and severity of the disease has not been unequivocally determined to date. This study aimed therefore to investigate the incidence, clinical course, and mortality rate among the elderly patients suffering from acute pancreatitis (AP), as compared to younger ones.

Methods

A prospective study, lasting a single calendar year, covered patients with AP successively admitted to hospitals. The final assessment comprised 963 patients. The patients were subsequently divided into three groups corresponding to the three grades of disease severity, based on the Revised Atlanta Classification for Acute Pancreatitis. The actual cause of the disease, its clinical course, results of radiological ultrasonography, computed tomography, and laboratory tests, as well as the duration of hospital stay were assessed in due consideration of patients' age (groups aged 65-79 years and ≥80 years vs <65 years).

Results

Cholelithiasis was determined as the main cause of AP among the older patients (54.08% and 58.12% vs 22.46%; P<0.000). Among the oldest patients (≥80 years), its course was often significantly more severe, in comparison with the ones under 65 years of age: 14.53% vs 6.31% (P<0.00); a phenomenon not observed in the age range 65-79 years, nor among the younger patients (7.69% vs 6.31%; P>0.05). Moderate AP occurred significantly more often in the younger patients compared to those aged ≥80 years (16% vs 8.55%; P<0.00), although without any significant differences observed between the group aged 65-79 years and the younger patients (13.27% vs 8.55%). SAP more frequently ended in death among the oldest patients - 11.97% vs 2.31% (P<0.000) than in the group aged 65-79 years (4.59%), as compared to the younger groups (P>0.05).

Conclusion

An appreciably higher susceptibility of older patients aged ≥80 years to AP, with cholelithiasis being the main cause that results in high mortality rate, is presently acknowledged a serious diagnostic and therapeutic management challenge to a national healthcare system.

Preexisting Diabetes Elevates Risk of Local and Systemic Complications in Acute Pancreatitis: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and acute pancreatitis (AP) increases continuously, therefore, to understand the effects of preexisting diabetes on AP is crucially needed. Here, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis in which AP patients including DM and non-DM groups were sorted. Several outcome parameters were analyzed, and the odds ratio (OR) and standardized mean difference with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.We found 1417 articles, of which 9 articles involving 354,880 patients were analyzed. More complications were seen in diabetic patients than in non-DM patients (OR, 1.553 [95% CI, 1.266-1.904]; P < 0.001). Intensive care unit admission (OR, 1.799 [95% CI, 1.442-2.243]; P < 0.001) and renal failure (OR, 1.585 [95% CI, 1.278-1.966]; P < 0.001) were more frequent in DM patients. There was a tendency of higher mortality and local complications (OR, 1.276 [95% CI, 0.991-1.643]; P = 0.059; and OR, 1.267 [95% CI, 0.964-1.659]; P = 0.090, respectively) in preexisting DM. Length of hospitalization was longer in DM patients (standardized mean difference, 0.217 [95% CI, 0.075-0.360]; P = 0.003). Preexisting DM negatively influences the outcome of AP and increases the risk of renal failure, local complications, and mortality.

血清钙离子对急性胰腺炎持续性器官功能衰竭的预测价值

目的

探讨血清钙离子(serum calcium Ca²⁺)在急性胰腺炎(acute pancreatitis, AP)持续性器官功能衰竭(persistent organ failure, POF)中的临床意义.

方法

选取2012-01/2016-12温州市龙湾区第一人民医院及温州医科大学附属第二医院进行治疗的AP患者165例, 收集患者在症状发作72 h内的临床资料及实验室数据, 分为AP非持续性器官功能衰竭(non persistent organ failure, NO-POF)127例和POF 38例两组, 多因素Logistic回归分析用于评价血清Ca²⁺的预测能力, 采用工作特征曲线(receiver operator characteristic curve, ROC)分析计算血清Ca²⁺的截断值.

结果

经急性胰腺炎NO-POF 127例和POF 38例临床资料及实验室数据比较, 血清Ca²⁺ POF组明显低于NO-POF组, 差异有统计学意义(P<0.001); 多因素Logistic回归分析, 血清Ca²⁺是急性胰腺炎POF的独立危险因素(OR = 0.30, 95%CI: 0.12-0.76); ROC分析结果显示: 血清Ca²⁺预测急性胰腺炎POF的曲线下面积为0.764(95%CI: 0.27-0.58, P<0.001), 其最佳预测截点1.84 mmol/L, 预测POF的敏感性为75.4%, 特异性为72.5%.

结论

入院患者血清Ca²⁺与急性胰腺炎POF独立相关, 可作为一个潜在的预后因素.