Is the new distribution of early esophageal adenocarcinoma stages improving the prognostic prediction of the 8th edition of the TNM staging system for esophageal cancer?

Impact of neoadjuvant FLOT treatment of advanced gastric and gastroesophageal junction cancer following surgical therapy

Introduction

Therapeutic treatment for advanced-stage (T2–T4) gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) and gastric cancer involves neoadjuvant chemotherapy with subsequent surgical intervention.

Method

Neoadjuvant oncological treatment for GEJ and gastric cancer previously consisted of the intravenous administration of epirubicin, cisplatin and fluorouracil (ECF) or epirubicin, cisplatin and capecitabine (ECX) combination (Group 1). The new protocol (FLOT, F: 5-FU, L: leucovorin, O: oxaliplatin, T: docetaxel), included patients with resectable GEJ and gastric cancer who had a clinical stage cT2 or higher nodal positive cN+ disease (Group 2). Between 31 December 2008 and 31 October 2022, the effect of different oncological protocols in terms of surgical outcomes in cases of T2–T4 tumours were retrospectively evaluated. Results of randomly assigned patients from the earlier ECF/ECX protocol (n = 36) (Group 1) and the new FLOT protocol (n = 52) (Group 2) were compared. Effect of different neoadjuvant therapies on tumour regression, types of possible side effects, type of surgery, and oncological radicality of surgical procedures were analysed.

Results

When comparing the two groups, we found that in case of the FLOT neoadjuvant chemotherapy (Group 2, n = 52), complete regression was achieved in 13.95% of patients, whereas in the case of ECF/ECX (Group 1, n = 36), complete regression occurred in only 9.10% of patients. Furthermore, in the FLOT group, the mean number of lymph nodes removed was slightly higher (24.69 vs. 20.13 in the ECF/ECX group). In terms of the safety resection margin (proximal), no significant difference was found between the two treatment groups. Nausea and vomiting were the most common side effects. The occurrence of diarrhea was significantly higher in the FLOT group (p = 0.006). Leukopenia and nausea occurred more commonly with the old protocol (Group 1). The rate of neutropenia was lower following FLOT treatment (p = 0.294), with the lack of grade II and III cases. Anaemia occured at a significantly higher rate (p = 0.036) after the ECF/ECX protocol.

Conclusions

As a result of the FLOT neoadjuvant oncological protocol for advanced gastro-esophageal junction and gastric cancer, the rate of complete tumour regression increased significantly. The rate of side effects was also appreciably lower following the FLOT protocol. These results strongly suggest a significant advantage of the FLOT neoadjuvant treatment used before surgery.

Construction and validation of a nomogram model to predict the overall survival rate of esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy: A population-based study

Introduction

The development of neoadjuvant chemotherapy(nCT) improves the overall survival (OS) of patients with esophageal cancer(EC). The aim of this study was to determine the independent prognostic factors of EC patients receiving nCT, and to construct a nomogram model for predicting OS.

Method

This retrospective analysis was conducted from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results, Clinicopathological data of patients with EC who received nCT from 2004 to 2015. The included patients were randomly divided into the training cohort and the validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the patients in the training cohort to determine the independent prognostic factors. Based on the independent prognostic variables, nomogram models for 1-year, 2-year and 3-year OS were constructed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the discriminative ability. The calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival analysis were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy and clinical application value.

Results

A total of 2,493 patients were enrolled, with 1,748 patients in the training cohort and 745 patients in the validation cohort. Gender, marital status, tumor pathological grade, T stage, N stage, and M stage were identified as independent prognostic factor (P < 0.05). A novel nomogram model was constructed. ROC curve analysis revealed that the model had moderate predictive performance, which was better than that of the AJCC TNM staging system.The calibration curves showed a high agreement between the actual observed values and the predicted values. The DCA suggested that the newly constructed prediction model had good clinical application value. K-M survival analysis showed that the model was helpful to accurately distinguish the prognosis of patients with different risk levels.

Conclusions

Gender, tumor pathological grade, marital status, T stage, N stage and M stage were identified as independent prognostic factors for overall survival of patients with esophageal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. A nomogram prediction model was established, which was helpful to accurately and reliably predict the overall survival rate of patients with esophageal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy at 1, 2 and 3 years.

Prognostic value of fibroblast activation protein expressing tumor volume calculated from [68 Ga]Ga-FAPI PET/CT in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of semiquantitative parameters derived from [68 Ga]Ga-fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI) PET/CT for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis on patients from a prospective parent study (NCT04416165). A total of 45 patients with locally advanced ESCC who underwent [68 Ga]Ga-FAPI from December 2019 to March 2021 were included. The maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), gross tumor volume (GTV), and total lesion-FAPI (TL-FAPI) of the primary tumor were calculated from the corresponding PET/CT image. Unpaired parameters were compared using Student's t test or the Mann-Whitney U test. Paired parameters were compared using the paired t test or the Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to calculate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates, and Cox regression analysis was performed to determine which PET/CT parameters were prognostic factors for PFS and/or OS.

RESULTS

Thirty-four of the 45 patients met the criteria, and the median follow-up time was 24 months (16-29 months). SUVmax-FAPI, GTVFAPI, and TL-FAPI in patients with stage T4 tumors were significantly higher than those in patients with stage T2/T3 tumors (all P < 0.01). In the univariate Cox regression analysis, T stage, N stage, GTVFAPI, and TL-FAPI were associated with PFS, and T stage, GTVFAPI, and TL-FAPI were associated with OS. Upon multivariable analysis, GTVFAPI was an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (hazard ratio (HR), 5.76; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.13-15.57, P = 0.001) and OS (HR, 4.96; 95% CI, 2.55-18.79, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This pilot study revealed that [68 Ga]Ga-FAPI PET/CT may have prognostic value for patients with ESCC treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. It may aid in personalized patient management by steering treatment modifications before therapy. Prospective studies with larger samples and longer observation periods are needed.

Increased prognostic value of clinical–reproductive model in Chinese female patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In China, it has been well recognized that some female patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) have different overall survival (OS) time, even with the same tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, challenging the prognostic value of the TNM system alone. An effective predictive model is needed to accurately evaluate the prognosis of female ESCC patients.

AIM

To construct a novel prognostic model with clinical and reproductive data for Chinese female patients with ESCC, and to assess the incremental prognostic value of the full model compared with the clinical model and TNM stage.

METHODS

A new prognostic nomogram incorporating clinical and reproductive features was constructed based on univariatie and Cox proportional hazards survival analysis from a training cohort (n = 175). The results were recognized using the internal (n = 111) and independent external (n = 85) validation cohorts. The capability of the clinical–reproductive model was evaluated by Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), Kaplan–Meier curve, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis. The correlations between estrogen response and immune-related pathways and some gene markers of immune cells were analyzed using the TIMER 2.0 database.

RESULTS

A clinical–reproductive model including incidence area, age, tumor differentiation, lymph node metastasis (N) stage, estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) and beta (ESR2) expression, menopausal age, and pregnancy number was constructed to predict OS in female ESCC patients. Compared to the clinical model and TNM stage, the time-dependent ROC and C-index of the clinical–reproductive model showed a good discriminative ability for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-years OS in the primary training, internal and external validation sets. Based on the optimal cut-off value of total prognostic scores, patients were classified into high- and low-risk groups with significantly different OS. The estrogen response was significantly associated with p53 and apoptosis pathways in esophageal cancer.

CONCLUSION

The clinical–reproductive prognostic nomogram has an incremental prognostic value compared with the clinical model and TNM stage in predicting OS in Chinese female ESCC patients.

Development and validation of a survival model for esophageal adenocarcinoma based on autophagy-associated genes

Autophagy is a highly conserved catabolic process which has been implicated in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). We sought to investigate the biological functions and prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) in EAC. A total of 21 differentially expressed ARGs were identified between EAC and normal samples. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis were then applied for the differentially expressed ARGs in EAC, and the protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was established. Cox survival analysis and Lasso regression analysis were performed to establish a prognostic prediction model based on nine overall survival (OS)-related ARGs (CAPN1, GOPC, TBK1, SIRT1, ARSA, BNIP1, ERBB2, NRG2, PINK1). The 9-gene prognostic signature significantly stratified patient outcomes in The Cancer Genome of Atlas (TCGA)-EAC cohort and was considered as an independently prognostic predictor for EAC patients. Moreover, Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) analyses revealed several important cellular processes and signaling pathways correlated with the high-risk group in EAC. This prognostic prediction model was confirmed in an independent validation cohort (GSE13898) from The Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. We also developed a nomogram with a concordance index of 0.78 to predict the survival possibility of EAC patients by integrating the risk signature and clinicopathological features. The calibration curves substantiated favorable concordance between actual observation and nomogram prediction. Last but not least, Erb-B2 Receptor Tyrosine Kinase 2 (ERBB2), a member of the prognostic gene signature, was identified as a potential therapeutic target for EAC patients. To sum up, we established and verified a novel prognostic prediction model based on ARGs which could optimize the individualized survival prediction in EAC.

Sex-specific survival benefit in early skin melanoma based on 8th AJCC edition: an analysis of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database

Background

Females have been found to have a survival benefit over males in past studies. However, in early melanoma patients, this benefit occurred in only those aged >60 years. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) readjusted the melanoma staging system, specifically stage I. This study aims to verify whether the sex-specific benefit in females exists in different age groups according to the 8th edition of the staging system.

Methods

We collected the data of individuals diagnosed with skin melanoma between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Based on the 8th edition of the melanoma staging system, patients diagnosed with pathological stage T1a-T3a, N0 and M0 melanoma were enrolled.

Results

A total of 115,576 patients, including 62,938 male patients and 52,638 female patients, were enrolled in this study. The survival rates of males and females in each stage from IA–IIA were significantly different (P<0.001). In further analyses of each age group, it was found that the proportions of patients with stages IA, IB and IIA were significantly different in each age group. Cox analysis showed that females with stage IA in all age groups benefited significantly, but those in stage IB benefited only when they were aged >60 years. In stage IIA patients, there were significant differences between the <50 and 61–70 years age groups.

Conclusions

Based on data from the SEER database, we found that according to the 8th edition of the AJCC melanoma staging system, females had a higher survival rate than males, and this difference was significant in all age groups in the stage IA group but fluctuated with age in the stage IB and IIA groups.

Skin melanoma survival is not superior in females in the new stage IIID of the 8th edition of the staging system: an analysis of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database

Background

In the 8th edition of the melanoma staging system, stage III was divided into stages IIIA-IIID. Previous studies have found that the long-term survival rate of females is much higher than that of males. This study was designed to explore whether this sex-specific advantage still exists in the new staging subgroups.

Methods

We obtained data from individuals diagnosed with skin melanoma between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A total of 8,726 patients with stage III disease were enrolled in the study (5,370 males and 3,356 females). Among these patients, 505 had stage IIID disease (370 males and 135 females).

Results

In the 7th edition of the staging system, there were significant sex-specific differences in overall survival (OS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) in each subgroup of stage III. In stages IIIA-IIIC in the 8th edition, there were also significant differences between males and females (P<0.001), but in stage IIID patients, there were no significant differences in either OS (P=0.312) or MSS (P=0.288). Cox analysis confirmed that stage IIID does not affect prognosis in males. Further research found no difference between males and females with stage IIID disease in any age subgroup.

Conclusions

We compared sex-specific survival differences in patients with stage III disease according to the 8th edition of the staging system. Females with stage IIIA-IIIC disease have better survival rates than males. However, among patients with stage IIID disease, there is no significant difference in survival between males and females.

Intensity-modulated radiotherapy does not decrease the risk of malnutrition in esophageal cancer patients during radiotherapy compared to three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy

Background

Esophageal cancer is a lethal disease of global scope. Radiotherapy is the main method to treat esophageal cancer; however, it concurrently leads to malnutrition. Intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) is superior to three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) in dosimetry and clinical outcomes. In this cohort study, we aimed to compare the effect of 3D-CRT and IMRT on malnutrition status.

Methods

We retrospectively included 79 esophageal cancer patients (IMRT: n=27, 3D-CRT: n=52) who received radiotherapy. We collected nutrition indexes at the beginning, the second week, and the end of radiotherapy. Paired-T test was used to evaluate the nutrition status during radiotherapy in each group. Chi-square test and independent-sample T-test were applied to compare the dynamic changes of indexes between IMRT and 3D-CRT groups.

Results

The baselines of the two groups are comparable. Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002) score, body weight, BMI, hemoglobin, lymphocyte, total protein, and albumin values were significantly reduced during radiotherapy in both groups. The dynamic changes of nutrition indexes during radiotherapy were not significantly different between the IMRT and 3D-CRT groups. Besides, no difference was found for radiation esophagitis or treatment completion between the two groups.

Conclusions

Malnutrition occurs in esophageal cancer patients during radiotherapy. IMRT did not significantly decrease the risk of malnutrition compared to 3D-CRT.