Correlation of procalcitonin to positive blood culture results in a sample of South African trauma ICU patients between 2016 and 2017.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2020;
47:1183-1188. [PMID:
31897510 DOI:
10.1007/s00068-019-01295-y]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2019] [Accepted: 12/23/2019] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE
This study sought to investigate the screening accuracy of procalcitonin (PCT) for bacteremia, as defined by a positive blood culture, in a South African trauma ICU.
METHODS
This was a retrospective chart review study involving 149 patients who were admitted to the ICU of a level-1 trauma center in South Africa between 2016 and 2017. Median PCT levels in patients with and without positive blood cultures were compared. The screening accuracy of PCT for a positive blood culture was summarized as sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Two PCT cut-points were investigated: a general cut-point in the South African context (> 2.0 ng/mL), and a trauma ICU-specific cut-point (prioritizing specificity while optimizing sensitivity) which was determined from a receiver-operator-characteristic curve.
RESULTS
Bacteremic patients had higher median PCT levels when compared with non-bacteremic patients (30.5 ng/mL versus 6.6 ng/mL, p = 0.002). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of PCT > 2.0 ng/mL was 86% (95% confidence interval-CI 71-94%), 29% (CI 22-38%), 28% (CI 20-37%), and 87% (CI 73-94%), respectively. The unit-specific cut-point was PCT > 31.0 ng/mL, which had a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 50% (CI 34-66%), 80% (CI 71-86%), 44% (CI 30-59%), and 83% (CI 75-89%), respectively. Unlike PCT > 2.0 ng/mL, PCT > 31.0 ng/mL demonstrated fair-to-good test specificity in a sub-analysis of patients who underwent recent surgery.
CONCLUSIONS
Increased PCT levels were associated with bacteremia in this study. PCT > 31.0 ng/mL may be used to rule in suspected bacteremia in this trauma ICU setting.
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