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Stosic D, Stosic D, Stosic T, Stosic B. Generalized weighted permutation entropy. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2022; 32:103105. [PMID: 36319309 DOI: 10.1063/5.0107427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods: Permutation entropy and Weighted permutation entropy. The method introduces a scaling parameter to discern the disorder and complexity of ordinal patterns with small and large fluctuations. Using this scaling parameter, the complexity-entropy causality plane is generalized to the complexity-entropy-scale causality box. Simulations conducted on synthetic series generated by stochastic, chaotic, and random processes, as well as real world data, are shown to produce unique signatures in this three dimensional representation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Darko Stosic
- Centro de Informática, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Av. Luiz Freire s/n, 50670-901 Recife, PE, Brazil
| | - Dusan Stosic
- Centro de Informática, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Av. Luiz Freire s/n, 50670-901 Recife, PE, Brazil
| | - Tatijana Stosic
- Departamento de Estatística e Informática, Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Rua Dom Manoel de Medeiros s/n, Dois Irm aos, 52171-900 Recife, PE, Brazil
| | - Borko Stosic
- Departamento de Estatística e Informática, Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, Rua Dom Manoel de Medeiros s/n, Dois Irm aos, 52171-900 Recife, PE, Brazil
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Permutation Entropy and Statistical Complexity Analysis of Brazilian Agricultural Commodities. ENTROPY 2019. [PMCID: PMC7514564 DOI: 10.3390/e21121220] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Agricultural commodities are considered perhaps the most important commodities, as any abrupt increase in food prices has serious consequences on food security and welfare, especially in developing countries. In this work, we analyze predictability of Brazilian agricultural commodity prices during the period after 2007/2008 food crisis. We use information theory based method Complexity/Entropy causality plane (CECP) that was shown to be successful in the analysis of market efficiency and predictability. By estimating information quantifiers permutation entropy and statistical complexity, we associate to each commodity the position in CECP and compare their efficiency (lack of predictability) using the deviation from a random process. Coffee market shows highest efficiency (lowest predictability) while pork market shows lowest efficiency (highest predictability). By analyzing temporal evolution of commodities in the complexity–entropy causality plane, we observe that during the analyzed period (after 2007/2008 crisis) the efficiency of cotton, rice, and cattle markets increases, the soybeans market shows the decrease in efficiency until 2012, followed by the lower predictability and the increase of efficiency, while most commodities (8 out of total 12) exhibit relatively stable efficiency, indicating increased market integration in post-crisis period.
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Pennekamp F, Iles AC, Garland J, Brennan G, Brose U, Gaedke U, Jacob U, Kratina P, Matthews B, Munch S, Novak M, Palamara GM, Rall BC, Rosenbaum B, Tabi A, Ward C, Williams R, Ye H, Petchey OL. The intrinsic predictability of ecological time series and its potential to guide forecasting. ECOL MONOGR 2019. [DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Frank Pennekamp
- University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 Zurich Switzerland
| | - Alison C. Iles
- Oregon State University 3029 Cordley Hall Corvallis Oregon 97331 USA
- EcoNetLab – Theory in Biodiversity Science German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Deutscher Platz 5e 04103 Leipzig Germany
- Institute of Biodiversity Friedrich Schiller University Jena Dornburger‐Street 159 07743 Jena Germany
| | - Joshua Garland
- Santa Fe Institute 1399 Hyde Park Road Santa Fe New Mexico 87501 USA
| | - Georgina Brennan
- Molecular Ecology and Fisheries Genetics Laboratory School of Biological Sciences Bangor University Bangor LL57 2UW United Kingdom
| | - Ulrich Brose
- EcoNetLab – Theory in Biodiversity Science German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Deutscher Platz 5e 04103 Leipzig Germany
- Institute of Biodiversity Friedrich Schiller University Jena Dornburger‐Street 159 07743 Jena Germany
| | - Ursula Gaedke
- Institute for Biology University of Potsdam Am Neuen Palais 10 D‐14469 Potsdam Germany
| | - Ute Jacob
- Department of Biology University of Hamburg D‐22767 Hamburg Germany
| | - Pavel Kratina
- Queen Mary University of London Mile End Road London E1 4NS United Kingdom
| | - Blake Matthews
- Department of Aquatic Ecology Center for Ecology, Evolution and Biogeochemistry Eawag Seestrasse 79 6047 Kastanienbaum Switzerland
| | - Stephan Munch
- Fisheries Ecology Division Southwest Fisheries Science Center National Marine Fisheries Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 110 Shaffer Road Santa Cruz California 95060 USA
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of California Santa Cruz California 95064 USA
| | - Mark Novak
- Oregon State University 3029 Cordley Hall Corvallis Oregon 97331 USA
| | - Gian Marco Palamara
- University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 Zurich Switzerland
- Department Systems Analysis, Integrated Assessment and Modelling Eawag Überlandstrasse 133 8600 Dübendorf Switzerland
| | - Björn C. Rall
- EcoNetLab – Theory in Biodiversity Science German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Deutscher Platz 5e 04103 Leipzig Germany
- Institute of Biodiversity Friedrich Schiller University Jena Dornburger‐Street 159 07743 Jena Germany
| | - Benjamin Rosenbaum
- EcoNetLab – Theory in Biodiversity Science German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle‐Jena‐Leipzig Deutscher Platz 5e 04103 Leipzig Germany
- Institute of Biodiversity Friedrich Schiller University Jena Dornburger‐Street 159 07743 Jena Germany
| | - Andrea Tabi
- University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 Zurich Switzerland
| | - Colette Ward
- University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 Zurich Switzerland
| | - Richard Williams
- Slice Technologies 800 Concar Drive San Mateo California 94402 USA
| | - Hao Ye
- Wildlife Ecology and Conservation University of Florida 110 Newins‐Ziegler Hall, P.O. Box 110430 Gainesville Florida 32611‐0430 USA
| | - Owen L. Petchey
- University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 8057 Zurich Switzerland
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Legnani W, Traversaro F, Redelico FO, Cymberknop LJ, Armentano RL, Rosso OA. Analysis of ischaemic crisis using the informational causal entropy-complexity plane. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2018; 28:075518. [PMID: 30070501 DOI: 10.1063/1.5026422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2018] [Accepted: 06/11/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
In the present work, an ischaemic process, mainly focused on the reperfusion stage, is studied using the informational causal entropy-complexity plane. Ischaemic wall behavior under this condition was analyzed through wall thickness and ventricular pressure variations, acquired during an obstructive flow maneuver performed on left coronary arteries of surgically instrumented animals. Basically, the induction of ischaemia depends on the temporary occlusion of left circumflex coronary artery (which supplies blood to the posterior left ventricular wall) that lasts for a few seconds. Normal perfusion of the wall was then reestablished while the anterior ventricular wall remained adequately perfused during the entire maneuver. The obtained results showed that system dynamics could be effectively described by entropy-complexity loops, in both abnormally and well perfused walls. These results could contribute to making an objective indicator of the recovery heart tissues after an ischaemic process, in a way to quantify the restoration of myocardial behavior after the supply of oxygen to the ventricular wall was suppressed for a brief period.
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Affiliation(s)
- Walter Legnani
- Signal and Image Processing Center (CEPSI), Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Medrano 951, C1179AAQ Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Francisco Traversaro
- Grupo de Investigación en Sistemas de Información, Universidad Nacional de Lanús & CONICET, 29 de Septiembre 3901, B1826GLC Lanús, Buenos Aires, Argentina and Instituto Tecnólgico de Buenos Aires (ITBA) & CONICET, Av. Eduardo Madero 399, C1181ACH Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Francisco O Redelico
- Departamento de Informática en Salud, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires & CONICET, C1199ABB Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Leandro J Cymberknop
- Grupo de Investigación y Desarrollo en Bioingeniería (GIBIO and Signal and Image Processing Center (CEPSI), Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Medrano 951, C1179AAQ Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Ricardo L Armentano
- Grupo de Investigación y Desarrollo en Bioingeniería (GIBIO and Signal and Image Processing Center (CEPSI), Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Medrano 951, C1179AAQ Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Osvaldo A Rosso
- Departamento de Informática en Salud, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires & CONICET, C1199ABB Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Traversaro F, Redelico FO, Risk MR, Frery AC, Rosso OA. Bandt-Pompe symbolization dynamics for time series with tied values: A data-driven approach. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2018; 28:075502. [PMID: 30070489 DOI: 10.1063/1.5022021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
In 2002, Bandt and Pompe [Phys. Rev. Lett. 88, 174102 (2002)] introduced a successfully symbolic encoding scheme based on the ordinal relation between the amplitude of neighboring values of a given data sequence, from which the permutation entropy can be evaluated. Equalities in the analyzed sequence, for example, repeated equal values, deserve special attention and treatment as was shown recently by Zunino and co-workers [Phys. Lett. A 381, 1883 (2017)]. A significant number of equal values can give rise to false conclusions regarding the underlying temporal structures in practical contexts. In the present contribution, we review the different existing methodologies for treating time series with tied values by classifying them according to their different strategies. In addition, a novel data-driven imputation is presented that proves to outperform the existing methodologies and avoid the false conclusions pointed by Zunino and co-workers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francisco Traversaro
- Grupo de Investigación en Sistemas de Información, Universidad Nacional de Lanús & CONICET Lanús, 29 de Septiembre 3901, Buenos Aires B1826GLC, Argentina
| | - Francisco O Redelico
- Departamento de Informática en Salud, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires & CONICET, Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires C1199ABB, Argentina
| | - Marcelo R Risk
- Instituto Tecnólgico de Buenos Aires (ITBA) & CONICET, Av. Eduardo Madero 399, Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires C1181ACH, Argentina
| | - Alejandro C Frery
- Laboratório de Computação Científica e Análise Numérica, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Av. Lourival Melo Mota, s/n, Maceió, Alagoas 57072-970, Brazil
| | - Osvaldo A Rosso
- Departamento de Informática en Salud, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires & CONICET, Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires C1199ABB, Argentina
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