Pre-treatment inflammatory biomarkers predict early treatment response and favorable survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer who underwent first line cetuximab plus chemotherapy

Machine Learning Models of Early Longitudinal Toxicity Trajectories Predict Cetuximab Concentration and Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Survival in the Canadian Cancer Trials Group/AGITG CO.17/20 Trials

PURPOSE

Cetuximab (CET), targeting the epidermal growth factor receptor, is a systemic treatment option for patients with colorectal cancer. One known predictive factor for CET efficacy is the presence of CET-related rash; other putative toxicity factors include fatigue and nausea. Analysis of early CET-associated toxicities may reveal patient subpopulations that clinically benefit from long-term CET treatment.

METHODS

We analyzed data from CO.20 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00640471) trial arms, CET + brivanib alaninate (BRIV) (n = 376) and CET + placebo (n = 374), and CO.17 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00079066) trial arms, CET (+best supportive care [BSC]; n = 287) and BSC only (n = 285). Patients were clustered into subpopulations using KmL3D, a machine learning method, to analyze 14 joint longitudinal toxicity trajectories from weeks 0 to 8 of treatment. Landmark survival analyses were performed from 8 weeks after treatment initiation. Regression analyses assessed the relationship between subpopulations and plasma CET concentrations. Three supervised machine learning models were developed to assign patients in the CO.20-CET trial arm into subpopulations, which were then validated using CO.20-CET-BRIV and CO.17-CET trial arm data.

RESULTS

Joint longitudinal toxicity clustering revealed dichotomous high- and low-toxicity clusters, with all CET-containing arms showing consistent toxicity trajectories and characteristics. High-toxicity clusters were associated with male predilection, fewer metastatic sites, fewer colon-only primaries, and higher body mass indices. In CO.20 trial samples, higher toxicity clusters were associated with improved overall survival and progression-free survival outcomes (adjusted hazard ratios ranging from 2.21 to 4.36) and higher CET concentrations (P = .003). The random forest predictive model performed the best, with an AUC of 0.981 (0.963-0.999).

CONCLUSION

We used an innovative machine learning approach to analyze longitudinal joint drug toxicities, demonstrating their role in predicting patient outcomes through a putative pharmacokinetic mechanism.

The Prognostic Value of Tumor-Associated Neutrophils in Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) are important components of the colorectal cancer (CRC) microenvironment. However, their role in CRC remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of TANs in patients with CRC.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases for eligible studies published until January 9, 2023. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (ORs) with their 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated with a random-effects model to assess survival outcomes and clinicopathological features. Subgroup analyses were further conducted to identify potential sources of heterogeneity. Funnel plots and Egger's test were used to measure publication bias.

RESULTS

A total of 19 studies with 7721 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled analysis indicated that high peritumoral TAN infiltration in CRC tissue was significantly associated with favorable cancer-specific survival (HR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.38-0.86; p = 0.007), but not with overall survival or disease-free survival. No association between high intratumoral or unclear compartment TAN infiltration and CRC prognosis was found. Subgroup analyses showed that the association between TANs and the prognosis of CRC patients differed according to antibody types, tumor stage, quantitative methods, and follow-up time. High intratumoral TAN infiltration was significantly associated with histology type, whereas high TAN infiltration in an unclear compartment was significantly associated with gender, tumor location, and the primary tumor site.

CONCLUSIONS

High TAN infiltration, especially in the peritumoral compartment, could be a potential prognostic marker in CRC. More high-quality studies are required to explore its specific prognostic value in CRC.

Prognostic value and clinicopathological significance of pre-and post-treatment systemic immune-inflammation index in colorectal cancer patients: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the association between systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) has remained a topic of considerable debate. To address this, the present study was carried out to investigate the prognostic significance of SII in CRC.

METHODS

Databases including PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and Web of Science were scrutinized up to March 27, 2024. The relationship between pre- and post-treatment SII levels and the prognosis of CRC was evaluated. Following literature screening, quality assessment, and extraction of outcome measures, a meta-analysis was conducted using Stata. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and Egger's test.

RESULTS

A total of 27 studies were included in the analysis. Pooled results demonstrated that a high SII level was associated with poor overall survival (OS, HR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.40-2.26), progression-free survival (PFS, HR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.26-2.56), disease-free survival (DFS, HR = 1.91, 95% CI = 1.43-2.56), and recurrence-free survival (RFS, HR = 3.29, 95% CI = 1.58-6.88). Notably, the association between pre-treatment SII and OS, PFS, and DFS was stronger than that observed for post-treatment SII, indicating that treatment may attenuate the predictive valueof SII for survival outcomes. Additionally, elevated SII was correlated with poor tumor differentiation, tumor location in the rectum, and larger tumor size ≥ 5 cm.

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis suggested that a high SII is a predictor of poor prognosis in CRC patients. High SII levels were strongly correlated with inferior OS, PFS, DFS, and RFS. The relationship between SII and survival outcomes was attenuated post-treatment compared to pre-treatment. Additionally, elevated SII was correlated with clinicopathological factors in CRC patients. These findings suggest that SII can serve as an independent prognostic indicator for CRC.

Predicting ipsilateral supraclavicular lymph node pathological complete response: nomogram based on the inflammatory markers

Background

The prediction of ISLN pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) based on inflammatory markers and its prognostic value have rarely been investigated.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with ISLN-involved breast cancer who received NAC in West China Hospital between September 2009 and December 2020 were enrolled in the derivation cohort for model construction and survival analysis, and patients with the same criteria between January 2021 and July 2024 were involved in validation cohort for external validation. After randomly dividing patients into training and testing groups at 7:3 ratio, a nomogram predicting ISLN pCR was constructed based on logistic regression in training group. Internal validation was performed in the testing group and external validation was performed in the independent validation cohort. The ROC curves were applied to validate the accuracy of the model. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier plots.

Results

A total of 120 eligible patients were involved in the derivation cohort to establish the nomogram (84 patients in training group and 36 patients in testing group), and 45 patients were involved in the independent validation cohort for external validation of the nomogram. Pretreatment NLR and hormone receptor (HR) status, as well as preoperative SII, CEA, CA15-3 and anti-HER2 therapy were included in the nomogram predicting ISLN pCR. The AUC were 0.906 (95% CI 0.837-0.975, P<0.001), 0.888 (95% CI 0.751-1.000, P<0.001) and 0.828 (95% CI 0.703-0.953, P< 0.001) in training, testing groups and the validation cohort respectively. ISLN pCR was significantly associated with better prognosis (all P<0.05).

Conclusion

Inflammatory factors combined with tumor makers, hormone receptor status and anti-HER2 therapy could predict ISLN pCR effectively, which was significantly associated with improved survival outcomes.

Inflammatory indices as prognostic markers in metastatic colorectal cancer patients treated with chemotherapy plus Bevacizumab

Background

Validated predictors of sensitivity or resistance to Bevacizumab (Bev) are not available, and Inflammatory Indexes (IIs) has been reported to be useful prognostic factors in various malignant solid tumours, including metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

Objectives

To explore the prognostic value of IIs in mCRC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy plus Bev.

Design

One hundred and eighty-two patients diagnosed with mCRC and treated with first line chemotherapy plus Bev were considered for this prospective non-pharmacological study. Neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet, aspartate transaminase (AST) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) tests were carried out at baseline and before each treatment cycle, according to clinical practice.

Methods

Pre-treatment Systemic Immune-inflammation Index (SII), Colon Inflammatory Index (CII) and Aspartate aminotransferase-Lymphocyte Ratio Index (ALRI) were evaluated to assess a correlation with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

In the overall population, PFS and OS were lower in patients with high SII (HR 1.64, p = 0.006 and HR 1.75, p = 0.004, respectively) and high ALRI (HR 2.13, p = 0.001 and HR 1.76, p = 0.02, respectively), but no difference was detected according to CII value. The multivariate analysis confirmed both SII and ALRI as independent prognostic factors for PFS (HR 1.64 and 2.82, respectively) and OS (HR 1.65 and 2.12, respectively).

Conclusion

Our results demonstrate and confirm that IIs, and in particular SII and ALRI, are easy to measure prognostic markers for patient candidates to first line chemotherapy plus Bev for mCRC.

The impact of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index on the outcomes of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer who receive chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) is reported to be a prognosticator in various cancer patients with chemotherapy. However, the clinical impact of the ALI on treatment strategies in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients remains unclear.

METHODS

A total of 356 patients, who received first-line chemotherapy for mCRC between April 2005 and November 2019 in a single institution, were retrospectively enrolled. The association of pretreatment ALI (calculated as follows: BMI × albumin value/neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio) status with clinicopathological factors and patient survival outcome was analyzed, using subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

The ALI-low cases were significantly associated with female sex, more synchronous metastasis, multiple metastatic sites, less primary tumor resection, less liver resection after chemotherapy, and poor overall survival (OS). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis clarified that the ALI-low status was independently associated with poor OS (HR: 1.78, 95% CI 1.27-2.48, P = 0.001), in addition to right side tumor, multiple metastatic sites, and the non-performance of liver resection after chemotherapy. A subgroup analysis revealed that primary tumor resection and the resection of liver metastases after chemotherapy could not improve the prognosis of ALI-low cases in comparison with ALI-high cases, and the type of first-line chemotherapy did not significantly affect the association between the prognosis and the ALI status.

CONCLUSION

ALI comprehensively evaluates the prognostic host status and is a reliable prognosticator for the mCRC patients with chemotherapy. Calculating pretreatment ALI may serve as a cost-effective and easily available tool for constructing treatment strategies.

Clinicopathological and prognostic value of long non-coding RNA CCAT1 expression in patients with digestive system cancer

Colon cancer associated transcript-1 (CCAT1) is known to play an important role in numerous types of human cancer, including bladder, prostate and ovarian cancer. However, a consistent perspective has not been established in digestive system cancer (DSC). To explore the prognostic value of CCAT1 in patients with DSC, a meta-analysis was performed. A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Chinese Biological Medical Literature database, Cochrane Library and WanFang database was applied to select eligible articles. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to estimate the effects of CCAT1 on pathological or clinical features. A total of 1,719 patients from 12 eligible articles were enrolled in the meta-analysis. The results revealed that elevated CCAT1 expression was significantly related to larger tumor size (OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.31-2.48), poorer differentiation (OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.31-0.64), earlier lymph node metastasis (OR, 3.14; 95% CI, 2.34-4.22) and advanced TNM stage (OR, 3.08; 95% CI, 2.07-4.59). In addition, high CCAT1 expression predicted a poorer outcome for overall survival rate (HR, 2.37; 95% CI, 2.11-2.67) and recurrence-free survival rate (HR, 2.16, 95% CI, 1.31-3.57). High expression levels of CCAT1 were therefore related to unfavorable clinical outcomes of patients with DSC. These results demonstrated that CCAT1 could serve as a prognostic predictor in human DSC.

Prognostic and Clinical Value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index in Biliary Tract Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Previous studies that explored the prognostic and clinical value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in biliary tract cancer (BTC) had inconsistent results. We conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic and clinicopathological role of the SII in biliary tract cancer. Combined analysis demonstrated that high SII levels had worse overall survival (HR = 1.92, 95% CI: 1.66-2.21, p < 0.001) than those with low SII levels. And an elevated SII was associated with lymph node metastasis (OR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.18-1.76; p < 0.001), TNM stage (OR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.05-2.13; p = 0.028), and vascular invasion (OR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.05-2.13; p = 0.028). Conversely, no significant association between a high SII and sex or tumor differentiation was found. Our findings demonstrate that high SII levels were correlated with unfavorable survival outcomes among patients with BTC and that they were also correlated with some higher malignancy features of BTC.

An Inflammatory Signature to Predict the Clinical Benefit of First-Line Cetuximab Plus Platinum-Based Chemotherapy in Recurrent/Metastatic Head and Neck Cancer

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) pathway has been shown to play a crucial role in several inflammatory conditions and host immune-inflammation status is related to tumor prognosis. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of a four-gene inflammatory signature in recurrent/metastatic (R/M) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients treated with the EGFR inhibitor cetuximab plus chemotherapy. The inflammatory signature was assessed on 123 R/M HNSCC patients, enrolled in the multicenter trial B490 receiving first-line cetuximab plus platinum-based chemotherapy. The primary endpoint of the study was progression free survival (PFS), while secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and objective response rate (ORR). The patient population was subdivided into 3 groups according to the signature score groups. The four-genes-signature proved a significant prognostic value, resulting in a median PFS of 9.2 months in patients with high vs. 6.2 months for intermediate vs. 3.9 months for low values (p = 0.0016). The same findings were confirmed for OS, with median time of 18.4, 13.4, and 7.5 months for high, intermediate, and low values of the score, respectively (p = 0.0001). When ORR was considered, the signature was significantly higher in responders than in non-responders (p = 0.0092), reaching an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55–0.75). Our findings highlight the role of inflammation in the response to cetuximab and chemotherapy in R/M-HNSCC and may have translational implications for improving treatment selection.

Value Research of NLR, PLR, and RDW in Prognostic Assessment of Patients with Colorectal Cancer

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the relevance of the study with the neutrophil count and lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), platelet count and lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) in the prognostic evaluation of colorectal cancer patients.

Methods

143 patients with colorectal cancer from January 2016 to January 2019 were selected by our hospital, and then, other 143 cases of physical examiners as normal groups were selecting to proceed colonoscopic biopsy to diagnose 106 cases of precancerous diseases related to colorectal cancer. Among them were the inflammatory bowel group (n = 56) and the colorectal polyp group (n = 50). Analysis of the survival impact factors of patients with carcinoma of the rectum, preoperative NLR, ROW, PLR, and prognostic relationship, and comparison of NLR, PLR, and RDW diagnostic rate and expression were performed.

Results

Tissue type, TNM stage, lymph node metastasis, NLR, RDW, and PLR had a predictive influence on patients with colorectal cancer (P0.05). There was no link between gender, age, aetiology, pathological type, and prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer (P > 0.05). Multiple variables in patients with colorectal cancer are affected by tissue categorization (poor differentiation), TNM stages (III, IV), lymph node metastases, NLR, ROW, and PLR (P0.05). When compared to solo NLR, Row, and PLR diagnostics, the combination diagnosis and malignancy rates were greater, and the differences were statistically significant (P0.05). Diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were greater when compared to single NLR, ROW, and PLR. When compared to the normal control group, NLR, ROW, and PLR have greater levels, and the differences are statistically significant (P0.05). The patient survival declines more slowly as PLR, NLR, and the severity of the condition rises.

Conclusion

NLR, ROW, and PLR combined diagnosis has high accuracy in colorectal cancer diagnosis, and the prognosis of patients with NLR, ROW, and PLR levels has a tight association; so, clinically, the above signs should be identified, and the optimal treatment time is grasped.

The Role of Pre-treatment Inflammatory Biomarkers in the Prediction of an Early Response to Panitumumab in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Background Systemic inflammation is a critical component of the development and progression of several types of cancer. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) are simple, inexpensive, and reliable predictors of the systemic inflammatory response to the therapy in different malignant tumors, including colorectal cancer. Methods Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients treated with panitumumab plus chemotherapy at first-line at the medical oncology unit of Fondazione Institute for Research, Hospitalization and Health Care (IRCCS) Policlinico San Matteo di Pavia between January 1st 2016 and February 1st 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. NLR and LMR were divided into two groups (high and low) based on the cut-off points, with the estimation of the prognostic accuracy of NLR for the early treatment response as the primary end-point of this study. Results The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed a fair prognostic accuracy of NLR for early treatment response (area under the curve (AUC)=0.76, 95% CI: 0.62-0.89). A slightly lower prognostic accuracy was found for LMR (AUC=0.71, 95% CI: 0.57-0.85). In the univariable proportional hazard Cox model, no effect of NLR on PFS was found (NLRHigh vs. NLRLow HR=1.3; 95% CI: 0.7-2.4, p=0.414). Patients with higher levels of LMR showed a trend towards higher PFS (LMRHigh vs. LMRLow HR=0.4; 95% CI: 0.2-1.1, p=0.066). No association was found between NLR (or LMR) and skin toxicity. Conclusions NLR and LMR may be used as biomarkers of prognostic accuracy for the early treatment response in mCRC patients treated with panitumumab.

Prognostic Role of High-Sensitivity Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score for Patients With Operated Oral Cavity Cancer: A Retrospective Study

AIM

We probed the prognostic value of the preoperative high-sensitivity modified Glasgow prognostic score (HS-mGPS), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) to identify patients with the highest risk of having poor survival outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We executed a retrospective assessment of the records of 303 patients with OSCC who had been subjected to curative surgery between January 2008 and December 2017. The HS-mGPS was categorized using C-reactive protein and albumin thresholds of 3 mg/L and 35 g/L, respectively. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were executed to find out the optimal PLR and NLR cutoffs. We plotted survival curves and compared them through the use of the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, respectively. Through a Cox proportional hazard model, we identified prognostic variables. We also plotted a nomogram comprising the HS-mGPS and clinicopathological factors and assessed its performance with the concordance index.

RESULTS

The PLR and NLR cutoffs were 119.34 and 4.51, respectively. We noted an HS-mGPS of 1-2 to be associated with a shorter median overall survival (OS) and disease-fee survival (DFS) compared with an HS-mGPS of 0. Multivariate analysis revealed that an HS-mGPS of 1-2 and an NLR of ≥4.51 were independent risk factors related to poor OS and DFS. The HS-mGPS appeared to have better prognostic effect than did the PLR and NLR, and the combination of the HS-mGPS and NLR appeared to exhibit optimal discriminative ability for OS prognostication. The nomogram based on the HS-mGPS and NLR yielded accurate OS prediction (concordance index = 0.803).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that preoperative HS-mGPS is a promising prognostic biomarker of OSCC, and the nomogram comprising the HS-mGPS and NLR provided accurate individualized OSCC survival predictions.

Dynamics of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict outcomes of metastatic colorectal carcinoma patients treated by FOLFOX

BACKGROUND

Peripheral blood cell count is the most common clinical laboratory test. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as an economic marker has been reported in various cancer types. It is believed that NLR is associated with the prognosis and treatment outcomes of some cancers. Low baseline NLR has been reported as associated with better overall survival (OS) in advanced cancer patients. In this study, we aimed to determine whether the changes of NLR may predict the outcome of metastatic colorectal carcinoma (mCRC) patients treated with folinic acid, fluorouracil, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) combined with bevacizumab/cetuximab.

METHODS

The clinical data obtained from 128 mCRC patients between January 2014 and December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The NLR values of patients were calculated after 4 cycles of treatments. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression modeling were performed to assess the impact of NLR dynamics on OS and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Among the 128 participants, the optimum pre-treatment NLR cutoff value was 3. A total of 70 (54.7%) participants had a pre-treatment of NLR lower than 3. The median of PFS was 9.1 months for NLR <3 compared with 6.1 months for pre-treatment NLR >3. A lower pre-treatment NLR was significantly associated with better PFS (P<0.001), but not associated with OS (P=0.064). A total of 94 (73.4%) participants had a post-treatment NLR <3, which was associated with better PFS and OS (P=0.007). However, changes in NLR significantly affected PFS and OS. Decrease in post-treatment NLR was associated with longer PFS and OS. Patients with changes from low pre-treatment NLR to high post-treatment NLR had worse OS and PFS than that of NLR changes from high to low.

CONCLUSIONS

It is not the NLR but the changes of NLR that may predict the efficacy of FOLFOX treatment in mCRC patients.

Platelet to lymphocyte ratio is associated with tumor localization and outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer

The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive and prognostic value of PLR, and the relationship between PLR and tumor localization.A total of 229 patients with de-novo metastatic CRC were retrospectively analyzed. The cutoff value for PLR was defined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and threshold value of 196.5 as best cut-off value was found.The higher rate of BRAF mutation was significantly detected for patients with PLRhigh (> 196.5) compared to those with PLRlow (≤196.5) (P = .001). PLR was significantly higher in tumors located on the right colon (P = .012). PLR, tumor localization, the presence of surgery for primary tumor, the presence of curative surgery, the presence of metastasectomy for progression-free survival (PFS) and PLR, gender, BRAF mutation, tumor localization, the presence of surgery for primary tumor, the presence of metastasectomy for overall survival (OS) were found to be prognostic factors by univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that PLR, the presence of curative surgery and the presence of metastasectomy for both PFS and OS were found to be independent prognostic factors. Moreover, a logistic regression analysis indicated that PLR and tumor localization were found to be an independent factors for predicting response to systemic treatment (P < .001 and P = .023 respectively).Our results showed that pretreatment PLR was readily feasible and simple biomarker predicting response to treatment and survival, in addition it was significantly associated with tumor localization.

The Ratio of Platelets to Lymphocytes Predicts the Prognosis of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has continued to increase. Although the overall prognosis of CRC has improved with the continuous improvement of the level of treatment, the prognosis of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is still poor. The purpose of our study is to explore the prognostic value of platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in mCRC.

METHODS

The PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase (via OVID) were systematically searched to obtain all relevant research. We used hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) to assess the associations of PLR and overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

A total of twelve studies containing 1452 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Pooled analysis showed that high levels of PLR were associated with poor OS (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.27-2.33, and P < 0.01) and PFS (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.16-2.31, and P = 0.033).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis suggested that high levels of PLR pretreatment may be an effective predictive biomarker for the prognosis of mCRC patients.

The prognostic utility of pre-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) in colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Inflammation is a hallmark of cancer, and systemic markers of inflammation are increasingly recognised as negative prognostic factors for clinical outcome. Neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is readily available from routine blood testing of patients diagnosed with cancer.

Methods

Peer‐reviewed publications from PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science and EMBASE were identified according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta‐Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS) and surrogate endpoints (SE; comprising disease‐, recurrence‐ and progression‐free survival) were pooled using a random effects model. Additional analysis was carried out to further investigate NLR as an independent prognostic factor and account for heterogeneity.

Results

Seventy‐one eligible papers comprising 32,788 patients were identified. High NLR was associated with poor clinical outcomes. Significant publication bias was observed, and larger studies also adjusted for more covariates. Correcting for publication bias in multivariate studies brought our best estimate for true effect size to HR = 1.57 (95% CI 1.39–1.78; p < 0.0001) for OS and to HR = 1.38 (95% CI 1.16–1.64; p = 0.0003) for SE.

Conclusions

NLR is confirmed as an easily available prognostic biomarker in colorectal cancer, despite the limitations of some studies previously reporting this finding. As such, it should be routinely collected in prospective clinical trials. While more standardised and rigorous large‐scale studies are needed before high NLR can be fully assessed as an independent predictor of CRC progression and outcome, the data suggest that it may be used to highlight individuals with tumour‐promoting inflammatory context.

The platelet to lymphocyte ratio is a potential inflammatory marker predicting the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colorectal cancer

Background

The effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) has been in controversy for a long time. Our study aimed to find an effective inflammatory marker to predict the effects of chemotherapy.

Methods

Seven hundred eight stage II CRC patients in our institution were included. The subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot (STEPP) analysis was used to determine the optimal inflammatory marker and cut-off value. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance discrepancy between the chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy group. Survival analyses based on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were performed with Kaplan-Meier methods with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression. The restricted mean survival time (RMST) was used to measure treatment effect.

Results

The platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) was chosen as the optimal marker with a cut-off value of 130 according to STEPP. In OS analysis, PLR was significantly associated with the effects of chemotherapy (interaction p = 0.027). In the low-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients did not have a longer OS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.983, 95% CI: 0.528–1.829). In the high-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients had a significantly longer OS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.371, 95% CI: 0.212–0.649). After PSM, PLR was still associated with the effects of chemotherapy. In CSS analysis, PLR was not significantly associated with the effects of chemotherapy (interaction p = 0.116). In the low-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients did not have a longer CSS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 1.016, 95% CI: 0.494–2.087). In the high-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients had a longer CSS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.371, 95% CI: 0.212–0.649). After PSM, PLR was not associated with the effects of chemotherapy.

Conclusions

PLR is an effective marker to predict the effects of chemotherapy in patients with stage II CRC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08521-0.

Predictive Value of Routine Blood Test in patients with Early Esophageal Cancer: A Matched Case-Control Study

Aims: The present study was to evaluate the diagnostic value of routine blood test as potential inflammatory markers in early esophageal cancer (EEC) patients.

Methods: A matched case-control study was conducted by recruiting 314 patients who were pathologically diagnosed with EEC and then underwent Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection (ESD) from July 2015 to July 2019 in First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Each EEC patient was matched against one healthy control on the criteria of gender, and age (±2 years). Additionally, a total of 40 subjects (20 cases and 20 controls) were also included in the validation set. Statistical analysis of selected hematological parameters was performed between the two groups. The correlation between preoperative blood indexes and clinicopathological characteristics after ESD in EEC patients were further assessed.

Results: Mono-factor analysis showed that the index of monocyte (p<0.001), MCV (p=0.018), MCH (p=0.01), MPV (p=0.022), PT (p=0.003), PT-INR (p=0.003), PDW (p<0.001) and MLR (p<0.001) were statistically significant in EEC patients when compared with those in healthy controls. Multivariate logistic regression analysis further identified that PDW and MLR was independently associated with the risk of early esophageal cancer (both p<0.001). The higher level of NLR (P=0.007) and MLR (P=0.015) were statistically significant with submucosal invasion in EEC patients and the level of MLR were significantly associated with larger tumor size (P=0.030). The results of the validation group were in consistence with the primary group.

Conclusions: Hematological parameters of MLR and PDW can be used as an adjuvant tool for the diagnosis of EEC. Moreover, the value of MLR can reflect the invasion depth index.

Tumor Microenvironment in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: The Arbitrator in Patients' Outcome

Simple Summary

Colorectal cancer accounts for approximately 10% of all annually diagnosed cancers worldwide being liver metastasis, the most common cause of death in patients with colorectal cancer. The interplay between tumor and stromal cells in the primary tumor microenvironment and at distant metastases are rising in importance as potential mechanisms of the tumor progression. In this review we discuss the new biomarkers derived from tumor microenvironment and liquid biopsy as emerging prognostic and treatments response markers for metastatic colorectal cancer. We also review the developing new clinical strategies based on tumor microenvironmental cells to tackle metastatic disease in metastatic colorectal cancer patients.

Abstract

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers in western countries. Its mortality rate varies greatly, depending on the stage of the disease. The main cause of CRC mortality is metastasis, which most commonly affects the liver. The role of tumor microenvironment in tumor initiation, progression and metastasis development has been widely studied. In this review we summarize the role of the tumor microenvironment in the liver pre-metastatic niche formation, paying attention to the distant cellular crosstalk mediated by exosomes. Moreover, and based on the prognostic and predictive capacity of alterations in the stromal compartment of tumors, we describe the role of tumor microenvironment cells and related liquid biopsy biomarkers in the delivery of precise medication for metastatic CRC. Finally, we evaluate the different clinical strategies to prevent and treat liver metastatic disease, based on the targeting of the tumor microenvironment. Specifically, targeting angiogenesis pathways and regulating immune response are two important research pipelines that are being widely developed and promise great benefits.

Prognostic Value of the Pretreatment Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

Background

Multiple studies have reported the significance of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC), but no consensus has yet been reached. The purpose of this study was to systematically assess the prognostic value of SII in patients with CRC.

Materials and Methods

We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for eligible studies. The correlation between pretreatment SII and overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and progression-free survival (PFS) in CRC patients was evaluated by combining the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

Twelve studies involving 3919 patients were included. Comprehensive analysis results showed that high SII indicated poor OS in CRC patients (HR = 1.777, 95% CI: 1.328-2.376). Compared with patients with low SII values, patients with high SII had lower PFS (HR = 1.658, 95% CI: 1.189-2.311). Subgroup analysis further verified the above results.

Conclusions

SII may be a noninvasive and powerful tool for predicting survival outcomes in CRC patients. However, more well-designed studies are needed to validate our findings.

Prognostic and clinicopathological significance of systemic immune-inflammation index in colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis

Background:

Previous studies on the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), which is based on platelet, neutrophil and lymphocyte counts, as a prognostic marker in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) yielded inconsistent results. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic and clinicopathological role of SII in CRC via meta-analysis.

Methods:

A comprehensive literature survey was performed on PubMed, Web of Science, Embase and the Cochrane Library databases to include studies published up to 6 April 2020. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed to estimate the prognostic and clinicopathological value of SII in CRC.

Results:

A total of 12 studies published between 2016 and 2019 were included in our meta-analysis. The combined analysis showed that high SII levels were significantly associated with worse overall survival (OS; HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.21–2.13, p = 0.001) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.26–2.39, p = 0.001) in CRC. Moreover, elevated SII was also correlated with poor tumor differentiation (OR = 1.60, 95% CI = 1.27–2.02, p < 0.001), presence of distant metastasis (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.10–4.67, p = 0.026), ECOG PS of 1–2 (OR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.39–2.84, p < 0.001) and tumor size ⩾5 cm (OR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.18–1.88, p = 0.001). However, high SII was not significantly associated with sex, tumor location, lymph node metastasis, or age in patients with CRC.

Conclusion:

Our meta-analysis indicated that high SII levels predicted poor prognosis in CRC. In addition, an elevated SII was also associated with clinical factors, implying higher malignancy of the disease.

Retreatment With Anti-EGFR Antibodies in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Multi-institutional Analysis

BACKGROUND

On the basis of retrospective analyses and phase 2 studies, metastatic colorectal cancer patients whose disease responded to a first-line regimen containing an anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) agent may experience benefit from anti-EGFR readministration in later therapy lines. While the analysis of circulating tumor DNA seems a promising tool to select the best candidates for this strategy, identifying clinical predictors of anti-EGFR sensitivity would be useful to drive treatment choices in daily practice.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A real-life database of 5530 patients treated at 6 institutions was queried. Included were patients who were retreated with anti-EGFRs, who had RAS/BRAF wild-type-status tissue samples, who had received a first-line anti-EGFR-based regimen with at least stable disease as best response, and who had received at least one further line of therapy before anti-EGFR retreatment. The association with overall response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) of variables potentially related to anti-EGFR sensitivity was investigated.

RESULTS

A total of 86 patients were identified. The ORR during anti-EGFR retreatment was 19.8%; median PFS and OS were 3.8 and 10.2 months, respectively. No significant association of clinical features of anti-EGFR sensitivity with ORR, PFS, and OS was observed. Among the 56 patients with a time from the last anti-EGFR administration to first-line progressive disease of < 3 months (rechallenge group), > 2 prior therapy lines and a longer anti-EGFR-free interval were associated with higher ORR, but not with longer PFS or OS.

CONCLUSION

Clinical features we deemed surrogates of anti-EGFR sensitivity were not reliable predictors of benefit from anti-EGFR retreatment.

Prognostic value of systemic inflammatory marker in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma undergoing surgical resection

Aim: To explore the prognostic value of the systemic inflammatory marker (SIM) based on neutrophil, lymphocyte and monocyte counts in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. Patients & methods: We retrospectively collected the data of 367 patients with HNSCC who underwent surgery. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were conducted on disease-free survival and overall survival. Results: A high SIM (>1.34) was associated with larger tumor size, advanced clinical stage and shorter survival time. The survival analysis showed that only clinical stage and SIM were independent prognostic indicators of disease-free survival and overall survival. Conclusion: The SIM positively correlated with tumor progression and might be a powerful prognostic indicator of poor outcome in patients with HNSCC.