Machine learning-based predictive modeling of depression in hypertensive populations

Association of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index With Stroke and Mortality Rates: Evidence From the NHANES Database

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the association of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) with stroke and mortality rates using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted using the aggregated data from 5 cycles (2009 to 2018) of NHANES. SII was the independent variable, and stroke was the dependent variable. Weighted logistic regression models were employed to analyze their relationship. The nonlinear association between SII and stroke was examined using the restricted cubic spline (RCS) method in subgroups stratified by smoking status, hypertension, and dietary inflammatory index. Weighted Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis were used to investigate the association of SII with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 22,107 samples were included in this study. Weighted logistic regression analysis showed a significant correlation between SII and stroke (OR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.22-1.92, P <0.001). The stratified analysis revealed that interactions of smoking status and hypertension with SII, respectively, had significant impacts on stroke risk. A remarkable positive link between SII and stroke risk (OR>1, P <0.05) was observed in the crude model (unadjusted for confounding factors), model I (adjusted for demographic characteristics), and model II (adjusted for all confounding factors). RCS analysis displayed a remarkable nonlinear positive correlation between SII and stroke risk only in the "now smoking" population ( P -nonlinear<0.05) after adjusting for all confounding factors. In the overall sample population, Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that individuals in the highest quartile of SII had the highest risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality (log-rank test P <0.05). Samples with proinflammatory dietary habits had considerably higher risks of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality compared with those with anti-inflammatory dietary habits (log-rank test P <0.05). Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models showed significantly increased all-cause mortality and CVD mortality rates in the highest quartile of SII compared with the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

SII levels were considerably positively linked to stroke risk, particularly in the "now smoking" population. Moreover, elevated SII levels increased the risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality in the overall population. On the basis of these findings, we recommend incorporating smoking cessation measures into stroke risk reduction strategies.

Prediction of depressive symptoms severity based on sleep quality, anxiety, and gray matter volume: a generalizable machine learning approach across three datasets

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are rising in the general population, but their associated factors are unclear. Although the link between sleep disturbances and depressive symptoms severity (DSS) is reported, the predictive role of sleep on DSS and the impact of anxiety and the brain on their relationship remained obscure.

METHODS

Using three population-based datasets (N = 1813), we trained the machine learning models in the primary dataset (N = 1101) to assess the predictive role of sleep quality, anxiety problems, and brain structural (and functional) measurements on DSS, then we tested our models' performance in two independent datasets (N = 378, N = 334) to test the generalizability of our findings. Furthermore, we applied our model to a smaller longitudinal subsample (N = 66). In addition, we performed a mediation analysis to identify the role of anxiety and brain measurements on the sleep quality and DSS association.

FINDINGS

Sleep quality could predict individual DSS (r = 0.43, R2 = 0.18, rMSE = 2.73), and adding anxiety, contrary to brain measurements, strengthened its prediction performance (r = 0.67, R2 = 0.45, rMSE = 2.25). Importantly, out-of-cohort validations in other cross-sectional datasets and a longitudinal subsample provided robust similar results. Furthermore, anxiety scores, contrary to brain measurements, mediated the association between sleep quality and DSS.

INTERPRETATION

Poor sleep quality could predict DSS at the individual subject level across three datasets. Anxiety scores not only increased the predictive model's performance but also mediated the link between sleep quality and DSS.

FUNDING

The study is supported by Helmholtz Imaging Platform grant (NimRLS, ZTI-PF-4-010), the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, GE 2835/2-1, GE 2835/4-1), the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation)-Project-ID 431549029-SFB 1451, the programme "Profilbildung 2020" (grant no. PROFILNRW-2020-107-A), an initiative of the Ministry of Culture and Science of the State of Northrhine Westphalia.

Analysis of health recommendations using longitudinal quality of life data: QoL@TbA - A transformer-based approach

Objective: Health recommendation systems suggest behavioral modifications to improve quality of life. However, current approaches do not facilitate the generation or examination of such recommendations considering the multifeature longitudinal evolution of behaviors. This paper proposes the use of a deep learning transformer-based model that allows the analysis of recommendations for behavior changes. Methods: We adapted a prediction approach, namely Behavior Sequence Transformer (BST), which analyzes temporal human routines and patterns, generating inductive outcomes. The evaluation relied on a case study that employed the behavioral history and profile of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) participants (n = 2682), predicting their psychological mood (normal, pre-depressed, depressed) according to input recommendations for behavioral changes. Root mean squared error (RMSE) and learning curves were used to track the recommendation accuracy evolution and possible overfitting problems. Results: Experiments demonstrated lower RMSE values for the multifeature model (0.28/0.03) when compared to its single-feature versions (marital status, 0.59/0.001), (high pressure, 0.357/0.04), (diabetes, 0.36/0.01), (sleep quality, 0.57/0.02), (level of physical activity, 0.57/0.01). Conclusions: The results demonstrate the architecture's capability to analyze multifeatured longitudinal data, supporting the generation of suggestions for concurrent modifications across multiple input features. Moreover, these suggestions align with findings in specialized literature.

Finding the best predictive model for hypertensive depression in older adults based on machine learning and metabolomics research

Objective

Depression is a common comorbidity in hypertensive older adults, yet depression is more difficult to diagnose correctly. Our goal is to find predictive models of depression in hypertensive patients using a combination of various machine learning (ML) methods and metabolomics.

Methods

Methods We recruited 379 elderly people aged ≥65 years from the Chinese community. Plasma samples were collected and assayed by gas chromatography/liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC/LC-MS). Orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA), volcano diagrams and thermograms were used to distinguish metabolites. The attribute discriminators CfsSubsetEval combined with search method BestFirst in WEKA software was used to find the best predicted metabolite combinations, and then 24 classification methods with 10-fold cross-validation were used for prediction.

Results

34 individuals were considered hypertensive combined with depression according to our criteria, and 34 subjects with hypertension only were matched according to age and sex. 19 metabolites by GC-MS and 65 metabolites by LC-MS contributed significantly to the differentiation between the depressed and non-depressed cohorts, with a VIP value of more than 1 and a P value of less than 0.05. There were multiple metabolic pathway alterations. The metabolite combinations screened with WEKA for optimal diagnostic value included 12 metabolites. The machine learning methods with AUC values greater than 0.9 were bayesNet and random forests, and their other evaluation measures are also better.

Conclusion

Altered metabolites and metabolic pathways are present in older adults with hypertension combined with depression. Methods using metabolomics and machine learning performed quite well in predicting depression in hypertensive older adults, contributing to further clinical research.

Machine Learning-Based Etiologic Subtyping of Ischemic Stroke Using Circulating Exosomal microRNAs

Ischemic stroke is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Proper etiological subtyping of ischemic stroke is crucial for tailoring treatment strategies. This study explored the utility of circulating microRNAs encapsulated in extracellular vesicles (EV-miRNAs) to distinguish the following ischemic stroke subtypes: large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), cardioembolic stroke (CES), and small artery occlusion (SAO). Using next-generation sequencing (NGS) and machine-learning techniques, we identified differentially expressed miRNAs (DEMs) associated with each subtype. Through patient selection and diagnostic evaluation, a cohort of 70 patients with acute ischemic stroke was classified: 24 in the LAA group, 24 in the SAO group, and 22 in the CES group. Our findings revealed distinct EV-miRNA profiles among the groups, suggesting their potential as diagnostic markers. Machine-learning models, particularly logistic regression models, exhibited a high diagnostic accuracy of 92% for subtype discrimination. The collective influence of multiple miRNAs was more crucial than that of individual miRNAs. Additionally, bioinformatics analyses have elucidated the functional implications of DEMs in stroke pathophysiology, offering insights into the underlying mechanisms. Despite limitations like sample size constraints and retrospective design, our study underscores the promise of EV-miRNAs coupled with machine learning for ischemic stroke subtype classification. Further investigations are warranted to validate the clinical utility of the identified EV-miRNA biomarkers in stroke patients.

Application of machine learning algorithms to identify people with low bone density

Background

Osteoporosis is becoming more common worldwide, imposing a substantial burden on individuals and society. The onset of osteoporosis is subtle, early detection is challenging, and population-wide screening is infeasible. Thus, there is a need to develop a method to identify those at high risk for osteoporosis.

Objective

This study aimed to develop a machine learning algorithm to effectively identify people with low bone density, using readily available demographic and blood biochemical data.

Methods

Using NHANES 2017-2020 data, participants over 50 years old with complete femoral neck BMD data were selected. This cohort was randomly divided into training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Lasso regression selected variables for inclusion in six machine learning models built on the training data: logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting machine (GBM), naive Bayes (NB), artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF). NHANES data from the 2013-2014 cycle was used as an external validation set input into the models to verify their generalizability. Model discrimination was assessed via AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision and F1 score. Calibration curves evaluated goodness-of-fit. Decision curves determined clinical utility. The SHAP framework analyzed variable importance.

Results

A total of 3,545 participants were included in the internal validation set of this study, of whom 1870 had normal bone density and 1,675 had low bone density Lasso regression selected 19 variables. In the test set, AUC was 0.785 (LR), 0.780 (SVM), 0.775 (GBM), 0.729 (NB), 0.771 (ANN), and 0.768 (RF). The LR model has the best discrimination and a better calibration curve fit, the best clinical net benefit for the decision curve, and it also reflects good predictive power in the external validation dataset The top variables in the LR model were: age, BMI, gender, creatine phosphokinase, total cholesterol and alkaline phosphatase.

Conclusion

The machine learning model demonstrated effective classification of low BMD using blood biomarkers. This could aid clinical decision making for osteoporosis prevention and management.

Construction and validation of machine learning algorithm for predicting depression among home-quarantined individuals during the large-scale COVID-19 outbreak: based on Adaboost model

OBJECTIVES

COVID-19 epidemics often lead to elevated levels of depression. To accurately identify and predict depression levels in home-quarantined individuals during a COVID-19 epidemic, this study constructed a depression prediction model based on multiple machine learning algorithms and validated its effectiveness.

METHODS

A cross-sectional method was used to examine the depression status of individuals quarantined at home during the epidemic via the network. Characteristics included variables on sociodemographics, COVID-19 and its prevention and control measures, impact on life, work, health and economy after the city was sealed off, and PHQ-9 scale scores. The home-quarantined subjects were randomly divided into training set and validation set according to the ratio of 7:3, and the performance of different machine learning models were compared by 10-fold cross-validation, and the model algorithm with the best performance was selected from 15 models to construct and validate the depression prediction model for home-quarantined subjects. The validity of different models was compared based on accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under the ROC curve (AUC), and the best model suitable for the data framework of this study was identified.

RESULTS

The prevalence of depression among home-quarantined individuals during the epidemic was 31.66% (202/638), and the constructed Adaboost depression prediction model had an ACC of 0.7917, an accuracy of 0.7180, and an AUC of 0.7803, which was better than the other 15 models on the combination of various performance measures. In the validation sets, the AUC was greater than 0.83.

CONCLUSIONS

The Adaboost machine learning algorithm developed in this study can be used to construct a depression prediction model for home-quarantined individuals that has better machine learning performance, as well as high effectiveness, robustness, and generalizability.

A novel diabetic foot ulcer diagnostic model: identification and analysis of genes related to glutamine metabolism and immune infiltration

BACKGROUND

Diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is one of the most common and severe complications of diabetes, with vascular changes, neuropathy, and infections being the primary pathological mechanisms. Glutamine (Gln) metabolism has been found to play a crucial role in diabetes complications. This study aims to identify and validate potential Gln metabolism biomarkers associated with DFU through bioinformatics and machine learning analysis.

METHODS

We downloaded two microarray datasets related to DFU patients from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, namely GSE134431, GSE68183, and GSE80178. From the GSE134431 dataset, we obtained differentially expressed Gln-metabolism related genes (deGlnMRGs) between DFU and normal controls. We analyzed the correlation between deGlnMRGs and immune cell infiltration status. We also explored the relationship between GlnMRGs molecular clusters and immune cell infiltration status. Notably, WGCNA to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) within specific clusters. Additionally, we conducted GSVA to annotate enriched genes. Subsequently, we constructed and screened the best machine learning model. Finally, we validated the predictions' accuracy using a nomogram, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and the GSE134431, GSE68183, and GSE80178 dataset.

RESULTS

In both the DFU and normal control groups, we confirmed the presence of deGlnMRGs and an activated immune response. From the GSE134431 dataset, we obtained 20 deGlnMRGs, including CTPS1, NAGS, SLC7A11, GGT1, GCLM, RIMKLA, ARG2, ASL, ASNS, ASNSD1, PPAT, GLS2, GLUD1, MECP2, ASS1, PRODH, CTPS2, ALDH5A1, DGLUCY, and SLC25A12. Furthermore, two clusters were identified in DFU. Immune infiltration analysis indicated the presence of immune heterogeneity in these two clusters. Additionally, we established a Support Vector Machine (SVM) model based on 5 genes (R3HCC1, ZNF562, MFN1, DRAM1, and PTGDS), which exhibited excellent performance on the external validation datasetGSE134431, GSE68183, and GSE80178 (AUC = 0.929).

CONCLUSION

This study has identified five Gln metabolism genes associated with DFU, revealing potential novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets for DFU. Additionally, the infiltration of immune-inflammatory cells plays a crucial role in the progression of DFU.

Identifying depression in the United States veterans using deep learning algorithms, NHANES 2005-2018

BACKGROUND

Depression is a common mental health problem among veterans, with high mortality. Despite the numerous conducted investigations, the prediction and identification of risk factors for depression are still severely limited. This study used a deep learning algorithm to identify depression in veterans and its factors associated with clinical manifestations.

METHODS

Our data originated from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2005-2018). A dataset of 2,546 veterans was identified using deep learning and five traditional machine learning algorithms with 10-fold cross-validation. Model performance was assessed by examining the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, recall, specificity, precision, and F1 score.

RESULTS

Deep learning had the highest AUC (0.891, 95%CI 0.869-0.914) and specificity (0.906) in identifying depression in veterans. Further study on depression among veterans of different ages showed that the AUC values for deep learning were 0.929 (95%CI 0.904-0.955) in the middle-aged group and 0.924(95%CI 0.900-0.948) in the older age group. In addition to general health conditions, sleep difficulties, memory impairment, work incapacity, income, BMI, and chronic diseases, factors such as vitamins E and C, and palmitic acid were also identified as important influencing factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with traditional machine learning methods, deep learning algorithms achieved optimal performance, making it conducive for identifying depression and its risk factors among veterans.

Identification and immuno-infiltration analysis of cuproptosis regulators in human spermatogenic dysfunction

Introduction: Cuproptosis seems to promote the progression of diverse diseases. Hence, we explored the cuproptosis regulators in human spermatogenic dysfunction (SD), analyzed the condition of immune cell infiltration, and constructed a predictive model.

Methods: Two microarray datasets (GSE4797 and GSE45885) related to male infertility (MI) patients with SD were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. We utilized the GSE4797 dataset to obtain differentially expressed cuproptosis-related genes (deCRGs) between SD and normal controls. The correlation between deCRGs and immune cell infiltration status was analyzed. We also explored the molecular clusters of CRGs and the status of immune cell infiltration. Notably, weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was used to identify the cluster-specific differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Moreso, gene set variation analysis (GSVA) was performed to annotate the enriched genes. Subsequently, we selected an optimal machine-learning model from four models. Finally, nomograms, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and the GSE45885 dataset were utilized to verify the predictions’ accuracy.

Results: Among SD and normal controls, we confirmed that there are deCRGs and activated immune responses. Through the GSE4797 dataset, we obtained 11 deCRGs. ATP7A, ATP7B, SLC31A1, FDX1, PDHA1, PDHB, GLS, CDKN2A, DBT, and GCSH were highly expressed in testicular tissues with SD, whereas LIAS was lowly expressed. Additionally, two clusters were identified in SD. Immune-infiltration analysis showed the existing heterogeneity of immunity at these two clusters. Cuproptosis-related molecular Cluster2 was marked by enhanced expressions of ATP7A, SLC31A1, PDHA1, PDHB, CDKN2A, DBT, and higher proportions of resting memory CD4+ T cells. Furthermore, an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) model based on 5-gene was built, which showed superior performance on the external validation dataset GSE45885 (AUC = 0.812). Therefore, the combined nomogram, calibration curve, and DCA results demonstrated the accuracy of predicting SD.

Conclusion: Our study preliminarily illustrates the relationship between SD and cuproptosis. Moreover, a bright predictive model was developed.

Neuropsychiatric Symptoms and Commonly Used Biomarkers of Alzheimer's Disease: A Literature Review from a Machine Learning Perspective

There is a growing interest in the application of machine learning (ML) in Alzheimer's disease (AD) research. However, neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS), frequent in subjects with AD, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and other related dementias have not been analyzed sufficiently using ML methods. To portray the landscape and potential of ML research in AD and NPS studies, we present a comprehensive literature review of existing ML approaches and commonly studied AD biomarkers. We conducted PubMed searches with keywords related to NPS, AD biomarkers, machine learning, and cognition. We included a total of 38 articles in this review after excluding some irrelevant studies from the search results and including 6 articles based on a snowball search from the bibliography of the relevant studies. We found a limited number of studies focused on NPS with or without AD biomarkers. In contrast, multiple statistical machine learning and deep learning methods have been used to build predictive diagnostic models using commonly known AD biomarkers. These mainly included multiple imaging biomarkers, cognitive scores, and various omics biomarkers. Deep learning approaches that combine these biomarkers or multi-modality datasets typically outperform single-modality datasets. We conclude ML may be leveraged to untangle the complex relationships of NPS and AD biomarkers with cognition. This may potentially help to predict the progression of MCI or dementia and develop more targeted early intervention approaches based on NPS.

A web-based novel prediction model for predicting depression in elderly patients with coronary heart disease: A multicenter retrospective, propensity-score matched study

BACKGROUND

Depression is associated with an increased risk of death in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). This study aimed to explore the factors influencing depression in elderly patients with CHD and to construct a prediction model for early identification of depression in this patient population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used propensity-score matching to identify 1,065 CHD patients aged ≥65 years from four hospitals in Chongqing between January 2015 and December 2021. The patients were divided into a training set (n = 880) and an external validation set (n = 185). Univariate logistic regression, multivariate logistic regression, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to determine the factors influencing depression. A nomogram based on the multivariate logistic regression model was constructed using the selected influencing factors. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC), respectively.

RESULTS

The predictive factors in the multivariate model included the lymphocyte percentage and the blood urea nitrogen and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. The AUC values of the nomogram in the training and external validation sets were 0.762 (95% CI = 0.722-0.803) and 0.679 (95% CI = 0.572-0.786), respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the nomogram had strong calibration. DCA and CIC indicated that the nomogram can be used as an effective tool in clinical practice. For the convenience of clinicians, we used the nomogram to develop a web-based calculator tool (https://cytjt007.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp_depression/).

CONCLUSION

Reductions in the lymphocyte percentage and blood urea nitrogen and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were reliable predictors of depression in elderly patients with CHD. The nomogram that we developed can help clinicians assess the risk of depression in elderly patients with CHD.