Population-Based Incidence of Ocular Neovascularization Following Central Retinal Artery Occlusion in Olmsted County, Minnesota

Construction and validation of a neovascular glaucoma nomogram in patients with diabetic retinopathy after pars plana vitrectomy

BACKGROUND

Neovascular glaucoma (NVG) is likely to occur after pars plana vitrectomy (PPV) for diabetic retinopathy (DR) in some patients, thus reducing the expected benefit. Understanding the risk factors for NVG occurrence and building effective risk prediction models are currently required for clinical research.

AIM

To develop a visual risk profile model to explore factors influencing DR after surgery.

METHODS

We retrospectively selected 151 patients with DR undergoing PPV. The patients were divided into the NVG (NVG occurrence) and No-NVG (No NVG occurrence) groups according to the occurrence of NVG within 6 months after surgery. Independent risk factors for postoperative NVG were screened by logistic regression. A nomogram prediction model was established using R software, and the model's prediction accuracy was verified internally and externally, involving the receiver operator characteristic curve and correction curve.

RESULTS

After importing the data into a logistic regression model, we concluded that a posterior capsular defect, preoperative vascular endothelial growth factor ≥ 302.90 pg/mL, glycosylated hemoglobin ≥ 9.05%, aqueous fluid interleukin 6 (IL-6) ≥ 53.27 pg/mL, and aqueous fluid IL-10 ≥ 9.11 pg/mL were independent risk factors for postoperative NVG in patients with DR (P < 0.05). A nomogram model was established based on the aforementioned independent risk factors, and a computer simulation repeated sampling method was used to internally and externally verify the nomogram model. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity of the model were 0.962 [95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.932-0.991], 91.5%, and 82.3%, respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of the external validation were 0.878 (95%CI: 0.746-0.982), 66.7%, and 95.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram constructed based on the risk factors for postoperative NVG in patients with DR has a high prediction accuracy. This study can help formulate relevant preventive and treatment measures.

Incidence of Total Blindness After Central Retinal Artery Occlusion With Ocular Neovascularization

Purpose: To determine the time-based incidence of total blindness after central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO) with secondary ocular neovascularization (ONV). Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, electronic records were queried using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes to identify patients with secondary ONV post-CRAO. Patients with possible alternative ONV etiologies, previous panretinal photocoagulation (PRP), and/or previous antivascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapy were excluded. Clinical data included demographics, medical comorbidities, ONV manifestations, medical/surgical management, and best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA). Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed with total blindness (defined as a BCVA of no light perception) as the outcome of interest. Results: Of 345 eyes with CRAO, 34 met the inclusion criteria with a mean (±SD) follow-up of 22.0 ± 26.2 months. ONV management included PRP (70.6%), glaucoma drainage implant surgery or transscleral cyclophotocoagulation (32.4%), and intravitreal anti-VEGF therapy (mean 2.8 ± 5.6 injections per patient). The cumulative incidence of total blindness was 49.4% (95% confidence interval, 27.2%-71.6%) at 24 months, with 53.3% of cases occurring within 4 months of ONV onset. Conclusions: Post-CRAO ONV is associated with a high risk for progression from severe vision loss to total blindness. Neovascular glaucoma can present up to 4 months after CRAO, challenging the paradigm of "30-day-glaucoma." Routine gonioscopy should extend through this period, while glaucoma surgery can delay further vision loss. These findings can be used to counsel patients on the importance of follow-up adherence.