Staging of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer from a Single Institution: Comparison of the 7th and 8th Editions of AJCC/UICC Staging

Clinical assessment of T2 papillary thyroid carcinoma: a retrospective study conducted at a single tertiary institution

The extent of surgery among patients with T2 papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remains controversial. Thus, we herein aimed to evaluate the risk factors for recurrence, particularly based on the extent of surgery, among patients with T2 PTC at a single tertiary institution. We assessed 251 patients who underwent thyroid surgery for T2 PTC from January 2009 to December 2014 at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital (Seoul, Korea). The mean follow-up duration was 100.7 months. Eleven (4.4%) patients had recurrence. The recurrence rates did not significantly differ in terms of the extent of surgery (p = 0.868). Patients with a high lymph node ratio (LNR) had a significantly higher recurrence rate than those with a low LNR (p < 0.001). According to a recurrence pattern analysis, five of six patients in the lobectomy group had recurrence in the ipsilateral lateral compartment. A multivariate analysis revealed that a high LNR was a significant risk factor for recurrence (hazard ratio: 11.025, p = 0.002). Our results suggest that patients without clinical evidence of any lymph node metastases and those with limited lesions in the thyroid gland can undergo lobectomy and LNR can serve as an independent risk factor for predicting recurrence in T2 PTC.

Risk of Recurrence in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Population-Based Comparison of the 7th and 8th Editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Systems

BACKGROUND

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) survival is excellent, making recurrence a more clinically relevant prognosticator. We hypothesized that the new American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition improves on the utility of the 7th edition in predicting the risk of recurrence in DTC.

METHODS

A population-based retrospective review compared the risk of recurrence in patients with DTC according to the AJCC 7th and 8th editions using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-based Kentucky Cancer Registry from 2004 to 2012.

RESULTS

A total of 3248 patients with DTC were considered disease-free after treatment. Twenty percent of patients were downstaged from the 7th edition to the 8th edition. Most patients had stage I disease (80% in the 7th edition and 94% in the 8th edition). A total of 110 (3%) patients recurred after a median of 27 months. The risk of recurrence was significantly associated with stage for both editions (p < 0.001). In the 7th edition, there was poor differentiation between lower stages and better differentiation between higher stages (stage II hazard ratio [HR] 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39-2.11; stage III HR 3.72, 95% CI 2.29-6.07; stage IV HR 11.66, 95% CI 7.10-19.15; all compared with stage I). The 8th edition better differentiated lower stages (stage II HR 4.06, 95% CI 2.38-6.93; stage III HR 13.07, 95% CI 5.30-32.22; stage IV 11.88, 95% CI 3.76-37.59; all compared with stage I).

CONCLUSIONS

The AJCC 8th edition better differentiates the risk of DTC recurrence for early stages of disease compared with the 7th edition. However, limitations remain, emphasizing the importance of adjunctive strategies to estimate the risk of recurrence.

Time-Varying Pattern of Mortality and Recurrence from Papillary Thyroid Cancer: Lessons from a Long-Term Follow-Up

Background: Little is known about annual hazard rates of cancer mortality and recurrence for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). This study investigated the time-varying pattern of cancer death and recurrence from PTC and independent prognostic factors for cause-specific mortality (CSM) and recurrence of PTC. Methods: This retrospective chart review enrolled 466 patients diagnosed with PTC who underwent curative initial surgery between April 1981 and December 1991 with a median follow-up of 18.4 years. Clinical characteristics, cancer mortality (primary endpoint), and recurrence (secondary endpoint) were ascertained. The failure rates of either death or recurrence were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier methods, and annual death/recurrence hazard was depicted using hazard function. Results: In this Japanese cohort where only 1.5% of patients received radioactive iodine therapy, the 10-, 20-, and 30-year CSM rates were 2.7%, 6.2%, and 8.6%, respectively. Eleven (44.0%) cases of death occurred within the first 10 years, whereas 10 (40.0%) and 4 (16.0%) cases occurred within 10-20 and 20-30 years after surgery, respectively. The 10-, 20-, and 30-year recurrence rates were 11.3%, 21.8%, and 29.4%, respectively. Forty-six (54.8%) cases of recurrence occurred within the first 10 years, predominantly within the first five years (31 cases; 36.9%), whereas 29 (34.5%), 7 (8.3%), and 2 (2.4%) cases occurred within 10-20, 20-30, and ≥30 years after surgery, respectively. Age ≥55 years was the only independent prognostic factor for CSM. Age ≥55 years, male, tumor size > 4 cm, extranodal extension, and positive pathological lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic factors for recurrence. The annual hazard curve of cancer mortality presented a double-peaked distribution, with a first peak at the 10th year, and the second peak reaching the maximum at the 20th year after surgery for the entire population. The annual hazard curve of recurrence showed a triple-peaked pattern, with surges at about 12, 22, and 29 years after surgery. Conclusions: Patients with PTC harboring at least one of the prognostic characteristics may be at persistent risk of cancer mortality and recurrence even 10 or more years after initial treatment. Understanding the hazard rate of PTC is key to creating more tailored treatment and surveillance.

Age greater than 60 years portends a worse prognosis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer: should there be three age categories for staging?

Background

Age is an important prognostic factor in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), with better survival observed in patients < 45 years of age, regardless of stage. Although the impact of increasing age on PTC-related survival is well-known, previous studies have focused on survival relative to age 45 years only. As the number of patients entering their 7th decade of life increases, PTC-related survival in this demographic becomes increasingly important. Survival in patients ≥ 60 years specifically compared to other groups has not previously been examined. We sought to determine whether age ≥ 60 years is an adverse prognostic factor for disease-specific survival and recurrence in patients with PTC.

Methods

The California Cancer Registry database was linked to inpatient and ambulatory patient records from the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development for the years 2000–2011. This linked database was queried for patients diagnosed with papillary thyroid cancer and treated with surgery. We then identified prognostic factors related to both 5-year and 10-year disease-specific survival and disease-free survival in patients ≤ 45, 45–59, and ≥ 60 years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were created to test the effect of age ≥ 60 on disease-specific and disease-free survival, controlling for clinical, treatment, and demographic factors.

Results

The final cohort included 15,675 patients. Of the group, 46.3% were between 18 and 44 years of age, 33.6% were 45–59 years, and 20.1% were ≥ 60. Univariate analysis showed that compared to other groups, patients ≥ 60 were more likely to be male (p < 0.001), present with tumors > 5 cm (p < 0.001), more likely to have metastatic disease (p < 0.001), less likely to receive radioactive iodine (p < 0.001), and more likely to receive external beam radiation therapy (p < 0.001). In multivariable Cox proportional hazards models for 5 and 10-year disease-free survival, age ≥ 60 was associated with higher risk of disease at 5 and 10-years (HR 2.3 and 1.9 respectively, p < 0.001). Similar results were observed for 5 and 10-year disease-specific survival (HR 38.0 and 30.0 respectively, p < 0.001) after controlling for gender, race, co-morbidity, stage, surgical procedure, radioactive iodine, insurance, and hospital volume.

Conclusions

Patients ≥ 60 years of age have worse DSS and DFS after a diagnosis of PTC, across all stages of disease. Given that patients over the age of 45 years have progressively worse survival as they age, these data support having three age groups, 18–44 years of age, 45–59 years, and ≥ 60 as an independent predictor of survival and recurrence to current staging guidelines.