Preoperative Predictors of Early Mortality Risk in Isocitrate Dehydrogenase-Wild-Type Glioblastoma Patients Treated with Standard Therapy

To be or not to be: The dilemma over the prognostic role of epilepsy at presentation in patients with glioblastoma - a systematic review and meta-analysis

Despite some evidence of a possible link between epileptogenesis and tumorigenesis in glioblastoma, the prognostic value of epilepsy at presentation has been debated over the years. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize all published data evaluating the prognostic significance of seizures as a presenting manifestation of glioblastoma. A comprehensive search of five databases from inception to December 2023 was conducted. Included studies underwent meta-analysis, with subgroup analyses performed to identify sources of heterogeneity. Fifteen studies were included in the analysis. Seizures were considered a favorable prognostic factor in seven studies, while eight studies found no differences in overall survival between patients with seizures and those with other presenting symptoms. Eleven studies were included in the meta-analysis. The overall pooled analysis indicated a potentially favorable prognostic impact of seizures at the clinical onset of glioblastoma (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.61-0.87). However, subgroup analysis within studies focusing on IDH-wild type cases showed no discernible impact from preoperative seizures. Retrospective design, poor quality in reporting results, and heterogeneity in tumor characteristics and therapies are the main limitations of included studies.Future prospective studies on large, homogeneous cohorts of patients with IDH-wild type glioblastoma are warranted. Overall, these findings suggest that while seizures may hold some prognostic value, further research is essential to clarify their role. Understanding the true prognostic role of seizures at clinical onset may enhance our ability to predict patient outcomes and guide clinical decision-making.

Clinical and molecular features of patients with IDH1 wild-type primary glioblastoma presenting unexpected short-term survival after gross total resection

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the factors influencing short-term survivors (STS) after gross total resection (GTR) in patients with IDH1 wild-type primary glioblastoma.

METHODS

We analyzed five independent cohorts who underwent GTR, including 83 patients from Kitasato University (K-cohort), and four validation cohorts of 148 patients from co-investigators (V-cohort), 66 patients from the Kansai Molecular Diagnosis Network for the Central Nervous System tumors, 109 patients from the Cancer Genome Atlas, and 40 patients from the Glioma Longitudinal AnalySiS. The study defined STS as those who had an overall survival ≤ 12 months after GTR with subsequent radiation therapy, and concurrent and adjuvant temozolomide (TMZ).

RESULTS

The study included 446 patients with glioblastoma. All cohorts experienced unexpected STS after GTR, with a range of 15.0-23.9% of the cases. Molecular profiling revealed no significant difference in major genetic alterations between the STS and non-STS groups, including MGMT, TERT, EGFR, PTEN, and CDKN2A. Clinically, the STS group had a higher incidence of non-local recurrence early in their treatment course, with 60.0% of non-local recurrence in the K-cohort and 43.5% in the V-cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The study revealed that unexpected STS after GTR in patients with glioblastoma is not uncommon and such tumors tend to present early non-local recurrence. Interestingly, we did not find any significant genetic alterations in the STS group, indicating that such major alterations are characteristics of GB rather than being reliable predictors for recurrence patterns or development of unexpected STS.

Pre-Treatment and Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Prognostic Value of Glioblastoma: A Meta-Analysis

Objective: Although some meta-analyses have shown a correlation between a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and low survival in patients with gliomas, their conclusions are controversial, and no study has specifically explored the relationship between a high pre-treatment and pre-operative NLR and low survival in patients with glioblastoma (GBM). Therefore, we further investigated this correlation through meta-analysis. Methods: We searched the PubMed, Metstr, and Cochrane databases in March 2022 for published literature related to high pre-treatment and pre-operative NLR and low survival in patients with GBM. The literature was rigorously searched according to inclusion and exclusion criteria to calculate the overall hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) corresponding to a high NLR using a random effects model. Results: The total HR for the pre-treatment and pre-operative NLR was 1.46 (95% CI: 1.17–1.75, p = 0.000, I² = 76.5%), indicating a significant association between a high pre-treatment and pre-operative NLR, and low overall survival in patients with GBM. Sub-group analysis was performed because of the high heterogeneity. The results for the sub-group with a cut-off value of 4 showed an HR of 1.39 (95% CI: 1.12–1.65, p = 0.000, I² = 22.2%), with significantly low heterogeneity, whereas those for the sub-group without a cut-off value of 4 showed an HR of 1.45 (95% CI: 1.01–1.89, p = 0.000, I² = 83.3%). Conclusions: The results of this study demonstrate that a high pre-treatment and pre-operative NLR suggests low survival in patients with GBM based on data from a large sample. Furthermore, the meta-regression analysis results indicate that underlying data, such as age and extent of surgical resection, lead to a high degree of heterogeneity, providing a theoretical basis for further research.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Model Based on Hematological Indicators for Predicting the Prognosis of Diffused Gliomas

Background

Diffused gliomas are aggressive malignant brain tumors. Various hematological factors have been proven to predict the prognosis of patients with gliomas. The aim of this study is to integrate these hematological markers and develop a comprehensive system for predicting the prognosis of patients with gliomas.

Method

This retrospective study included 723 patients pathologically diagnosed with diffused gliomas. Hematological indicators were collected preoperatively, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), albumin globulin ratio (AGR), platelet distribution width (PDW), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), fibrinogen (FIB), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox was applied to screen the hematological indicators for a better prediction of patients' prognosis and to build an inflammation-nutrition score. A nomogram model was developed to predict the overall survival (OS), which included age, tumor grade, IDH-1 mutations, and inflammation-nutrition score.

Result

Patients were randomly divided into a primary cohort (n = 509) and a validation cohort (n = 214). There was no difference in age and IDH-1 mutation frequency between the cohorts. In the primary cohort, NLR, LMR, AGR, FIB, and PNI were selected to build an inflammation nutrition score. Patients with a high-risk inflammation-nutrition score had a short median OS of 17.40 months compared with 27.43 months in the low-risk group [HR 2.54; 95% CI (1.91–3.37); p < 0.001]. Moreover, age, tumor grade, IDH-1 mutations, and inflammation-nutrition score were independent prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis and thus were included in the nomogram model. The nomogram model showed a high prediction value with a Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of 0.75 [95% CI (0.72–0.77)]. The validation cohort supported these results.

Conclusion

The prognostic nomogram model provided a high prognostic predictive power for patients with gliomas.

Preoperative Predictors of Early Mortality Risk in People with Osteosarcoma of the Extremities Treated with Standard Therapy

Purpose

More precise identification of osteosarcoma patients with high early death risk and enhanced early follow-up of these patients, such as increasing the frequency of postoperative chest computed tomography (CT) and local magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examinations, may improve the overall survival of patients. The primary purpose of this research is to explore the risk factors related to early mortality in patients with osteosarcoma under standard treatment.

Patients and Methods

Our research included 87 osteosarcoma patients who had undergone standard treatment and had a Karnofsky (KPS) ≥70. We define patients who die within 2 years of diagnosis as early death. The clinical characteristics and laboratory indicators of patients with osteosarcoma were collected and analyzed retrospectively.

Results

The median follow-up time was 32 months (4–91 months). Early deaths occurred in 13 patients. Early death of patients with osteosarcoma is related to tumor metastasis (P < 0.001), tumor size >5cm (P = 0.049), high-level neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = 0.035), high-level fibrinogen (FIB) (P = 0.038), and higher D-dimer (DD) (P = 0.025). According to our results of multivariate Cox analysis, tumor metastasis status at diagnosis (P < 0.001), NLR (P = 0.039) and FIB (P = 0.023) are independent risk factors in predicting early mortality in osteosarcoma patients. The “Osteosarcoma Early Mortality Nomogram” has a C index of 0.871, and the calibration curve performs best compared with the ideal model in predicting mortality in 1 year.

Conclusion

Tumor metastasis status, NLR, and FIB are independent risk factors in predicting early mortality in osteosarcoma patients. The early follow-up of patients with tumor metastasis, high NLR, and high FIB should be strengthened.

Red blood cell distribution width in glioblastoma

INTRODUCTION

Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common and deadly adult brain tumor. Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has been found in non-central nervous system neoplasms to be associated with survival. This study aims to assess the prognostic value of pre-operative RDW and trends in RDW over time during the disease course.

METHODS

This single-institution retrospective cohort study identified patients ≥ 18 years old with pathology-proved glioblastoma treated between April 2003-May 2017 from an institutional database. A Cox proportional hazards model was developed using known prognostic clinical variables to predict overall survival time; a second model incorporating continuously valued RDW was then created. The additional prognostic value of RDW was assessed with a joint model F-test. The variation of RDW-CV over time was evaluated with linear mixed model of RDW. A post-hoc exploratory analysis was performed to assess the trend in RDW lab value leading up to time of death.

RESULTS

346 adult GBM patients were identified; complete survival data was available for all patients. The addition of RDW to the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model did not increase prognostic value. There was an upward trend in RDW throughout the post-operative disease course. In a post-hoc analysis, there was an upward trend in RDW leading up to the time of death.

CONCLUSION

Although RDW has been prognostic of survival for many inflammatory, prothrombotic, and neoplastic diseases, pre-operative RDW was not associated with overall survival in GBM patients. RDW trended upwards throughout the disease course, suggesting possible systemic inflammatory effects of either glioblastoma or treatment.

A Simple Preoperative Blood Count to Stratify Prognosis in Isocitrate Dehydrogenase-Wildtype Glioblastoma Patients Treated with Radiotherapy plus Concomitant and Adjuvant Temozolomide

PURPOSE

The survival times of glioblastoma (GB) patients after the standard therapy including safe maximal resection followed by radiotherapy plus concomitant and adjuvant temozolomide are heterogeneous. In order to define a simple, reliable method for predicting whether patients with isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-wildtype GB treated with the standard therapy will be short- or long-term survivors, we analyzed the correlation of preoperative blood counts and their combined forms with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in these patients.

METHODS

Eighty-five patients with primary IDH-wildtype GB treated with the standard therapy between 2012 and 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used to investigate the survival function of preoperative hematological parameters.

RESULTS

Preoperative high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR, >2.42), high platelet count (>236 × 10⁹/L), and low red blood cell (RBC) count (≤4.59 × 10¹²/L) were independent prognostic factors for poorer OS (p = 0.030, p = 0.030, and p = 0.004, respectively). Moreover, a high NLR was an independent prognostic factor for shorter PFS (p = 0.010). We also found that, like NLR, preoperative high derived NLR (dNLR, >1.89) was of poor prognostic value for both PFS (p = 0.002) and OS (p = 0.033). A significant correlation was observed between NLR and dNLR (r = 0.88, p < 0.001), which had a similar prognostic power for OS (NLR: AUC = 0.58; 95% CI: [0.48; 0.68]; dNLR: AUC = 0.62; 95% CI: [0.51; 0.72]). Two scores, one based on preoperative platelet and RBC counts plus NLR and the other on preoperative platelet and RBC counts plus dNLR, were found to be independent prognostic factors for PFS (p = 0.006 and p = 0.002, respectively) and OS (p < 0.001 for both scores).

CONCLUSION

Cheap, routinely ordered, preoperative assessments of blood markers, such as NLR, dNLR, RBC, and platelet counts, can predict the survival outcomes of patients with IDH-wildtype GB treated with the standard therapy.