Liver stiffness value-based risk estimation of late recurrence after curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: development and validation of a predictive model

Does depressurization of the portal vein before liver transplantation affect the recurrence of HCC? A nested case-control study

BACKGROUND

Portal hypertension (PHT) has been proven to be closely related to the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Whether PHT before liver transplantation (LT) will affect the recurrence of HCC is not clear.

METHODS

110 patients with depressurization of the portal vein (DPV) operations (Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt-TIPS, surgical portosystemic shunt or/and splenectomy) before LT from a HCC LT cohort, matched with 330 preoperative non-DPV patients; this constituted a nested case-control study. Subgroup analysis was based on the order of DPV before or after the occurrence of HCC.

RESULTS

The incidence of acute kidney injury and intra-abdominal bleeding after LT in the DPV group was significantly higher than that in non-DPV group. The 5-year survival rates in the DPV and non-DPV group were 83.4% and 82.7% respectively (P = 0.930). In subgroup analysis, patients in the DPV prior to HCC subgroup may have a lower recurrence rate (4.7% vs.16.8%, P = 0.045) and a higher tumor free survival rate (88.9% vs.74.4%, P = 0.044) after LT under the up-to-date TNMI-II stage, while in TNM III stage, there was no difference for DPV prior to HCC subgroup compared with the DPV after HCC subgroup or the non-DPV group.

CONCLUSION

Compared with DPV after HCC, DPV treatment before HCC can reduce the recurrence rate of HCC after early transplantation (TNM I-II). DPV before LT can reduce the recurrence of early HCC.

Prediction of late recurrence after curative-intent resection using MRI-measured spleen volume in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection is regarded as a de novo tumor primarily related to the severity of underlying liver disease. We aimed to investigate risk factors, especially spleen volume, associated with late recurrence in patients with HCC and cirrhosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 301 patients with HCC and cirrhosis who received curative resection and preoperative MRI. Patients were followed for late recurrence for at least 2 years. Spleen volume was automatically measured on MRI with artificial intelligence techniques, and qualitative MRI imaging features reflecting tumor aggressiveness were evaluated. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors and a risk score was developed to predict late recurrence.

RESULTS

Eighty-four (27.9%) patients developed late recurrence during follow-up. Preoperative spleen volume was independently associated with late recurrence, and patients with a volume > 370 cm3 had significantly higher recurrence risk (hazard ratio 2.02, 95%CI 1.31-3.12, p = 0.002). Meanwhile, no qualitative imaging features were associated with late recurrence. A risk score was developed based on the APRI score, spleen volume, and tumor number, which had time-dependent area under the curve ranging from 0.700 to 0.751. The risk score at a cutoff of 0.42 allowed for the identification of two risk categories with distinct risk of late recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative spleen volume on MRI was independently associated with late recurrence after curative-intent resection in patients with HCC and cirrhosis. A risk score was proposed for individualized risk prediction and tailoring of postoperative surveillance strategies.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Spleen volume measured on MRI with the aid of AI techniques was independently predictive of late HCC recurrence after liver resection. A risk score based on spleen volume, APRI score, and tumor number was developed for accurate prediction of late recurrence.

KEY POINTS

• Preoperative spleen volume measured on MRI was independently associated with late recurrence after curative-intent resection in patients with HCC and cirrhosis. • Qualitative MRI features reflecting tumor aggressiveness were not associated with late recurrence. • A risk score based on spleen volume was developed for accurate prediction of late recurrence and risk stratification.

Stiffness on shear wave elastography as a potential microenvironment biomarker for predicting tumor recurrence in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To explore the pathologic basis and prognostic value of tumor and liver stiffness measured pre-operatively by two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who undergo hepatic resection.

METHODS

A total of 191 HBV-infected patients with solitary resectable HCC were prospectively enrolled. The stiffness of intratumoral tissue, peritumoral tissue, adjacent liver tissue, and distant liver tissue was evaluated by 2D-SWE. The correlations between stiffness and pathological characteristics were analyzed in 114 patients. The predictive value of stiffness for recurrence-free survival (RFS) was evaluated, and Cutoff Finder was used for determining optimal cut-off stiffness values. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify independent predictors of RFS.

RESULTS

Pathologically, intratumoral stiffness was associated with stroma proportion and microvascular invasion (MVI) while peritumoral stiffness was associated with tumor size, capsule, and MVI. Adjacent liver stiffness was correlated with capsule and liver fibrosis stage while distant liver stiffness was correlated with liver fibrosis stage. Peritumoral stiffness, adjacent liver stiffness, and distant liver stiffness were all correlated to RFS (all p < 0.05). Higher peritumoral stiffness (> 49.4 kPa) (HR = 1.822, p = 0.023) and higher adjacent liver stiffness (> 24.1 kPa) (HR = 1.792, p = 0.048) were significant independent predictors of worse RFS, along with tumor size and MVI. The nomogram based on these variables showed a C-index of 0.77 for RFS prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Stiffness measured by 2D-SWE could be a tumor microenvironment and tumor invasiveness biomarker. Peritumoral stiffness and adjacent liver stiffness showed important values in predicting tumor recurrence after curative resection in HBV-related HCC.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Tumor and liver stiffness measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography serve as imaging biomarkers for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence, reflecting biological behavior and tumor microenvironment.

KEY POINTS

• Stiffness measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography is a useful biomarker of tumor microenvironment and invasiveness. • Higher stiffness indicated more aggressive behavior of hepatocellular carcinoma. • The study showed the prognostic value of peritumoral stiffness and adjacent liver stiffness for recurrence-free survival. • The nomogram integrating peritumoral stiffness, adjacent liver stiffness, tumor size, and microvascular invasion showed a C-index of 0.77.

Value of Multimodal Data From Clinical and Sonographic Parameters in Predicting Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Treatment

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the work described here was to assess the value of the combination of pre-operative multimodal data-including clinical data, contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) information and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) based on 2-D shear wave elastography (SWE)-in predicting early (within 1 y) and late (after 1 y) recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative treatment.

METHODS

We retrospectively included 101 patients with HCC who met the Milan criteria and received curative treatment. The multimodel data from clinical parameters, LSM by 2-D SWE and CEUS enhancement patterns were collected. The association between different variables in HCC recurrence was accessed using a Cox proportional hazard model. On the basis of the independent factors of early recurrence, models with different source variables were established (Clinical Model, CEUS-Clinical Model, SWE-Clinical Model, CEUS-SWE-Clinical Model). The goodness-of-fit of models was evaluated and the performance trends of different models were calculated by time-dependent area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Two-dimensional SWE, CEUS enhancement patterns and clinical parameters (spleen length, multiple tumors, α-fetoprotein, albumin and prothrombin time) were independently associated with early recurrence (all p values <0.05). Multiple tumors and a decrease in albumin independently contributed to the late recurrence. The model fit of CEUS-SWE-Clinical Model was superior to other models in predicting early recurrence (all p values <0.05). The AUCs of the CEUS-Clinical Model were higher from 2 mo to 7 mo, while the SWE-Clinical Model had higher AUCs from 9 mo to 12 mo.

CONCLUSION

CEUS enhancement patterns and 2-D SWE were independent predictors of HCC early recurrence as the two factors contributed to the predictive performance at different times. The multimodal model, which included diverse data in predicting early HCC recurrence, had the best goodness-of-fit.

T1 relaxation time analysis in predicting hepatic dysfunction and prognosis in patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the value of T1 mapping in predicting hepatic dysfunction and prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

100 consecutive patients with treatment-naive HCC treated with TACE were prospectively analyzed. Clinical, laboratory, and MRI parameters (liver and tumor T1 relaxation times (T1L, T1T)) before and/or following TACE were measured and calculated. Clinical parameters included the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classification, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Classification (BCLC) criteria, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score. Laboratory parameters were the gold standard for hepatic dysfunction. T1L and T1T were combined by stepwise multivariate logistic regression to yield a T1-related probability index (T1com) for further analysis. Study endpoints included hepatic dysfunction and progression-free survival (PFS) rate.

RESULTS

38 patients (38%) were diagnosed with hepatic dysfunction following TACE. There was no significant difference in clinical parameters between the groups with and without hepatic dysfunction. Logistic regression analysis showed that T1L and T1T were independent risk factors for assessing hepatic dysfunction. T1com showed a better AUC than T1L and T1T (0.81 vs. 0.76 and 0.69, P = 0.007 and 0.006). Patients with low T1com (≤0.42) showed a better median PFS than patients with high T1com (>0.42) (167.0 vs. 215.9 days, P = 0.010). In comparison, CTP, BCLC, and ALBI scores were not statistically significant in predicting PFS in HCC patients treated with TACE (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Compared with widely used clinical parameters, T1 was more capable of predicting hepatic dysfunction after TACE. Stratification of patients with HCC undergoing TACE according to T1 may help clinicians to develop treatment strategies in preventing the occurrence of hepatic dysfunction and improving individual prognoses.

Can Liver Ultrasound Elastography Predict the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Radiofrequency Ablation? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

The role of liver stiffness (LS) on ultrasound elastography in the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after treatment with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is still unclear. Our aim was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess whether LS can predict the recurrence of HCC after RFA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medline via PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library databases, and abstracts of international conference proceedings were searched up to June 30, 2020. Cohort studies were included if they assessed the association between LS values measured by ultrasound elastography before RFA and HCC recurrence.

RESULTS

9 studies including 1373 patients with HCC treated by RFA, 643 of whom developed HCC recurrence, were identified. The mean value of LS before RFA was significantly higher in patients who developed HCC recurrence than in those who did not (weighted mean difference=11.98 kPa, 95%CI: 7.60-16.35, I2=63.8%). There was a significant positive association between LS value and HCC recurrence both at univariate (unadjusted HR=1.03, 95%CI: 1.00-1.07, I2=72.7%) and multivariate analysis (adjusted HR=1.03, 95%CI: 1.02-1.04, I2=0). Patients with LS value ≥13-14 kPa or >1.5 m/s have a higher risk of both HCC recurrence (unadjusted HR=2.18, 95%CI: 1.46-3.25, I2=49.7%; adjusted HR=2.41, 95%CI: 1.53-3.79, I2=0) and overall mortality (adjusted HR=4.38; 95%CI: 2.33-8.25, I2=0) in comparison with those with LS below these cutoffs.

CONCLUSION

Liver ultrasound elastography appears to be a reliable tool to predict HCC recurrence and overall survival after RFA. This technique may be useful for the management of patients with HCC treated by RFA.

Discontinuing Hepatitis Activity Reduced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence after Primary Curative Therapy

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tends to recur after curative treatment. This study aimed to identify the clinical factors associated with HCC recurrence after initial curative therapy.

METHODS

We retrospectively included patients with early stage HCC Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0 and A who received curative surgical resection or local ablation at three different Chang Gung Memorial Hospitals in Taiwan (527 patients from Linkou, 150 patients from Keelung, and 127 patients from Chiayi) from 2000 to 2009. Pretreatment clinical data were subjected to univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to identify the risk factors for HCC recurrence within five years after the primary curative treatment. Recurrence and survival rates were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests.

RESULTS

Patients with a history of nucleoside analog or peg-interferon treatment for hepatitis B or hepatitis C infection had lower HCC recurrence rates than did those without such treatment. By contrast, alcohol drinking habits (p = 0.0049, hazard ratio (HR): 1.508, 95%CI: 1.133-2.009), a platelet count of < 14 × 104/μL (p = 0.003, HR: 1.533, 95%CI: 1.155-2.035), and a serum alanine aminotransferase level > 40 U/L (p = 0.0450, HR: 1.305, 95%CI: 1.006-1.694) were independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. The five-year HCC recurrence rates did not differ between patients who received either local radiofrequency ablation or surgical resection at BCLC stages 0 and A.

CONCLUSIONS

Factors contributing to persistent hepatitis activity and advanced fibrosis precipitate tumor recurrence. Active intervention to discontinue liver injury or hepatitis could reduce HCC recurrence.

Quantitative Ultrasound Elastography Methods in Focal Liver Lesions Including Hepatocellular Carcinoma: From Diagnosis to Prognosis

ABSTRACT

The ability of ultrasound elastography to diagnose focal liver lesions and determine their prognoses including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. At present, radiofrequency ablation and liver resection are the most common treatments for HCC. However, the survival rate remains disappointing because of recurrences and postoperative liver failure, necessitating the development of noninvasive approaches. There is currently no systematic definition of an elastic technique for measuring liver stiffness to predict the recurrence of HCC after radiofrequency ablation and postoperative liver failure. In this review, recent advances in ultrasound elastography for the diagnosis and prognosis of focal liver lesions are discussed including HCC.

The role of liver and spleen elastography in advanced chronic liver disease

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). In the last decade, many non-invasive tests, such us liver and spleen elastography, have been proposed and validated for the identification of patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and its complications, mainly hepatic decompensation and liver-related morbidity and mortality. Moreover, elastography accurately stratifies for the risk of HCC development, HCC recurrence and decompensation after liver surgery. Recent studies suggest a role of SSM in monitoring response to treatments and interventions in ACLD, such as viral eradication, non-selective beta-blockers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement. However, one of the most indications to perform elastography in ACLD still remains the screening for esophageal varices. In fact, according to the Baveno VI consensus, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm³ can safely identify patients at low risk of varices requiring treatment (VNT) and could therefore avoid invasive upper invasive endoscopy; LSM>20-25 kPa can accurately rule-in CSPH in patients with viral etiology. Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) is a direct surrogate of portal hypertension and has been demonstrated more accurate in predicting portal hypertension severity and VNT. A combined model including Baveno VI Criteria and SSM (≤46 kPa) can significantly increase the number of spared endoscopies (>40-50%), maintaining a low (<5%) of missed VNT.

Efficacy of Liver Resection for Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Child-Pugh A Cirrhosis: Analysis of a Nationwide Cancer Registry Database

Background

Therapeutic strategies and good prognostic factors are important for patients with single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study aimed to identify the prognostic factors in patients with single large HCC with good performance status and Child-Pugh A cirrhosis using a large national cancer registry database and to recommend therapeutic strategies.

Methods

Among 12139 HCC patients registered at the Korean Primary Liver Cancer Registry between 2008 and 2015, single large (≥ 5 cm) HCC patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status 0 and Child-Pugh score A were selected.

Results

Overall, 466 patients were analyzed. The 1-,2-,3-, and 5-year survival rates after initial treatment were 84.9%, 71.0%, 60.1%, and 51.6%, respectively, and progression-free survival rates were 43.6%, 33.0%, 29.0%, and 26.8%, respectively. Platelet count < 100 × 10⁹/L (P < 0.001), sodium level < 135 mmol/L (P = 0.002), maximum tumor diameter ≥ 10 cm (P = 0.001), and treatment other than resection (transarterial therapy vs. resection: P < 0.001, others vs. resection: P = 0.002) were significantly associated with poorer overall survival; sodium < 135 mmol/L (P = 0.015), maximum tumor diameter ≥ 10 cm (P < 0.001), and treatment other than resection (transarterial therapy vs. resection: P < 0.001, others vs. resection: P = 0.001) were independently associated with poorer progression-free survival.

Conclusion

Resection as an initial treatment should be considered when possible, even in patients with single large HCC with good performance status and mild cirrhosis. Caution should be exercised in patients with low platelet level (< 100 × 10⁹/L), low serum sodium level (< 135 mmol/L), and maximum tumor diameter ≥ 10 cm.

Approaches to the Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension: Non-Invasive or Invasive Tests?

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and is defined by values of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (HVPG) >5 mmHg. Values of HVPG ≥10 mmHg determine the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), the main predictor of the risk of variceal bleeding, hepatic decompensation, and mortality. However, its measurement is invasive and requires high expertise, so its routine use outside third level centers or clinical trials is limited. In the last decades, several non-invasive tests (NITs) have been developed and validated for the diagnosis of portal hypertension. Among these, liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) are the most promising tools available, as they have been proven accurate to predict CSPH, high-risk esophageal varices, decompensation, and mortality in patients with ACLD. In the last Baveno VI Consensus proceedings, LSM evaluation was recommended for the first time for diagnosis of CSPH (LSM >20-25 kPa) and the screening of patients with a low probability of having high-risk varices (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150.000/mm³). In this review, we aimed to summarize the growing evidence supporting the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease.

Liver stiffness and insulin resistance in predicting recurrence for early stage hepatoma patients after curative resection

Curative resection is recommended for patient with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), however, the prognosis is limited by high recurrence rate. This study was to investigate liver stiffness (LS) and metabolic factor in prediction of HCC recurrence for patients with early stage HCC who had undergone curative resection. Consecutive patients with suspicion of HCC who had undergone curative resection were prospectively enrolled. Transient elastography was performed to determine LS pre-operatively. The demographics, clinical characteristics and histological findings were recorded. All patients were followed up regularly until recurrence, death or last visit. Ninety-four patients with early stage HCC were enrolled. LS positively correlated with fibrosis stage (r = 0.666). In a median follow-up of 3.2 years, forty patients developed recurrences including 22 recurrences after 1-year post resection. The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was 44.2%. LS was the independent factor associated with recurrence. Patients with LS > 8.5 kPa had higher 5-year cumulative recurrence rate (59.8% vs 25.1%, p = 0.007). For the prediction of recurrence after 1-year post resection, LS > 8.5 kPa (hazard ratio 2.72) and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) (hazard ratio 1.24) were independent factors in multivariate analysis. Those patients with both LS > 8.5 kPa and HOMA-IR > 2.3 had the highest recurrence rate after 1-year post resection.

Proposal of a New Risk Score for Patients Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization due to Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Prognostic models are lacking for patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following surgical resection. This study devised and validated a new hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic (HAP) score optimized for use in patients undergoing treatment with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for recurrence subsequent to surgical resection of HCC.

METHODS

Training cohort (n=424) and validation cohort (n=350) patients with recurrent HCC after resection treated with TACE between 2003 and 2016 were enrolled. Cox regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses were used to identify risk factors for survival and to calculate the predictive performance of risk scores, respectively.

RESULTS

The median age of the study population was 59.2 years. α-Fetoprotein >400 ng/mL (hazard ratio [HR]=1.815), serum albumin ≤3.5 g/dL (HR=1.966), tumor number ≥2 (HR=1.425), tumor size >5 cm at resection or recurrence (HR=1.356), segmental portal vein invasion at resection or recurrence (HR=2.032), and time from resection to recurrence ≤1 years (HR=1.849) independently predicted survival (all p<0.05). The postoperative HAP (pHAP) model based on the rounded HRs of these variables showed an AUC of 0.723 for predicting survival at 3 years, which was significantly higher than AUCs of other HAP-based models, including HAP, modified HAP, and modified HAP-II scores (0.578-0.621) (all p<0.05). The accuracy of pHAP was maintained in the entire cohort (n=774; AUC=0.776 at 3 years).

CONCLUSIONS

A new pHAP score optimized for patients treated with TACE due to recurrent HCC after resection showed acceptable accuracy and was externally validated. Further studies of means by which to select treatment options other than TACE for high-risk patients according to pHAP scores are warranted.

Hypervascular Nodules and Stiffer Liver are Associated with Recurrence after Microwave Ablation in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Double-Center Analysis

Background and Aims  The aim of this study was to detect the most important risk factors for recurrence after microwave ablation (MWA) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods  A total of 92 patients with 110 HCC focal lesions (FLs) underwent MWA therapy. All the patients underwent triphasic CT before and after 1 and 3 months of MWA therapy. Complete ablation and recurrence rates were recorded, and the risk factors associated with recurrence were analyzed. Results  Regarding the 110 HCC FLs that were detected pre-MWA, adequate ablation was recorded post-MWA procedure in 88 FLs (80%) and incomplete ablation in 22 FLs (showed residual contrast enhancement). However, there were newly detected lesions (17 FLs). The rate of recurrence was significantly higher in patients with multiple larger (> 4 cm) sized and hypervascular nodules. Diabetics were significantly associated with a higher recurrence rate of HCC. The rate of recurrence was significantly higher in patients with baseline level of serum alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥200 ng/mL. Stiffer liver> 25 kPa had higher incidence for recurrence after ablation. Conclusion  Meticulous follow-up is mandatory in diabetic patients, patients with AFP > 200 ng/dL starting value, hypervascular large hepatic FL, and in stiffer liver> 25 kPa, as these patients have higher incidence for recurrence after ablation.

Serum Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein level predicts recurrence of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To investigate whether serum Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2-binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) can predict the recurrence of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection.

METHODS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2004 and 2015 were eligible for the study. Recurrence was sub-classified as early (<2 years) or late (≥2 years).

RESULTS

A total of 170 patients with CHB were selected. During the follow-up period (median, 22.6 months), 64 (37.6%) patients developed recurrence. In multivariate analyses, WFA+-M2BP level was an independent predictor of overall (hazard ratio [HR]=1.490), early (HR=1.667), and late recurrence (HR=1.416), together with male sex, des-gamma carboxyprothrombin level, maximal tumor size, portal vein invasion, and satellite nodules (all P<0.05). However, WFA+- M2BP level was not predictive of grade B-C posthepatectomy liver failure. The cutoff value that maximized the sum of sensitivity (30.2%) and specificity (90.6%) was 2.14 (area under receiver operating characteristic curve=0.632, P=0.010). Patients with a WFA+-M2BP level >2.14 experienced recurrence more frequently than those with a WFA+-M2BP level ≤2.14 (P=0.011 by log-rank test), and had poorer postoperative outcomes than those with a WFA+-M2BP level ≤2.14 in terms of overall recurrence (56.0 vs. 34.5%, P=0.047) and early recurrence (52.0 vs. 20.7%, P=0.001).

CONCLUSION

WFA+-M2BP level is an independent predictive factor of HBV-related HCC recurrence after curative resection. Further studies should investigate incorporation of WFA+-M2BP level into tailored postoperative surveillance strategies for patients with CHB.

Comparison of acoustic radiation force impulse elastography and transient elastography for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND

To compare the clinical value of acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography and transient elastography (TE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence prediction after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and to investigate other predictors of HCC recurrence.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 2011 and 2016, 130 patients with HCC who underwent ARFI elastography and TE within 6 months before curative RFA were prospectively enrolled. Independent predictors of HCC recurrence were analyzed separately using ARFI elastography and TE. ARFI elastography and TE accuracy to predict HCC recurrence was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Of all included patients (91 men; mean age, 63.5 years; range: 43-84 years), 51 (42.5%) experienced HCC recurrence during the follow-up period (median, 21.9 months). In multivariable analysis using ARFI velocity, serum albumin and ARFI velocity [hazard ratios: 2.873; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.806-4.571; P<0.001] were independent predictors of recurrence, and in multivariable analysis using TE value, serum albumin and TE value (hazard ratios: 1.028; 95% CI: 1.013-1.043; P<0.001) were independent predictors of recurrence. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of ARFI elastography (0.821; 95% CI: 0.747-0.895) was not statistically different from that of TE (0.793; 95% CI: 0.712-0.874) for predicting HCC recurrence (P=0.827). The optimal ARFI velocity and TE cutoff values were 1.6 m/s and 14 kPa, respectively.

CONCLUSION

ARFI elastography and TE yield comparable predictors of HCC recurrence after RFA.

Influence of liver fibrosis on prognosis after surgical resection for resectable single hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection (SR) is recommended for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with well-preserved liver function. However, unexpected liver fibrosis sometimes found at the SR which leads to a poor outcome. This study investigated the influence of liver fibrosis on prognosis after SR for HCC.

METHODS

A total of 189 patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh grade A who underwent curative SR for a single HCC <5 cm were evaluated. Patients were assigned to two groups based on the degree of fibrosis (mild or severe), as determined by histological evaluation.

RESULTS

Severe fibrosis was present in 49 patients (25.9%); these patients had greater posthepatectomy liver failure (P = 0.000) and HCC recurrence (P = 0.016). Severe liver fibrosis (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.849, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.191-2.869; P = 0.006), microvascular invasion (HR = 1.854, 95% CI 1.183-2.906; P = 0.007), and poor histologic grade (HR = 2.097, 95% CI 1.230-3.574; P = 0.007) were related to HCC recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Severe fibrosis can be found even in patients with well-preserved liver function and it leads to poorer early post-operative and late oncologic outcomes, therefore it should be considered before therapeutic decision making of HCC.

Risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma

Early recurrence is common after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma and is associated with poor prognosis. This study aimed to identify risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Overall, 63 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled. Patients were divided into the early recurrence group, who developed recurrence within 12 months after hepatectomy (n = 10), and the non-early recurrence group (n = 53). Clinicopathological factors of early recurrence were retrospectively analyzed. Among the 63 patients, 10 (15.9%) patients experienced early recurrence. Univariate analysis showed tumor necrosis (p = 0.012), level of PIVKA-II (prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; p = 0.002), and microvascular invasion (p = 0.029) to be associated with early recurrence. By multivariate analysis, there were significant differences in high PIVKA-II (p < 0.001) and tumor necrosis (p = 0.012) in patients with early recurrence. The optimal cutoff values of PIVKA-II and tumor necrosis were 46 mAU/mL and 3% of total tumor volume, respectively. Patients with a high preoperative PIVKA-II level and extent of tumor necrosis, which are independent risk factors for early recurrence, should be actively treated and monitored closely after hepatectomy.

Using transient elastography to predict hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver stiffness (LS) value determined using transient elastography (TE) can be used to assess the degree of liver fibrosis. The study investigated whether TE can predict the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

METHODS

This study retrospectively enrolled 228 patients with HCC who received TE and RFA as the first-line treatment for HCC between 2008 and 2015. Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of HCC recurrence.

RESULTS

The median age of the study population (170 men and 58 women) was 61 years. During the study period, HCC recurrence and mortality developed in 125 (54.8%) and 37 (16.2%) patients after RFA, respectively. Liver cirrhosis, platelet count, multiple tumors, and LS value were the independent predictors of HCC recurrence. When the study population was stratified into early (< 12 months) and late (≥ 12 months) recurrence groups, LS value was an independent predictor of late recurrence, along with liver cirrhosis and spleen diameter. The risk of late recurrence was higher in patients with LS values of ≥ 13 kPa than in those with LS values of < 13 kPa (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 4.507, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.131-7.724, P < 0.001). Recurrence was the only predictor of overall survival (HR = 18.583, 95% CI 2.424-142.486, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings of this study suggest that LS measurement using TE can be a useful predictor of HCC recurrence after RFA.

Liver ultrasound elastography: More than staging the disease

Ultrasound elastography is perhaps the most important breakthrough in the evolution of ultrasonography in the last 15 years. Since transient elastography was introduced, many other methods have been developed and became more and more widely available. The value of ultrasound elastography in staging a chronic liver disease has been established by numerous studies. There have been many studies that have shown that using liver elastography it is possible to predict the presence of the complications of cirrhosis: portal hypertension, presence of esophageal varices (and even their risk of bleeding) and hepatocellular carcinoma. It has been shown that liver elastography can predict the progression of liver fibrosis and also the survival (hepatic events - free) of the patients with chronic liver diseases. These are the real quests of the clinicians, this is the ultimate scope of any medical investigation - to predict the outcome of a patient and to help making therapeutic decisions. I brought together only a small amount of the data that has already been written on this subject to support my affirmation that liver ultrasound elastography is more than a tool for staging the liver disease, but it is also comparable to a crystal ball which in the hands of a skilled clinician can reveal the future of the patient and can help to improve this future.

Liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in 313 Western patients: tumor biology and underlying liver rather than tumor size drive prognosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Treatment decisions for hepatocellular carcinoma are mostly guided by tumor size. The aim of this study was to analyze resection outcomes according to tumor size and characterize prognostic factors.

METHODS

Patients resected at a Western center between 1989 and 2010 were grouped by largest tumor size: <50mm, 50-100mm, and >100mm. The primary end points were overall- and recurrence-free survival. Univariate associations with primary endpoints were entered into a Cox proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

Three hundred thirteen patients underwent resection: 111 (36%) had tumors <50mm, 113 (36%) had tumors between 50 and 100mm, and 89 (28%) had tumors >100mm. Five-year overall and disease-free survival rates for the three groups were 67%, 46%, and 34%, and 32%, 27%, and 27%, respectively. Thirty-five patients, mostly from <50mm group, underwent transplantation which was associated with a 91% 5 year survival rate. Tumor size was not an independent predictor of overall or recurrence-free survival on multivariate analyses. Independent predictors of decreased overall survival were: intraoperative transfusion (HR=2.60), cirrhosis (HR=2.42), poorly differentiated tumor (HR=2.04), satellite lesions (HR=1.69), alpha-fetoprotein >200 (HR=1.53), and microvascular invasion (HR=1.48). The use of salvage transplantation was an independent predictor of improved survival (HR=0.21). Recurrence-free survival was predicted by intraoperative transfusion (HR=2.15), poorly differentiated tumor (HR=1.87), microvascular invasion (HR=1.71) and cirrhosis (HR=1.69).

CONCLUSION

By studying a large group of patients across a distribution of tumor sizes and background liver diseases, it is demonstrated that size alone is a limited prognostic factor. Tumor biology and condition of the underlying liver are better prognosticators and should be given closer attention. Although hampered by recurrence rates, resection is safe and offers good overall survival. In addition, it may allow for better selection for salvage transplantation after consideration of histopathological risk factors.