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Jiang F, Lu C, Zeng Z, Sun Z, Qiu Y. Global burden of disease for musculoskeletal disorders in all age groups, from 2024 to 2050, and a bibliometric-based survey of the status of research in geriatrics, geriatric orthopedics, and geriatric orthopedic diseases. J Orthop Surg Res 2025; 20:179. [PMID: 39972346 PMCID: PMC11841256 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-025-05580-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/05/2025] [Indexed: 02/21/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Orthopaedic diseases in the elderly pose a significant disease burden, and the number of research papers on the subject is increasing every year. METHODS The GBD database was used to analyze the global disease burden of musculoskeletal disorders in all age groups from 2024 to 2050. The source for bibliometrics was the WoSCC SCI-E database. RESULTS Global disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for musculoskeletal disorders by age were dominated by those aged 70 years and older, but the rate of change in DALYs between 2024 and 2050 was approximately ± 1%. We performed a descriptive analysis of 164,521 geriatrics articles, and 7155 geriatric orthopedics and geriatric orthopedic articles, and performed clustering, co-citation, collaborative network, and burst citation analyses based on Citespace and VOSviewer. Seven clustering tags containing hot content and 26 burst citation keywords containing hot content were finally targeted. CONCLUSION DALY in older adults over 70 years of age accounts for a significant portion of the disease burden of musculoskeletal disorders. Possible future research hotspots in geriatric orthopedics and geriatric bone diseases include three directions: (1) novel clinical procedures and postoperative management (2) various comorbidities caused by SARS-CoV-2 infections and other pathogens; and (3) effectiveness of Stem Cell Therapy in Clinical Applications and Biological Mechanisms of Stem Cell Therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fan Jiang
- Department of Orthopedics, Air Force Hospital of Eastern Theater, Anhui Medical University, Nanjing, 210002, China
- Section of Health, No. 94804 Unit of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Shanghai, 200434, China
- Resident Standardization Training Cadet Corps, Air Force Medical Center, Beijing, 100142, China
| | - Conglan Lu
- Department of Orthopedics, Air Force Hospital of Eastern Theater, Anhui Medical University, Nanjing, 210002, China
| | - Zhen Zeng
- Department of Orthopedics, Medical School, Affiliated Jinling Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China
| | - Zhongyang Sun
- Department of Orthopedics, Air Force Hospital of Eastern Theater, Anhui Medical University, Nanjing, 210002, China.
- Department of Orthopedics, Medical School, Affiliated Jinling Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China.
| | - Yang Qiu
- Department of Orthopedics, Medical School, Affiliated Jinling Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China.
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Kastner L, Suenkel U, von Thaler AK, Eschweiler GW, Dankowski T, Mychajliw C, Brockmann K, Heinzel S, Thiel A. COVID-19 and social distancing: pandemic has altered social relationships and contacts in older adults over 4 years. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1456829. [PMID: 39737450 PMCID: PMC11683058 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1456829] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2024] [Accepted: 11/26/2024] [Indexed: 01/01/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction Social isolation is a main risk factor for loneliness, health issues and psychological diseases. With its restriction measures, the coronavirus pandemic has led to an objective reduction in meaningful interactions, communication, and social contacts in general (social isolation). However, it has been shown that older adults cope differently with social isolation. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to investigate the changes of social contacts of older adults over the pandemic period of 4 years. Methods For this purpose, N = 175 older adults (M age = 72.60, SD age = 6.12 years, Mdn age = 72, Range: 60-87 years) were asked at 3 time points (2019, 2021, 2023) with how many people they had contact in the reference month (May, November). In addition to the number of contacts, participants were also asked about the type of the relationship (e.g., family, friends, neighbors), the type of contact (e.g., telephone, video conference and/or by written messages) and the emotional closeness (close, medium, low). We used an ego-centered "social network" circle to measure social contacts of older adults before, during and after the pandemic. The data collection was limited by the changing corona restrictions. Results Results indicate that behavior in social contacts essentially depends on age, gender, and level of depression. We found a clear temporal drop in social contacts independently of age and gender during the pandemic. After the pandemic close contacts did not recover to prepandemic level. Especially, Young-Old (<72 years) recovered less in terms of the number of social contacts than the Old-Old (≥72 years). Discussion Our study, thus, provides longitudinal insights into the course of social contacts and suggests that social isolation may have more negative and long-term impact on close contacts, which need further clarification and temporal extension.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lydia Kastner
- Institute for Sport Science, Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- Tübingen Center for Mental Health (TüCMH), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Ulrike Suenkel
- Tübingen Center for Mental Health (TüCMH), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
- German Center for Mental Health (DZPG), Partner Site Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Anna-Katharina von Thaler
- Department of Neurology, University Medical Centre Schleswig-Holstein and Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
- Department of Neurodegeneration, Hertie Institute for Clinical Brain Research, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Gerhard W. Eschweiler
- Tübingen Center for Mental Health (TüCMH), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
- Geriatric Center, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Theresa Dankowski
- Department of Neurology, University Medical Centre Schleswig-Holstein and Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
- Institute of Medical Informatics and Statistics, University Medical Centre Schleswig-Holstein and Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
| | - Christian Mychajliw
- Tübingen Center for Mental Health (TüCMH), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
- Geriatric Center, Tübingen University Hospital, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Kathrin Brockmann
- Department of Neurodegeneration, Hertie Institute for Clinical Brain Research, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
| | - Sebastian Heinzel
- Department of Neurology, University Medical Centre Schleswig-Holstein and Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
- Institute of Medical Informatics and Statistics, University Medical Centre Schleswig-Holstein and Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
| | - Ansgar Thiel
- Institute for Sport Science, Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- LEAD Graduate School and Research Network, Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
- German Sport University Cologne (DSHS), University Cologne, Cologne, Germany
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Simon SCS, Bibi I, Schaffert D, Benecke J, Martin N, Leipe J, Vladescu C, Olsavszky V. AutoML-Driven Insights into Patient Outcomes and Emergency Care During Romania's First Wave of COVID-19. Bioengineering (Basel) 2024; 11:1272. [PMID: 39768090 PMCID: PMC11673140 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering11121272] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2024] [Revised: 12/11/2024] [Accepted: 12/13/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted healthcare systems, affecting patient outcomes and resource allocation. This study applied automated machine learning (AutoML) to analyze key health outputs, such as discharge conditions, mortality, and COVID-19 cases, with the goal of improving responses to future crises. METHODS AutoML was used to train and validate models on an ICD-10 dataset covering the first wave of COVID-19 in Romania (January-September 2020). RESULTS For discharge outcomes, Light Gradient Boosted models achieved an F1 score of 0.9644, while for mortality 0.7545 was reached. A Generalized Linear Model blender achieved an F1 score of 0.9884 for "acute or emergency" cases, and an average blender reached 0.923 for COVID-19 cases. Older age, specific hospitals, and oncology wards were less associated with improved recovery rates, while mortality was linked to abnormal lab results and cardiovascular/respiratory diseases. Patients admitted without referral, or patients in hospitals in the central region and the capital region of Romania were more likely to be acute cases. Finally, counties such as Argeş (South-Muntenia) and Brașov (Center) showed higher COVID-19 infection rates regardless of age. CONCLUSIONS AutoML provided valuable insights into patient outcomes, highlighting variations in care and the need for targeted health strategies for both COVID-19 and other health challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonja C. S. Simon
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Igor Bibi
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Daniel Schaffert
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Johannes Benecke
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Niklas Martin
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Jan Leipe
- Department of Medicine V, Division of Rheumatology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany;
| | - Cristian Vladescu
- National Institute for Health Services Management, 030167 Bucharest, Romania
- Faculty of Medicine, University Titu Maiorescu, 031593 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Victor Olsavszky
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
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Wang Y, Yi Y, Zhang F, Yao YY, Chen YX, Wu CM, Wang RY, Yan M. Lung Ultrasound Score as a Predictor of Failure to Wean COVID-19 Elderly Patients off Mechanical Ventilation: A Prospective Observational Study. Clin Interv Aging 2024; 19:313-322. [PMID: 38404479 PMCID: PMC10887876 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s438714] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 02/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The lung ultrasound score was developed for rapidly assessing the extent of lung ventilation, and it can predict failure to wean various types of patients off mechanical ventilation. Whether it is also effective for COVID-19 patients is unclear. Methods This single-center, prospective, observational study was conducted to assess the ability of the 12-region lung ultrasound score to predict failure to wean COVID-19 patients off ventilation. In parallel, we assessed whether right hemidiaphragmatic excursion or previously published predictors of weaning failure can apply to these patients. Predictive ability was assessed in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results The mean age of the 35 patients in the study was (75 ± 9) years and 12 patients (37%) could not be weaned off mechanical ventilation. The lung ultrasound score predicted these failures with an AUC of 0.885 (95% CI 0.770-0.999, p < 0.001), and a threshold score of 10 provided specificity of 72.7% and sensitivity of 92.3%. AUCs were lower for previously published predictors of weaning failure, and right hemidiaphragmatic excursion did not differ significantly between the two groups. Conclusion The lung ultrasound score can accurately predict failure to wean critically ill COVID-19 patients off mechanical ventilation, whereas assessment of right hemidiaphragmatic excursion does not appear helpful in this regard. Trial Registration https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05706441.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying Wang
- Jiangsu Province Key Laboratory of Anesthesiology, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, 221004, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yu Yi
- Jiangsu Province Key Laboratory of Anesthesiology, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, 221004, People’s Republic of China
| | - Fan Zhang
- Jiangsu Province Key Laboratory of Anesthesiology, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, 221004, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Yao
- Department of Anesthesiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310016, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yue-Xiu Chen
- Department of Anesthesiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310016, People’s Republic of China
| | - Chao-Min Wu
- Department of Anesthesiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310016, People’s Republic of China
| | - Rui-Yu Wang
- Department of Anesthesiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310016, People’s Republic of China
| | - Min Yan
- Jiangsu Province Key Laboratory of Anesthesiology, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, 221004, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Anesthesiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310016, People’s Republic of China
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