Posterior circulation acute stroke prognosis early CT scores in predicting functional outcomes: A meta-analysis

Introducing the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS): A Novel Approach to Predict and Mitigate Ineffective Recanalization after Endovascular Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective: This study aims to develop and validate the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS), a novel tool designed to predict the severity risk of FR and aid in pre- and post-EVT risk assessments. Methods: The FRPS was developed using a rigorous process involving the selection of predictor variables based on clinical relevance and potential impact. Initial equations were derived from previous meta-analyses and refined using various statistical techniques. We employed machine learning algorithms, specifically random forest regression, to capture nonlinear relationships and enhance model performance. Cross-validation with five folds was used to assess generalizability and model fit. Results: The final FRPS model included variables such as age, sex, atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), hyperlipidemia, cognitive impairment, pre-stroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS), systolic blood pressure (SBP), onset-to-puncture time, sICH, and NIHSS score. The random forest model achieved a mean R-squared value of approximately 0.992. Severity ranges for FRPS scores were defined as mild (FRPS < 66), moderate (FRPS 66-80), and severe (FRPS > 80). Conclusions: The FRPS provides valuable insights for treatment planning and patient management by predicting the severity risk of FR. This tool may improve the identification of candidates most likely to benefit from EVT and enhance prognostic accuracy post-EVT. Further clinical validation in diverse settings is warranted to assess its effectiveness and reliability.

Post-ASPECTS and Post-PC-ASPECTS Predict the Outcome of Anterior and Posterior Ischemic Stroke Following Thrombectomy

PURPOSE

In this study, we aimed to determine whether post-Alberta Stroke Project Early CT Changes Score (post-ASPECTS) in anterior stroke and post-(posterior circulation) PC-ASPECTS in posterior stroke on CT can predict post-endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) functional outcomes among patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after EVT.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 247 consecutive patients aged 18 and over receiving EVT for LVO-related AIS were recruited into a prospective database. The data was retrospectively analyzed between March 2019 and February 2022 from two comprehensive tertiary care stroke centers: Foshan Sanshui District People's Hospital and First People's Hospital of Foshan in China. Patient parameters included EVT within 24 hr of symptom onset, premorbid modified Rankin scale (mRS) ≤2, presence of distal and terminal cerebral blood vessel occlusion, and subsequent 24-72-hr post-stroke onset CT scan. Univariate comparisons were performed using the Fisher's exact test or χ2 test for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney U-test for continuous variables. Logistic regression analysis was performed to further analyze for adjusting for confounding factors. A p-value of ≤0.05 was statistically significant.

RESULTS

Overall, 236 individuals with 196 anterior circulation ischemic strokes and 40 posterior strokes of basilar artery occlusion were examined. Post-ASPECTS in anterior stroke and post-pc-ASPECTS as strong positive markers of favorable outcome at 90 days post-EVT; and lower rates of inpatient mortality/hospice discharge, 90-day mortality, and 90-day poor outcome were observed. Moreover, patients in the post-ASPECTS ≥ 7 cohort experienced shorter door-to-recanalization time (DRT), puncture-to-recanalization time (PRT), and last known normal-to-puncture time (LKNPT).

CONCLUSION

Post-ASPECTS ≥7 in anterior circulation AIS and post-pc-ASPECTS ≥7 in posterior circulation can serve as strong prognostic markers of functional outcome after EVT.

Prognostic Neuroimaging Biomarkers in Acute Vascular Brain Injury and Traumatic Brain Injury

Prognostic imaging biomarkers after acute brain injury inform treatment decisions, track the progression of intracranial injury, and can be used in shared decision-making processes with families. Herein, key established biomarkers and prognostic scoring systems are surveyed in the literature, and their applications in clinical practice and clinical trials are discussed. Biomarkers in acute ischemic stroke include computed tomography (CT) hypodensity scoring, diffusion-weighted lesion volume, and core infarct size on perfusion imaging. Intracerebral hemorrhage biomarkers include hemorrhage volume, expansion, and location. Aneurysmal subarachnoid biomarkers include hemorrhage grading, presence of diffusion-restricting lesions, and acute hydrocephalus. Traumatic brain injury CT scoring systems, contusion expansion, and diffuse axonal injury grading are reviewed. Emerging biomarkers including white matter disease scoring, diffusion tensor imaging, and the automated calculation of scoring systems and volumetrics are discussed.

Intraarterial thrombolytics as an adjunct to mechanical thrombectomy in patients with basilar artery occlusion

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There are limited data regarding safety and effectiveness of concurrent intraarterial thrombolytics as adjunct to mechanical thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke patients with basilar artery occlusion.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a prospective multicenter registry to assess the independent effect of intraarterial thrombolysis on (1) favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale 0-3) at 90 days; (2) symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) within 72 hours; and (3) death within 90 days post-enrollment after adjustment for potential confounders.

RESULTS

There was no difference in the adjusted odds of achieving favorable outcome at 90 days (odds ratio [OR] = 1.1, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.73-1.68) in patients who received intraarterial thrombolysis (n = 126) compared with those who did not receive intraarterial thrombolysis (n = 1546) despite significantly higher use in patients with postprocedure modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) grade <3. There were no differences in adjusted odds of sICH within 72 hours (OR = 0.8, 95% CI: 0.31-2.08) or death within 90 days (OR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.60-1.37). In subgroup analyses, intraarterial thrombolysis was associated with (nonsignificantly) higher odds of achieving a favorable outcome at 90 days among patients aged between 65 and 80 years, those with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score <10, and those with postprocedure mTICI grade 2b.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis supported the safety of intraarterial thrombolysis as adjunct to mechanical thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke patients with basilar artery occlusion. Identification of patient subgroups in whom intraarterial thrombolytics appeared to be more beneficial may assist in future clinical trial designs.

Nomogram-Based Prediction of the Futile Recanalization Risk Among Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Before and After Endovascular Therapy: A Retrospective Study

Background and Purpose

Futile recanalization (FRC) is common among large artery occlusion (LAO) patients after endovascular therapy (EVT). We developed nomogram models to identify LAO patients at a high risk of FRC pre- and post-EVT to help neurologists select the optimal candidates for EVT.

Methods

From April 2020 to July 2022, EVT and mTICI score ≥2b LAO patients were recruited. Nomogram models was developed by two-step approach for predicting the outcomes of LAO patients. First, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was to optimize variable selection. Then, a multivariable analysis was to construct an estimation model with significant indicators from the LASSO. The accuracy of the model was verified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses (DCA), along with validation cohort (VC).

Results

Using LASSO, age, sex, hypertension history, baseline NIHSS, ASPECTS and baseline SBP upon admission were identified from the pre-EVT variables. Model 1 (pre-EVT) showed good predictive performance, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.815 in the training cohort (TrC) and 0.904 in VC. Under the DCA, the generated nomogram was clinically applicable where risk cut-off was between 15%-85% in the TrC and 5%-100% in the VC. Moreover, age, ASPECTS upon admission, onset duration, puncture-to-recanalization (PTR) duration, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were screened by LASSO. Model 2 (post-EVT) also demonstrated good predictive performance with AUCs of 0.888 and 0.814 for TrC and VC, respectively. Under the DCA, the generated nomogram was clinically applicable if the risk cut-off was between 13-100% in the TrC and 22-85% of VC.

Conclusion

In this study, two nomogram models were generated that showed good discriminative performance, improved calibration, and clinical benefits. These nomograms can potentially accurately predict the risk of FRC in LAO patients pre- and post-EVT and help to select appropriate candidates for EVT.

Etiology of Large Vessel Occlusion Posterior Circulation Stroke: Results of the MR CLEAN Registry

BACKGROUND

In patients with large vessel occlusion stroke of the anterior circulation, underlying cause is a determinant of outcome. Whether this is the case for posterior circulation large vessel occlusion stroke has yet to be determined. We aimed to report on cause in patients with posterior circulation stroke treated with endovascular thrombectomy and to analyze the association with functional outcome.

METHODS

We used data of patients with posterior circulation stroke included in the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) registry, a prospective multicenter observational study, between 2014 and 2018. Stroke cause was categorized into large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), cardioembolism, arterial dissection, embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), other determined cause, or undetermined cause. For primary analysis on the association between cause and outcome, we used multivariable ordinal logistic regression analysis to estimate the adjusted common odds ratio for a shift towards a better functional outcome on the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days with LAA as a reference group. Secondary outcomes included favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 0-3), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score at 24 to 48 hours, reperfusion on digital subtraction angiography, and stroke progression.

RESULTS

Of 264 patients with posterior circulation stroke, 84 (32%) had LAA, 48 (18%) cardioembolism, 31 (12%) dissection, and 14 (5%) ESUS. Patients with a dissection were younger (48 [interquartile range, 43-60] years) and had a lower National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale at baseline (12 [interquartile range, 6-31]) than patients with other cause. Functional outcome was better for patients with cardioembolism and ESUS compared to LAA (modified Rankin Scale adjusted common odds ratio, 2.4 [95% CI, 1.1-5.2], respectively adjusted common odds ratio, 3.1 [95% CI, 1.0-9.3]). Patients with a dissection had a lower chance of successful reperfusion compared with LAA (adjusted odds ratio, 0.20 [95% CI, 0.06-0.70]).

CONCLUSIONS

Unlike the anterior circulation, most frequent cause in our posterior large vessel occlusion stroke cohort is LAA followed by cardioembolism, dissection, and ESUS. Patients with cardioembolism and ESUS have a better prognosis for functional outcome after endovascular thrombectomy than patients with LAA.

Posterior Circulation ASPECTS on CT Angiography Predicts Futile Recanalization of Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion

BACKGROUND

Acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) is the most potentially disastrous outcome and has a high risk of recurrence stroke in posterior circulation infarction (PCI). However, the rate of futile recanalization remains high despite successful recanalization. The objective of this study was to investigate 90 days functional outcomes among patients with BAO who underwent endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) and to identify the risk factors associated with futile recanalization.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 72 patients with acute BAO who received EVT from January 2018 to June 2021. CT angiography source images posterior circulation Acute Stroke Prognosis Early CT Score (CTA-SI pc-ASPECTS) evaluated the extensive hypoattenuation in patients with BAO. Futile recanalization defined an modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 3-6 at 90 days despite a successful recanalization. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the predictors of futile recanalization.

RESULTS

Our sample included a total of 55 eligible patients. Patients with poor outcomes showed that the pc-ASPECTS score was lower in patients with poor outcomes than that in patients with good outcomes (P = 0.017). Longer time from symptoms onset-to-the puncture (P = 0.014) and elevation of leucocytes (P = 0.012) were associated with poor outcomes. The multivariable logistic analysis showed that pc-ASPECTS and onset-to-puncture time (OPT) were independent predictors of futile recanalization.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggested that pc-ASPECTS and OPT are independent predictors of futile recanalization after EVT in patients with BAO. The lower pc-ASPECTS score and longer puncture time will have a poor clinical outcome.