Prebirth Household Challenges To Predict Adverse Childhood Experiences Score by Age 3

Replication and Validation of a State-Wide Linkage Method to Estimate Incidence Proportion of Child Maltreatment

PURPOSE

To study familial factors associated with child maltreatment in a birth population, Alaska piloted a mixed-design method that linked child welfare data with the Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS). We replicated this approach in Oregon and validated it in both states.

METHODS

We linked vital records, child welfare, and PRAMS data to create two 2009 birth cohorts for each state: one based on vital records (full birth cohort), and one on PRAMS (stratified random sample). For each cohort we estimated the incidence proportions (IP) of child maltreatment before age nine years and compared those estimated using PRAMS with those observed using the full birth cohort.

RESULTS

The Oregon PRAMS cohort estimated that 28.7% (95% CI: 24.0, 33.4), 20.9% (17.1, 24.7), and 8.3% (6.0, 10.5) of children experienced an alleged, investigated, and substantiated maltreatment respectively, versus 32.0%, 25.0% and 9.9% from the birth cohort. The corresponding Alaska estimates were 29.1% (26.1, 32.0), 22.6% (19.9, 25.2), and 8.3% (6.7, 9.9) of children from the PRAMS cohort versus 29.1%, 23.5%, and 9.1% in the birth cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence proportion of child maltreatment in two states was accurately estimated with PRAMS cohorts. Researchers can study a comprehensive set of factors that may influence child maltreatment by incorporating PRAMS into birth cohort linkages.

Changes in Household Challenges and Subsequent Child Welfare Report

INTRODUCTION

Preventing child maltreatment and reducing adverse childhood experiences is critical for improving adult health. To inform prevention efforts, it is necessary to move beyond static risk models and instead model the dynamic changes in household challenges during the prebirth and early childhood periods. This study examined the effect of changes in the number of household challenges from prebirth (12 months before birth of a child) to early childhood (3 years after birth) period on the risk of a child maltreatment report by age 3 years.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study linked data from the Alaska 2009-2011 Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System, its 3-year follow-up survey, and administrative records through 2019. Participants were 1,699 birthing parents. Latent class analyses identified prebirth and early childhood low- and high-challenge respondent groups on the basis of the level of reported household challenges. The authors then modeled the relationships between group transition membership and the risk of maltreatment using latent transition analysis. Analyses were conducted in 2021.

RESULTS

Households transitioning from a high-challenge-prebirth status to a low-challenge-early-childhood status had a lower predicted risk for child services report than households remaining in the high-challenges group. Transitioning from low- to high-challenges status predicted the highest risk for child services report than that of all other groups.

CONCLUSIONS

To reduce the risk of child maltreatment and subsequent adverse childhood experiences, healthcare providers should screen parents for the presence of household challenges during both pregnancy and early childhood and connect patients to resources targeted at reducing those challenges and providing continuous familial support.

Pre-Birth Household Challenges Predict Future Child’s School Readiness and Academic Achievement

Early developmental success and school readiness strongly influence future skill development, occupational opportunities, and health. Therefore, it is critical to identify and address early determinants of school readiness for supporting children’s overall well-being and success. In this retrospective cohort study, we examined the effects of pre-birth household challenges, such as homelessness or experiences of intimate partner violence, on children’s early school readiness. We linked data from the Alaska 2009–2011 Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS) to administrative and education records through 2019. Education records included kindergarten developmental scores, third grade reading assessments, and attendance records. Generalized linear models with Quasi-Poisson distributions for each outcome of interest examined the predictive value of pre-birth household challenges on the risks of not meeting school readiness expectations. We found that experiencing higher numbers of pre-birth household challenges was related to higher risk of the child not meeting developmental and reading proficiency and having chronic absenteeism. These results suggest that it is imperative support systems for pregnant persons and their families be introduced as soon as possible in pre-natal care routines to address current pre-birth household stressors and prevent future challenges. Such early prevention efforts are needed to ensure the best possible developmental start for children.