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Hamoen M, Welten M, Nieboer D, Bai G, Heymans MW, Twisk JWR, Raat H, Vergouwe Y, Wijga AH, de Kroon MLA. Development of a prediction model to target screening for high blood pressure in children. Prev Med 2020; 132:105997. [PMID: 31981642 DOI: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.105997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2018] [Revised: 01/07/2020] [Accepted: 01/21/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Targeted screening for childhood high blood pressure may be more feasible than routine blood pressure measurement in all children to avoid unnecessary harms, overdiagnosis or costs. Targeting maybe based e.g. on being overweight, but information on other predictors may also be useful. Therefore, we aimed to develop a multivariable diagnostic prediction model to select children aged 9-10 years for blood pressure measurement. Data from 5359 children in a population-based prospective cohort study were used. High blood pressure was defined as systolic or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 95th percentile for gender, age, and height. Logistic regression with backward selection was used to identify the strongest predictors related to pregnancy, child, and parent characteristics. Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping. 227 children (4.2%) had high blood pressure. The diagnostic model included maternal hypertensive disease during pregnancy, maternal BMI, maternal educational level, parental hypertension, parental smoking, child birth weight standard deviation score (SDS), child BMI SDS, and child ethnicity. The area under the ROC curve was 0.73, compared to 0.65 when using only child overweight. Using the model and a cut-off of 5% for predicted risk, sensitivity and specificity were 59% and 76%; using child overweight only, sensitivity and specificity were 47% and 84%. In conclusion, our diagnostic prediction model uses easily obtainable information to identify children at increased risk of high blood pressure, offering an opportunity for targeted screening. This model enables to detect a higher proportion of children with high blood pressure than a strategy based on child overweight only.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marleen Hamoen
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands; Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Generation R Study Group, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Marieke Welten
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Daan Nieboer
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Guannan Bai
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Martijn W Heymans
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Jos W R Twisk
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Hein Raat
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Yvonne Vergouwe
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Alet H Wijga
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Center for Nutrition, Prevention and Health Services, Bilthoven, Netherlands
| | - Marlou L A de Kroon
- Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands; Department of Health Sciences, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
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Lian Y, Xie L, Liu Y, Tang F. Metabolic-related markers and inflammatory factors as predictors of dyslipidemia among urban Han Chinese adults. Lipids Health Dis 2019; 18:167. [PMID: 31472689 PMCID: PMC6717639 DOI: 10.1186/s12944-019-1109-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2019] [Accepted: 08/22/2019] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Metabolic-related markers and inflammatory factors have been proved to be associated with increased risk of dyslipidemia. Elucidating the mechanisms underlying these associations might provide an important perspective for the prevention of dyslipidemia. In the present study, we aimed to explore the effect of metabolic-related markers on dyslipidemia, and to assess what extent inflammation mediating these associations. Methods A total of 25,130 participants without dyslipidemia at baseline were included in the present study during 2010–2015. A partial least squares path model was used to explore possible pathways from metabolic-related markers to dyslipidemia, and the mediation role of inflammation. Results Lipid metabolism factor, blood pressure factor, obesity condition factor, glucose metabolism factor, renal function factor and lifestyle factor had diverse impact on development of dyslipidemia, directly and (or) indirectly. Partial least squares path analysis revealed that the determination coefficient of the model (R2) was 0.52. Lipid metabolism factor, obesity condition factor, and glucose metabolism factor had both direct and indirect effect on dyslipidemia through inflammatory factor. Lipid metabolism factor was the most important risk factor (β = 0.68) in the prediction of dyslipidemia, followed by obesity condition factor (β = 0.06) and glucose metabolism factor (β = 0.03). Conclusions Metabolic-related markers are strong risk factors for dyslipidemia. Inflammatory factors have significant mediating effect on these relationships. These findings suggested that comprehensive intervention strategies on metabolic biomarkers and inflammatory factors should be taken into consideration in prevention and treatment of dyslipidemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying Lian
- Center for Data Science in Health and Medicine, Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jingshi Road 16766, Jinan, 250014, China.,Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital Affiliated to Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Lingling Xie
- Department of Endocrinology, Zhangqiu District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, China
| | - Yafei Liu
- Center for Data Science in Health and Medicine, Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jingshi Road 16766, Jinan, 250014, China.,Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital Affiliated to Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Fang Tang
- Center for Data Science in Health and Medicine, Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jingshi Road 16766, Jinan, 250014, China. .,Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital Affiliated to Shandong University, Jinan, China.
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Sex difference in the mediation roles of an inflammatory factor (hsCRP) and adipokines on the relationship between adiposity and blood pressure. Hypertens Res 2019; 42:903-911. [DOI: 10.1038/s41440-019-0222-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2018] [Revised: 10/17/2018] [Accepted: 10/28/2018] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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Preschool children's physical activity and cardiovascular disease risk: A systematic review. J Sci Med Sport 2018; 22:568-573. [PMID: 30545675 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsams.2018.11.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2018] [Revised: 11/01/2018] [Accepted: 11/19/2018] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Higher physical activity (PA) levels in adults are associated with lower cardiovascular disease risk, however it is unclear whether this association is evident in children younger than five years. Given that cardiovascular disease has early life origins, this study systematically reviews evidence of associations between PA and cardiovascular disease risk factors among children aged 3-5.5years. DESIGN Systematic review. METHOD A systematic search of multiple data bases was conducted to identify published papers reporting associations between any measure of PA and cardiovascular disease risk factors. INCLUSION CRITERIA English language; peer-reviewed; original quantitative research; mean age or majority of sample to be between 3.0-5.5years. Studies where the sample was characterised by a health condition (e.g. obese, hypertensive) were not eligible for inclusion. RESULTS Twelve papers met the inclusion criteria. At least one study for each cardiovascular disease risk factor except inflammation was included. PA was not associated with insulin resistance, and inconsistently associated with the remaining cardiovascular disease risk factors. Studies were mostly cross-sectional and methodologically heterogeneous. Longitudinal and experimental study designs and objective measurement of PA may help provide a clearer indication of the interplay between PA and cardiovascular disease risk in the preschool population.
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Fowokan AO, Sakakibara BM, Onsel N, Punthakee Z, Waddell C, Rosin M, Lear SA. Correlates of elevated blood pressure in healthy children: a systematic review. Clin Obes 2018; 8:366-381. [PMID: 30066442 DOI: 10.1111/cob.12271] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2018] [Revised: 05/22/2018] [Accepted: 05/29/2018] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
The prevalence of hypertension in children is increasing globally. Addressing this will require a robust understanding of associated risk factors. To this end, we conducted a systematic review to identify correlates of elevated blood pressure (BP) in children. Literature searches were conducted using pre-defined search terms from three academic databases. The abstract and full text of identified studies were screened for eligibility by two independent reviewers. A total of 100 studies were included in this systematic review. An assessment tool was first used to assess study quality; a narrative synthesis was then performed. We found a broad range of physiological, social and behavioural factors associated with elevated BP in children. The most common correlate observed was adiposity, suggesting that childhood obesity may be implicated in the increased prevalence of hypertension observed in children. However, the broad range of other factors identified underscores the multi-factorial aetiology of hypertension. Data from a broad range of studies showed that the correlates of hypertension in children are multi-factorial. Therefore, approaches aimed at preventing hypertension must in turn be multi-factorial to ensure that the burden of hypertension in childhood is addressed.
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Affiliation(s)
- A O Fowokan
- Department of Biomedical Physiology and Kinesiology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - B M Sakakibara
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - N Onsel
- Department of Industrial Engineering, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Z Punthakee
- Department of Medicine, McMaster University and Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - C Waddell
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - M Rosin
- Department of Biomedical Physiology and Kinesiology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - S A Lear
- Department of Biomedical Physiology and Kinesiology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
- Division of Cardiology, Providence Health Care, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
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Percent of body fat, fat-mass, fat-free mass and assessment of body composition among rural school-going children of Eastern-India. ANTHROPOLOGICAL REVIEW 2018. [DOI: 10.2478/anre-2018-0011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Percent of body fat (PBF), fat mass (FM) and fat free mass (FFM) are useful indicators for the assessment of body composition. The present study was conducted among 1351 children (boys: 660; girls: 691) aged 5–12 years residing in West Bengal, Eastern-India. The children were selected using a stratified random sampling method. Anthropometric measurements of height, weight, triceps skinfold (TSF) and sub-scapular skinfold (SSF) were recorded using standard procedures. The PBF, PBF-for-age z-score (PBFZ) and body mass index (BMI) were subsequently calculated. Body composition was assessed using FM, FFM, fat mass index (FMI) and fat free mass index (FFMI). Age-specific mean values of FM ranged from 2.12–4.00 kg (boys) and 2.16–4.40 kg (girls). Age-specific mean values of FFM ranged from 14.45–23.93 kg (boys) and 14.01–23.03 kg (girls). Sex-specific mean differences between sexes were statistically significant in weight, height, TSF, SSF, PBF, PBFAZ, FM, FFM, FMI and FFMI (p<0.05), except in BMI (p>0.05). These results are important for future investigations in clinical and epidemiological settings so as to accurately identify the risk of lower or higher adiposity and body composition using PBF, FM and FFM.
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The importance of blood lipids in the association between BMI and blood pressure among Chinese overweight and obese children. Br J Nutr 2016; 116:45-51. [PMID: 27169905 DOI: 10.1017/s0007114516001744] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
We aimed to examine the contribution of blood lipids to the association between BMI and blood pressure (BP) in children with overweight and obesity. Data were collected in elementary and high schools of Chaoyang District, Beijing, China in 2012. Participants' weight, height, BP and fasting plasma lipid profile were measured by standard protocols. Mediation analysis was used to examine the mediation role of blood lipids on the relation between BMI and BP, with age included as a covariate. We found that in boys 8·29 % (mediation effect=0·106, P=0·012) of the association between BMI and systolic BP was mediated through TAG. TAG mediated 12·53 % (mediation effect=0·093, P=0·018) and LDL-cholesterol mediated 7·75 % (mediation effect=0·57, P=0·046) of the association between BMI and diastolic BP was mediated by TAG and LDL-cholesterol, respectively. However, blood lipids did not show the mediation effect in girls. Our findings suggested that there was a sex difference in the contribution of blood lipids to the association between BMI and BP. Controlling TAG or LDL-cholesterol may be beneficial for reducing the risk of the BMI-related high BP in overweight boys; however, this outcome is not the case when controlling TAG or LDL-cholesterol in girls. This study may provide clues to explore the underlying mechanism of the association between obesity and hypertension.
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