Outcomes of adding induction chemotherapy to concurrent chemoradiotherapy for stage T3N0-1 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a propensity-matched study

Intensity-modulated radiotherapy alone compared with intensity-modulated radiotherapy plus concurrent chemotherapy in intermediate-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma : A prospective multicenter phase II trial

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the clinical benefit of adding concurrent chemotherapy to intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with an intermediate risk (stage II and T3N0M0).

METHODS

A multicenter phase II randomized trial was conducted in intermediate-risk NPC patients. Enrolled patients were previously untreated and aged ranged from 18 to 70 years without severe coexisting diseases. Patients were randomly assigned to receive IMRT alone or IMRT+concurrent chemotherapy (CC; three cycles of 80 mg/m2 cisplatin every 3 weeks). Primary endpoint was defined as 3‑year progression-free survival (PFS). The secondary endpoints were distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), overall survival (OS), and treatment-associated toxicity. We registered this study with Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (CliCTR1800017132; registered July 13, 2018, study start July 13, 2018).

RESULTS

From November 2015 to July 2019, 42 patients with stage II and T3N0M0 NPC were enrolled; 20 patients received IMRT alone while 22 patients received IMRT+CC. After a median of 58 months of follow-up, we estimated the 3‑year PFS rates as 90% (IMRT group) and 86.4% (IMRT+CC group; hazard ratio 1.387, 95% confidence interval 0.240-8.014; P = 0.719). The 3‑year PFS, OS, and cumulative DMFS and LRRFS showed no significant differences between the two groups (P > 0.05). However, the IMRT group displayed a lower incidence of nausea/vomiting, leucopenia, and dry mouth than the IMRT+CC group.

CONCLUSION

Adding CC to IMRT provided no survival benefit but increased treatment-associated toxicities in patients with intermediate-risk NPC.

The efficacy of induction chemotherapy or adjuvant chemotherapy added to concurrent chemoradiotherapy in T3-4N0-1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a propensity score-matched analysis

This research aimed to assess the effectiveness of combining induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with T3-4N0-1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Before propensity score matching(PSM),we retrospectively collected 457 patients with T3-4N0-1M0 NPC treated with CCRT with or without IC/AC. PSM method selected 285 patients from two cohort(148 in CCRT±IC/AC group,137 in CCRT group). The 3-year overall survival(OS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were estimated. The median follow-up was 41.03 months(range 2.13-94.67 months). No significant differences in 3 year-OS,LRFS and DMFS between CCRT±IC/AC group and CCRT group.Univariate analysis have shown that induction chemotherapy was significantly associated with 3 year LRFS(hazard ratio[HR] 0.214, 95%confidence interval[CI] 0.053-0.861,P = .030).Overall stage(HR 0.260, CI 0.078-0.870, P = .029) and T classification (HR 0.260, CI 0.078-0.870, P = .029)were significantly associated with OS.Multivariate analysis demonstrated no independent factors were related to 3-year OS,LRFS and DMFS. Subgroup analyses revealed that no significant survival differences in the two groups in patients with T3N1.In terms of T4N1 disease, patients received CCRT±IC/AC had lower 3-year DMFS than those treated with CCRT(90.4% vs 98.7%, P = .015). Adding IC or AC to CCRT did not significantly improve the prognosis of T3-4N0-1M0 NPC patients. Patients with T4N1M0 treated with CCRT had better DMFS than those received CCRT±IC/AC.However,more investigations should be confirmed the results.

Widely targeted quantitative lipidomics and prognostic model reveal plasma lipid predictors for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Dysregulation of lipid metabolism is closely associated with cancer progression. The study aimed to establish a prognostic model to predict distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), based on lipidomics.

METHODS

The plasma lipid profiles of 179 patients with locoregionally advanced NPC (LANPC) were measured and quantified using widely targeted quantitative lipidomics. Then, patients were randomly split into the training (125 patients, 69.8%) and validation (54 patients, 30.2%) sets. To identify distant metastasis-associated lipids, univariate Cox regression was applied to the training set (P < 0.05). A deep survival method called DeepSurv was employed to develop a proposed model based on significant lipid species (P < 0.01) and clinical biomarkers to predict DMFS. Concordance index and receiver operating curve analyses were performed to assess model effectiveness. The study also explored the potential role of lipid alterations in the prognosis of NPC.

RESULTS

Forty lipids were recognized as distant metastasis-associated (P < 0.05) by univariate Cox regression. The concordance indices of the proposed model were 0.764 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.682-0.846) and 0.760 (95% CI, 0.649-0.871) in the training and validation sets, respectively. High-risk patients had poorer 5-year DMFS compared with low-risk patients (Hazard ratio, 26.18; 95% CI, 3.52-194.80; P < 0.0001). Moreover, the six lipids were significantly correlated with immunity- and inflammation-associated biomarkers and were mainly enriched in metabolic pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

Widely targeted quantitative lipidomics reveals plasma lipid predictors for LANPC, the prognostic model based on that demonstrated superior performance in predicting metastasis in LANPC patients.

Efficacy of concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone for loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: long-term follow-up analysis

BACKGROUND

To analysis the clinical outcomes of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) alone based on 10-year results for loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC), so as to provide evidence for individualized treatment strategy and designing appropriate clinical trial for different risk LANPC patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with stage III-IVa (AJCC/UICC 8th) were enrolled in this study. All patients received radical intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and concurrent cisplatin chemotherapy (CDDP). The hazard ratios (HRs) of death risk in patients with T3N0 was used as baseline, relative HRs were calculated by a Cox proportional hazard model to classify different death risk patients. Survival curves for the time-to-event endpoints were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. All statistical tests were conducted at a two-sided level of significance of 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 456 eligible patients were included. With 12-year median follow-up, 10-year overall survival (OS) was 76%. 10-year loco-regionally failure-free survival (LR-FFS), distant failure-free survival (D-FFS) and failure-free survival (FFS) were 72%, 73% and 70%, respectively. Based on the relative hazard ratios (HRs) of death risk, LANPC patients were classified into 3 subgroups, low-risk group (T1-2N2 and T3N0-1) contained 244 patients with HR < 2; medium-risk group (T3N2 and T4N0-1) contained 140 patients with HR of 2 - 5; high-risk group (T4N2 and T1-4N3) contained 72 patients with HR > 5. The 10-year OS for patients in low-, medium-, and high-risk group were 86%, 71% and 52%, respectively. Significantly differences of OS rates were found between each of the two groups (low-risk group vs. medium-risk group, P < 0.001; low-risk group vs. high-risk group, P < 0.001; and medium-risk group vs. high-risk group, P = 0.002, respectively). Grade 3-4 late toxicities included deafness/otitis (9%), xerostomia (4%), temporal lobe injury (5%), cranial neuropathy (4%), peripheral neuropathy (2%), soft tissue damage (2%) and trismus (1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our classification criteria demonstrated that significant heterogeneity in death risk among TN substages for LANPC patients. IMRT plus CDDP alone maybe suitable for low-risk LANPC (T1-2N2 or T3N0-1), but not for medium- and high-risk patients. These prognostic groupings provide a practicable anatomic foundation to guide individualized treatment and select optimal targeting in the future clinical trials.

Optimizing induction chemotherapy regimens for radiotherapy in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The optimal number of cycles of induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) remains unresolved. This study aimed to quantitatively assess the changes in gross tumor volumes (GTVs) and to select the most optimal number of IC cycles.

METHODS

We analyzed 54 patients who received a three-cycle IC before commencing radiotherapy, with the tumor and nodal responses assessed by a CT scan before IC and after each IC cycle. The gross tumor volumes of the nasopharynx primary lesion (GTV_T), involved retropharyngeal lymph node (GTV_RP), and involved cervical lymph node (GTV_N) were contoured on each scan. The volume change following each IC cycle was evaluated with Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The three-dimensional vector displacements of target centers were also calculated and compared.

RESULTS

The volume reductions of GTVs following IC varied across different patients and showed different trends for the three GTV types. GTV_T and GTV_RP did not display further volume reduction after two IC cycles, whereas GTV_N showed monotonic volume decreases. For GTV_T and GTV_RP following the three IC cycles, the total volume reduction relative to the initial volume before IC was 12.0%, 22.5%, and 20.1% and 26.0%, 44.1%, and 42.2%, respectively. In contrast, for GTV_N, continuing volume reduction was observed with a total reduction of 25.3%, 43.2%, and 54.7% following the three cycles, and the reductions were all significant. Average displacements of the GTVs were <1.5 mm in all directions; their average three-dimensional displacements were 2.6, 4.0, and 1.7 mm, respectively. Acceptable toxicity was observed in most patients.

CONCLUSION

This study supports two cycles of IC before radiotherapy for patients with LANPC if the initial metastatic cervical lymph node volume is not dominating. Otherwise, three cycles of IC is recommended to further reduce the cervical node volume.

Induction chemotherapy reduces target volume drift in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing adaptive intensity-modulated radiotherapy: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) provides real-time correction of the target and dose of radiation based on repeat computed tomography (CT) imaging and replanning during intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and is important for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, repeat CT imaging and replanning are time-consuming and hinder the broader application of ART. The optimum dose and frequency of replanning time have been published in previous reports. The purpose of this study was to determine whether induction chemotherapy (IC) reduces target volume drift during IMRT, potentially reducing the replanning workload.

Methods

From January 2012 to December 2017, 40 patients with locoregionally advanced, nonmetastatic stage III-IVa NPC treated in the Department of Radiation Oncology in the First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, were enrolled into this study. Of the 40 patients, 20 received 2-3 cycles of IC before concurrent chemoradiotherapy (IC + CCRT), and the other 20 patients were treated with CCRT plus adjuvant chemotherapy (CCRT + AC). During CCRT, all patients underwent weekly simulated CT for 6 weeks. The gross tumor volume (GTV), clinical target volume (CTV), and body weight were measured weekly and compared between the 2 groups.

Results

Compared with the baseline, the mean weight loss after 25 fractions was 7.0 kg (13.6%; range, 3.9-25.5%) in the CCRT + AC group and 5.7 kg (8.3%; range, 3.6-20%) in the IC + CCRT group. The mean GTV and CTV decreased by 16.55 mL (15.7%; range, 6.1-33.7%) and 61.25 mL (9.33%; range, 4.4-17.0%), respectively, in the IC + CCRT group, and by 39.86 mL (38.79%; range, 25.3-50.7%) and 87.72 mL (12.7%; range, 6.7-22.9%), respectively, in the CCRT + AC group. The degree of weekly reduction in the GTV of the IC + CCRT group was not significantly higher than that of the CCRT + AC group, with the following P values of each percentage reduction in comparison with the previous week over 5 weeks, respectively: P<0.001, P=0.015, P=0.01, P=0.01, and P<0.001. The weekly CTV reduction only significantly correlated with weight loss (P=0.005) in the IC + CCRT group.

Conclusions

IC significantly decreased the degree of weight loss, GTV shrinkage, and CTV reduction during CCRT, consequently decreasing the anatomical and target dose drift during the adaptive replanning of IMRT. This may lead to a reduction in the recurrence of locoregionally advanced NPC, especially among patients with large metastatic cervical lymph nodes, potentially improving survival. This result provides favorable evidence that IC improves locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with locoregionally advanced NPC.

Nomogram Based on Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte and Platelet Score to Predict Overall Survival in Patients with T3-4N0-1 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

There is still uncertainty regarding the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) based on hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets (HALP) score. The aim of this study was to build and verify a nomogram using HALP score to investigate the prognostic value of NPC and identify low-risk patients in T3-4N0-1 NPC to guide treatment options.

Patients and methods

A total of 568 NPC patients with stage T3-4N0-1M0 were recruited in the study, who were given either concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) or induction chemotherapy (IC) plus CCRT. The prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) were picked by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to generate a nomogram, which appraised by discrimination, calibration and clinical utility. Patients were stratified according to risk scores calculated by the nomogram, and compared to the 8th TNM staging system using the Kaplan-Meier methods.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that TNM stage, Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV DNA), HALP score, lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) were independent prognostic indicators for OS, and these factors contained in the nomogram. The nomogram demonstrated a significant enhancement over the 8th TNM staging system in terms of assessing OS (C-index, 0.744 vs 0.615 in the training cohort, P < 0.001; 0.757 vs 0.646 in the validation cohort, P = 0.002). Calibration curves displayed good agreement and the stratification in high-risk and low-risk groups resulted in a significant divergence of Kaplan-Meier curves for OS (P < 0.001). In addition, the decision analysis (DCA) curves confirmed satisfactory discriminability and clinical utility.

Conclusion

The HALP score was an independent prognostic factor for NPC. The prognostic function of the nomogram for T3-4N0-1 NPC patients was more accurate compared to the 8th TNM system, facilitating personalized treatment planning.

Plasma Epstein-Barr viral DNA load after completion of two cycles of induction chemotherapy predicts outcomes for patients with advanced-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prognostic value of plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level following the completion of two induction chemotherapy cycles (ICT; post_2CICT-DNA) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 534 patients with LA-NPC. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was applied to derive a prognostic model for risk stratification. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to determine the survival results, and survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. The Cox proportional hazard model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses revealed that post_2CICT-DNA and N stage were independent predictors of overall survival (OS; P = 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively), and post_2CICT-DNA, pre-treatment DNA, and N stage were independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS; P = 0.002, P = 0.001, and P = 0.021, respectively).Based on prognostic factors (pre-treatment DNA, post_2CICT-DNA, and N stage), patients were stratified into three risk subgroups, with 288 patients in the low-, 213 in the intermediate-, and 33 in the high-risk group. The three-year OS rate of the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 99.3% (95% CI 98.3%-100.0%), 90.0% (95% CI 85.5%-94.5%) and 67.0% (95% CI 49.9%-84.1%, P < 0.001 for each of the two groups), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Plasma EBV-DNA level after two ICT cycles is a powerful predictor of prognosis in patients with LA-NPC. RPA analysis revealed that stage N3 patients with detectable post_2CICT-DNA are at the highest risk of treatment failure, and future clinical trials should focus on early-treatment modification strategies for these patients.

A Nomogram to Identify the Optimal Candidates for Induction Chemotherapy in Advanced N-Stage Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

We aimed to select optimal candidates benefiting from the addition of induction chemotherapy (IC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in advanced N-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Patients and Methods

A total of 624 NPC patients with N2-3 stage received CCRT with or without IC were retrospectively reviewed. We constructed a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) based on the result of the multivariate analysis in the training cohort (n = 468) and then tested it on the validation cohort (n = 156). Harrell’s concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (tdROC) analysis were applied to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the nomogram and compare it with TNM staging. IC plus CCRT was compared with CCRT in the whole cohort and two risk groups based on the nomogram with balanced baseline characteristics. In addition, acute toxicities were compared between different treatment groups.

Results

The nomogram showed good prognostic accuracy with a C-index of 0.716 (95% CI 0.669–0.763) in the validation cohort. The 5-year OS of low and high-risk groups stratified by the nomogram were significantly different. IC+CCRT was significantly associated with superior OS as compared with CCRT (75.4 vs 52.6%, p = 0.009) in the high-risk group. However, no significant difference between IC plus CCRT and CCRT was observed (p = 0.843) in the low-risk group. IC plus CCRT was associated with more grade 1–4 acute toxicities.

Conclusion

Our study can help clinicians select NPC patients with advanced N stage who benefit from IC.

Radiomics for Predicting Response of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose

This study examined the methodological quality of radiomics to predict the effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We performed a meta-analysis of radiomics studies evaluating the bias risk and treatment response estimation.

Methods

Our study was conducted through a literature review as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We included radiomics-related papers, published prior to January 31, 2022, in our analysis to examine the effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in NPC. The methodological quality was assessed using the radiomics quality score. The intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) was employed to evaluate inter-reader reproducibility. The pooled area under the curve (AUC), pooled sensitivity, and pooled specificity were used to assess the ability of radiomics to predict response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in NPC. Lastly, the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies technique was used to analyze the bias risk.

Results

A total of 12 studies were eligible for our systematic review, and 6 papers were included in our meta-analysis. The radiomics quality score was set from 7 to 21 (maximum score: 36). There was satisfactory ICC (ICC = 0.987, 95% CI: 0.957–0.996). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.88 (95% CI: 0.71–0.95) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.68–0.91), respectively. The overall AUC was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88–0.93).

Conclusion

Prediction response of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in NPC using machine learning and radiomics is beneficial in improving standardization and methodological quality before applying it to clinical practice.

Nomogram Based on Inflammatory Biomarkers and Nutritional Indicators for Predicting Overall Survival in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

To establish and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) based on inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators.

Patients and Methods

A total of 1304 patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were included in the study. The prognosis factors of overall survival (OS) were selected by Cox regression analysis to establish the nomogram. Concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the nomogram.

Results

Using multivariate Cox analysis of clinically important variables, the following variables were incorporated in the prediction of OS: age, gender, T stage, N stage, pre-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). The discriminative ability, clinical usefulness and calibration of the nomogram revealed good predictive ability as indicated by the C-index (0.717 in nomogram and 0.602 in the 8th AJCC staging system), decision curves, calibration curves and K-M curves.

Conclusion

Inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators of survival for LA-NPC were selected to create a nomogram predicting OS. The proposed nomogram resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction than 8th AJCC staging system.

Radiomics in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is one of the most common head and neck malignancies, and the primary treatment methods are radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Radiotherapy alone, concurrent chemoradiotherapy, and induction chemotherapy combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy can be used according to different grades. Treatment options and prognoses vary greatly depending on the grade of disease in the patients. Accurate grading and risk assessment are required. Recently, radiomics has combined a large amount of invisible high-dimensional information extracted from computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, or positron emission tomography with powerful computing capabilities of machine-learning algorithms, providing the possibility to achieve an accurate diagnosis and individualized treatment for cancer patients. As an effective tumor biomarker of NPC, the radiomic signature has been widely used in grading, differential diagnosis, prediction of prognosis, evaluation of treatment response, and early identification of therapeutic complications. The process of radiomic research includes image segmentation, feature extraction, feature selection, model establishment, and evaluation. Many open-source or commercial tools can be used to achieve these procedures. The development of machine-learning algorithms provides more possibilities for radiomics research. This review aimed to summarize the application of radiomics in NPC and introduce the basic process of radiomics research.

Development and validation of radiologic scores for guiding individualized induction chemotherapy in T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop and validate radiologic scores from [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI to guide individualized induction chemotherapy (IC) for patients with T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

A total of 542 T3N1M0 patients who underwent pretreatment [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI were enrolled in the training cohort. A total of 174 patients underwent biopsy of one or more cervical lymph nodes. Failure-free survival (FFS) was the primary endpoint. The radiologic score, which was calculated according to the number of risk factors from the multivariate model, was used for risk stratification. The survival difference of patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without IC was then compared in risk-stratified subgroups. Another cohort from our prospective clinical trial (N = 353, NCT03003182) was applied for validation.

RESULTS

The sensitivity of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT was better than that of MRI (97.7% vs. 87.1%, p < 0.001) for diagnosing histologically proven metastatic cervical lymph nodes. Radiologic lymph node characteristics were independent risk factors for FFS (all p < 0.05). High-risk patients (n = 329) stratified by radiologic score benefited from IC (5-year FFS: IC + CCRT 83.5% vs. CCRT 70.5%; p = 0.0044), while low-risk patients (n = 213) did not. These results were verified again in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

T3N1M0 patients were accurately staged by both [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI. The radiologic score can correctly identify high-risk patients who can gain additional survival benefit from IC and it can be used to guide individualized treatment of T3N1M0 NPC.

KEY POINTS

• [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT was more accurate than MRI in diagnosing histologically proven cervical lymph nodes. • Radiologic lymph node characteristics were reliable independent risk factors for FFS in T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. • High-risk patients identified by the radiologic score based on [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI could benefit from the addition of induction chemotherapy.

Identifying optimal clinical trial candidates for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of 9,468 real-world cases and validation by two phase 3 multicentre, randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study aims to identify the optimal high-risk candidates for clinical trials in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Non-metastatic NPC patients (n = 9468) were included. Recursive partitioning analyses (RPA) were performed to generate risk stratification. Receiver operating characteristics curve was used to determine the cut-off value of pre-treatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA for progression-free survival (PFS). Individual-level data from two clinical trials were used for validation.

RESULTS

Anatomic stratification based on T and N category (eighth edition TNM, TNM-8) classified the N2-3 or T4 as an anatomic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (95% confidence interval: 68%-71%). Prognostic stratification identified patients with pre-treatment EBV DNA ≥4000 copies/mL as a prognostic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (67%-70%). The c-index was significantly higher for anatomic stratification (0.621, p < 0.001) and prognostic stratification (0.585, p < 0.001) compared with existing TNM-8 stage groups (0.562). The validation cohorts based on clinical trials data showed greater PFS benefit than the results of the original trials [Hazard ratio: NCT01245959, 0.64 vs. 0.67; NCT01872962, 0.42 vs. 0.52]. Moreover, detectable post-treatment EBV DNA indicated a high risk of progression with 5-year PFS of 38.7% and was the most adverse independent factor for all endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

N2-3 or T4 NPC patients were ideal candidates for multicenter clinical trials in locoregionally advanced NPC. Patients with detectable post-treatment EBV DNA are suitable candidates for adjuvant trials.

Benefit of [18F]-FDG PET/CT for treatment-naïve nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

To test the advantages of positron emission tomography and computed tomography (PET/CT) for diagnosing lymph nodes and staging nasopharyngeal carcinoma and to investigate its benefits for survival and treatment decisions.

Methods

The performance of PET/CT and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in diagnosis was compared based on 460 biopsied lymph nodes. Using the propensity matching method, survival differences of T3N1M0 patients with (n = 1093) and without (n = 1377) PET/CT were compared in diverse manners. A radiologic score model was developed and tested in a subset of T3N1M0 patients.

Results

PET/CT performed better than MRI with higher sensitivity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (96.7% vs. 88.5%, p < 0.001; 88.0% vs. 81.1%, p < 0.001; 0.863 vs. 0.796, p < 0.05) in diagnosing lymph nodes. Accordingly, MRI-staged T3N0-3M0 patients showed nondifferent survival rates, as they were the same T3N1M0 if staged by PET/CT. In addition, patients staged by PET/CT and MRI showed higher survival rates than those staged by MRI alone (p < 0.05), regardless of the Epstein-Barr virus DNA load. Interestingly, SUVmax-N, nodal necrosis, and extranodal extension were highly predictive of survival. The radiologic score model based on these factors performed well in risk stratification with a C-index of 0.72. Finally, induction chemotherapy showed an added benefit (p = 0.006) for the high-risk patients selected by the model but not for those without risk stratification (p = 0.78).

Conclusion

PET/CT showed advantages in staging nasopharyngeal carcinoma due to a more accurate diagnosis of lymph nodes and this contributed to a survival benefit. PET/CT combined with MRI provided prognostic factors that could identify high-risk patients and guide individualized treatment.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05540-8.

An interpretable machine learning prognostic system for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on tumor burden features

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to build a survival system by combining a highly-accurate machine learning (ML) model with explainable artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to predict distant metastasis in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based tumor burden features.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1643 patients from three hospitals were enrolled according to set criteria. We employed ML to develop a survival model based on tumor burden signatures and all clinical factors. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was utilized to explain prediction results and interpret the complex non-linear relationship among features and distant metastasis. We also constructed other models based on routinely used cancer stages, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, or other clinical features for comparison. Concordance index (C-index), receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were executed to assess the effectiveness of the models.

RESULTS

Our proposed system consistently demonstrated promising performance across independent cohorts. The concordance indexes were 0.773, 0.766 and 0.760 in the training, internal validation and external validation sets. SHAP provided personalized protective and risk factors for each NPC patient and uncovered some novel non-linear relationships between features and distant metastasis. Furthermore, high-risk patients who received induction chemotherapy (ICT) and concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) had better 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) than those who only received CCRT, whereas ICT + CCRT and CCRT had similar DMFS in low-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The interpretable machine learning system demonstrated superior performance in predicting metastasis in locoregionally advanced NPC. High-risk patients might benefit from ICT.

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy with additional chemotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A pooled analysis of propensity score-matching studies

OBJECTIVE

To determine the benefits of adding induction chemotherapy (IC) and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) based on propensity score-matching (PSM) studies.

METHODS

Eligible PSM studies were searched in the PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases from inception to September 1, 2020. The primary endpoints included overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS).

RESULTS

A total of 14 trials consisting of 4086 participants were included. Significant benefits were observed between IC + CCRT and CCRT for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.64-0.91) and DMFS (HR, 0.77; 95% CI: 0.64-0.94) with the exception of LRFS (HR, 1.14; 95% CI: 0.90-1.43). However, CCRT + AC did not achieve significant improvements.

CONCLUSIONS

IC with CCRT yields significant survival benefits in terms of OS and DMFS, whereas CCRT with AC fails to achieve any additional benefit in all endpoints.

Pretreatment Plasma EBV-DNA Load Guides Induction Chemotherapy Followed by Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The efficacy of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal cancer (LA-NPC) is controversial. In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis based on relevant studies to provide strong evidence for clinical strategies.

Materials and Methods

We searched the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane, PubMed, and Web of Science databases for studies that stratified patients based on a high or low plasma Epstein–Barr virus deoxyribonucleic acid (EBV-DNA) load before treatment and compared the clinical efficacy of IC+CCRT vs. CCRT alone in LA-NPC. We tested for heterogeneity of studies and conducted sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS).

Results

Seven studies with a total of 5289 cases were finally included in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity test revealed the homogeneity of OS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.794), PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.778), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.997), and LRFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.697) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of ≥4000 copies/ml in both the IC+CCRT and CCRT groups. The results reveal that IC+CCRT significantly extended the OS (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.58-0.83], p=0.000), PFS (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99], p=0.033), and DMFS (HR 0.79 [95% CI 0.69-0.9], p=0.000) of patients compared with the CCRT group, but there were no beneficial effects on LRFS (HR 1.07 [95% CI 0.80-1.42], p=0.647). The heterogeneity test found that there was no significant heterogeneity of PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.564), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.648), LRFS (I² = 22.3%, p=0.257), and OS (I² = 44.6%, p=0.164) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of <4000 copies/ml. The results show that IC+CCRT prolonged DMFS (HR 0.57 [95% CI 0.39-0.85], p=0.006) of patients without significant improvements in OS (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.55-1.26], p=0.240), PFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.74-1.31], p=0.908), and LRFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.54-1.77], p=0.943).

Conclusions

Pretreatment plasma EBV-DNA can be considered a promising effective marker for the use of IC in LA-NPC patients. The addition of IC could improve the OS and PFS of patients with EBV-DNA load ≥4000 copies/ml, but we saw no efficacy in patients with EBV-DNA load <4000 copies/ml. Moreover, regardless of the EBV-DNA load, IC could improve DMFS, but there was no effect on LRFS.

A Prognostic Predictive System Based on Deep Learning for Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Images from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are crucial unstructured data for prognostic evaluation in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We developed and validated a prognostic system based on the MRI features and clinical data of locoregionally advanced NPC (LA-NPC) patients to distinguish low-risk patients with LA-NPC for whom concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is sufficient.

METHODS

This multicenter, retrospective study included 3444 patients with LA-NPC from January 1, 2010, to January 31, 2017. A 3-dimensional convolutional neural network was used to learn the image features from pretreatment MRI images. An eXtreme Gradient Boosting model was trained with the MRI features and clinical data to assign an overall score to each patient. Comprehensive evaluations were implemented to assess the performance of the predictive system. We applied the overall score to distinguish high-risk patients from low-risk patients. The clinical benefit of induction chemotherapy (IC) was analyzed in each risk group by survival curves.

RESULTS

We constructed a prognostic system displaying a concordance index of 0.776 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.746 to 0.806) for the internal validation cohort and 0.757 (95% CI = 0.695 to 0.819), 0.719 (95% CI = 0.650 to 0.789), and 0.746 (95% CI = 0.699 to 0.793) for the 3 external validation cohorts, which presented a statistically significant improvement compared with the conventional TNM staging system. In the high-risk group, patients who received induction chemotherapy plus CCRT had better outcomes than patients who received CCRT alone, whereas there was no statistically significant difference in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed framework can capture more complex and heterogeneous information to predict the prognosis of patients with LA-NPC and potentially contribute to clinical decision making.

Prognostic and Treatment Guiding Significance of MRI-Based Tumor Burden Features and Nodal Necrosis in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

We aimed to develop a nomogram integrating MRI-based tumor burden features (MTBF), nodal necrosis, and some clinical factors to forecast the distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) of patients suffering from non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). A total of 1640 patients treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (Guangzhou, China) from 2011 to 2016 were enrolled, among which 1148 and 492 patients were randomized to a training cohort and an internal validation cohort, respectively. Additionally, 200 and 257 patients were enrolled in the Foshan and Dongguan validation cohorts, respectively, which served as independent external validation cohorts. The MTBF were developed from the stepwise regression of six multidimensional tumor burden variables, based on which we developed a nomogram also integrating nodal necrosis and clinical features. This model divided the patients into high- and low-risk groups by an optimal cutoff. Compared with those of patients in the low-risk group, the DMFS [hazard ratio (HR): 4.76, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.39–6.69; p < 0.0001], and progression-free survival (PFS; HR: 4.11, 95% CI: 3.13–5.39; p < 0.0001) of patients in the high-risk group were relatively poor. Furthermore, in the training cohort, the 3-year DMFS of high-risk patients who received induction chemotherapy (ICT) combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) was better than that of those who were treated with CCRT alone (p = 0.0340), whereas low-risk patients who received ICT + CCRT had a similar DMFS to those who only received CCRT. The outcomes we obtained were all verified in the three validation cohorts. The survival model can be used as a reliable prognostic tool for NPC patients and is helpful to determine patients who will benefit from ICT.

Efficacy and safety of intensity-modulated radiotherapy alone versus intensity-modulated radiotherapy plus chemotherapy for treatment of intermediate-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

This study directs to evaluate the efficacy and safety of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) alone versus IMRT plus chemotherapy in intermediate-risk NPC (stage II and T₃N₀M₀).

Methods

A total of 124 patients with stage II and T₃N₀M₀ NPC were pair-matched (1:1 ratio) to form two groups: an IMRT-alone group and an IMRT/chemotherapy group. Survival outcomes (overall survival [OS], disease–free survival [DFS], locoregional relapse–free survival [LRRFS], distant metastasis–free survival [DMFS]) and treatment-related grade 3–4 acute toxicity events were compared between the groups.

Results

Survival outcomes for patients with stage II and T₃N₀M₀ NPC were quiet comparable between patients treated with IMRT alone versus patients treated with IMRT/chemotherapy: 5-year OS was 91.9% vs. 90.3%, respectively (P = 0.727); DFS was 87.1% vs. 88.7%, respectively (P = 0.821); LRFFS was 96.8% vs. 95.2%, respectively (P = 0.646), and DMFS was 91.9% vs. 91.5%, respectively (P = 0.955). Grade 3 acute toxicities were significantly higher with IMRT/chemotherapy than with IMRT alone: mucositis, 15% vs. 5% (P = 0.004); leukopenia/neutropenia, 8% vs. 1% (P <  0.015); and nausea/vomiting, 22% vs. 3% (P <  0.001).

Conclusion

For intermediate-risk (stage II and T₃N₀M₀) NPC patients, the addition of chemotherapy to IMRT does not appear to provide any survival benefit. Moreover, grade 3 acute toxicities are also more common in patients receiving IMRT plus chemotherapy.

Stratification of Candidates for Induction Chemotherapy in Stage III-IV Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Large Cohort Study Based on a Comprehensive Prognostic Model

Objective: To establish a prognostic index (PI) for patients with stage III-IV nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients to personalize recommendations for induction chemotherapy (IC) before intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

Patients and Methods: Patients received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without IC. Factors used to construct the PI were selected by a multivariate analysis of progression-free survival (PFS), which was the primary endpoint (P < 0.05). Five variables were selected based on a backward procedure in a Cox proportional hazards model: gender, T stage, N stage, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA. The cutoff value for the PI was determined by the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

Results: The present study involved 3,586 patients diagnosed with stage III-IV NPC. The cutoff value for PI was 0.8. The high-risk subgroup showed worse outcomes than did the low-risk subgroup on all endpoints: PFS, overall survival (OS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS). In the low-risk subgroup (PI <0.8), patients showed comparable survival outcomes on all clinical endpoints regardless of IC application, whereas in the high-risk subgroup (PI > 0.8), the addition of IC significantly improved PFS, OS, and DMFS, but not LRFS. In multivariate analyses, IC was a protective factor for PFS, OS, and DMFS in the high-risk subgroup, while it had no significant benefit in the low-risk subgroup.

Conclusion: The proposed prognostic model effectively stratifies patients with stage III-IV NPC. High-risk patients are candidates for IC before CCRT, while low-risk patients are unlikely to benefit from it.

Prognostic Value of Deep Learning PET/CT-Based Radiomics: Potential Role for Future Individual Induction Chemotherapy in Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

PURPOSE

We aimed to evaluate the value of deep learning on positron emission tomography with computed tomography (PET/CT)-based radiomics for individual induction chemotherapy (IC) in advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We constructed radiomics signatures and nomogram for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) based on the extracted features from PET and CT images in a training set (n = 470), and then validated it on a test set (n = 237). Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were applied to evaluate the discriminatory ability of radiomics nomogram, and compare radiomics signatures with plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA.

RESULTS

A total of 18 features were selected to construct CT-based and PET-based signatures, which were significantly associated with DFS (P < 0.001). Using these signatures, we proposed a radiomics nomogram with a C-index of 0.754 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.709-0.800] in the training set and 0.722 (95% CI, 0.652-0.792) in the test set. Consequently, 206 (29.1%) patients were stratified as high-risk group and the other 501 (70.9%) as low-risk group by the radiomics nomogram, and the corresponding 5-year DFS rates were 50.1% and 87.6%, respectively (P < 0.0001). High-risk patients could benefit from IC while the low-risk could not. Moreover, radiomics nomogram performed significantly better than the EBV DNA-based model (C-index: 0.754 vs. 0.675 in the training set and 0.722 vs. 0.671 in the test set) in risk stratification and guiding IC.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning PET/CT-based radiomics could serve as a reliable and powerful tool for prognosis prediction and may act as a potential indicator for individual IC in advanced NPC.

Depicting distant metastatic risk by refined subgroups derived from the 8th edition nasopharyngeal carcinoma TNM

BACKGROUND

Tumor-nodal-metastasis (TNM) is the most important survival predictor in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Distant metastasis (DM) is the predominant failure pattern of NPC in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era. The DM risk appears to be different for T-N subsets within the same clinical stage. Appropriately depicting DM risk has emerged as an important issue in tailoring individualized treatment and underpins the reason for this study.

METHODS

A total of 1616 non-metastatic (M0) NPC patients treated with IMRT were included. All were re-staged according to the 8th edition AJCC/UICC TNM (TNM-8). DM-free survival (DMFS) was calculated and compared among T-N subsets within each stage and DM risk groups were derived by Recursive-partitioning analysis (RPA) based on ordinal T and N categories.

RESULTS

Significant heterogeneity in DM risk was evident among T-N subsets within cTNM-8 stages II-IV. The RPA algorithm classified patients into four DM risk groups: RPA-I (T1N0-1 and T2-3N0), RPA-II (T2-3N1), RPA-III (T4N0-1 and T1-3N2) and RPA-IV (T4N2 and T1-4N3), with 5-year DMFS of 93.4% (95% CI: 91.3-96.1), 84.3% (80.8-87.8), 78.9% (75.4-82.4) and 63.6% (56.3-70.9), respectively (p < 0.001). Compared to cTNM-8 stage grouping, RPA grouping had a lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) and higher Harrell's concordance index (c-index) for DMFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant heterogeneity in DM risk exists among T-N subsets within cTNM-8 stages. The RPA groups demonstrated improved intra-group hazard consistency compared to cTNM-8 stage groups. While further validation is warranted, these RPA prognostic groupings provide a strong anatomic foundation to augment DM prediction for optimal targeting in future clinical trials.

Individualized induction chemotherapy by pre-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr viral DNA in advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

The role of pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA (pre-DNA) for individualized induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) still remains unknown. We aimed to address this clinical issue.

Methods

In total, data on 6218 patient with newly diagnosed LA-NPC receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without IC were retrospectively reviewed. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was adopted to calculate the cut-off value of pre-DNA based on disease-free survival (DFS). Propensity score matching (PSM) method was adopted to balance prognostic factors and match patients. Survival outcomes between IC + CCRT and CCRT groups were compared.

Results

Among the original cohort, no survival difference between IC + CCRT and CCRT groups was found. The cut-off value of pre-DNA was 4650 copies/ml (area under curve [AUC], 0.620; sensitivity, 0.6224; specificity, 0.5673). For patients with Pre-DNA ≤ 4650 copies/ml, the IC + CCRT and CCRT groups also achieved comparable survival outcomes (P > 0.05 for all rates). However, IC + CCRT was associated with significantly improved 3-year DFS (78.6% vs. 74.8%, P = 0.03), overall survival (OS; 91.4% vs. 87.5%, P = 0.002) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS; 86.0% vs. 82.2%, P = 0.036) for patient with pre-DNA > 4650 copies/ml. Multivariate analysis also confirm that IC + CCRT was an independent prognostic factor for DFS (HR, 0.817; 95% CI, 0.683–0.977; P = 0.027), OS (HR, 0.675; 95% CI, 0.537–0.848; P = 0.001) and DMFS (HR, 0.782; 95% CI, 0.626–0.976; P = 0.03).

Conclusions

Pre-DNA may be a feasible and powerful consideration for individualized IC apart from other baseline clinical characteristics in LA-NPC.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-018-5177-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The Changing Role of Chemotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Updated Systemic Review and Network Meta-Analysis

Background and Objective: Both induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT; IC+CCRT) and CCRT plus adjuvant chemotherapy (AC; CCRT+AC) are standard treatments for advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, no prospective randomized trials comparing these two approaches have been published yet. We conducted this network meta-analysis to address this clinical question.

Method: We recruited randomized clinical trials involving patients with advanced NPC randomly allocated to IC+CCRT, CCRT+AC, CCRT, or radiotherapy (RT) alone. Pairwise meta-analysis was first conducted, then network meta-analysis was performed using the frequentist approach. Effect size was expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results: Overall, 12 trials involving 3,248 patients were recruited for this study, with 555 receiving IC+CCRT, 840 receiving CCRT+AC, 1,039 receiving CCRT, and 814 receiving radiotherapy (RT) alone. IC+CCRT achieved significantly better overall survival ([HR], 0.69; 95% [CI], 0.51–0.92), distant metastasis-free survival (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44–0.78), and locoregional recurrence-free survival (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.47–0.98) than CCRT. However, survival outcomes did not significantly differ between IC+CCRT and CCRT+AC, or between CCRT+AC and CCRT arms for all the endpoints. As expected, RT alone is the poorest treatment. In terms of P-score, IC+CCRT ranked best for overall survival (96.1%), distant metastasis-free survival (99.0%) and locoregional recurrence-free survival (87.1%).

Conclusions: IC+CCRT may be a better and more promising treatment strategy for advanced NPC; however, head-to-head randomized trials comparing IC-CCRT with CCRT-AC are warranted.