Multi-trait random regression models increase genomic prediction accuracy for a temporal physiological trait derived from high-throughput phenotyping

Advances in integrated genomic selection for rapid genetic gain in crop improvement: a review

Genomic selection and its importance in crop breeding. Integration of GS with new breeding tools and developing SOP for GS to achieve maximum genetic gain with low cost and time. The success of conventional breeding approaches is not sufficient to meet the demand of a growing population for nutritious food and other plant-based products. Whereas, marker assisted selection (MAS) is not efficient in capturing all the favorable alleles responsible for economic traits in the process of crop improvement. Genomic selection (GS) developed in livestock breeding and then adapted to plant breeding promised to overcome the drawbacks of MAS and significantly improve complicated traits controlled by gene/QTL with small effects. Large-scale deployment of GS in important crops, as well as simulation studies in a variety of contexts, addressed G × E interaction effects and non-additive effects, as well as lowering breeding costs and time. The current study provides a complete overview of genomic selection, its process, and importance in modern plant breeding, along with insights into its application. GS has been implemented in the improvement of complex traits including tolerance to biotic and abiotic stresses. Furthermore, this review hypothesises that using GS in conjunction with other crop improvement platforms accelerates the breeding process to increase genetic gain. The objective of this review is to highlight the development of an appropriate GS model, the global open source network for GS, and trans-disciplinary approaches for effective accelerated crop improvement. The current study focused on the application of data science, including machine learning and deep learning tools, to enhance the accuracy of prediction models. Present study emphasizes on developing plant breeding strategies centered on GS combined with routine conventional breeding principles by developing GS-SOP to achieve enhanced genetic gain.

A Bayesian random regression method using mixture priors for genome-enabled analysis of time-series high-throughput phenotyping data

The recent advancement in image-based phenotyping platforms enables the acquisition of large-scale nondestructive crop phenotypes measured at frequent intervals. To further understand the underlying genetic basis over a physiological process and improve plant breeding programs, the question of how to efficiently utilize these time-series measurements in genome-enabled analysis including genomic prediction and genome-wide association studies (GWASs) should be considered. In this paper, a Bayesian random regression model with mixture priors is developed to introduce more meaningful biological assumptions to the analysis of longitudinal traits. The mixture prior for marker effects in Bayes Cπ is implemented in our developed model (RR-BayesC) for demonstration purpose. The estimation of single-nucleotide polymorphism-specific effects that are related to the dynamic performance of crops and the accuracy of genomic prediction by RR-BayesC were studied through both simulated and real rice (Oryza sativa L.) data. For genomic prediction, three predictive scenarios were studied. In the simulated study, RR-BayesC showed a significantly higher prediction accuracy than that obtained by single-trait analysis, especially for days when heritability were low. In real data analysis, RR-BayesC showed relatively high prediction accuracy when forecast is required for phenotypes at later period (e.g., from 0.94 to 0.98 for lines with observations at an earlier period and from 0.65 to 0.67 for lines without any observations). For GWASs, inference of single markers and inference of genomic windows were conducted. In the simulated study, RR-BayesC showed its promising ability to distinguish quantitative trait loci (QTL) that are invariant to temporal covariates and QTL that interact with time. An association study of real data was also presented to demonstrate the application of RR-BayesC in real data analysis. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian random regression model that is able to incorporate mixture priors to marker effects and show improved performance of genomic prediction and GWASs for longitudinal data analysis based on both simulated and real data. The software tool JWAS offers routines to perform our proposed random regression analysis.

Comparison of single-trait and multi-trait genomic predictions on agronomic and disease resistance traits in spring wheat

This study performed comprehensive analyses on the predictive abilities of single-trait and two multi-trait models in three populations. Our results demonstrated the superiority of multi-traits over single-trait models across seven agronomic and four to seven disease resistance traits of different genetic architecture. The predictive ability of multi-trait and single-trait prediction models has not been investigated on diverse traits evaluated under organic and conventional management systems. Here, we compared the predictive abilities of 25% of a testing set that has not been evaluated for a single trait (ST), not evaluated for multi-traits (MT1), and evaluated for some traits but not others (MT2) in three spring wheat populations genotyped either with the wheat 90K single nucleotide polymorphisms array or DArTseq. Analyses were performed on seven agronomic traits evaluated under conventional and organic management systems, four to seven disease resistance traits, and all agronomic and disease resistance traits simultaneously. The average prediction accuracies of the ST, MT1, and MT2 models varied from 0.03 to 0.78 (mean 0.41), from 0.05 to 0.82 (mean 0.47), and from 0.05 to 0.92 (mean 0.67), respectively. The predictive ability of the MT2 model was significantly greater than the ST model in all traits and populations except common bunt with the MT1 model being intermediate between them. The MT2 model increased prediction accuracies over the ST and MT1 models in all traits by 9.0-82.4% (mean 37.3%) and 2.9-82.5% (mean 25.7%), respectively, except common bunt that showed up to 7.7% smaller accuracies in two populations. A joint analysis of all agronomic and disease resistance traits further improved accuracies within the MT1 and MT2 models on average by 21.4% and 17.4%, respectively, as compared to either the agronomic or disease resistance traits, demonstrating the high potential of the multi-traits models in improving prediction accuracies.

Genomic Prediction: Progress and Perspectives for Rice Improvement

Genomic prediction can be a powerful tool to achieve greater rates of genetic gain for quantitative traits if thoroughly integrated into a breeding strategy. In rice as in other crops, the interest in genomic prediction is very strong with a number of studies addressing multiple aspects of its use, ranging from the more conceptual to the more practical. In this chapter, we review the literature on rice (Oryza sativa) and summarize important considerations for the integration of genomic prediction in breeding programs. The irrigated breeding program at the International Rice Research Institute is used as a concrete example on which we provide data and R scripts to reproduce the analysis but also to highlight practical challenges regarding the use of predictions. The adage "To someone with a hammer, everything looks like a nail" describes a common psychological pitfall that sometimes plagues the integration and application of new technologies to a discipline. We have designed this chapter to help rice breeders avoid that pitfall and appreciate the benefits and limitations of applying genomic prediction, as it is not always the best approach nor the first step to increasing the rate of genetic gain in every context.

Nutritional improvement of cereal crops to combat hidden hunger during COVID-19 pandemic: Progress and prospects

COVID-19 has posed a severe challenge on food security by limiting access to food for the marginally placed population. While access to food is a challenge, access to nutritional food is a greater challenge to the population. The present-day foods are not sufficient to meet the nutritional requirements of the human body. In a pandemic condition, providing nutritious food to the population is imperative to ensure the health and well-being of humankind. Exploiting the existing biodiversity of crop species and deploying classical and modern tools to improve the nutritional potential of these species holds the key to addressing the above challenge. Breeding has been a classical tool of crop improvement that relied predominantly on genetic diversity. Collecting and conserving diverse germplasms and characterizing their diversity using molecular markers is essential to preserve diversity and use them in genetic improvement programs. These markers are also valuable for association mapping analyses to identify the genetic determinants of traits-of-interest in crop species. Association mapping identifies the quantitative trait loci (QTL) underlying the trait-of-interest by exploring marker-trait associations, and these QTLs can further be exploited for the genetic improvement of cultivated species through genomics-assisted breeding. Conventional breeding and genomics approaches are also being applied to develop biofortified cereal crops to reduce nutritional deficiencies in consumers. In this context, chapter explains the prerequisites for association mapping, population structure, genetic diversity, different approaches of performing association mapping to dissect nutritional traits, use the information for genomics-assisted breeding for nutrient-rich cereal crops, and application of genomics strategies in crop biofortification. These approaches will ensure food and nutrition security for all amidst the current COVID-19 crisis.

Statistical Methods for the Quantitative Genetic Analysis of High-Throughput Phenotyping Data

The advent of plant phenomics, coupled with the wealth of genotypic data generated by next-generation sequencing technologies, provides exciting new resources for investigations into and improvement of complex traits. However, these new technologies also bring new challenges in quantitative genetics, namely, a need for the development of robust frameworks that can accommodate these high-dimensional data. In this chapter, we describe methods for the statistical analysis of high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) data with the goal of enhancing the prediction accuracy of genomic selection (GS). Following the Introduction in Sec. 1, Sec. 2 discusses field-based HTP, including the use of unoccupied aerial vehicles and light detection and ranging, as well as how we can achieve increased genetic gain by utilizing image data derived from HTP. Section 3 considers extending commonly used GS models to integrate HTP data as covariates associated with the principal trait response, such as yield. Particular focus is placed on single-trait, multi-trait, and genotype by environment interaction models. One unique aspect of HTP data is that phenomics platforms often produce large-scale data with high spatial and temporal resolution for capturing dynamic growth, development, and stress responses. Section 4 discusses the utility of a random regression model for performing longitudinal modeling. The chapter concludes with a discussion of some standing issues.

High-Throughput Phenotyping and Random Regression Models Reveal Temporal Genetic Control of Soybean Biomass Production

Understanding temporal accumulation of soybean above-ground biomass (AGB) has the potential to contribute to yield gains and the development of stress-resilient cultivars. Our main objectives were to develop a high-throughput phenotyping method to predict soybean AGB over time and to reveal its temporal quantitative genomic properties. A subset of the SoyNAM population (n = 383) was grown in multi-environment trials and destructive AGB measurements were collected along with multispectral and RGB imaging from 27 to 83 days after planting (DAP). We used machine-learning methods for phenotypic prediction of AGB, genomic prediction of breeding values, and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) based on random regression models (RRM). RRM enable the study of changes in genetic variability over time and further allow selection of individuals when aiming to alter the general response shapes over time. AGB phenotypic predictions were high (R 2 = 0.92-0.94). Narrow-sense heritabilities estimated over time ranged from low to moderate (from 0.02 at 44 DAP to 0.28 at 33 DAP). AGB from adjacent DAP had highest genetic correlations compared to those DAP further apart. We observed high accuracies and low biases of prediction indicating that genomic breeding values for AGB can be predicted over specific time intervals. Genomic regions associated with AGB varied with time, and no genetic markers were significant in all time points evaluated. Thus, RRM seem a powerful tool for modeling the temporal genetic architecture of soybean AGB and can provide useful information for crop improvement. This study provides a basis for future studies to combine phenotyping and genomic analyses to understand the genetic architecture of complex longitudinal traits in plants.

Genetic dissection of Striga hermonthica (Del.) Benth. resistance via genome-wide association and genomic prediction in tropical maize germplasm

KEY MESSAGE

Genome-wide association revealed that resistance to Striga hermonthica is influenced by multiple genomic regions with moderate effects. It is possible to increase genetic gains from selection for Striga resistance using genomic prediction. Striga hermonthica (Del.) Benth., commonly known as the purple witchweed or giant witchweed, is a serious problem for maize-dependent smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa. Breeding for Striga resistance in maize is complicated due to limited genetic variation, complexity of resistance and challenges with phenotyping. This study was conducted to (i) evaluate a set of diverse tropical maize lines for their responses to Striga under artificial infestation in three environments in Kenya; (ii) detect quantitative trait loci associated with Striga resistance through genome-wide association study (GWAS); and (iii) evaluate the effectiveness of genomic prediction (GP) of Striga-related traits. An association mapping panel of 380 inbred lines was evaluated in three environments under artificial Striga infestation in replicated trials and genotyped with 278,810 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers. Genotypic and genotype x environment variations were significant for measured traits associated with Striga resistance. Heritability estimates were moderate (0.42) to high (0.92) for measured traits. GWAS revealed 57 SNPs significantly associated with Striga resistance indicator traits and grain yield (GY) under artificial Striga infestation with low to moderate effect. A set of 32 candidate genes physically near the significant SNPs with roles in plant defense against biotic stresses were identified. GP with different cross-validations revealed that prediction of performance of lines in new environments is better than prediction of performance of new lines for all traits. Predictions across environments revealed high accuracy for all the traits, while inclusion of GWAS-detected SNPs led to slight increase in the accuracy. The item-based collaborative filtering approach that incorporates related traits evaluated in different environments to predict GY and Striga-related traits outperformed GP for Striga resistance indicator traits. The results demonstrated the polygenic nature of resistance to S. hermonthica, and that implementation of GP in Striga resistance breeding could potentially aid in increasing genetic gain for this important trait.

Adaptability and stability analyses of plants using random regression models

The evaluation of cultivars using multi-environment trials (MET) is an important step in plant breeding programs. One of the objectives of these evaluations is to understand the genotype by environment interaction (GEI). A method of determining the effect of GEI on the performance of cultivars is based on studies of adaptability and stability. Initial studies were based on linear regression; however, these methodologies have limitations, mainly in trials with genetic or statistical unbalanced, heterogeneity of residual variances, and genetic covariance. An alternative would be the use of random regression models (RRM), in which the behavior of the genotypes is characterized as a reaction norm using longitudinal data or repeated measurements and information regarding a covariance function. The objective of this work was the application of RRM in the study of the behavior of common bean cultivars using a MET, based on Legendre polynomials and genotype-ideotype distances. We used a set of 13 trials, which were classified as unfavorable or favorable environments. The results revealed that RRM enables the prediction of the genotypic values of cultivars in environments where they were not evaluated with high accuracy values, thereby circumventing the unbalanced of the experiments. From these values, it was possible to measure the genotypic adaptability according to ideotypes, according to their reaction norms. In addition, the stability of the cultivars can be interpreted as variation in the behavior of the ideotype. The use of ideotypes based on real data allowed a better comparison of the performance of cultivars across environments. The use of RRM in plant breeding is a good alternative to understand the behavior of cultivars in a MET, especially when we want to quantify the adaptability and stability of genotypes.

Genomic Selection for Forest Tree Improvement: Methods, Achievements and Perspectives

The breeding of forest trees is only a few decades old, and is a much more complicated, longer, and expensive endeavor than the breeding of agricultural crops. One breeding cycle for forest trees can take 20–30 years. Recent advances in genomics and molecular biology have revolutionized traditional plant breeding based on visual phenotype assessment: the development of different types of molecular markers has made genotype selection possible. Marker-assisted breeding can significantly accelerate the breeding process, but this method has not been shown to be effective for selection of complex traits on forest trees. This new method of genomic selection is based on the analysis of all effects of quantitative trait loci (QTLs) using a large number of molecular markers distributed throughout the genome, which makes it possible to assess the genomic estimated breeding value (GEBV) of an individual. This approach is expected to be much more efficient for forest tree improvement than traditional breeding. Here, we review the current state of the art in the application of genomic selection in forest tree breeding and discuss different methods of genotyping and phenotyping. We also compare the accuracies of genomic prediction models and highlight the importance of a prior cost-benefit analysis before implementing genomic selection. Perspectives for the further development of this approach in forest breeding are also discussed: expanding the range of species and the list of valuable traits, the application of high-throughput phenotyping methods, and the possibility of using epigenetic variance to improve of forest trees.

Integrating High-Throughput Phenotyping and Statistical Genomic Methods to Genetically Improve Longitudinal Traits in Crops

The rapid development of remote sensing in agronomic research allows the dynamic nature of longitudinal traits to be adequately described, which may enhance the genetic improvement of crop efficiency. For traits such as light interception, biomass accumulation, and responses to stressors, the data generated by the various high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) methods requires adequate statistical techniques to evaluate phenotypic records throughout time. As a consequence, information about plant functioning and activation of genes, as well as the interaction of gene networks at different stages of plant development and in response to environmental stimulus can be exploited. In this review, we outline the current analytical approaches in quantitative genetics that are applied to longitudinal traits in crops throughout development, describe the advantages and pitfalls of each approach, and indicate future research directions and opportunities.