Predictors of active cancer thromboembolic outcomes: mortality associated with calf deep vein thrombosis

Association between the Khorana risk score and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Khorana risk score (KRS) has poor predictive value for cancer-associated thrombosis in a single tumor type but is associated with early all-cause mortality from cancer. Evidence for the association between KRS and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer is limited.

AIM

To investigate whether KRS was independently related to all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer after adjusting for other covariates and to shed light on its temporal validity.

METHODS

Data from Dryad database were used in this study. Patients in the Gastroenterology Department of Sapporo General Hospital, Sapporo, Japan, were enrolled. The starting and ending dates of the enrollment were January 1, 2008 and January 5, 2015, respectively. The cutoff date for follow-up was May 31, 2016. The independent and dependent (target) variables were the baseline measured using the KRS and final all-cause mortality, respectively. The KRS was categorized into three groups: Low-risk group (= 0 score), intermediate-risk group (1-2 score), and high-risk group (≥ 3 score).

RESULTS

Men and patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) ≥ 2 displayed a higher 2-year risk of death than women and those with ECOG PS 0-1 in the intermediate/high risk group for KRS. The higher the score, the higher the risk of early death; however, the relevance of this independent prediction decreased with longer survival. The overall survival of each patient was recorded via real-world follow-up and retrospective observations, and this study yielded the overall relationship between KRS and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

The prechemotherapy baseline of KRS was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 2 years; however, this independent predictive relationship weakened as survival time increased.

Solid Tumor Complicated With Venous Thromboembolism: A 10-Year Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study

Venous thromboembolism (VTE), including pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) occurs more frequently in cancer patients than in the general population. A retrospective cross-sectional study was carried out in patients with solid tumor complicated with VTE admitted to the Cancer Center, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology between January 1st, 2008 and December 31th, 2017. The incidence of VTE in hospitalized cancer patients was 1.8%, twice the incidence of VTE in hospitalized non-cancer patients. The annual incidence of cancer-associated VTE in our center varied between 1.6% in 2015 and 0.4% in 2009 with an overall average incidence of 1.3% over the research decade. BMI values of 549(67.7%) cancer patients were within the normal range, but none of patients had BMI greater than 35 kg/m². 747(92.1%) cancer patients had ECOG PS score ≤ 2 and 481(59.3%) had distant metastasis. Patients with pancreatic, bladder, ovarian and endometrial cancer had the highest incidence of VTE. Upper extremity DVT (47.2%) was more common in cancer patients and might be closely associated with CVC (74.9%), while lower extremities DVT (36.1%) intended to PE development (15.0%). The annual incidence rates showed a fluctuating and upward trend over the research decade. VTE occurrence was closely related to tumor stage, tumor site, catheterization and anti-neoplasm therapy in cancer patients.

Calf vein thrombosis outcomes comparing patients with and without cancer

Distal or calf deep vein thrombosis (DVT) are said to have low rates of propagation, embolization, and recurrence. The objective of this study was to determine outcomes among cancer patients with calf DVT compared to those without cancer. Consecutive patients with ultrasound confirmed acute calf DVT (3/1/2013-8/10/2019) were assessed for venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence and bleeding outcomes compared by cancer status. There were 830 patients with isolated calf DVT; 243 with cancer and 587 without cancer. Cancer patients were older (65.9 ± 11.4 vs. 62.0 ± 15.9 years; p = 0.006), with less frequent recent hospitalization (31.7% vs. 48.0%; p < 0.001), surgery (30.0% vs. 38.0%; p = 0.03), or trauma (3.7% vs. 19.9%; p < 0.001). The four most common cancers included hematologic malignancies (20.6%), lung (11.5%), gastrointestinal (10.3%), and ovarian/GYN (9.1%). Nearly half of patients had metastatic disease (43.8%) and 57% were receiving chemotherapy. VTE recurrence rates were similar for patients with (7.1%) and without cancer (4.0%; p = 0.105). Major bleeding (6.3% vs. 2.3%; p = 0.007) were greater for cancer patients while clinical relevant non major bleeding rates did not differ (7.1% vs. 4.6%; p = 0.159). In this retrospective analysis, cancer patients with calf DVT have similar rates of VTE recurrence but higher major bleeding outcomes compared to patients without cancer.

Changing trends in inferior vena cava filter indication for venous thromboembolism over the last two decades: a retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to evaluate changes in the incidence, patients' profile and indications of inferior vena cava filters at a single center over the past two decades.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 187 consecutive patients with a venous thromboembolism requiring a filter at a tertiary hospital between 1999-2018. Within this period the availability of retrievable filters (since 2007) and the withdrawal of filter indication for recurrent venous thromboembolism from guidelines (since 2008) may have contributed to change practice patterns. Patients' profile, filter indication and survival were compared between decades (1999-2008 vs. 2009-2018).

RESULTS

The filter insertion rate doubled (60 vs. 127 cases) over 2009-2018. In this later period there was an unexpected rise (15 vs. 68 cases, P<0.001) of patients with isolated pulmonary embolism as baseline venous thromboembolism episode, without other relevant changes in patients' profile or survival. Regarding indications, there was an increase in filters for bleeding risk (23 vs. 45) and a reduction for venous thromboembolism recurrence (20 vs. 7), but also an unexpected increase of cases for bleeding (15 vs. 72). Among the 116 retrievable filters indicated for a temporary cause, 70 (60.3%) were finally not removed, being persistence of filter indication (n=33, 47.1%) the most common cause.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of filters inserted at our institution has raised over the last two decades. This increase was partly unexpected and perhaps related to the availability of retrievable filters. Unfortunately these devices remain frequently non-removed being persistence of the indication the most frequent cause.

Predicting outcomes in patients with cancer and atrial fibrillation

Background:

The role of cancer-specific factors for ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with cancer and atrial fibrillation (AF) is unknown. We evaluated the utility of a previously validated risk tool for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer outpatients [Khorana score (KS)] in predicting stroke and mortality in cancer patients with AF.

Methods:

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with cancer and AF at the Cleveland Clinic from 2008 to 2014. Outcomes, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and KS scores were calculated from date of cancer diagnosis. Prognostic factors were identified with Fine and Gray regression (for stroke) or Cox proportional hazards analysis (for mortality).

Results:

The study population comprised 1181 patients. Genitourinary (19%), lung (18%), and gastrointestinal (13%) were the most frequent cancers. Overall, 67% had CHADS2 ⩾ 2, 57% had an intermediate KS (1–2), and 7% high KS (⩾3). Median follow up was 26.5 months (range 0.03–76). At a median of 8.2 months (range 0–61), 45 patients (3.8%) developed a stroke and 418 (35%) died. In multivariable analysis a high KS (HR 4.5, 95% CI 3.2–6.3, p < 0.001) was associated with a quadruple risk of death and every point increase in CHADS2 score had a 20% increased risk of death (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.1–1.2, p < 0.001). The addition of KS did not improve risk stratification for ischemic stroke to CHADS2.

Conclusion:

In patients with cancer and AF, CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc but not KS were predictive of ischemic stroke. A high KS represented a unique predictor of mortality beyond traditional risk scores.

Pancreatic cancer thromboembolic outcomes: rate of thrombosis after adenocarcinoma and non-adenocarcinoma pancreatic cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to define the association of non-adenocarcinoma pancreatic cancer (NACPC) as a risk factor for postoperative cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT).

METHODS

We conducted analysis of prospectively collected data of pancreatic cancer surgery. Randomly collected NACPC cases were matched 1:3 to adenocarcinoma cases (ACPC). Variables included comorbidities, demographics, cancer extension, and preoperative Khorana score (KRS). Primary outcome was CAT, which included deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism confirmed by imaging. Categorical variables are presented as percentages, continuous variables as median and range. SPSS, χ2, Cochran-Armitage, and logistic regression were use for analysis.

RESULTS

The study included 441 patients. Age 65.9±11.5, male 57% (N.=252), 8% (N.=36) had metastasis. IPMN and neuroendocrine were the most common NACPC. Median follow-up was 449 days in which 90 (20%) patients developed CAT. The odds (Odds Ratio [OR] 1.1, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.6- 1.9, P=0.7) and time to venous thromboembolism were not different between NACPC and ACPC. We analyzed for trends of prophylactic strategies by year of surgery; there was no trend for NACPC (P=0.4) or ACPC (P=0.06). KRS was not associated with CAT. In the multivariate analysis, peripheral artery disease (Adjusted Odds Ratio [ORadj] 5.4, 95% CI: 1.7-17.3), ASA class ≥4 (ORadj 3.6; 95% CI: 1.3-10.4), length of stay >9 days (ORadj: 1.9; 1.2-3.2), and cancer vascular invasion (ORadj: 2.9; 95% CI: 1.6-5.3) were associated with CAT.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of VTE in NACPC after surgery was high and not different than ACPC. Histology type should not govern discrimination in thromboprophylaxis selection or extension.

Predictors of Incomplete Occlusion following Pipeline Embolization of Intracranial Aneurysms: Is It Less Effective in Older Patients?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Flow diversion with the Pipeline Embolization Device (PED) for the treatment of intracranial aneurysms is associated with a high rate of aneurysm occlusion. However, clinical and radiographic predictors of incomplete aneurysm occlusion are poorly defined. In this study, predictors of incomplete occlusion at last angiographic follow-up after PED treatment were assessed.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of consecutive aneurysms treated with the PED between 2009 and 2016, at 3 academic institutions in the United States, was performed. Cases with angiographic follow-up were selected to evaluate factors predictive of incomplete aneurysm occlusion at last follow-up.

RESULTS

We identified 465 aneurysms treated with the PED; 380 (81.7%) aneurysms (329 procedures; median age, 58 years; female/male ratio, 4.8:1) had angiographic follow-up, and were included. Complete occlusion (100%) was achieved in 78.2% of aneurysms. Near-complete (90%-99%) and partial (<90%) occlusion were collectively achieved in 21.8% of aneurysms and defined as incomplete occlusion. Of aneurysms followed for at least 12 months (211 of 380), complete occlusion was achieved in 83.9%. Older age (older than 70 years), nonsmoking status, aneurysm location within the posterior communicating artery or posterior circulation, greater aneurysm maximal diameter (≥21 mm), and shorter follow-up time (<12 months) were significantly associated with incomplete aneurysm occlusion at last angiographic follow-up on univariable analysis. However, on multivariable logistic regression, only age, smoking status, and duration of follow-up were independently associated with occlusion status.

CONCLUSIONS

Complete occlusion following PED treatment of intracranial aneurysms can be influenced by several factors related to the patient, aneurysm, and treatment. Of these factors, older age (older than 70 years) and nonsmoking status were independent predictors of incomplete occlusion. While the physiologic explanation for these findings remains unknown, identification of factors predictive of incomplete aneurysm occlusion following PED placement can assist in patient selection and counseling and might provide insight into the biologic factors affecting endothelialization.