Rectal cancer patients with downstaging after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and radical resection do not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy

Can yStage Ⅰ/Ⅱ rectal cancer patients be treated in the same way as stage Ⅰ/Ⅱ patients?

Background

Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) before radical surgery are effective treatments for locally advanced rectal cancer. However, the treatment strategy after NAT and surgery is still unclear. It is difficult to accurately evaluate the stage before NAT, as some cases are downstaged by NAT.

Objective

We investigated the treatment strategies based on the postoperative pathology of patients with yStage Ⅰ or Ⅱ rectal cancer who underwent NAT and radical resection.

Design

They patients were retrospectively evaluated the long-term outcomes. They were divided into patients with yStage I/II receiving NAT and patients with stage I/II patients without NAT (non-NAT). Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined, and the prognosis was compared. Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the recurrence risk factors in all patients or NAT. We compared the effects of adjuvant therapy in NAT.

Patients

Overall, 521 patients histologically diagnosed with yStage I/II or stage I/II who underwent surgery for rectal cancer between April 2001 and July 2019 were eligible.

Results

The NAT and non-NAT groups included 80 and 441 patients, respectively. DFS was significantly lower in NAT, but there was no difference in OS between the two groups. All patients had several recurrence risk factors, but none of the NAT had such risk factors. No significant difference in DFS and OS was found between NAT with and without adjuvant chemotherapy.

Limitation

This is a single-center retrospective study.

Conclusions

NAT had lower DFS than non-NAT, but no difference in OS was observed. No significant recurrence risk factors were observed in NAT. Adjuvant chemotherapy for NAT may have no benefit.

The role of adjuvant chemotherapy in rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has emerged as the established treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer. Nevertheless, there remains a debate regarding the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who exhibit a favorable tumor response (ypT0-2N0) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery. Thus, the objective of this study is to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on the oncological prognosis of rectal cancer patients who have a good response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Materials and methods

The study was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol. Articles were searched in the Web of Science, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases. The primary outcomes assessed were 5-year overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, recurrence-free survival, local recurrence, and distant metastasis. The data was summarized using a random effects model.

Results

A meta-analysis was conducted using 18 retrospective studies published between 2009 and 2023. The studies included 9 from China and 5 from Korea, involving a total of 6566 patients with ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The pooled data revealed that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved 5-year overall survival (OR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.15-2.65, P=0.008), recurrence-free survival (OR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.20-2.48, P=0.003), and reduced distant metastasis (OR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.51-0.92, P=0.011). However, adjuvant chemotherapy did not have a significant effect on disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and local recurrence in ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer. Subgroup analysis indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial in improving overall survival for ypT1-2N0 rectal cancer (OR=1.89, 95% CI: 1.13-3.19, P=0.003).

Conclusion

The findings of the meta-analysis suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy may provide benefits in terms of oncological outcomes for rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and radical surgery. However, further prospective clinical studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Cytokeratin 7 Expression and Mismatch Repair Status for Survival Prediction in Patients With Low Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Therapy

BACKGROUND

More than half of the patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer exhibit no or minor response to nCRT. It is important to investigate the predictive and prognostic values of potential biomarkers in patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer receiving nCRT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 162 patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer who underwent nCRT, followed by total mesorectal excision (TME) between 2016 and 2019. Cytokeratin 7 (CK7) expression and mismatch repair (MMR) status were determined by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square test. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox methods.

RESULTS

There were predominance significant differences in distance from anus margin (P < .0001) and circumferential extent of the tumor (P < .0001).CK7 positive expression was detected in 21 of the 162 patients (13%). The univariate and multivariate analysis revealed that patients whose tumors had CK7 positive expression had significantly shorter OS (HR = 3.878, P = .038; HR = 1.677, P = .035) and DFS (HR = 3.055, P = .027;HR = 3.569, P = .038) than those with CK7 negative expression. While patients with CK7 positive expression had a higher proportion of worse TRG compared with CK7 negative patients (P = .001). Patients with deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) just occupied a small proportion (8.6%), but there was still a close connection between the MMR status and recurrence after TME (P = .045). MMR status was an independent risk factor affecting the OS (HR = .307, P < .0001; HR = .123, P < .0001) and DFS (HR = .288, P < .0001; HR = .286, P < .0001) by univariate and multivariate analysis. But no significant difference in the proportion of TRG was observed between patients with dMMR and pMMR (P = .920).

CONCLUSIONS

The result confirms negative prognostic role of CK7-positive and dMMR statuses, which have potential predictive value for neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response. This provides opportunity to modify individualized treatment strategies for patients with different CK7 expression levels and dMMR statuses.

Combination of Changes in CEA and CA199 Concentration After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Could Predict the Prognosis of Stage II/III Rectal Cancer Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Total Mesorectal Excision

Background

Previous studies have shown that the levels of serum tumor markers CEA and CA19-9 were related to chemoradiotherapy. Therefore, it has been assumed that dynamic monitoring of these markers could predict the prognosis of stage II/III rectal cancer (RC). Therefore, this study proposed to evaluate the prognostic value of changes in serum tumor biomarkers for stage II/III RC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME).

Methods

A total of 217 patients with stage II/III RC receiving NCRT followed by TME were retrospectively analyzed. Serum CEA and CA199 levels were measured within one week before NCRT and one week before TME. The optimal cut-off points of ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% for prognosis prediction were calculated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. Independent prognostic predictors were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. To avoid the efficiency of ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% on serum tumor biomarker change (STBC) score, two models including and excluding ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% were established separately in multivariate analysis.

Results

The optimal cut-off point for ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% were −30.29% and 20.30%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that ∆CEA%, ∆CA199%, STBC score, ypT staging and yN staging could predict OS. ypT staging and STBC score could predict DFS. In multivariate analysis, only ∆CA199% (HR = 0.468, 95% CI: 0.220–0.994, p = 0.048), ypT staging (HR = 0.420, 95% CI: 0.182–0.970, p = 0.042), and STBC score (HR = 0.204, 95% CI: 0.078–0.532, p = 0.001) were independently related to OS; and STBC score (HR = 0.412, 95% CI: 0.216–0.785, p=0.007) and ypT staging (HR = 0.421, 95% CI: 0.224–0.792, p = 0.007) were independently related to DFS.

Conclusion

We established a combined STBC score to predict the prognosis of stage II/III RC patients receiving NCRT followed by TME. The predictive value of the combined score was stronger than a single marker alone and even stronger than several pathological indicators.

Survival outcomes analysis according to mismatch repair status in locally advanced rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

The predictive role of mismatch repair (MMR) status for survival outcomes and sensitivity in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy settings for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) has been inconclusive.

Methods

A retrospective cohort of patients with LARC treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) was recruited. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, we used propensity score matching to reduce the effect of potential confounding factors on MMR status. The primary analysis was based on overall survival as the more important endpoint.

Results

This study included 269 patients. Patients with defective MMR (dMMR) were younger (58.5% vs. 60.0%, p=0.0274) and had lower body mass indices (p=0.0091), higher differentiation grades (p=0.0889), and more advanced rectal cancers (clinical T4 or T4b, p=0.0851; M1, p=0.0055) than those with proficient MMR (pMMR). However, propensity score-matched patients with dMMR (p=0.0013) exhibited superior overall survival, even in the M1 subgroup. More importantly, patients with proficient MMR who undergo early pathological downstaging, especially lymph node pathological downstaging, can achieve a prognosis similar to that of patients with dMMR.

Conclusion

The clinical significance of this retrospective study mainly includes two points: (1) Data from our study confirmed that LARC patients with dMMR status had better overall survival rates after nCRT, even in the M1 subgroup. (2) Similar survival outcomes were observed in older and female patients with early lymph node pathological downstaging, regardless of dMMR or pMMR.

The Utility of ADC First-Order Histogram Features for the Prediction of Metachronous Metastases in Rectal Cancer: A Preliminary Study

Simple Summary

Metachronous metastases are the main factors affecting survival in rectal cancer, and 15–25% of patients will develop them at a 5-year follow-up. Early identification of patients with higher risk of developing distant metachronous metastases would help to improve therapeutic protocols and could allow for a more accurate, personalized management. Apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) represents an MRI quantitative biomarker, which can assess the diffusion characteristics of tissues, depending on the microscopic mobility of water, showing information related to tissue cellularity. First-order histogram-based features statistics describe the frequency distribution of intensity values within a region of interest, revealing microstructural alterations. In our study, we demonstrated that whole-tumor ADC first-order features may provide useful information for the assessment of rectal cancer prognosis, regarding the occurrence of metachronous metastases.

Abstract

This study aims the ability of first-order histogram-based features, derived from ADC maps, to predict the occurrence of metachronous metastases (MM) in rectal cancer. A total of 52 patients with pathologically confirmed rectal adenocarcinoma were retrospectively enrolled and divided into two groups: patients who developed metachronous metastases (n = 15) and patients without metachronous metastases (n = 37). We extracted 17 first-order (FO) histogram-based features from the pretreatment ADC maps. Student’s t-test and Mann–Whitney U test were used for the association between each FO feature and presence of MM. Statistically significant features were combined into a model, using the binary regression logistic method. The receiver operating curve analysis was used to determine the diagnostic performance of the individual parameters and combined model. There were significant differences in ADC 90th percentile, interquartile range, entropy, uniformity, variance, mean absolute deviation, and robust mean absolute deviation in patients with MM, as compared to those without MM (p values between 0.002–0.01). The best diagnostic was achieved by the 90th percentile and uniformity, yielding an AUC of 0.74 [95% CI: 0.60–0.8]). The combined model reached an AUC of 0.8 [95% CI: 0.66–0.90]. Our observations point out that ADC first-order features may be useful for predicting metachronous metastases in rectal cancer.

The combination of pre-neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy inflammation biomarkers could be a prognostic marker for rectal cancer patients

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) have a strong association with prognosis in patients with Stage II/III rectal cancer (RC). We attempted to explore a new system combining these two ratios, named the NLM score, and examine its prognostic value in Stage II/III RC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). We retrospectively analyzed data of 237 stage II/III RC patients who underwent NCRT followed by standard TME in our hospital and defined the NLM score as follows: Score 2: pre-NCRT NLR > 2.565 and pre-NCRT LMR < 2.410. Score 1: (pre-NCRT NLR > 2.565 and pre-NCRT LMR > 2.410) OR (pre-NCRT NLR < 2.565 and pre-NCRT LMR < 2.410). Score 0: pre-NCRT NLR < 2.565 and pre-NCRT LMR > 2.410. Multivariate analyses implied that lower ypTNM stage (stage 0–I vs. II–III) (hazard ratio [HR] 0.420, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.180–0.980 for OS; HR 0.375, 95% CI 0.163–0.862 for DFS) and an NLM score ≤ 1 (HR 0.288, 95% CI 0.134–0.619 for OS; HR 0.229, 95% CI 0.107–0.494 for DFS) could independently predict better overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The novel scoring system, which integrated pre-NCRT NLR and pre-NCRT LMR, was an independent prognostic factor in stage II/III RC patients undergoing NRCT and had better predictive values than these ratios alone.