Radiomics-based prediction of survival in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma based on pre- and post-treatment 18F-PET/CT

Prognostic Value of a Combined Nomogram Model Integrating 3-Dimensional Deep Learning and Radiomics for Head and Neck Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The preoperative prediction of the overall survival (OS) status of patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) is significant value for their individualized treatment and prognosis. This study aims to evaluate the impact of adding 3D deep learning features to radiomics models for predicting 5-year OS status.

METHODS

Two hundred twenty cases from The Cancer Imaging Archive public dataset were included in this study; 2212 radiomics features and 304 deep features were extracted from each case. The features were selected by univariate analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and then grouped into a radiomics model containing Positron Emission Tomography /Computed Tomography (PET/CT) radiomics features score, a deep model containing deep features score, and a combined model containing PET/CT radiomics features score +3D deep features score. TumorStage model was also constructed using initial patient tumor node metastasis stage to compare the performance of the combined model. A nomogram was constructed to analyze the influence of deep features on the performance of the model. The 10-fold cross-validation of the average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate performance, and Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was developed for interpretation.

RESULTS

The TumorStage model, radiomics model, deep model, and the combined model achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.604, 0.851, 0.840, and 0.895 on the train set and 0.571, 0.849, 0.832, and 0.900 on the test set. The combined model showed better performance of predicting the 5-year OS status of HNC patients than the radiomics model and deep model. The combined model was shown to provide a favorable fit in calibration curves and be clinically useful in decision curve analysis. SHAP summary plot and SHAP The SHAP summary plot and SHAP force plot visually interpreted the influence of deep features and radiomics features on the model results.

CONCLUSIONS

In predicting 5-year OS status in patients with HNC, 3D deep features could provide richer features for combined model, which showed outperformance compared with the radiomics model and deep model.

Evaluation of bone marrow invasion on the machine learning of 18 F-FDG PET texture analysis in lower gingival squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Lower gingival squamous cell carcinoma (LGSCC) has the potential to invade the alveolar bone. Traditionally, the diagnosis of LGSCC relied on morphological imaging, but inconsistencies between these assessments and surgical findings have been observed. This study aimed to assess the correlation between LGSCC bone marrow invasion and PET texture features and to enhance diagnostic accuracy by using machine learning.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 159 LGSCC patients with pretreatment 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) examination from 2009 to 2017 was performed. We extracted radiomic features from the PET images, focusing on pathologic bone marrow invasion detection. Extracted features underwent the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm-based selection and were then used for machine learning via the XGBoost package to distinguish bone marrow invasion presence. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed.

RESULTS

From the 159 patients, 88 qualified for further analysis (59 men; average age, 69.2 years), and pathologic bone marrow invasion was identified in 69 (78%) of these patients. Three significant radiological features were identified: Gray level co-occurrence matrix_Correlation, INTENSITY-BASED_IntensityInterquartileRange, and MORPHOLOGICAL_SurfaceToVolumeRatio. An XGBoost machine-learning model, using PET radiomic features to detect bone marrow invasion, yielded an area under the curve value of 0.83.

CONCLUSION

Our findings highlighted the potential of 18 F-FDG PET radiomic features, combined with machine learning, as a promising avenue for improving LGSCC diagnosis and treatment. Using 18 F-FDG PET texture features may provide a robust and accurate method for determining the presence or absence of bone marrow invasion in LGSCC patients.

Prognostic value of 18 F-FDG PET radiomics and sarcopenia in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Oral cancer is one of the most common malignancies in the head and neck region. Approximately 90% of oral cancers are oral squamous cell carcinomas (OSCC). 18 F-FDG PET/CT has been used in OSCC patients for its high value in detecting metastatic lymph nodes and distant metastases. PET radiomics and sarcopenia can be measured on the PET and CT components of 18 F-FDG PET/CT.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of radiomics and sarcopenia measured on the PET and CT components of pre-operation 18 F-FDG PET/CT in OSCC.

METHODS

A total of 116 patients eventually enrolled in our study were randomly divided into two cohorts: training cohort (n = 58) and validation cohort (n = 58). The Cox model combined with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was applied to construct the radiomics score (Rad_score). The third lumber skeletal muscle index (L3 SMI) was calculated to identify sarcopenia. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify the independent prognostic factors. Based on the clinical factors, the clinical model was constructed, and the combined model was developed through the combination of the clinical model and Rad_score. C index, time-dependent C-index curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the performance of prediction models.

RESULTS

Three radiomics features constitute the Rad_score for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that Rad_score was an independent prognostic factor, whereas sarcopenia was not. The combined models showed satisfactory performance in both the training cohort (C-index: OS:0.836, PFS:0.776) and the validation cohort (C-index: OS:0.744, PFS:0.712). The combined models were visualized as nomograms. Nomogram scores can realize the risk stratification of OSCC patients. Lower nomogram score is significantly related to the poorer OS (training cohort: p < 0.0001, validation cohort: p < 0.0001, overall cohort: p < 0.0001) and PFS (training cohort: p < 0.0001, validation cohort: p = 0.00017, overall cohort: p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Rad_score, but not sarcopenia, was an independent prognostic factor for patients with OSCC. The nomograms had a satisfactory performance, which might be helpful for OSCC patients and clinicians in personalized prognostic prediction and treatment decision-making.

Prognostic Value of Radiomic Analysis Using Pre- and Post-Treatment 18F-FDG-PET/CT in Patients with Laryngeal Cancer and Hypopharyngeal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of conducting 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging has yielded different results in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer, but these results are controversial, and there is a lack of dedicated studies on each type of cancer. This study aimed to evaluate whether combining radiomic analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging features and clinical parameters has additional prognostic value in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer.

METHODS

From 2008 to 2016, data on patients diagnosed with cancer of the larynx and hypopharynx were retrospectively collected. The patients underwent pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging. The values of ΔPre-Post PET were measured from the texture features. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to select the most predictive features to formulate a Rad-score for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and Cox regression were employed to assess PFS and OS. Then, the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot were used to evaluate the performance of the radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

Study data were collected for a total of 91 patients. The mean follow-up period was 71.5 mo. (8.4-147.3). The Rad-score was formulated based on the texture parameters and was significantly associated with both PFS (p = 0.024) and OS (p = 0.009). When predicting PFS, only the Rad-score demonstrated a significant association (HR 2.1509, 95% CI [1.100-4.207], p = 0.025). On the other hand, age (HR 1.116, 95% CI [1.041-1.197], p = 0.002) and Rad-score (HR 33.885, 95% CI [2.891-397.175], p = 0.005) exhibited associations with OS. The Rad-score value showed good discrimination when it was combined with clinical parameters in both PFS (C-index 0.802-0.889) and OS (C-index 0.860-0.958). The calibration plots also showed a good agreement between the observed and predicted survival probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining clinical parameters with radiomics analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer might have additional prognostic value.

Clinical application of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography radiomics-based machine learning analyses in the field of oncology

Machine learning (ML) analyses using 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) radiomics features have been applied in the field of oncology. The current review aimed to summarize the current clinical articles about 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML analyses to solve issues in classifying or constructing prediction models for several types of tumors. In these studies, lung and mediastinal tumors were the most commonly evaluated lesions, followed by lymphatic, abdominal, head and neck, breast, gynecological, and other types of tumors. Previous studies have commonly shown that 18F-FDG PET radiomics-based ML analysis has good performance in differentiating benign from malignant tumors, predicting tumor characteristics and stage, therapeutic response, and prognosis by examining significant differences in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, accuracies, or concordance indices (> 0.70). However, these studies have reported several ML algorithms. Moreover, different ML models have been applied for the same purpose. Thus, various procedures were used in 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML analysis in oncology, and 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML models, which are easy and universally applied in clinical practice, would be expected to be established.

Identification of CT-based non-invasive radiomic biomarkers for overall survival prediction in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma

This study addresses the limited non-invasive tools for Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma (OSCC) survival prediction by identifying Computed Tomography (CT)-based biomarkers to improve prognosis prediction. A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 149 OSCC patients, including CT radiomics and clinical information. An ensemble approach involving correlation analysis, score screening, and the Sparse-L1 algorithm was used to select functional features, which were then used to build Cox Proportional Hazards models (CPH). Our CPH achieved a 0.70 concordance index in testing. The model identified two CT-based radiomics features, Gradient-Neighboring-Gray-Tone-Difference-Matrix-Strength (GNS) and normalized-Wavelet-LLL-Gray-Level-Dependence-Matrix-Large-Dependence-High-Gray-Level-Emphasis (HLE), as well as stage and alcohol usage, as survival biomarkers. The GNS group with values above 14 showed a hazard ratio of 0.12 and a 3-year survival rate of about 90%. Conversely, the GNS group with values less than or equal to 14 had a 49% survival rate. For normalized HLE, the high-end group (HLE > - 0.415) had a hazard ratio of 2.41, resulting in a 3-year survival rate of 70%, while the low-end group (HLE ≤ - 0.415) had a 36% survival rate. These findings contribute to our knowledge of how radiomics can be used to predict the outcome so that treatment plans can be tailored for patients people with OSCC to improve their survival.

The Use of Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in the Prognosis and Detection of Lymph Node Involvement in Head and Neck Cancer and Possible Impact in the Development of Personalized Therapeutic Strategy: A Systematic Review

Given the increasingly important role that the use of artificial intelligence algorithms is taking on in the medical field today (especially in oncology), the purpose of this systematic review is to analyze the main reports on such algorithms applied for the prognostic evaluation of patients with head and neck malignancies. The objective of this paper is to examine the currently available literature in the field of artificial intelligence applied to head and neck oncology, particularly in the prognostic evaluation of the patient with this kind of tumor, by means of a systematic review. The paper exposes an overview of the applications of artificial intelligence in deriving prognostic information related to the prediction of survival and recurrence and how these data may have a potential impact on the choice of therapeutic strategy, making it increasingly personalized. This systematic review was written following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines.

Performance Analysis of Six Semi-Automated Tumour Delineation Methods on [18F] Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography (FDG PET/CT) in Patients with Head and Neck Cancer

Background. Head and neck cancer (HNC) is the seventh most common neoplastic disorder at the global level. Contouring HNC lesions on [18F] Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG PET/CT) scans plays a fundamental role for diagnosis, risk assessment, radiotherapy planning and post-treatment evaluation. However, manual contouring is a lengthy and tedious procedure which requires significant effort from the clinician. Methods. We evaluated the performance of six hand-crafted, training-free methods (four threshold-based, two algorithm-based) for the semi-automated delineation of HNC lesions on FDG PET/CT. This study was carried out on a single-centre population of n=103 subjects, and the standard of reference was manual segmentation generated by nuclear medicine specialists. Figures of merit were the Sørensen-Dice coefficient (DSC) and relative volume difference (RVD). Results. Median DSC ranged between 0.595 and 0.792, median RVD between -22.0% and 87.4%. Click and draw and Nestle's methods achieved the best segmentation accuracy (median DSC, respectively, 0.792 ± 0.178 and 0.762 ± 0.107; median RVD, respectively, -21.6% ± 1270.8% and -32.7% ± 40.0%) and outperformed the other methods by a significant margin. Nestle's method also resulted in a lower dispersion of the data, hence showing stronger inter-patient stability. The accuracy of the two best methods was in agreement with the most recent state-of-the art results. Conclusions. Semi-automated PET delineation methods show potential to assist clinicians in the segmentation of HNC lesions on FDG PET/CT images, although manual refinement may sometimes be needed to obtain clinically acceptable ROIs.

Head and neck cancer treatment outcome prediction: a comparison between machine learning with conventional radiomics features and deep learning radiomics

Background

Radiomics can provide in-depth characterization of cancers for treatment outcome prediction. Conventional radiomics rely on extraction of image features within a pre-defined image region of interest (ROI) which are typically fed to a classification algorithm for prediction of a clinical endpoint. Deep learning radiomics allows for a simpler workflow where images can be used directly as input to a convolutional neural network (CNN) with or without a pre-defined ROI.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to evaluate (i) conventional radiomics and (ii) deep learning radiomics for predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) using pre-treatment 18F-fluorodeoxuglucose positron emission tomography (FDG PET) and computed tomography (CT) images.

Materials and methods

FDG PET/CT images and clinical data of patients with HNSCC treated with radio(chemo)therapy at Oslo University Hospital (OUS; n = 139) and Maastricht University Medical Center (MAASTRO; n = 99) were collected retrospectively. OUS data was used for model training and initial evaluation. MAASTRO data was used for external testing to assess cross-institutional generalizability. Models trained on clinical and/or conventional radiomics features, with or without feature selection, were compared to CNNs trained on PET/CT images without or with the gross tumor volume (GTV) included. Model performance was measured using accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC), and the F1 score calculated for both classes separately.

Results

CNNs trained directly on images achieved the highest performance on external data for both endpoints. Adding both clinical and radiomics features to these image-based models increased performance further. Conventional radiomics including clinical data could achieve competitive performance. However, feature selection on clinical and radiomics data lead to overfitting and poor cross-institutional generalizability. CNNs without tumor and node contours achieved close to on-par performance with CNNs including contours.

Conclusion

High performance and cross-institutional generalizability can be achieved by combining clinical data, radiomics features and medical images together with deep learning models. However, deep learning models trained on images without contours can achieve competitive performance and could see potential use as an initial screening tool for high-risk patients.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive and prognostic models for outcome prediction using positron emission tomography radiomics in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Positron emission tomography (PET) images of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients can assess the functional and biochemical processes at cellular levels. Therefore, PET radiomics-based prediction and prognostic models have the potentials to understand tumour heterogeneity and assist clinicians with diagnosis, prognosis and management of the disease. We conducted a systematic review of published modelling information to evaluate the usefulness of PET radiomics in the prediction and prognosis of HNSCC patients.

METHODS

We searched bibliographic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science) from 2010 to 2021 and considered 31 studies with pre-defined inclusion criteria. We followed the CHARMS checklist for data extraction and performed quality assessment using the PROBAST tool. We conducted a meta-analysis to estimate the accuracy of the prediction and prognostic models using the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and average C-statistic, respectively.

RESULTS

Manual segmentation method followed by 40% of the maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax ) thresholding is a commonly used approach. The area under the receiver operating curves of externally validated prediction models ranged between 0.60-0.87, 0.65-0.86 and 0.62-0.75 for overall survival, distant metastasis and recurrence, respectively. Most studies highlighted an overall high risk of bias (outcome definition, statistical methodologies and external validation of models) and high unclear concern in terms of applicability. The meta-analysis showed the estimated pooled DOR of 6.75 (95% CI: 4.45, 10.23) for prediction models and the C-statistic of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.74) for prognostic models.

CONCLUSIONS

Both prediction and prognostic models using clinical variables and PET radiomics demonstrated reliable accuracy for detecting adverse outcomes in HNSCC, suggesting the prospect of PET radiomics in clinical settings for diagnosis, prognosis and management of HNSCC patients. Future studies of prediction and prognostic models should emphasise the quality of reporting, external model validation, generalisability to real clinical scenarios and enhanced reproducibility of results.

Development of a Model Based on Delta-Radiomic Features for the Optimization of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patient Treatment

Background and Objectives: To our knowledge, this is the first study that investigated the prognostic value of radiomics features extracted from not only staging 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG PET/CT) images, but also post-induction chemotherapy (ICT) PET/CT images. This study aimed to construct a training model based on radiomics features obtained from PET/CT in a cohort of patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with ICT, to predict locoregional recurrence, development of distant metastases, and the overall survival, and to extract the most significant radiomics features, which were included in the final model. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study analyzed data of 55 patients. All patients underwent PET/CT at the initial staging and after ICT. Along the classical set of 13 parameters, the original 52 parameters were extracted from each PET/CT study and an additional 52 parameters were generated as a difference between radiomics parameters before and after the ICT. Five machine learning algorithms were tested. Results: The Random Forest algorithm demonstrated the best performance (R² 0.963-0.998) in the majority of datasets. The strongest correlation in the classical dataset was between the time to disease progression and time to death (r = 0.89). Another strong correlation (r ≥ 0.8) was between higher-order texture indices GLRLM_GLNU, GLRLM_SZLGE, and GLRLM_ZLNU and standard PET parameters MTV, TLG, and SUVmax. Patients with a higher numerical expression of GLCM_ContrastVariance, extracted from the delta dataset, had a longer survival and longer time until progression (p = 0.001). Good correlations were observed between Discretized_SUVstd or Discretized_SUVSkewness and time until progression (p = 0.007). Conclusions: Radiomics features extracted from the delta dataset produced the most robust data. Most of the parameters had a positive impact on the prediction of the overall survival and the time until progression. The strongest single parameter was GLCM_ContrastVariance. Discretized_SUVstd or Discretized_SUVSkewness demonstrated a strong correlation with the time until progression.

The Prognostic and Diagnostic Value of [18F]FDG PET/CT in Untreated Laryngeal Carcinoma

This study aims to determine the diagnostic accuracy of staging PET/CT and neck MRI in patients with laryngeal carcinoma and to assess the value of PET/CT in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Sixty-eight patients who had both modalities performed before treatment between 2014 and 2021 were included in this study. The sensitivity and specificity of PET/CT and MRI were evaluated. PET/CT had 93.8% sensitivity, 58.3% specificity, and 75% accuracy for nodal metastasis, whereas MRI had 68.8%, 61.1%, and 64.7% accuracy, respectively. At a median follow-up of 51 months, 23 patients had developed disease progression and 17 patients had died. Univariate-survival analysis revealed all utilized PET parameters as significant prognostic factors for OS and PFS (p-value < 0.03 each). In multivariate analysis, metabolic-tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) predicted better PFS (p-value < 0.05 each). In conclusion, PET/CT improves the accuracy of nodal staging in laryngeal carcinoma over neck MRI and adds to the prognostication of survival outcomes through the use of several PET metrics.

Role of PET/CT in Oropharyngeal Cancers

Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) comprises cancers of the tonsils, tongue base, soft palate, and uvula. The staging of oropharyngeal cancers varies depending upon the presence or absence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-directed pathogenesis. The incidence of HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (HPV + OPSCC) is expected to continue to rise over the coming decades. PET/CT is a useful modality for the diagnosis, staging, and follow up of patients with oropharyngeal cancers undergoing treatment and surveillance.

Prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomics combining dosiomics and dose volume histogram for head and neck cancer

OBJECTIVES

By comparing the prognostic performance of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomics combining dose features [Includes Dosiomics feature and the dose volume histogram (DVH) features] with that of conventional radiomics in head and neck cancer (HNC), multidimensional prognostic models were constructed to investigate the overall survival (OS) in HNC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 220 cases from four centres based on the Cancer Imaging Archive public dataset were used in this study, 2260 radiomics features and 1116 dosiomics features and 8 DVH features were extracted for each case, and classified into seven different models of PET, CT, Dose, PET+CT, PET+Dose, CT+Dose and PET+CT+Dose. Features were selected by univariate Cox and Spearman correlation coefficients, and the selected features were brought into the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox model. A nomogram was constructed to visually analyse the prognostic impact of the incorporated dose features. C-index and Kaplan-Meier curves (log-rank analysis) were used to evaluate and compare these models.

RESULTS

The cases from the four centres were divided into three different training and validation sets according to the hospitals. The PET+CT+Dose model had C-indexes of 0.873 (95% CI 0.812-0.934), 0.759 (95% CI 0.663-0.855) and 0.835 (95% CI 0.745-0.925) in the validation set respectively, outperforming the rest models overall. The PET+CT+Dose model did well in classifying patients into high- and low-risk groups under all three different sets of experiments (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Multidimensional model of radiomics features combining dosiomics features and DVH features showed high prognostic performance for predicting OS in patients with HNC.

Radiomics Applications in Head and Neck Tumor Imaging: A Narrative Review

Recent advances in machine learning and artificial intelligence technology have ensured automated evaluation of medical images. As a result, quantifiable diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers have been created. We discuss radiomics applications for the head and neck region in this paper. Molecular characterization, categorization, prognosis and therapy recommendation are given special consideration. In a narrative manner, we outline the fundamental technological principles, the overall idea and usual workflow of radiomic analysis and what seem to be the present and potential challenges in normal clinical practice. Clinical oncology intends for all of this to ensure informed decision support for personalized and useful cancer treatment. Head and neck cancers present a unique set of diagnostic and therapeutic challenges. These challenges are brought on by the complicated anatomy and heterogeneity of the area under investigation. Radiomics has the potential to address these barriers. Future research must be interdisciplinary and focus on the study of certain oncologic functions and outcomes, with external validation and multi-institutional cooperation in order to achieve this.

Machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping of thymic epithelial tumors: Predicting pathological and survival outcomes

OBJECTIVE

For patients with thymic epithelial tumors, accurately predicting clinicopathological outcomes remains challenging. We aimed to investigate the performance of machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping for predicting pathological (World Health Organization [WHO] type and TNM stage) and survival outcomes (overall and progression-free survival) in patients with thymic epithelial tumors.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with thymic epithelial tumors between January 2001 and January 2022. The radiomic features were extracted from preoperative unenhanced computed tomography images. After strict feature selection, random forest and random survival forest models were fitted to predict pathological and survival outcomes, respectively. The model performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) and validated internally by the bootstrap method.

RESULTS

In total, 124 patients with a median age of 61 years were included. The radiomics random forest models of WHO type and TNM stage showed satisfactory performance with an AUC_WHO of 0.898 (95% CI, 0.753-1.000) and an AUC_TNM of 0.766 (95% CI, 0.642-0.886). For overall survival and progression-free survival prediction, the radiomics random survival forest models showed good performance (integrated AUCs, 0.923; 95% CI, 0.691-1.000 and 0.702; 95% CI, 0.513-0.875, respectively), and the integrated AUCs increased to 0.935 (95% CI, 0.705-1.000) and 0.811 (95% CI, 0.647-0.942), respectively, when combined with clinicopathological features.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping might allow for the satisfactory prediction of pathological and survival outcomes and further improve prognostic performance when integrated with clinicopathological features in patients with thymic epithelial tumors.

Development and validation of a [18F]FDG PET/CT-based radiomics nomogram to predict the prognostic risk of pretreatment diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients

Objective

In this study, based on PET/CT radiomics features, we developed and validated a nomogram to predict progression-free survival (PFS) for cases with diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with immunochemotherapy.

Methods

This study retrospectively recruited 129 cases with DLBCL. Among them, PET/CT scans were conducted and baseline images were collected for radiomics features along with their clinicopathological features. Radiomics features related to recurrence were screened for survival analysis using univariate Cox regression analysis with p < 0.05. Next, a weighted Radiomics-score (Rad-score) was generated and independent risk factors were obtained from univariate and multivariate Cox regressions to build the nomogram. Furthermore, the nomogram was tested for their ability to predict PFS using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Blood platelet, Rad-score, and gender were included in the nomogram as independent DLBCL risk factors for PFS. We found that the training cohort areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.79, 0.84, and 0.88, and validation cohort AUCs were 0.67, 0.83, and 0.72, respectively. Further, the DCA and calibration curves confirmed the predictive nomogram’s clinical relevance.

Conclusion

Using Rad-score, blood platelet, and gender of the DLBCL patients, a PET/CT radiomics-based nomogram was developed to guide cases’ recurrence risk assessment prior to treatment. The developed nomogram can help provide more appropriate treatment plans to the cases.

Key Points

• DLBCL cases can be classified into low- and high-risk groups using PET/CT radiomics based Rad-score.

• When combined with other clinical characteristics (gender and blood platelet count), Rad-score can be used to predict the outcome of the pretreatment of DLBCL cases with a certain degree of accuracy.

• A prognostic nomogram was established in this study in order to aid in assessing prognostic risk and providing more accurate treatment plans for DLBCL cases.

Radiomics in Oncological PET Imaging: A Systematic Review—Part 1, Supradiaphragmatic Cancers

Radiomics is an upcoming field in nuclear oncology, both promising and technically challenging. To summarize the already undertaken work on supradiaphragmatic neoplasia and assess its quality, we performed a literature search in the PubMed database up to 18 February 2022. Inclusion criteria were: studies based on human data; at least one specified tumor type; supradiaphragmatic malignancy; performing radiomics on PET imaging. Exclusion criteria were: studies only based on phantom or animal data; technical articles without a clinically oriented question; fewer than 30 patients in the training cohort. A review database containing PMID, year of publication, cancer type, and quality criteria (number of patients, retrospective or prospective nature, independent validation cohort) was constructed. A total of 220 studies met the inclusion criteria. Among them, 119 (54.1%) studies included more than 100 patients, 21 studies (9.5%) were based on prospectively acquired data, and 91 (41.4%) used an independent validation set. Most studies focused on prognostic and treatment response objectives. Because the textural parameters and methods employed are very different from one article to another, it is complicated to aggregate and compare articles. New contributions and radiomics guidelines tend to help improving quality of the reported studies over the years.

Cleaning Radiotherapy Contours for Radiomics Studies, is it Worth it? A Head and Neck Cancer Study

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PET images features are more stable across different delineation of the same target.

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Shape family features are more stable.

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The survival model based on Dedicated contours achieved better performance for predicting PFS.

A vast majority of studies in the radiomics field are based on contours originating from radiotherapy planning. This kind of delineation (e.g. Gross Tumor Volume, GTV) is often larger than the true tumoral volume, sometimes including parts of other organs (e.g. trachea in Head and Neck, H&N studies) and the impact of such over-segmentation was little investigated so far. In this paper, we propose to evaluate and compare the performance between models using two contour types: those from radiotherapy planning, and those specifically delineated for radiomics studies. For the latter, we modified the radiotherapy contours to fit the true tumoral volume. The two contour types were compared when predicting Progression-Free Survival (PFS) using Cox models based on radiomics features extracted from FluoroDeoxyGlucose-Positron Emission Tomography (FDG-PET) and CT images of 239 patients with oropharyngeal H&N cancer collected from five centers, the data from the 2020 HECKTOR challenge. Using Dedicated contours demonstrated better performance for predicting PFS, where Harell’s concordance indices of 0.61 and 0.69 were achieved for Radiotherapy and Dedicated contours, respectively. Using automatically Resegmented contours based on a fixed intensity range was associated with a C-index of 0.63. These results illustrate the importance of using clean dedicated contours that are close to the true tumoral volume in radiomics studies, even when tumor contours are already available from radiotherapy treatment planning

Multidimensional Mutational Profiling of the Indian HNSCC Sub-Population Provides IRAK1, a Novel Driver Gene and Potential Druggable Target

Head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) include heterogeneous group of tumors, classified according to their anatomical site. It is the sixth most prevalent cancer globally. Among South Asian countries, India accounts for 40% of HNC malignancies with significant morbidity and mortality. In the present study, we have performed exome sequencing and analysis of 51 Head and Neck squamous cell carcinoma samples. Besides known mutations in the oncogenes and tumour suppressors, we have identified novel gene signatures differentiating buccal, alveolar, and tongue cancers. Around 50% of the patients showed mutation in tumour suppressor genes TP53 and TP63. Apart from the known mutations, we report novel mutations in the genes AKT1, SPECC1, and LRP1B, which are linked with tumour progression and patient survival. A highly curated process was developed to identify survival signatures. 36 survival-related genes were identified based on the correlation of functional impact of variants identified using exome-seq with gene expression from transcriptome data (GEPIA database) and survival. An independent LASSO regression analysis was also performed. Survival signatures common to both the methods led to identification of 4 dead and 3 alive gene signatures, the accuracy of which was confirmed by performing a ROC analysis (AUC=0.79 and 0.91, respectively). Also, machine learning-based driver gene prediction tool resulted in the identification of IRAK1 as the driver (p-value = 9.7 e-08) and also as an actionable mutation. Modelling of the IRAK1 mutation showed a decrease in its binding to known IRAK1 inhibitors.

Radiomics outperforms clinical factors in characterizing human papilloma virus (HPV) for patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas

Purpose:To utilize radiomic features extracted from CT images to characterize Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) for patients with oropharyngeal cancer squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).Methods:One hundred twenty-eight OPSCC patients with known HPV-status (60-HPV+ and 68-HPV-, confirmed by immunohistochemistry-P16-protein testing) were retrospectively studied. Radiomic features (11 feature-categories) were extracted in 3D from contrast-enhanced (CE)-CT images of gross-tumor-volumes using 'in-house' software ('ROdiomiX') developed and validated following the image-biomarker-standardization-initiative (IBSI) guidelines. Six clinical factors were investigated: Age-at-Diagnosis, Gender, Total-Charlson, Alcohol-Use, Smoking-History, and T-Stage. A Least-Absolute-Shrinkage-and-Selection-Operation (Lasso) technique combined with a Generalized-Linear-Model (Lasso-GLM) were applied to perform regularization in the radiomic and clinical feature spaces to identify the ranking of optimal feature subsets with most representative information for prediction of HPV. Lasso-GLM models/classifiers based on clinical factors only, radiomics only, and combined clinical and radiomics (ensemble/integrated) were constructed using random-permutation-sampling. Tests of significance (One-way ANOVA), average Area-Under-Receiver-Operating-Characteristic (AUC), and Positive and Negative Predictive values (PPV and NPV) were computed to estimate the generalization-error and prediction performance of the classifiers.Results:Five clinical factors, including T-stage, smoking status, and age, and 14 radiomic features, including tumor morphology, and intensity contrast were found to be statistically significant discriminators between HPV positive and negative cohorts. Performances for prediction of HPV for the 3 classifiers were: Radiomics-Lasso-GLM: AUC/PPV/NPV=0.789/0.755/0.805; Clinical-Lasso-GLM: 0.676/0.747/0.672, and Integrated/Ensemble-Lasso-GLM: 0.895/0.874/0.844. Results imply that the radiomics-based classifier enabled better characterization and performance prediction of HPV relative to clinical factors, and that the combination of both radiomics and clinical factors yields even higher accuracy characterization and predictive performance.Conclusion:Albeit subject to confirmation in a larger cohort, this pilot study presents encouraging results in support of the role of radiomic features towards characterization of HPV in patients with OPSCC.

A Prospectively Validated Prognostic Model for Patients with Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck Based on Radiomics of Computed Tomography Images

BACKGROUND

Locoregionally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients have high relapse and mortality rates. Imaging-based decision support may improve outcomes by optimising personalised treatment, and support patient risk stratification. We propose a multifactorial prognostic model including radiomics features to improve risk stratification for advanced HNSCC, compared to TNM eighth edition, the gold standard.

PATIENT AND METHODS

Data of 666 retrospective- and 143 prospective-stage III-IVA/B HNSCC patients were collected. A multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model was trained to predict overall survival (OS) using diagnostic CT-based radiomics features extracted from the primary tumour. Separate analyses were performed using TNM8, tumour volume, clinical and biological variables, and combinations thereof with radiomics features. Patient risk stratification in three groups was assessed through Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves. A log-rank test was performed for significance (p-value < 0.05). The prognostic accuracy was reported through the concordance index (CI).

RESULTS

A model combining an 11-feature radiomics signature, clinical and biological variables, TNM8, and volume could significantly stratify the validation cohort into three risk groups (p < 0∙01, CI of 0.79 as validation).

CONCLUSION

A combination of radiomics features with other predictors can predict OS very accurately for advanced HNSCC patients and improves on the current gold standard of TNM8.

A Systematic Review of PET Textural Analysis and Radiomics in Cancer

Background: Although many works have supported the utility of PET radiomics, several authors have raised concerns over the robustness and replicability of the results. This study aimed to perform a systematic review on the topic of PET radiomics and the used methodologies. Methods: PubMed was searched up to 15 October 2020. Original research articles based on human data specifying at least one tumor type and PET image were included, excluding those that apply only first-order statistics and those including fewer than 20 patients. Each publication, cancer type, objective and several methodological parameters (number of patients and features, validation approach, among other things) were extracted. Results: A total of 290 studies were included. Lung (28%) and head and neck (24%) were the most studied cancers. The most common objective was prognosis/treatment response (46%), followed by diagnosis/staging (21%), tumor characterization (18%) and technical evaluations (15%). The average number of patients included was 114 (median = 71; range 20–1419), and the average number of high-order features calculated per study was 31 (median = 26, range 1–286). Conclusions: PET radiomics is a promising field, but the number of patients in most publications is insufficient, and very few papers perform in-depth validations. The role of standardization initiatives will be crucial in the upcoming years.

Application of radiomics and machine learning in head and neck cancers

With the continuous development of medical image informatics technology, more and more high-throughput quantitative data could be extracted from digital medical images, which has resulted in a new kind of omics-Radiomics. In recent years, in addition to genomics, proteomics and metabolomics, radiomic has attracted the interest of more and more researchers. Compared to other omics, radiomics can be perfectly integrated with clinical data, even with the pathology and molecular biomarker, so that the study can be closer to the clinical reality and more revealing of the tumor development. Mass data will also be generated in this process. Machine learning, due to its own characteristics, has a unique advantage in processing massive radiomic data. By analyzing mass amounts of data with strong clinical relevance, people can construct models that more accurately reflect tumor development and progression, thereby providing the possibility of personalized and sequential treatment of patients. As one of the cancer types whose treatment and diagnosis rely on imaging examination, radiomics has a very broad application prospect in head and neck cancers (HNC). Until now, there have been some notable results in HNC. In this review, we will introduce the concepts and workflow of radiomics and machine learning and their current applications in head and neck cancers, as well as the directions and applications of artificial intelligence in the treatment and diagnosis of HNC.