Prognosis of patients listed for a heart transplant during the pretransplant period: does diabetes matter?

Outcomes of diabetic patients with end-stage heart failure listed for heart transplantation: A propensity-matched analysis

BACKGROUND

We investigated the current trends and outcomes of diabetic patients listed for heart transplants in the U.S. and provided a method for risk-stratification.

METHODS

Using data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), we identified heart failure patients listed for heart transplants between 2010 and 2019. Diabetic patients were propensity-matched with non-diabetics, and waitlist mortality as well as post-transplant graft survival were compared between the two groups. Further risk-stratification of diabetic patients was done based on the risk factors that independently predict graft failure.

RESULTS

28,928 adult patients (30% diabetic) with end-stage heart failure were added to the waitlist over the study period. In the propensity-matched cohort, waitlist mortality was higher in diabetic patients compared to non-diabetics (HR = 1.13 (95% CI = 1.04-1.22, p = 0.002). Over the study period, 5739 patients with diabetes were transplanted. In the propensity-matched cohorts of transplant recipients, the rate of graft failure was significantly higher for diabetic patients (23.3%) compared to non-diabetics (20.4%); HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.08-1.26, p<0.001. We identified 12 risk factors of graft failure among diabetic patients and developed a risk score that further risk-stratify these patients. Diabetic patients at low risk (score≤4) had similar graft survival as patients without diabetes (HR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.82-1.01, p = 0.06). On the other hand, high-risk diabetic patients had worse graft survival compared to non-diabetics (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.38-1.67, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Among patients with end-stage heart failure, pre-existing diabetes was associated with higher waitlist mortality and worse graft survival. However, with careful patient selection, graft survival is similar to those without diabetes. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Smoking Status at Time of Listing for a Heart Transplant Predicts Mortality on the Waiting List

Objective:

We examined the association of smoking status at time of listing with waitlist mortality among heart transplant (HTx) candidates.

Participants and Design:

Data were analyzed from 316 participants (aged 53 ± 11; 18% female) of the Waiting for a New Heart Study, a prospective observational study of patients newly listed for HTx at 17 hospitals.

Results:

During the study period (April 2005 to March 2010), 14% of those who never smoked died, 18% among former smokers died, and almost half (42%) died among those who reported smoking at time of wait listing. Multivariate Cox regression models controlling for age, sex, and disease severity revealed smoking at time of listing was associated with significantly higher risk of mortality compared to never smoking (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.43; P = .03). The relationship between smoking and mortality risk appeared to follow a dose-dependent pattern: adjusted HRs were 1.80 for those who quit ≤1 year ago, 1.25 for those who quit >1 to 10 years ago, and 0.90 for those quit >10 years ago, compared to never smokers. Smoking at time of listing may increase risk of mortality during the waiting period, indicating the need for improved strategies to achieve smoking cessation as early as possible in the course of HTx.