Can we predict severity of acute cholecystitis at admission?

Predictors of failure of conservative management of cholecystitis: a systematic review of the literature

OBJECTIVES

While emergency cholecystectomy is the preferred treatment for acute cholecystitis, conservative management can be used as a bridge to definitive surgical management in situations where emergency surgical services are limited. The objective of this systematic review is to identify factors associated with conservative management failure as defined as either failed resolution of symptoms on initial presentation, or the recurrence of symptoms whilst awaiting an elective cholecystectomy. This study aims to allow clinicians to make evidence-based recommendations for conservative versus operative management.

METHODS

A systematic review of the Medline database was conducted in May 2022 to identify studies analysing the success of non-operative management of acute cholecystitis. Two independent reviewers selected studies based on predefined criteria, and the risk of bias was evaluated. Out of the initial 1344 studies retrieved, 12 studies met the inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Factors significantly associated with persistence of symptoms in at least one study on multivariable analysis included diabetes mellitus, age >70, tachycardia, elevated temperature, elevated white cell count >15 000/uL and a distended gallbladder >5 cm. Factors significantly associated with recurrence of symptoms included Age <40 or >80, male sex, acute cholecystitis grade 2 or 3, elevated creatinine, serum albumin <4 g/dL, thickened gallbladder wall >5 mm.

CONCLUSION

Several factors have been identified which may facilitate future evidence-based recommendations for tailored management strategies for patients with acute cholecystitis.

The Role of Different Systemic Inflammatory Indexes Derived from Complete Blood Count in Differentiating Acute from Chronic Calculus Cholecystitis and Predicting Its Severity

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic value of the different Complete blood count-derived systemic inflammation indexes, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and neutrophil to lymphocyte × platelet ratio (NLPR) in differential diagnosing the chronic calculus cholecystitis (CCC) and the acute calculus cholecystitis (ACC), as well as determining the severity of ACC.

Patients and Methods

105 CCC and 88 ACC patients were enrolled. NLR, PLR, SII, and NLPR were evaluated in both cohorts as well as in different severity levels of ACC. The severity of ACC was determined based on the Tokyo Guidelines. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Univariate/multivariate regression analyses were conducted.

Results

The levels of NLR, PLR, SII, and NLPR were significantly higher in the ACC group compared to the CCC group. The optimal cutoff values for NLR, PLR, SII, and NLPR were determined to be 3.89, 144.7, 896.8, and 0.031 respectively. NLR>3.89 demonstrates the highest predictive capability with an AUC of 0.801 and a sensitivity of 72.73%. Multivariate analysis showed that NLR>3.89 (OR: 4.169, p = 0.004) and NLPR>0.031 (OR: 4.304, p = 0.005) were dominant in distinguishing ACC from CCC. In ACC patients, the levels of NLR, SII, and NLPR were significantly higher in the Moderate to Severe-degree ACC (MS-ACC) group than in Mild-Degree ACC (M-ACC). NLPR > 0.044 exhibited the highest predictive ability with an AUC of 0.778 and a specificity of 91.67%. Multivariate analysis showed that NLR>6.399 (OR: 10.308, p = 0.000) was a possible independent prognostic factor for accessing the severity of ACC.

Conclusion

Systemic inflammation indexes can be useful in predicting the risk of ACC and MS-ACC. NLR demonstrates the best distinguishing power and sensitivity for distinguishing ACC from CCC, while NLPR shows the best predictive power and specificity for predicting the severity of ACC.

The Significance of Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), and Systemic Inflammatory Index (SII) in Predicting Severity and Adverse Outcomes in Acute Calculous Cholecystitis

The prediction of severity in acute calculous cholecystitis (AC) is important in therapeutic management to ensure an early recovery and prevent adverse postoperative events. We analyzed the value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic inflammatory index (SII) to predict advanced inflammation, the risk for conversion, and postoperative complications in AC. Advanced AC was considered the cases with empyema, gangrene, perforation of the gallbladder, abscesses, or difficulties in achieving the critical view of safety. A 3-year retrospective was performed on 235 patients admitted in emergency care for AC. The NLR was superior to the PLR and SII in predicting advanced inflammation and risk for conversion. The best predictive value was found to be at an NLR "cut-off" value of >4.19, with a sensitivity of 85.5% and a specificity of 66.9% (AUC = 0.824). The NLR, SII, and TG 13/18 correlate well with postoperative complications of Clavien-Dindo grade IV (p < 0.001 for all variables) and sepsis. For predicting early postoperative sepsis, TG 13/18 grading >2 and NLR > 8.54 show the best predicting power (AUC = 0.931; AUC = 0.888, respectively), although not significantly higher than that of the PLR and SII. The NLR is a useful biomarker in assessing the severity of inflammation in AC. The SII and PLR may be useful in the prediction of systemic inflammatory response.

Textbook outcome in the laparoscopic cholecystectomy of acute cholecystitis

PURPOSE

Textbook outcome (TO) is a novel composite measure of clinical outcomes that can be used to measure the quality of surgical outcomes. The aim of this cohort study was to propose TO criteria for laparoscopic cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis and to identify reasons for TO failure and individual patient factors that predispose to failure.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data for 189 patients with acute cholecystitis who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy. TO was defined as laparoscopic cholecystectomy without conversion to open cholecystectomy, intraoperative complications, postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo classification ≥2), prolonged length of stay (≥10 days), readmission within 30 days, or mortality.

RESULTS

TO was achieved in 154 of 189 patients who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis. Medical costs were lower in the TO-achieved group than in the TO-failure group. Factors associated with TO failure on multivariate analysis were age > 70 years, hemoglobin <11.9 g/dL, and white blood cells >18 000 / μL (all P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Applying TO to patients with acute cholecystitis allowed us to evaluate the overall quality of care related to hospitalization. TO may provide better assessment of the quality of care and help determine the treatment choice and reduce costs.

Value of monocyte distribution width for predicting severe cholecystitis: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Acute cholecystitis is a gallbladder inflammation, and the Tokyo Guidelines 2018 (TG18) can be used to predict its presence and severity with high sensitivity and specificity. However, TG18 grading require the collection of excessive parameters. Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is a parameter used to detect sepsis early. Therefore, we investigated the correlation between MDW and cholecystitis severity.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of patients with cholecystitis admitted to our hospital from November 1, 2020, to August 31, 2021. The primary outcome was severe cholecystitis analyzed as a composite of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. The secondary outcomes were length of hospital stay, ICU stay, and TG18 grade.

RESULTS

A total of 331 patients with cholecystitis were enrolled in this study. The average MDWs for TG18 grades 1, 2, and 3 were 20.21 ± 3.99, 20.34 ± 3.68, and 25.77 ± 6.61, respectively. For patients with severe cholecystitis, the average MDW was 25.42 ± 6.83. Using the Youden J statistic, we set a cutoff MDW of 21.6. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that patients with an MDW≥21.6 had a higher risk of severe cholecystitis (odds ratio=4.94; 95 % CI, 1.71-14.21; p=0.003). The Cox model revealed that patients with an MDW≥21.6 were more likely to have a prolonged hospital stay.

CONCLUSIONS

MDW is a reliable indicator of severe cholecystitis and prolonged length of stay. Additional MDW testing and a complete blood count may provide simple information for predicting severe cholecystitis early.

A novel approach to distinguish complicated and non-complicated acute cholecystitis: Decision tree method

It is difficult to differentiate between non-complicated acute cholecystitis (NCAC) and complicated acute cholecystitis (CAC) preoperatively, which are two separate pathologies with different management. The aim of this study was to create an algorithm that distinguishes between CAC and NCAC using the decision tree method, which includes simple examinations. In this retrospective study, the patients were divided into 2 groups: CAC (149 patients) and NCAC (885 patients). Parameters such as patient demographic data, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, Tokyo grade, comorbidity findings, white blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, albumin level, CRP/albumin ratio (CAR), and gallbladder wall thickness (GBWT) were evaluated. In this algorithm, the CRP value became a very important parameter in the distinction between NCAC and CAC. Age was an important predictive factor in patients with CRP levels >57 mg/L, and the critical value for age was 42. After the age factor, the important parameters in the decision tree were WBC and GBWT. In patients with a CRP value of ≤57 mg/L, GBWT is decisive and the critical value is 4.85 mm. Age, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and WBC count were among the other important factors after GBWT. Sex, ASA score, Tokyo grade, comorbidity, CAR, and albumin value did not have an effect on the distinction between NCAC and CAC. In statistical analysis, significant differences were found groups in terms of gender (34.8% vs 51.7% male), ASA score (P < .001), Tokyo grade (P < .001), comorbidity (P < .001), albumin (4 vs 3.4 g/dL), and CAR (2.4 vs 38.4). By means of this algorithm, which includes low-cost examinations, NCAC and CAC distinction can be made easily and quickly within limited possibilities. Preoperative prediction of pathologies that are difficult to manage, such as CAC, can minimize patient morbidity and mortality.

Plasma Procalcitonin Is Useful for Predicting the Severity of Acute Cholecystitis

Background

Acute cholecystitis is a common complication of cholelithiasis. Delayed diagnosis may constitute morbidity and mortality; therefore, early diagnosis and determining the severity of acute cholecystitis are crucial.

Objectives

This study aimed to determine the validity of blood procalcitonin (PCT) levels in assessing the severity of acute cholecystitis.

Methods

The Emergency Department (ED) patients diagnosed as acute cholecystitis were included in the study. Patients were allocated into three severity grades according to the Tokyo Guidelines 2013. PCT level was measured after the clinical and radiological diagnosis of acute cholecystitis in the ED.

Results

Ninety-five patients diagnosed with acute cholecystitis, among them 48 of were male. Forty patients (42.1%) were allocated to grade 1, 19 (20%) to grade 2, and 36 (37.9%) to grade 3. The median values of PCT were 0.104 ng/ml, 0.353 ng/ml, and 1.466 ng/ml for grade 1, 2, and 3 patients, respectively (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Blood procalcitonin levels can be used to determine the severity of acute cholecystitis effectively.

Utility of liver function tests in acute cholecystitis

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS

Common bile duct stones (CBDS) affect the management of acute cholecystitis (AC). This study aims to investigate the utility of liver function tests (LFTs) in predicting the presence of CBDS in AC patients.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of adult patients with AC found in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2008 to 2016. Patients were classified into two groups, without CBDS (AC-) and with CBDS (AC+). LFT results namely total bilirubin, SGOT and ALP were collected and categorized into normal and abnormal with the cut-offs of 1.2 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 40 U/L for SGOT and 120 IU/L for ALP. Measures of diagnostic accuracy for individual and combinations of LFTs were computed.

RESULTS

A total of 32,839 patients were included in the study, with 8,801 (26.8%) AC+ and 24,038 (73.2%) AC- patients. Their mean age was 52.4 (±18.6) years and over half (59.1%) were females. Mean LFT results were significantly higher in the AC+ group for total bilirubin (1.82 vs 0.97), SGOT (110.9 vs 53.3) and ALP (164.4 vs 102.3) (p<0.0001). The proportions of abnomal LFTs were significantly higher in the AC+ group for total bilirubin (47.7% vs 20.2%), SGOT (62.8% vs 27.1%) and ALP (56.6% vs 21.0%) (p<0.0001). Among AC+, the odds of having abnormal results for bilirubin, SGOT and ALP were found to be 3.61, 4.54 and 4.90 times higher than among AC-, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal LFTs are strong predictors for the presence of CBDS in patients with AC. Normal LFTs should be interpreted with caution as some patients with AC and CBDS might not present with characteristic abnormalities in results.