Efficacy of second-generation cryoballoon ablation in paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation patients

Novel scoring system derived from meta-analysis and validated in cohort population for predicting 1-year atrial fibrillation recurrence after cryoballoon catheter ablation: The HeLPS-Cryo score

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence rates in 1 year after cryoballoon ablation catheter (CBCA) are still high. We purposed to identify strong predictors for AF recurrence after the successful CBCA procedure and develop a new scoring system based only on pre-procedural parameters.

METHODS

In the derivation phase, a systematic review and meta-analysis identified the strong predictors of AF recurrence after the CBCA. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) was used to create the new scoring system. The second phase validated the new scoring system in the cohort population.

RESULTS

A meta-analysis including 29 cohort studies with 16196 participants confirmed that persistent AF, stroke, heart failure, and left atrial diameter (LAD) >40 mm were powerful predictors for AF recurrence after the CBCA procedure. The HeLPS-Cryo (heart failure [1], left atrial dilatation [1], persistent AF [2], and stroke [2]) was developed based on those pre-procedural predictors. It was validated in 140 patients receiving CBCA procedures and revealed excellent predictive performance for 1-year AF recurrence (AUC = 0.8877; 95% CI = 0.8208 to 0.9546). The HeLPS-Cryo score of ≥3 could predict 1-year AF recurrence with sensitivity and specificity of 78.9% and 87.9%, respectively. The positive predictive value was 66.7%, and the negative predictive value was 93.1%.

CONCLUSION

The HeLPS-Cryo score can help the physician estimate the probability of 1-year AF recurrence after the successful CBCA procedure. Patients with HeLPS-Cryo score <3 are good candidates for the CBCA procedure.

Early arrhythmia recurrence after cryoballoon ablation in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early arrhythmia recurrence within the three-month blanking period is a common event that historically has been attributed to reversible phenomena. While its' mechanistic links remain obscure, accumulating evidence support the argument of shortening the blanking period. We aimed to elucidate the association between early and late arrhythmia recurrence after atrial fibrillation cryoablation.

METHODS

The MEDLINE database, ClinicalTrials.gov, medRxiv and Cochrane Library were searched for studies evaluating early and late arrhythmia recurrence rates in patients undergoing cryoablation for AF. Data were pooled by meta-analysis using a random-effects model. The primary endpoint was late arrhythmia recurrence.

RESULTS

Early arrhythmia recurrence was found predictive of decreased arrhythmia-free survival after evaluating 3975 patients with paroxysmal or persistent atrial fibrillation who underwent cryoablation (OR: 5.31; 95% CI: 3.75-7.51). This pattern remained unchanged after sub-analyzing atrial fibrillation type (paroxysmal; OR: 7.16; 95% CI: 4.40-11.65 and persistent; OR: 7.63; 95% CI: 3.62-16.07) as well as cryoablation catheter generation (first generation; OR: 5.15, 95% CI: 2.39-11.11 and advanced generation; OR: 5.83, 95% CI: 3.68-9.23). Studies permitting anti-arrhythmic drug utilization during blanking period or examining early recurrence as a secondary outcome were found to be a significant source of statistical heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that early arrhythmia recurrence is predictive of late outcomes after cryoablation for atrial fibrillation. Identifying which patients deserve earlier re-intervention is an open research avenue. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Redefining the Blanking Period by a Long-Term Follow-Up after Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Using Second-Generation Cryoballoon

On the basis of radiofrequency ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF), some studies suggested that early recurrences of atrial tachyarrhythmia (ERATs) were associated with late AF recurrence (LAFR), and some also suspected and challenged the current recommended 90 day blanking period. We aim to evaluate the impact of ERAT on long-term success and to determine the optimum blanking period after AF ablation using second-generation cryoballoon (sg-CB). From August 2016 to October 2018, 369 consecutive patients who successfully underwent initial AF ablation using sg-CB at the Fuwai Hospital were finally enrolled. All patients were followed up no less than 12 months. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the optimum blanking period after AF ablation. There were 62 (16.8%) who experienced ERAT. After a median follow-up of 615 days, 74.5% were free of LAFR after the 90 day blanking period. Incidence of freedom from LAFR during the long-term follow-up was markedly lower in patients with ERAT than in those without ERAT (27.4% versus 84.0%; log-rank P < 0.001). Furthermore, only ERAT (HR 8.579; 95% CI 5.604-13.133; P < 0.001) was significantly associated with an increased risk of LAFR after adjusting for other factors. The optimum cut-off time point for the blanking period was 21.5 days (sensitivity: 71.1%, specificity: 94.1%). In conclusion, ERAT was an independent predictor of LAFR after AF ablation using sg-CB. Based on our findings, blanking period was advised to be shorten to 21.5 days or about 3 weeks instead of 90 days after CB ablation.

Patient characteristics as predictors of recurrence of atrial fibrillation following cryoballoon ablation

BACKGROUND

While several studies have evaluated predictors for atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence following catheter ablation, there are limited data specific to cryoballoon ablation (CBA).

METHODS

We analyzed a prospective registry of patients at a single institution who underwent CBA. Recurrence of AF (RAF) was defined as recurrence of AF by 12-month follow-up, excluding the 3-month blanking period. Univariate analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of RAF. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to compare and evaluate the performance of various risk scores for discriminating risk of RAF.

RESULTS

There were 542 patients included in the analysis with mean age 61.3 ± 10.6 years, 67.9% male, and 51.6% paroxysmal AF (PAF). Overall, only left atrial diameter (LAD) > 40 mm and ERAF (early recurrence of AF within 0-3 month blanking period) were significant predictors of RAF. In the PAF specific subgroup, LAD > 40 mm, AF duration > 12 months, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack, ERAF, and having previously failed an antiarrhythmic drug were significant predictors of RAF. In persistent AF (PeAF) subgroup, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and ERAF were significant predictors of RAF. Out of clinical risk scores tested, BASEAF2 had the highest performance with area under the curve of 0.646 (95% confidence interval [0.548, 0.708]; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

In this single-center retrospective study of CBA, we found only LAD > 40 mm and ERAF to be predictors of RAF. We identified OSA as a potential targetable risk factor in PeAF patients undergoing CBA. Out of risk scores tested for discriminating risk of RAF, BASEAF2 had the best performance.