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Blum MF, Neuen BL, Grams ME. Risk-directed management of chronic kidney disease. Nat Rev Nephrol 2025; 21:287-298. [PMID: 39885336 DOI: 10.1038/s41581-025-00931-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/09/2025] [Indexed: 02/01/2025]
Abstract
The timely and rational institution of therapy is a key step towards reducing the global burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD). CKD is a heterogeneous entity with varied aetiologies and diverse trajectories, which include risk of kidney failure but also cardiovascular events and death. Developments in the past decade include substantial progress in CKD risk prediction, driven in part by the accumulation of electronic health records data. In addition, large randomized clinical trials have demonstrated the effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists in reducing adverse events in CKD, greatly expanding the options for effective therapy. Alongside angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers, these classes of medication have been proposed to be the four pillars of CKD pharmacotherapy. However, all of these drug classes are underutilized, even in individuals at high risk. Leveraging prognostic estimates to guide therapy could help clinicians to prescribe CKD-related therapies to those who are most likely to benefit from their use. Risk-based CKD management thus aligns patient risk and care, allowing the prioritization of absolute benefit in determining therapeutic selection and timing. Here, we discuss CKD prognosis tools, evidence-based management and prognosis-guided therapies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthew F Blum
- University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Brendon L Neuen
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Morgan E Grams
- New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
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2
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Loesch DP, Garg M, Matelska D, Vitsios D, Jiang X, Ritchie SC, Sun BB, Runz H, Whelan CD, Holman RR, Mentz RJ, Moura FA, Wiviott SD, Sabatine MS, Udler MS, Gause-Nilsson IA, Petrovski S, Oscarsson J, Nag A, Paul DS, Inouye M. Identification of plasma proteomic markers underlying polygenic risk of type 2 diabetes and related comorbidities. Nat Commun 2025; 16:2124. [PMID: 40032831 PMCID: PMC11876343 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56695-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2024] [Accepted: 01/22/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Genomics can provide insight into the etiology of type 2 diabetes and its comorbidities, but assigning functionality to non-coding variants remains challenging. Polygenic scores, which aggregate variant effects, can uncover mechanisms when paired with molecular data. Here, we test polygenic scores for type 2 diabetes and cardiometabolic comorbidities for associations with 2,922 circulating proteins in the UK Biobank. The genome-wide type 2 diabetes polygenic score associates with 617 proteins, of which 75% also associate with another cardiometabolic score. Partitioned type 2 diabetes scores, which capture distinct disease biology, associate with 342 proteins (20% unique). In this work, we identify key pathways (e.g., complement cascade), potential therapeutic targets (e.g., FAM3D in type 2 diabetes), and biomarkers of diabetic comorbidities (e.g., EFEMP1 and IGFBP2) through causal inference, pathway enrichment, and Cox regression of clinical trial outcomes. Our results are available via an interactive portal ( https://public.cgr.astrazeneca.com/t2d-pgs/v1/ ).
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas P Loesch
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
| | - Manik Garg
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Dorota Matelska
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Dimitrios Vitsios
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Xiao Jiang
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Scott C Ritchie
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Victor Phillip Dahdaleh Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Cambridge Baker Systems Genomics Initiative, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | | | - Heiko Runz
- Translational Sciences, Biogen Inc., Cambridge, MA, USA
| | | | - Rury R Holman
- Diabetes Trials Unit, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert J Mentz
- Division of Cardiology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Filipe A Moura
- Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, USA
| | - Stephen D Wiviott
- Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Marc S Sabatine
- Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Miriam S Udler
- Diabetes Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Center for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Ingrid A Gause-Nilsson
- Late-Stage Development, Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Slavé Petrovski
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Jan Oscarsson
- Late-Stage Development, Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Abhishek Nag
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
| | - Dirk S Paul
- Centre for Genomics Research, Discovery Sciences, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
- Precision Medicine and Biosamples, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
| | - Michael Inouye
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Victor Phillip Dahdaleh Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Health Data Research UK Cambridge, Wellcome Genome Campus and University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Cambridge Baker Systems Genomics Initiative, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Cambridge Baker Systems Genomics Initiative, Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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3
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Li X, Chang P, Liu X, Kang Y, Zhao Z, Duan Y, Zhang W. Exhaled propofol monitoring for plasma drug prediction in rats. Front Vet Sci 2025; 12:1540413. [PMID: 40012751 PMCID: PMC11862916 DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2025.1540413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2024] [Accepted: 01/27/2025] [Indexed: 02/28/2025] Open
Abstract
While propofol can be detected in exhaled breath in rats, robust evidence supporting its correlation with plasma concentrations or its use in predicting plasma levels remains lacking. In this study, eighteen mechanically ventilated rats were divided into three groups and injected with low (Group BL, n = 6), medium (Group BM, n = 6), or high (Group BH, n = 6) doses of propofol. The propofol concentration in exhaled breath (Ce-pro) was determined online using vacuum ultraviolet time-of-flight mass spectrometry (VUV-TOF MS), while the propofol concentration in plasma (Cp-pro) were measured using high-performance liquid chromatograph. The results indicated that after propofol injection, the peak Ce-pro was 5.87 ± 1.67 ppbv, 16.54 ± 7.22 ppbv, and 25.40 ± 3.68 ppbv, respectively. Across the different dose groups, Cmax of Ce-pro and Cp-pro were linearly correlated (P BL = 0.032, P BM = 0.031, P BH = 0.049). Tmax of Ce-pro was 1.22 ± 0.17 min, 1.28 ± 0.13 min, and 1.33 ± 0.01 min, respectively (P = 0.341), similar to the Tmax of Cp-pro (1.00 ± 0.00 min). After natural logarithm transformation, the correlation between LN(Ce-pro) and LN(Cp-pro) was well fitted by a linear model, withR B L 2 = 0.94,R B M 2 = 0.95,R B H 2 = 0.98, andR A L L 2 = 0.96. Using the obtained regression equation LN(Cp-pro) = 1.42*LN(Ce-pro)-1.70, the predicted Cp-pro values showed excellent agreement with the actual values within groups (ICCBL = 0.92; ICCBM = 0.97, ICCBH = 0.99, all P < 0.001). This study demonstrates a strong correlation between exhaled and plasma propofol concentrations in rats, indicating that exhaled concentrations can be effectively used to estimate plasma levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoxiao Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Pan Chang
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Xing Liu
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yi Kang
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Zhongjun Zhao
- School of Mechanical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yixiang Duan
- School of Mechanical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wensheng Zhang
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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Ke Q, Xiao Y, Liu D, Shi C, Shen R, Qin S, Jiang L, Yang J, Zhou Y. PPARα/δ dual agonist H11 alleviates diabetic kidney injury by improving the metabolic disorders of tubular epithelial cells. Biochem Pharmacol 2024; 222:116076. [PMID: 38387308 DOI: 10.1016/j.bcp.2024.116076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Revised: 02/16/2024] [Accepted: 02/20/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]
Abstract
Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is responsible for nearly half of all end-stage kidney disease and kidney failure is a major driver of mortality among patients with diabetes. To date, few safe and effective drugs are available to reverse the decline of kidney function. Kidney tubules producing energy by fatty acid metabolism are pivotal in development and deterioration of DKD. Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors (PPARs), comprising PPARα, PPARδ and PPARγ play a senior role in the pathogenesis of DKD for their functions in glycemic control and lipid metabolism; whereas systemic activation of PPARγ causes serious side-effects in clinical settings. Compound H11 was a potent PPARα and PPARδ (PPARα/δ) dual agonist with potent and well-balanced PPARα/δ agonistic activity and a high selectivity over PPARγ. In this study, the potential therapeutic effects of compound H11 were determined in a db/db mouse model of diabetes. Expressions of PPARα and PPARδ in nuclei of tubules were markedly reduced in diabetes. Transcriptional changes of tubular cells showed that H11 was an effective PPARα/δ dual agonist taking effects both in vivo and in vitro. Systemic administration of H11 showed glucose tolerance and lipid metabolic benefits in db/db mice. Moreover, H11 treatment exerted protective effects on diabetic kidney injury. In addition to fatty acid metabolism, H11 also regulated diabetes-induced metabolic alternations of branch chain amino acid degradation and glycolysis. The present study demonstrated a crucial role of H11 in regulation of energy homeostasis and metabolism in glucose-treated tubular cells. Overall, compound H11 holds therapeutic promise for DKD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qingqing Ke
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Yu Xiao
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Dandan Liu
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Caifeng Shi
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Rui Shen
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Songyan Qin
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China
| | - Lei Jiang
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China.
| | - Junwei Yang
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China.
| | - Yang Zhou
- Center for Kidney Disease, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, China.
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Piechocki M, Przewłocki T, Pieniążek P, Trystuła M, Podolec J, Kabłak-Ziembicka A. A Non-Coronary, Peripheral Arterial Atherosclerotic Disease (Carotid, Renal, Lower Limb) in Elderly Patients-A Review PART II-Pharmacological Approach for Management of Elderly Patients with Peripheral Atherosclerotic Lesions outside Coronary Territory. J Clin Med 2024; 13:1508. [PMID: 38592348 PMCID: PMC10934701 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13051508] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2024] [Revised: 02/23/2024] [Accepted: 03/03/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aging is a key risk factor for atherosclerosis progression that is associated with increased incidence of ischemic events in supplied organs, including stroke, coronary events, limb ischemia, or renal failure. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death and major disability in adults ≥ 75 years of age. Atherosclerotic occlusive disease affects everyday activity, quality of life, and it is associated with reduced life expectancy. As most multicenter randomized trials exclude elderly and very elderly patients, particularly those with severe comorbidities, physical or cognitive dysfunctions, frailty, or residence in a nursing home, there is insufficient data on the management of older patients presenting with atherosclerotic lesions outside coronary territory. This results in serious critical gaps in knowledge and a lack of guidance on the appropriate medical treatment. In addition, due to a variety of severe comorbidities in the elderly, the average daily number of pills taken by octogenarians exceeds nine. Polypharmacy frequently results in drug therapy problems related to interactions, drug toxicity, falls with injury, delirium, and non-adherence. Therefore, we have attempted to gather data on the medical treatment in patients with extra-cardiac atherosclerotic lesions indicating where there is some evidence of the management in elderly patients and where there are gaps in evidence-based medicine. Public PubMed databases were searched to review existing evidence on the effectiveness of lipid-lowering, antithrombotic, and new glucose-lowering medications in patients with extra-cardiac atherosclerotic occlusive disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marcin Piechocki
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Tadeusz Przewłocki
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Piotr Pieniążek
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Mariusz Trystuła
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
| | - Jakub Podolec
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland;
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland
| | - Anna Kabłak-Ziembicka
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland
- Noninvasive Cardiovascular Laboratory, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland
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Piechocki M, Przewłocki T, Pieniążek P, Trystuła M, Podolec J, Kabłak-Ziembicka A. A Non-Coronary, Peripheral Arterial Atherosclerotic Disease (Carotid, Renal, Lower Limb) in Elderly Patients-A Review: Part I-Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Atherosclerosis-Related Diversities in Elderly Patients. J Clin Med 2024; 13:1471. [PMID: 38592280 PMCID: PMC10935176 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13051471] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2024] [Revised: 02/23/2024] [Accepted: 02/29/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Atherosclerosis is a generalized and progressive disease. Ageing is a key risk factor for atherosclerosis progression that is associated with the increased incidence of ischemic events in supplied organs, including stroke, coronary events, limb ischemia, or renal failure. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death and major disability in adults ≥ 75 years of age. Atherosclerotic occlusive disease affects everyday activity and quality of life, and it is associated with reduced life expectancy. Although there is evidence on coronary artery disease management in the elderly, there is insufficient data on the management in older patients presented with atherosclerotic lesions outside the coronary territory. Despite this, trials and observational studies systematically exclude older patients, particularly those with severe comorbidities, physical or cognitive dysfunctions, frailty, or residence in a nursing home. This results in serious critical gaps in knowledge and a lack of guidance on the appropriate medical treatment and referral for endovascular or surgical interventions. Therefore, we attempted to gather data on the prevalence, risk factors, and management strategies in patients with extra-coronary atherosclerotic lesions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marcin Piechocki
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Tadeusz Przewłocki
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Piotr Pieniążek
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
- Department of Cardiac and Vascular Diseases, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland;
| | - Mariusz Trystuła
- Department of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland; (M.P.); (P.P.); (M.T.)
| | - Jakub Podolec
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland;
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland
| | - Anna Kabłak-Ziembicka
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, św. Anny 12, 31-007 Krakow, Poland
- Noninvasive Cardiovascular Laboratory, The St. John Paul II Hospital, Prądnicka 80, 31-202 Krakow, Poland
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Khan SS, Coresh J, Pencina MJ, Ndumele CE, Rangaswami J, Chow SL, Palaniappan LP, Sperling LS, Virani SS, Ho JE, Neeland IJ, Tuttle KR, Rajgopal Singh R, Elkind MSV, Lloyd-Jones DM. Novel Prediction Equations for Absolute Risk Assessment of Total Cardiovascular Disease Incorporating Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association. Circulation 2023; 148:1982-2004. [PMID: 37947094 DOI: 10.1161/cir.0000000000001191] [Citation(s) in RCA: 174] [Impact Index Per Article: 87.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a novel construct recently defined by the American Heart Association in response to the high prevalence of metabolic and kidney disease. Epidemiological data demonstrate higher absolute risk of both atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) and heart failure as an individual progresses from CKM stage 0 to stage 3, but optimal strategies for risk assessment need to be refined. Absolute risk assessment with the goal to match type and intensity of interventions with predicted risk and expected treatment benefit remains the cornerstone of primary prevention. Given the growing number of therapies in our armamentarium that simultaneously address all 3 CKM axes, novel risk prediction equations are needed that incorporate predictors and outcomes relevant to the CKM context. This should also include social determinants of health, which are key upstream drivers of CVD, to more equitably estimate and address risk. This scientific statement summarizes the background, rationale, and clinical implications for the newly developed sex-specific, race-free risk equations: PREVENT (AHA Predicting Risk of CVD Events). The PREVENT equations enable 10- and 30-year risk estimates for total CVD (composite of atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure), include estimated glomerular filtration rate as a predictor, and adjust for competing risk of non-CVD death among adults 30 to 79 years of age. Additional models accommodate enhanced predictive utility with the addition of CKM factors when clinically indicated for measurement (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c) or social determinants of health (social deprivation index) when available. Approaches to implement risk-based prevention using PREVENT across various settings are discussed.
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