Positive predictive values of ICD-10 codes to identify incident acute pancreatitis and incident primary malignancy in the Scandinavian national patient registries among women with postmenopausal osteoporosis

Osteoporosis increases the risk of rotator cuff tears: a population-based cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Osteoporosis has been demonstrated to be a risk factor for rotator cuff retears after surgery; however, no studies have directly investigated the association between osteoporosis and the development of rotator cuff tears. To investigate whether osteoporosis is associated with an increased risk of rotator cuff tears.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a population-based, matched-cohort study with a 7-year follow-uTwo matched cohorts (n = 3511 with osteoporosis and 17,555 without osteoporosis) were recruited from Taiwan's Longitudinal Health Insurance Dataset. Person-year data and incidence rates were evaluated. A multivariable Cox model was used to derive an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) after controlling for age, sex, and various prespecified comorbidities. Age and sex were added in the model to test for interaction with osteoporosis.

RESULTS

Women constituted 88.5% of the cohorts. During follow-up of 17,067 and 100,501 person-years for the osteoporosis and nonosteoporosis cohorts, 166 and 89 rotator cuff tears occurred, respectively. The cumulative incidence of rotator cuff tears was significantly higher in the osteoporosis cohort than in the nonosteoporosis cohort (p < 0.001, log-rank). The Cox model revealed a 1.79-fold increase in rotator cuff tears in the osteoporosis cohort, with an aHR of 1.79 (95% confidence interval, 1.55-2.05). Effect modification of sex and age on rotator cuff tears was not found in patients with osteoporosis.

CONCLUSION

This population-based study supports the hypothesis that compared with individuals without osteoporosis, those with osteoporosis have a higher risk of developing rotator cuff tears.

Confirming diagnoses of acute pancreatitis with commonly available electronic data

BACKGROUND

Recorded diagnoses of acute pancreatitis (AP) are often inaccurate resulting in limited utility for case identification in large data sources, especially where electronic medical records (EMR) are not available. Our objectives were to validate diagnoses of AP and to identify an algorithm using additional data to enhance the identification of AP cases in different data sources.

METHODS

We randomly sampled 550 persons with an AP diagnosis from inpatient data or outpatient or emergency department diagnoses immediately preceding a hospitalization and 150 negative controls with a differential diagnosis (cholangitis or cholecystitis). We conducted an EMR review to confirm cases of AP and used logistic regression to develop EMR-based and claims-based algorithms to identify confirmed AP cases with variables typically available in electronic data sources. Algorithm performance was assessed using the C statistic, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value.

RESULTS

Of the 550 patients with an AP diagnosis, 467 (84.9%) were confirmed cases. An AP diagnosis alone had high sensitivity (98.9%), modest specificity (63.6%), and a C statistic of 0.813. An EMR-based model using an AP diagnosis, body mass index ≥30 kg/m² , a serum lipase >3 times upper limit of normal and diabetes attained a C-statistic of 0.914. A claims-based model attained a C-statistic of 0.892 using an AP diagnosis and dichotomous variables for whether a serum lipase test and/or an abdominal ultrasound was performed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our simple algorithms increased the accuracy of identification of AP cases providing widespread applicability to epidemiological and drug safety studies.

Acute pancreatitis as an early marker of pancreatic cancer and cancer stage, treatment, and prognosis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine the association between acute pancreatitis, a potential early symptom of pancreatic cancer, and pancreatic cancer stage, treatment, and prognosis.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer during 2004-2017 using population-based registry data from Denmark and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data linked with Medicare claims from the United States (US), which include individuals aged 65 + . We ascertained information on acute pancreatitis diagnoses up to 90 days before pancreatic cancer and followed them for a maximum of five years. We assessed overall survival difference at 30 days, six months, and one, three and five years, comparing patients with and without coexistence of acute pancreatitis. Secondary outcomes were cancer stage and treatment.

RESULTS

We identified 12,522 Danish and 37,552 US patients with pancreatic cancer (median age 71 and 78 years, respectively). In the Danish cohort, 1.4 % had acute pancreatitis before pancreatic cancer vs. 5.9 % in the US cohort. After five years of follow-up, the survival difference was 6.1 % (95 % CI: [-0.4 %, 12.6 %]) in Danish and 1.7 % (95 % CI: [0.8 %, 2.7 %]) in US patients, comparing patients with and without acute pancreatitis. Patients with acute pancreatitis had lower prevalence of metastatic tumors at diagnosis (Denmark: 42.5 % vs. 48.7 %; US: 34.4 % vs. 45.9 %) and higher resection frequencies (Denmark: 20.1 % vs. 12.1 %; US: 16.1 % vs.11.3 %) than patients without acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic cancer patients with acute pancreatitis diagnosed up to 90 days before cancer diagnosis had earlier stage at diagnosis and better survival than patients without acute pancreatitis.

Positive predictive value of acute and chronic pancreatitis diagnoses in the Danish National Patient Registry: A validation study

Aims: To examine the validity of the diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry. Methods: We identified all patients in the Danish National Patient Registry admitted to two Danish hospitals with acute or chronic pancreatitis from 1996 to 2013. From this population, we randomly sampled 100 patients with acute pancreatitis and 100 patients with chronic pancreatitis. For each cohort, we computed the positive predictive values and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the discharge diagnosis of acute or chronic pancreatitis using medical records as the gold standard. Results: We identified 2617 patients with acute pancreatitis and 1284 patients with chronic pancreatitis discharged from either of the two hospitals during the study period. Of these, 776 (19.9%) had a diagnosis of both acute and chronic pancreatitis and are thus present in both cohorts. From the 200 sampled patients, a total of 138 (69.0%) medical records were available for review. The positive predictive value for a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis in the Danish National Patient Registry was 97.3% (95% CI 90.5–99.2%) and for chronic pancreatitis 83.1% (95% CI 72.2–90.3%). Conclusions: The validity of diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry since 1996 is generally high.

Acute Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer Risk: A Nationwide Matched-Cohort Study in Denmark

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute pancreatitis may be a risk factor for pancreatic cancer; however, findings from studies on this association are conflicting. We investigated the association between acute pancreatitis and increased risk of pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study of all patients admitted to a hospital in Denmark with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis from January 1, 1980, through October 31, 2012. As many as 5 individuals from the general population without acute pancreatitis were matched for age and sex to each patient with acute pancreatitis. Pancreatic cancer risk was expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Cox models were stratified by age, sex, and year of pancreatitis diagnosis and adjusted for alcohol- and smoking-related conditions, and Charlson Comorbidity Index score.

RESULTS

We included 41,669 patients diagnosed with incident acute pancreatitis and 208,340 comparison individuals. Patients with acute pancreatitis had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared with the age- and sex-matched general population throughout the follow-up period. The risk decreased over time but remained high after more than 5 years of follow-up (adjusted HR 2.02; 95% CI 1.57-2.61). Two- and 5-year absolute risks of pancreatic cancer among patients with acute pancreatitis were 0.70% (95% CI 0.62%-0.78%) and 0.87% (95% CI 0.78%-0.97), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study, we observed an association between a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis and long-term risk of pancreatic cancer.