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Sanmarchi F, Esposito F, Bucci A, Toscano F, Golinelli D. Association between Economic Growth, Mortality, and Healthcare Spending in 31 High-Income Countries. Forum Health Econ Policy 2021; 24:101-118. [PMID: 36259392 DOI: 10.1515/fhep-2021-0035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2021] [Accepted: 10/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
This study aims to investigate the association between gross domestic product (GDP), mortality rate (MR) and current healthcare expenditure (CHE) in 31 high-income countries. We used panel data from 2000 to 2017 collected from WHO and OECD databases. The association between CHE, GDP and MR was investigated through a random-effects model. To control for reverse causality, we adopted a test of Granger causality. The model shows that the MR has a statistically significant and negative effect on CHE and that an increase in GDP is associated with an increase of CHE (p < 0.001). The Granger causality analysis shows that all the variables exhibit a bidirectional causality. We found a two-way relationship between GDP and CHE. Our analysis highlights the economic multiplier effect of CHE. In the debate on the optimal allocation of resources, this evidence should be taken into due consideration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesco Sanmarchi
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy
| | - Francesco Esposito
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy
| | - Andrea Bucci
- Department of Economics, University of Chieti-Pescara, Pescara, Italy
| | - Fabrizio Toscano
- Department of Internal Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, New York City, USA
| | - Davide Golinelli
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy
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Manuel DG, Bennett C, Perez R, Wilton AS, Rohit Dass A, Laporte A, Henry DA. Burden of health behaviours and socioeconomic position on health care expenditure in Ontario. F1000Res 2019; 8:303. [PMID: 31723417 PMCID: PMC6844135 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.18205.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/06/2019] [Indexed: 10/20/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Smoking, unhealthy alcohol consumption, poor diet and physical inactivity are leading risk factors for morbidity and mortality, and contribute substantially to overall healthcare costs. The availability of health surveys linked to health care provides population-based estimates of direct healthcare costs. We estimated health behaviour and socioeconomic-attribute healthcare costs, and how these have changed during a period when government policies have aimed to reduce their burden. Methods: The Ontario samples of the Canadian Community Health Surveys (conducted in 2003, 2005, and 2007-2008) were linked at the individual level to all records of health care use of publicly funded healthcare. Generalized linear models were estimated with a negative binomial distribution to ascertain the relationship of health behaviours and socioeconomic risk factors on health care costs. The multivariable cost model was then applied to unlinked, cross-sectional CCHS samples for each year from 2004 to 2013 to examine the evolution of health behaviour and socioeconomic-attributable direct health care expenditures over a 10-year period. Results: We included 80,749 respondents, aged 25 years and older, and 312,952 person-years of follow-up. The cost model was applied to 200,324 respondents aged 25 years and older (CCHS 2004 to 2013). During the 10-year period from 2004 to 2013, smoking, unhealthy alcohol consumption, poor diet and physical inactivity attributed to 22% of Ontario's direct health care costs. Ontarians in the most disadvantaged socioeconomic position contributed to 15% of the province's direct health care costs. Taken together, health behaviours and socioeconomic position were associated with 34% ($134 billion) of direct health care costs (2004 to 2013). Over this time period, we estimated a 1.9% reduction in health care expenditure ($5.0 billion) attributable to improvements in some health behaviours, most importantly reduced rates of smoking. Conclusions: Health behaviours and socioeconomic position cause a large direct health care system cost burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas G. Manuel
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- ICES, Toronto and Ottawa, Canada
- Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Canada
- Department of Family Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Bruyère Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Carol Bennett
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- ICES, Toronto and Ottawa, Canada
| | - Richard Perez
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada
- ICES, Toronto and Ottawa, Canada
| | | | - Adrian Rohit Dass
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Audrey Laporte
- ICES, Toronto and Ottawa, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - David A. Henry
- ICES, Toronto and Ottawa, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
- Centre for Research in Evidence-Based Practice, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia
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