Exploring Fever of Unknown Origin Intelligent Diagnosis Based on Clinical Data: Model Development and Validation

Recent advancement in integrating artificial intelligence and information technology with real-world data for clinical decision-making in China: A scoping review

OBJECTIVE

Striking innovations and advancements have been achieved with the use of artificial intelligence and healthcare information technology being integrated into clinical real-world data. The current scoping review aimed to provide an overview of the current status of artificial intelligence-/information technology-based clinical decision support tools in China.

METHODS

PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, China National Knowledge Internet, and Wanfang data were searched for both English and Chinese literature. The gray literature search was conducted for commercially available tools. Original studies that focused on clinical decision support tools driven by artificial intelligence or information technology in China and were published between 2010 and February 2022 were included. Information extracted from each article was further synthesized by themes based on three types of clinical decision-making.

RESULTS

A total of 37 peer-reviewed publications and 13 commercially available tools were included in the final analysis. Among them, 32.0% were developed for disease diagnosis, 54.0% for risk prediction and classification, and 14.0% for disease management. Chronic diseases were the most popular therapeutic areas of exploration, with particular emphasis on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Single-center electronic medical records were the mainstream data sources leveraged to inform clinical decision-making, with internal validation being predominately used for model evaluation.

CONCLUSIONS

To effectively promote the extensive use of real-world data and drive a paradigm shift in clinical decision-making in China, multidisciplinary collaboration of key stakeholders is urgently needed.

Integrating Medical Domain Knowledge for Early Diagnosis of Fever of Unknown Origin: An Interpretable Hierarchical Multimodal Neural Network Approach

Accurate and interpretable differential diagnostic technologies are crucial for supporting clinicians in decision-making and treatment-planning for patients with fever of unknown origin (FUO). Existing solutions commonly address the diagnosis of FUO by transforming it into a multi-classification task. However, after the emergence of COVID-19 pandemic, clinicians have recognized the heightened significance of early diagnosis in patients with FUO, particularly for practical needs such as early triage. This has resulted in increased demands for identifying a wider range of etiologies, shorter observation windows, and better model interpretability. In this article, we propose an interpretable hierarchical multimodal neural network framework (iHMNNF) to facilitate early diagnosis of FUO by incorporating medical domain knowledge and leveraging multimodal clinical data. The iHMNNF comprises a top-down hierarchical reasoning framework (Td-HRF) built on the class hierarchy of FUO etiologies, five local attention-based multimodal neural networks (La-MNNs) trained for each parent node of the class hierarchy, and an interpretable module based on layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) and attention mechanism. Experimental datasets were collected from electronic health records (EHRs) at a large-scale tertiary grade-A hospital in China, comprising 34,051 hospital admissions of 30,794 FUO patients from January 2011 to October 2020. Our proposed La-MNNs achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values ranging from 0.7809 to 0.9035 across all five decomposed tasks, surpassing competing machine learning (ML) and single-modality deep learning (DL) methods while also providing enhanced interpretability. Furthermore, we explored the feasibility of identifying FUO etiologies using only the first N-hour time series data obtained after admission.

Rheumatic disorders among patients with fever of unknown origin: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to estimate the proportion of fever of unknown origin (FUO) and inflammation of unknown origin (IUO) cases that are due to rheumatic disorders and the relative frequency of specific entities associated with FUO/IUO.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and EMBASE between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2021, for studies with ≥50 patients reporting on causes of FUO/IUO. The primary outcome was the proportion of FUO/IUO patients with rheumatic disease. Secondary outcomes include the association between study and patient characteristics and the proportion of rheumatic disease in addition to the relative frequency of rheumatic disorders within this group. Proportion estimates were calculated using random-effects models.

RESULTS

The included studies represented 16884 patients with FUO/IUO. Rheumatic disease explained 22.2% (95%CI 19.6 - 25.0%) of cases. Adult-onset Still's disease (22.8% [95%CI 18.4-27.9%]), giant cell arteritis (11.4% [95%CI 8.0-16.3%]), and systemic lupus erythematosus (11.1% [95%CI 9.0-13.8%]) were the most frequent disorders. The proportion of rheumatic disorders was significantly higher in high-income countries (25.9% [95%CI 21.5 - 30.8%]) versus middle-income countries (19.5% [95%CI 16.7 - 22.7%]) and in prospective studies (27.0% [95%CI 21.9-32.8%]) versus retrospective studies (20.6% [95%CI 18.1-24.0%]). Multivariable meta-regression analysis demonstrated that rheumatic disease was associated with the fever duration (0.011 [95%CI 0.003-0.021]; P=0.01) and with the fraction of patients with IUO (1.05 [95%CI 0.41-1.68]; P=0.002).

CONCLUSION

Rheumatic disorders are a common cause of FUO/IUO. The care of patients with FUO/IUO should involve physicians who are familiar with the diagnostic workup of rheumatic disease.

Transfer learning for non-image data in clinical research: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

Transfer learning is a form of machine learning where a pre-trained model trained on a specific task is reused as a starting point and tailored to another task in a different dataset. While transfer learning has garnered considerable attention in medical image analysis, its use for clinical non-image data is not well studied. Therefore, the objective of this scoping review was to explore the use of transfer learning for non-image data in the clinical literature.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We systematically searched medical databases (PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL) for peer-reviewed clinical studies that used transfer learning on human non-image data. We included 83 studies in the review. More than half of the studies (63%) were published within 12 months of the search. Transfer learning was most often applied to time series data (61%), followed by tabular data (18%), audio (12%) and text (8%). Thirty-three (40%) studies applied an image-based model to non-image data after transforming data into images (e.g. spectrograms). Twenty-nine (35%) studies did not have any authors with a health-related affiliation. Many studies used publicly available datasets (66%) and models (49%), but fewer shared their code (27%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this scoping review, we have described current trends in the use of transfer learning for non-image data in the clinical literature. We found that the use of transfer learning has grown rapidly within the last few years. We have identified studies and demonstrated the potential of transfer learning in clinical research in a wide range of medical specialties. More interdisciplinary collaborations and the wider adaption of reproducible research principles are needed to increase the impact of transfer learning in clinical research.

Application of Machine Learning for the Prediction of Etiological Types of Classic Fever of Unknown Origin

Background: The etiology of fever of unknown origin (FUO) is complex and remains a major challenge for clinicians. This study aims to investigate the distribution of the etiology of classic FUO and the differences in clinical indicators in patients with different etiologies of classic FUO and to establish a machine learning (ML) model based on clinical data. Methods: The clinical data and final diagnosis results of 527 patients with classic FUO admitted to 7 medical institutions in Chongqing from January 2012 to August 2021 and who met the classic FUO diagnostic criteria were collected. Three hundred seventy-three patients with final diagnosis were divided into 4 groups according to 4 different etiological types of classical FUO, and statistical analysis was carried out to screen out the indicators with statistical differences under different etiological types. On the basis of these indicators, five kinds of ML models, i.e., random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), artificial neural network (ANN), and naive Bayes (NB) models, were used to evaluate all datasets using 5-fold cross-validation, and the performance of the models were evaluated using micro-F1 scores. Results: The 373 patients were divided into the infectious disease group (n = 277), non-infectious inflammatory disease group (n = 51), neoplastic disease group (n = 31), and other diseases group (n = 14) according to 4 different etiological types. Another 154 patients were classified as undetermined group because the cause of fever was still unclear at discharge. There were significant differences in gender, age, and 18 other indicators among the four groups of patients with classic FUO with different etiological types (P < 0.05). The micro-F1 score for LightGBM was 75.8%, which was higher than that for the other four ML models, and the LightGBM prediction model had the best performance. Conclusions: Infectious diseases are still the main etiological type of classic FUO. Based on 18 statistically significant clinical indicators such as gender and age, we constructed and evaluated five ML models. LightGBM model has a good effect on predicting the etiological type of classic FUO, which will play a good auxiliary decision-making function.