Development and external validation of nomograms to predict sarcoma-specific death and disease progression after surgical resection of localized high-grade conventional primary central chondrosarcoma and dedifferentiated chondrosarcoma

Development and validation of a nomogram integrating marital status for 5-year overall survival of chondrosarcoma: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of marital status on overall survival (OS) and develop a nomogram for predicting 5-year OS in chondrosarcoma (CHS) patients.

METHODS

We utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify CHS patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2018. Survival rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Prognostic factors were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses. An independent cohort was used for external validation of the nomogram. Performance evaluation of the nomogram was conducted using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

In the SEER cohort, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significant differences in OS among CHS patients with different marital statuses (P < 0.001), with widowed patients having the lowest OS. In terms of gender, there were significant survival differences based on marital status in females (P < 0.001), but not in males (P = 0.067). The OS of married and single females is significantly higher than that of married (P < 0.001) and single male (P = 0.006), respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves showed no significant difference in OS between groups stratified by either gender or marital status in the external cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses confirmed that age at diagnosis, gender, marital status, tumor size, histological type, tumor grade, SEER stage, and surgery were independent prognostic factors for OS. The nomogram demonstrated high internal and external validation C-indexes of 0.818 and 0.88, respectively. Calibration plots, DCA curve, and Kaplan-Meier curve (P < 0.001) confirmed the excellent performance and clinical utility of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

Marital status was an independent factor influencing OS in CHS patients, with widowed patients having the worst prognosis. The OS of both married and single females is significantly higher than that of their male counterparts. However, these findings require further validation in a large independent cohort. While the contribution of marital status on predicting OS appears modest, our nomogram accurately predicted 5-year OS and identified high-risk groups, providing a valuable tool for clinical decision-making.

Pelvic bone sarcomas, prognostic factors, and treatment: A narrative review of the literature

Primary sarcomas of bone are rare malignant mesenchymal tumors. The most common bone sarcomas are osteosarcoma, Ewing's sarcoma, and chondrosarcoma. The prognosis has improved over the years, but bone sarcomas are still life-threatening tumors that need a multidisciplinary approach for diagnosis and treatment. Bone sarcomas arising in the pelvis present a unique challenge to orthopedic oncologists due to the absence of natural anatomical barriers, the close proximity of vital neurovascular structures, and the high mechanical demands placed on any pelvic reconstruction following the excision of the tumor. While radiotherapy has an important role especially in Ewing's sarcoma and chemotherapy for both Ewing's sarcoma and osteosarcoma, surgery remains the main choice of treatment for all three entities. While external hemipelvectomy has remained one option, the main aim of surgery is limb salvage. After complete tumor resection, the bone defect needs to be reconstructed. Possibilities to reconstruct the defect include prosthetic or biological reconstruction. The method of reconstruction is dependent on the location of tumor and the surgery required for its removal. The aim of this article is to give an insight into pelvic bone sarcomas, their oncological and surgical outcomes, and the options for treatment based on the authors' experiences.

A new prognostic nomogram for heterotopic ossification formation after elbow trauma : the Shanghai post-Traumatic Elbow Heterotopic Ossification Prediction (STEHOP) model

AIMS

Heterotopic ossification (HO) is a common complication after elbow trauma and can cause severe upper limb disability. Although multiple prognostic factors have been reported to be associated with the development of post-traumatic HO, no model has yet been able to combine these predictors more succinctly to convey prognostic information and medical measures to patients. Therefore, this study aimed to identify prognostic factors leading to the formation of HO after surgery for elbow trauma, and to establish and validate a nomogram to predict the probability of HO formation in such particular injuries.

METHODS

This multicentre case-control study comprised 200 patients with post-traumatic elbow HO and 229 patients who had elbow trauma but without HO formation between July 2019 and December 2020. Features possibly associated with HO formation were obtained. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build the new nomogram: the Shanghai post-Traumatic Elbow Heterotopic Ossification Prediction model (STEHOP). STEHOP was validated by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping validation.

RESULTS

Male sex, obesity, open wound, dislocations, late definitive surgical treatment, and lack of use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were identified as adverse predictors and incorporated to construct the STEHOP model. It displayed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.84). A high C-index value of 0.77 could still be reached in the internal validation. The calibration plot showed good agreement between nomogram prediction and observed outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The newly developed STEHOP model is a valid and convenient instrument to predict HO formation after surgery for elbow trauma. It could assist clinicians in counselling patients regarding treatment expectations and therapeutic choices. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(8):963-971.

Clinical features and treatment outcomes of dedifferentiated and grade 3 chondrosarcoma: A multi-institutional study

Chondrosarcoma is the second most common primary malignant bone tumor. In this multicenter study, we sought to evaluate the (i) disease-specific survival (DSS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and (ii) prognostic factors in patients with dedifferentiated chondrosarcoma (DDCS) and grade 3 chondrosarcoma (G3CS) in Japan. We retrospectively investigated the treatment outcomes and prognostic factors in 62 patients with DDCS and 19 patients with G3CS at 15 institutions participating in the Japanese Musculoskeletal Oncology Group. We also clarified significant clinico-pathological factors for oncological outcomes. In surgery for primary lesions aimed at cure, a histologically negative margin (R0) was obtained in 93% (14/15) of patients with G3CS and 100% (49/49) of patients with DDCS. The 5-year DSS was 18.5% in patients with DDCS and 41.7% in patients with G3CS (P = 0.13). Local control was obtained in 80% (12/15) and 79.6% (39/49) of patients with G3CS and DDCS in the primary lesion after surgery with a wide surgical margin, respectively. In multivariate analysis, stage and no treatment/palliative treatment for the primary lesion were independent prognostic factors for DSS of DDCS, age and no treatment/palliative treatment for DSS of G3CS. The 5-year DFS rate was 22.8% in 26 patients with DDCS who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy, and 21.4% in 14 patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. The prognosis of DDCS remains poor, although R0 resection was performed in most cases. Effective and/or intensive chemotherapeutic regimens or agents should be considered or developed for patients with high-grade chondrosarcoma, particularly for those with DDCS.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for open elbow arthrolysis : the Shanghai Prediction model for Elbow Stiffness Surgical Outcome

AIMS

The aim of this study was to develop and internally validate a prognostic nomogram to predict the probability of gaining a functional range of motion (ROM ≥ 120°) after open arthrolysis of the elbow in patients with post-traumatic stiffness of the elbow.

METHODS

We developed the Shanghai Prediction Model for Elbow Stiffness Surgical Outcome (SPESSO) based on a dataset of 551 patients who underwent open arthrolysis of the elbow in four institutions. Demographic and clinical characteristics were collected from medical records. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize the selection of relevant features. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to build the SPESSO. Its prediction performance was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) and a calibration graph. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping validation.

RESULTS

BMI, the duration of stiffness, the preoperative ROM, the preoperative intensity of pain, and grade of post-traumatic osteoarthritis of the elbow were identified as predictors of outcome and incorporated to construct the nomogram. SPESSO displayed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.73 (95% confidence interval 0.64 to 0.81). A high C-index value of 0.70 could still be reached in the interval validation. The calibration graph showed good agreement between the nomogram prediction and the outcome.

CONCLUSION

The newly developed SPESSO is a valid and convenient model which can be used to predict the outcome of open arthrolysis of the elbow. It could assist clinicians in counselling patients regarding the choice and expectations of treatment. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(4):486-494.

Identifying Modifiable and Non-modifiable Risk Factors of Readmission and Short-Term Mortality in Chondrosarcoma: A National Cancer Database Study

BACKGROUND

Limited data are available to inform the risk of readmission and short-term mortality in musculoskeletal oncology. The goal of this study was to identify factors independently associated with 30-day readmission and 90-day mortality following surgical resection of chondrosarcoma.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 6653 patients following surgical resection of primary chondrosarcoma in the National Cancer Database (2004-2017). Both demographic and clinicopathologic variables were assessed for correlation with readmission and short-term mortality utilizing univariate and multivariate logistic regression modeling.

RESULTS

Of 220 readmissions (3.26%), risk factors independently associated with an increased risk of unplanned 30-day readmission included Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index (CDCC) (odds ratio [OR] 1.31; p = 0.027), increasing American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage (OR 1.31; p = 0.004), undergoing major amputation (OR 2.38; p = 0.001), and axial skeletal location (OR 1.51; p = 0.028). A total of 137 patients died within 90 days of surgery (2.25%). Risk factors associated with increased mortality included the CDCC (OR 1.60; p = 0.001), increasing age (OR 1.06; p < 0.001), having Medicaid insurance status (OR 3.453; p = 0.005), living in a zip code with a higher educational attainment (OR 1.59; p = 0.003), increasing AJCC stage (OR 2.32; p < 0.001), longer postoperative length of stay (OR 1.015; p = 0.033), and positive surgical margins (OR 2.75; p = 0.001). Although a majority of the cohort did not receive radiation therapy (88.8%), receiving radiotherapy (OR 0.132; p = 0.010) was associated with a decreased risk of short-term mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Several tumor, treatment, and patient factors can help inform the risk of readmission and short-term mortality in patients with surgically treated chondrosarcoma.

Evaluation of bone grafting for treatment of low-grade chondrosarcoma of long bones

OBJECTIVE

To retrospectively analyze the biological compatibility and oncologic outcomes of autogenous, allogeneic, or combined bone grafting.

METHODS

From April 2000 to December 2016, 37 patients with histologically confirmed low-grade intramedullary chondrosarcoma of the long bones at Kyungpook National University Hospital were enrolled in this retrospective study. All 37 patients underwent intralesional curettage (with or without cryotherapy) followed by bone grafting. Among the 24 patients who underwent cryotherapy, 13 were treated by prophylactic internal fixation (10 in the femur, 1 in the tibia, and 2 in the humerus). Thirteen patients underwent the same treatment without cryotherapy, whereas 12 did not undergo preventive internal fixation.

RESULTS

A single intraoperative fracture was managed by plate fixation. One patient who underwent cryotherapy and internal fixation developed a fracture distal to the operation site 25 days after surgery, and this fracture was repaired with a long plate. None of the 37 patients showed any recurrence or metastasis.

CONCLUSIONS

Adequate intralesional curettage (with or without cryosurgery) combined with bone grafting using autogenous and allogeneic bone chips was effective for the treatment of low-grade intramedullary chondrosarcoma. Therefore, prophylactic internal fixation using a plate is recommended in the cryotherapy of definite cortical invasion in weight-bearing bones.