Black Hole Sign on Noncontrast Computed Tomography in Predicting Hematoma Expansion in Patients with Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Meta-analysis

Radiomics Outperforms Clinical and Radiologic Signs in Predicting Spontaneous Basal Ganglia Hematoma Expansion: A Pilot Study

Prediction of the hematoma expansion (HE) of spontaneous basal ganglia hematoma (SBH) from the first non-contrast CT can result in better management, which has the potential of improving outcomes. This study has been designed to compare the performance of "Radiomics analysis," "radiology signs," and "clinical-laboratory data" for this task. We retrospectively reviewed the electronic medical records for clinical, demographic, and laboratory data in patients with SBH. CT images were reviewed for the presence of radiologic signs, including black-hole, blend, swirl, satellite, and island signs. Radiomic features from the SBH on the first brain CT were extracted, and the most predictive features were selected. Different machine learning models were developed based on clinical, laboratory, and radiology signs and selected Radiomic features to predict hematoma expansion (HE). The dataset used for this analysis included 116 patients with SBH. Among different models and different thresholds to define hematoma expansion (10%, 20%, 25%, 33%, 40%, and 50% volume enlargement thresholds), the Random Forest based on 10 selected Radiomic features achieved the best performance (for 25% hematoma enlargement) with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9 on the training dataset and 0.89 on the test dataset. The models based on clinical-laboratory and radiology signs had low performance (AUCs about 0.5-0.6).

The Attenuation Value Within the Non-hypodense Region on Non-contrast Computed Tomography of Spontaneous Cerebral Hemorrhage: A Long-Neglected Predictor of Hematoma Expansion

Background and Purpose

The ability of attenuation value of the non-hypodense region of hematoma in non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) for predicting hematoma expansion (HE) remains unclear. Our purpose is to explore this relationship.

Methods

Two cohorts of patients were collected for analysis. The region where we measured hematoma attenuation values was limited to the non-hypodense region that was not adjacent to the normal brain tissue on NCCT. The critical attenuation value was derived via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis in the derivation cohort and its predictive ability was validated in the validation cohort. Independent relationships between predictors, such as critical attenuation value of the non-hypodense region and HE were analyzed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate logistic analysis.

Results

The results showed that the attenuation value <64 Hounsfield units (HU) was independently associated with HE [odds ratio (OR), 4.118; 95% confidential interval (CI), 1.897–9.129, p < 0.001] and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), and area under the curve (AUC) for predicting HE were 36.11%, 81.71%, 1.97, 0.78, 44.8%, 75.7%, and 0.589, respectively.

Conclusions

Our research explored and validated the relationship between the attenuation value of the non-hypodense region of hematoma and HE. The attenuation value < 64 HU was an appropriate indicator of early HE.