The CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting atrial fibrillation in patients presenting with ST elevation myocardial infarction: prospective observational study

The impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation in the setting of acute coronary syndrome

Approximately 10 % of patients who have suffered from myocardial infarction develop new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Coronary artery disease implicating atrial branches has been associated with AF. The following variables have been associated with new-onset AF in the setting of acute coronary syndrome: older age, history of hypertension, history of angina, history of stroke, chronic renal failure, body mass index, no statin use, worse nutritional status, worse Killip class, admission heart rate ≥ 85 bpm, complete atrioventricular block, Glasgow prognostic score, Syntax score, C2HEST score > 3, PRECISE-DAPT score ≥ 25, left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40 %, increased left atrial diameter, E/E' ratio > 12, epicardial fat tissue thickness, and thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow < 3. Regarding laboratory variables, elevated D-dimer levels, C-reactive protein levels, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, creatine kinase-MB, high-sensitivity troponin T at baseline, midregional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, and cholesterol levels have been proposed as potential predictors of AF in this setting. Regarding the impact of new-onset AF on clinical outcomes, it has been associated with an increased risk of stroke, higher mortality rates, heart failure, cardiogenic shock, higher odds of ventricular arrhythmias and major adverse cardiac events. New-onset AF is an indicator of worse in-hospital prognosis compared to patients with a previous history of AF. New-onset AF, as well as previous AF, were strong predictors of ischemic stroke, and therefore, patients with new-onset AF should be anticoagulated according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. Cardioversion to sinus rhythm, if possible, is advised before the discharge as it may be related to better outcomes.

The monocyte-to-HDL-cholesterol ratio predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with acute STEMI

OBJECTIVE

Newly diagnosed AF (NOAF) associated with acute STEMI holds significant relevance in clinical practice. This study seeks to assess the role of the monocyte to HDL-C ratio (MHR) in predicting NOAF in these patients.

METHODS

Between July 2017 and May 2018, 663 patients who underwent primary PCI for STEMI were retrospectively analyzed. NOAF was identified in 34 patients (5.1%), and this group was compared with those without AF.

RESULTS

The NOAF group experienced a longer hospitalization duration and a higher mortality rate (11.8 vs. 4.3%, p = 0.044) compared to the non-AF group. In a multivariable analysis, increased MHR (OR: 1.413, 95% CI: 1.203-1.657, p = 0.005), advanced age, decreased LVEF, Killip class 2-4, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and left atrial enlargement emerged as independent predictors for the development of NOAF in STEMI. ROC curve analysis revealed that MHR values exceeding 26.54 strongly predict NOAF, achieving sensitivity and specificity above 70% (AUC: 0.768, 95%CI: 0.734-0.801, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The present study revealed that increased MHR robust indicator for NOAF in STEMI patients and can be easily assessed in clinical practice. Incorporating MHR alongside established traditional risk factors may enhance the identification of patients at risk for AF in those with STEMI.

Incidence and predictors of new-onset atrial fibrillation in ST-elevation myocardial infarction: A single-center study

Background and Aims

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia that occurs following ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and can significantly impact clinical outcomes. We investigated the incidence and predictors of AF following STEMI in patients, as well as its association with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE).

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study, including all STEMI patients who presented under code 247 to Tehran Heart Center between 2016 and 2020 and completed a 1-year follow-up. Patients were divided into two groups based on the development of AF during follow-up, and their baseline and clinical characteristics were compared. We used multivariable regression models to identify predictors of MACCE.

Results

Out of 3647 STEMI patients, 84 (2.3%) developed new-onset AF (NOAF). Patients with AF were significantly older and had lower levels of total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, and hemoglobin, but higher levels of fasting blood sugar and creatinine. AF patients were also more likely to have a history of hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), congestive heart failure, and cerebrovascular accidents. The multivariable logistic regression model identified the CHA2DS2-VASc score and CKD as independent predictors of NOAF following primary percutaneous coronary intervention. Furthermore, the incidence of MACCE was higher in the AF group, and AF independently predicted MACCE with a hazard ratio of 2.766.

Conclusion

The CHA2DS2-VASc score and the presence of CKD can serve as useful predictors of NOAF among patients with STEMI. Early detection and appropriate management are crucial to improve outcomes.

Factors Associated with Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation. A Retrospective Study

AIM

The aim of our study was to retrospectively evaluate known factors such as CHA2DS2-VASc, but, also, new factors (such as left atrial remodeling), associated with the development of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AFi).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective study in which 251 patients with AFi were included. 47 patients had an ischemic stroke before the diagnosis of AFi, at the time of diagnosis or after AFi was diagnosed. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was analyzed for all patients together with other left atrial remodeling parameters.

RESULTS

We observed that among the patients with ischemic stroke approximately 61.70% were over 72.5 years old compared to those without stroke who presented this age in a proportion of only 44.61% (OR=2.001, P=0.0367). The CHA2DS2-VASc score had the greatest statistical impact for stroke, as expected. Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score >4.5 presented stroke in a proportion of 87.23% compared to CHA2DS2-VASc <4.5 who had stroke only in a proportion of 12.77% (OR=11.51, P=<0.0001). Regarding left atrial remodeling parameters, low LA ejection fraction was associated with a high percentage of stroke among patients (61.70%) compared to those with LA EF>34.5% who had stroke only in a percentage of 38.30% (OR= 2.124, P=0.0238).

CONCLUSIONS

Although the CHA2DS2-VASc score remains a good factor for predicting the association of AFi with ischemic stroke, echocardiographic parameters for the evaluation of the left atrium can be used as new risk factors for predicting the occurrence of ischemic stroke in patients with AFi.

The Effect of Anthropometric Measurements on the Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background and objective Atrial fibrillation (AFib) is the most common supraventricular arrhythmia occurring after myocardial infarction (MI). Height, body weight, waist and hip circumference, and body mass index (BMI) are considered potential risk factors for the development of AFib. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of BMI and waist circumference on the incidence of AFib in patients with acute MI. Methods This prospective, cross-sectional, observational study was conducted in the coronary intensive care unit (CICU) of a tertiary care university hospital between July 2014 and February 2016. Patients diagnosed with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) or non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) were included. Demographic, clinical, echocardiographic, and laboratory data, past medical history, and anthropometric measurements were recorded. Continuous electrocardiography (ECG) monitoring was performed for following up on the occurrence of AFib. Then, AFib predictors were identified using multiple regression analysis. Results AFib developed in 31 (9.3%) patients in the cohort. No significant difference was observed between patients with or without AFib in terms of BMI and waist circumference values (p=0.686 vs. p=0.728, respectively). Factors associated with AFib development as per the multivariate analyses included age (OR: 1.051, 95% CI: 1.013-1.09; p=0.008), pulse rate (OR: 1.043, 95% CI: 1.018-1.069; p=0.001), peak troponin T value (OR: 1.356, 95% CI: 1.135-1.619; p=0.001), and length of CICU stay (OR: 2.247, 95% CI: 1.163-4.340; p=0.016). Conclusion BMI and waist circumference measurements were similar in patients with and without AFib during acute MI. Age, pulse rate, peak troponin T, and duration of CICU stay were identified as independent predictors of AFib development.

The Impact of the Duration of Cardiac Troponin I Elevation on the Clinical Prognosis as Well as Incidence of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Respectively in Elderly Non-ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients without PCI

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the impact of the duration of cardiac troponin I (TnI) elevation on the prognosis and incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in elderly patients with non-ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (NSTE-AMI).

Methods

A total of 383 NSTE-AMI patients ≥75 years old were enrolled in this study and divided into two groups: in 194 cases, the duration of TnI elevation was ≥14 days (group 1), and in 189 cases, the duration of TnI elevation was <14 days (group 2). The patients were followed up for 60 months. The effect of TnI on prognosis was studied by cohort. The primary endpoint was a composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, reinfarction, ischemic stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure, and the secondary endpoint was all-cause death. A case–control study design was adopted to analyze the influencing factors of NOAF occurrence in Group 1 and Group 2.

Results

The median duration of follow-up was 26 months. Multivariate Cox’s regression analysis revealed that the duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days and diuretic use were independent variables of the major composite endpoint (p < 0.01 for both), and the left ventricular ejection fraction and the duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days were independent related variables of all-cause death (p < 0.05). The duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days was correlated with the occurrence of NOAF, but, in the multivariate logistic regression model, only uric acid and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were independently associated with NOAF (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

The duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days was the independent correlation factor of the major composite endpoint and all-cause death; high sensitivity C-reactive protein and uric acid are independent risk factors for NOAF.

Systemic immune-inflammation index predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation after ST elevation myocardial infarction

Aim: To investigate the predictive capacity of a systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in detecting new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) following ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Patients & methods: A total of 402 STEMI patients were enrolled in the study. The patients were divided into two groups according to NOAF development. Results: A cut-off point of 1,228,000 for SII was identified with 60% sensitivity and 78.1% specificity to predict NOAF following STEMI. According to pairwise analysis of receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the predictive power of SII in detecting NOAF following STEMI was similar to high-sensitive C-reactive protein, and better than neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio or platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio. Conclusion: SII can be used as one of the independent predictors of NOAF following STEMI.

Usefulness of CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for predicting incident atrial fibrillation in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction patients

AIMS

Coexisting of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) could increase the risk of mortality. In this study, we aimed to assess the values of the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for AF prediction in HFpEF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a retrospective analysis on symptomatic HFpEF patients in the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist) trial. Associations of the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores with the risk of incident AF in HFpEF patients without baseline AF (n = 2202) were assessed using the multivariable competing risk regression models. The discriminatory performances of these scores were calculated using the C-index. During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, the average incidence of AF was 1.80 per 100 patient-years in HFpEF patients. When score was analysed as a continuous variable, per 1-point increase in the CHADS2 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-1.68, C-index: 0.71), R2CHADS2 (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.10-1.42, C-index: 0.69), or CHA2DS2-VASc (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.16-1.46, C-index: 0.70) scores was associated with an increased risk of incident AF. When score was analysed as a categorical variable, patients with CHADS2 ≥ 3 (HR = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.70-4.04), R2CHADS2 ≥ 3 (HR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.56-4.17), or CHA2DS2-VASc ≥ 4 (HR = 2.54, 95% CI: 1.59-4.07) had a higher risk of incident AF compared with the corresponding controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data first suggest that the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores could predict the risk of incident AF in HFpEF patients with modest predictive abilities.

Assessment of the ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system to grade left atrial function by 2D speckle-tracking echocardiography

Background

The CHA₂DS₂-VASc scoring system is correlated with left atrial (LA) reservoir function in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) rhythm or paroxysmal AF. We assessed the ability of CHA₂DS₂-VASc to grade LA function in patients with sinus rhythm who were candidates for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

Methods

This cross-sectional study recruited 340 consecutive candidates for CABG and categorized them according to their CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores as mild-, moderate-, and high-risk score groups with 34 (10%), 83 (24%), and 223 (66%) patients, respectively. LA function was evaluated via 2D speckle-tracking echocardiography in terms of global longitudinal strain and strain rate during the reservoir, conduit, and contraction phases. In-hospital mortality, postoperative AF, prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and prolonged mechanical ventilation were assessed.

Results

LA strain and strain rate during the reservoir phase was statistically significantly lower in the high-risk score group than the low- and moderate-risk score groups (27.8 ± 6.9% vs 31.0 ± 5.0% vs 29.8 ± 6.1%, respectively; P = 0.004 and 2.6 ± 0.7 s⁻¹ vs 2.9 ± 0.6 s⁻¹ vs 2.9 ± 0.6 s⁻¹, correspondingly; P = 0.009) and regarding LA strain and strain rate during the conduit phase (9.7 [7.1–12.5]% vs 12.9 [9.4–15.1]% vs 11.5 [9.1–13.8]%, correspondingly; P < 0.001 and 2.1 [1.6–2.7] s⁻¹ vs 2.8 [2.4–3.6] s⁻¹ vs 2.6 [2.2–3.0] s⁻¹, respectively; P < 0.001). In addition, LA strain rate during the conduit phase was lower in the moderate-risk score group than the low-risk score group. After adjustments for possible confounders, these differences remained statistically significant. The risk of postoperative AF and prolonged ICU stay was highest in the high-risk score group (relative risk = 9.67 (1.31–71.43) and 8.05 (1.08–60.16), respectively; P = 0.026 and P = 0.042, respectively).

Conclusions

LA reservoir and conduit functions decreased in the high-risk score group, which was accompanied by an increased risk of postoperative AF and prolonged ICU stay.

The Validation of the ATRIA and CHA2DS2-Vasc Scores in Predicting Atrial Fibrillation after Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of CHA₂DS₂-VASc and Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) risk scores for prediction of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) development in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) operation.

Methods

The population of this observational study consisted of 370 patients undergoing CABG operation. CHA₂DS₂-VASc and ATRIA risk scores were calculated for all patients and their association with postoperative AF (AF episode lasting > 5 min) were evaluated. Predictors of postoperative AF were determined by multiple logistic regression analysis.

Results

During follow-up, 110 patients (29.7%) developed postoperative AF. With multiple logistic regression analysis, risk factors for postoperative AF were determined: ATRIA risk score (odds ratio [OR] 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.36; P<0.001), fasting glucose level (OR 1.006; 95% CI 1.004-1.009; P<0.001), and 24-hour drainage amount (OR 1.002; 95% CI; 1.001-1.004; P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed that CHA₂DS₂-VASc and ATRIA risk scores were significant predictors for new-onset AF (C-statistic 0.648; 95% CI 0.59-0.69; P<0.001; and C-statistic 0.664; 95% CI 0.61-0.71; P<0.001, respectively).

Conclusion

CHA₂DS₂-VASc and ATRIA risk scores predict new AF in patients undergoing CABG.

Incidence of aspirin resistance is higher in patients with acute coronary syndrome and atrial fibrillation than without atrial fibrillation

In patients with atrial fibrillation, standard anticoagulation with a vitamin K antagonist plus dual antiplatelet therapy with a P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin is the standard of care after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). While this therapy reduces the risk of thrombosis and stroke, it increases the risk of bleeding. It is unclear whether the antiplatelet effect of aspirin and clopidogrel may worsen atrial fibrillation (AF). OBJECTIVE Thus we aimed to analyze platelet aspirin resistance (AR) and clopidogrel resistance (CR) in acute coronary (ACS) patients based on sinus rhythm (SR) and AF. METHODS In this prospective trial, we included 543 patients (mean age: 62± 12 years; range: 26 - 89 years) who were on aspirin and clopidogrel therapy after the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome. AR and CR were analyzed by a Multiplate® MP-0120 device by using the method of whole blood aggregometry. RESULTS AF patients had significantly higher age, mean platelet volume, and High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein (p< 0.01 for each parameter). Similarly, Arachidonic-acid induced (ASPI) aggregation was higher in AF patients compared to SR patients (666±218 vs. 187±179, p<0.001). Among the ACS patients, significantly more female patients had AF (p<0.001). The incidence of hypertension in the AF group was higher compared to the SR group (p<0.001). However, adenosine diphosphate levels were not at a significant level in the two groups. CONCLUSION Our findings indicate that the platelet inhibitory effect of Aspirin was worse for patients with AF, suggesting that the effectiveness of aspirin may be less in the prophylaxis of thromboembolism and more a bleeding risk.