Does Graded Prognostic Assessment outperform Recursive Partitioning Analysis in patients with moderate prognosis brain metastases?

The association between graded prognostic assessment and the prognosis of brain metastases after whole brain radiotherapy: a meta-analysis

Introduction

This meta-analysis aims to provide evidence-based medical evidence for formulating rational treatment strategies and evaluating the prognosis of brain metastasis (BM) patients by assessing the effectiveness of the graded prognostic assessment (GPA) model in predicting the survival prognosis of patients with BM after whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT).

Methods

A comprehensive search was conducted in multiple databases, including the China Biomedical Literature Database (CBM), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), PubMed, Wanfang database, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Embase. Cohort studies that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were selected. The quality of the included literature was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and all statistical analyses were performed with R version 4.2.2. The effect size (ES) was measured by the hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival (OS). The OS rates at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months of patients with BM were compared between those with GPAs of 1.5-2.5, 3.0, and 3.5-4.0 and those with GPAs of 0-1 after WBRT.

Results

A total of 1,797 participants who underwent WBRT were included in this study. The meta-analysis revealed a significant association between GPA and OS rates after WBRT: compared with BM patients with GPA of 0-1, 3-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.40-0.59), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.25-0.57), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.28; 95% CI: 0.15-0.52); 6-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.41-0.56), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.33; 95% CI: 0.24-0.45), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.24; 95% CI: 0.16-0.35); 12-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.41-0.58), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.32-0.73), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.31; 95% CI: 0.12-0.79); and 24-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.42-0.58), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.32-0.74), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.15-0.94).

Conclusion

BM patients with higher GPAs generally exhibited better prognoses and survival outcomes after WBRT compared to those with lower GPAs.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42023422914.

Prognostication of overall survival in patients with brain metastases using diffusion tensor imaging and dynamic susceptibility contrast-enhanced MRI

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic utility of DTI and DSC-PWI perfusion-derived parameters in brain metastases patients.

METHODS

Retrospective analyses of DTI-derived parameters (MD, FA, CL, CP, and CS) and DSC-perfusion PWI-derived rCBVmax from 101 patients diagnosed with brain metastases prior to treatment were performed. Using semi-automated segmentation, DTI metrics and rCBVmax were quantified from enhancing areas of the dominant metastatic lesion. For each metric, patients were classified as short- and long-term survivors based on analysis of the best coefficient for each parameter and percentile to separate the groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare mOS between these groups. Multivariate survival analysis was subsequently conducted. A correlative histopathologic analysis was performed in a subcohort (n = 10) with DTI metrics and rCBVmax on opposite ends of the spectrum.

RESULTS

Significant differences in mOS were observed for MDmin (p < 0.05), FA (p < 0.01), CL (p < 0.05), and CP (p < 0.01) and trend toward significance for rCBVmax (p = 0.07) between the two risk groups, in the univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, the best predictive survival model was comprised of MDmin (p = 0.05), rCBVmax (p < 0.05), RPA (p < 0.0001), and number of lesions (p = 0.07). On histopathology, metastatic tumors showed significant differences in the amount of stroma depending on the combination of DTI metrics and rCBVmax values. Patients with high stromal content demonstrated poorer mOS.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment DTI-derived parameters, notably MDmin and rCBVmax, are promising imaging markers for prognostication of OS in patients with brain metastases. Stromal cellularity may be a contributing factor to these differences.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The correlation of DTI-derived metrics and perfusion MRI with patient outcomes has not been investigated in patients with treatment naïve brain metastasis. DTI and DSC-PWI can aid in therapeutic decision-making by providing additional clinical guidance.