COVID-19-associated Coagulopathy Characterization using Rotational Thromboelastometry in a Prospective, Observational Cohort Study: The HemoCoV Study

Anticoagulation Management in V-V ECMO Patients: A Multidisciplinary Pragmatic Protocol

(1) Background: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is a complex procedure affecting both the risk of thrombosis and bleeding. High-quality data to personalize anticoagulation management in ECMO are lacking, resulting in a high variability in practice among centers. For this reason, we review coagulation methods and monitoring and share a pragmatic proposal of coagulation management, as performed in our high-volume ECMO Referral Centre; (2) Methods: We revised the anticoagulation options and monitoring methods available for coagulation management in ECMO through PubMed search based on words including "anticoagulation," "coagulation assays," "ECMO," "ELSO," and "ISTH"; (3) Results: Actual revision of the literature was described as our routine practice regarding ECMO anticoagulation and monitoring; (4) Conclusions: No coagulation test is exclusively predictive of bleeding or thrombotic risk in patients undergoing ECMO support. An approach that allows for a tailored regimen of anticoagulation (regardless of agent used) and monitoring is mandatory. To accomplish this, we propose that the titration of anticoagulation therapies should include multiple laboratory tests, including anti-Xa, aPTT, ACT, viscoelastic tests, AT levels, platelet count, fibrinogen, and FXIII levels. Anticoagulation regimens should be tailored to a specific patient and personalized based on this complex array of essays.

Prediction of respiratory failure risk in patients with pneumonia in the ICU using ensemble learning models

The aim of this study was to develop early prediction models for respiratory failure risk in patients with severe pneumonia using four ensemble learning algorithms: LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, and random forest, and to compare the predictive performance of each model. In this study, we used the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) for sample extraction, built a respiratory failure risk prediction model for patients with severe pneumonia based on four ensemble learning algorithms, and developed compact models corresponding to the four complete models to improve clinical practicality. The average area under receiver operating curve (AUROC) of the models on the test sets after ten random divisions of the dataset and the average accuracy at the best threshold were used as the evaluation metrics of the model performance. Finally, feature importance and Shapley additive explanation values were introduced to improve the interpretability of the model. A total of 1676 patients with pneumonia were analyzed in this study, of whom 297 developed respiratory failure one hour after admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Both complete and compact CatBoost models had the highest average AUROC (0.858 and 0.857, respectively). The average accuracies at the best threshold were 75.19% and 77.33%, respectively. According to the feature importance bars and summary plot of the predictor variables, activetx (indicates whether the patient received active treatment), standard deviation of prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, Glasgow Coma Scale verbal score, age, and minimum oxygen saturation and respiratory rate were important. Compared with other ensemble learning models, the complete and compact CatBoost models have significantly higher average area under the curve values on the 10 randomly divided test sets. Additionally, the standard deviation (SD) of the compact CatBoost model is relatively small (SD:0.050), indicating that the performance of the compact CatBoost model is stable among these four ensemble learning models. The machine learning predictive models built in this study will help in early prediction and intervention of respiratory failure risk in patients with pneumonia in the ICU.