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Conceição PB, San Pedro A, Praça HLF, dos Santos YT, Reis LNM, Gibson G. [Stratification of risk areas for measles transmission: a systematic reviewEstratificación de las zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión: revisión sistemática]. Rev Panam Salud Publica 2024; 48:e1. [PMID: 38226153 PMCID: PMC10787521 DOI: 10.26633/rpsp.2024.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2023] [Accepted: 11/17/2023] [Indexed: 01/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective To perform a systematic review of scientific publications addressing the use of stratification methods to define risk areas for measles transmission. Method Articles published in English, Portuguese, and Spanish in journals indexed in the SciELO, PubMed, and LILACS databases were selected. The search terms risk assessment AND measles were used without date limits. Editorials, opinion articles, individual-level observational studies, and publications that did not focus on the application of methods to stratify measles transmission risk areas were excluded. Year of publication, authorship, country where the study was performed, objective, geographic level of analysis, method used, indicators, and limitations were recorded in a data form. Results Thirteen articles published between 2011 and 2022 in nine countries from the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions were selected. Of these, 10 referred to the Measles Risk Assessment Tool developed by the WHO/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Only one study adapted the tool to the local context. The risk stratification indicators used in the selected studies focused on a combination of the following dimensions: population immunity, quality of surveillance systems, and epidemiologic status. The systematic output of data with adequate quality and coverage was a noteworthy aspect hindering risk stratification. Conclusion There seems to be limited dissemination of measles risk stratification strategies, especially at local levels. The need to train human resources to process and interpret risk analyses as part of the routine of surveillance services is emphasized.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paula Barbosa Conceição
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
| | - Alexandre San Pedro
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
| | - Heitor Levy Ferreira Praça
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
| | - Yasmin Toledo dos Santos
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
| | - Larissa Nunes Moreira Reis
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
| | - Gerusa Gibson
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)Instituto de Estudos em Saúde ColetivaRio de Janeiro (RJ)BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brasil.
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Goshu Muluneh A, Woldemariam Merid M, Tigabu B, Getie Ferede M, Molla Kassa G, Animut Y. Less than one-fifth of Ethiopian children were vaccinated for measles second dose; evidence from the Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey 2019. Vaccine X 2022; 12:100217. [PMID: 36148266 PMCID: PMC9486014 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2022.100217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2022] [Revised: 09/02/2022] [Accepted: 09/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Ethiopia introduced the measles second dose vaccine from the routine expanded immunization program in 2018. Shreds of evidence are scarce on the measles second dose vaccination coverage and its associated factors in Ethiopia. We aimed to assess the measles second dose vaccination coverage and associated factors in Ethiopia using the recent Ethiopian Mini Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) 2019 data. An in-depth secondary data analysis was conducted based on the Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey 2019 data; which was a cross-sectional survey targeted on key indicators of maternal and child health. A weighted sample of 965 children was included in the analysis. A multi-level mixed effect logistics regression model was fitted. Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) with 95 %CI was reported for statistically significant variables. The measles second dose coverage was 12.36 % (95 %CI = 10.89, 15.44). Not vaccinated for the third dose of pentavalent vaccine (Penta 3) (AOR = 0.60, 95 %CI: 0.37, 0.95), age of the child [13 to 23 months (AOR = 2.14, 95 %CI: 1.05, 4.36), 24 to 36 months (AOR = 2.58, 95 %CI: 1.32, 5.05)], household head educational status [no education (AOR = 0.51,95 %CI: 0.26, 0.99), primary (AOR = 0.44, 95 %CI: 0.23, 0.85)], and living in south nation, nationalities and peoples region (SNNPR) (AOR = 2.83,95 %CI: 1.12, 7.11) were significantly associated with measles second dose vaccination coverage. Measles second dose vaccination coverage was low in Ethiopia. Age of the child, being vaccinated for the Penta 3, educational status of the household head, and region of residence were significant determinants of measles second dose vaccination coverage.
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Wariri O, Okomo U, Kwarshak YK, Utazi CE, Murray K, Grundy C, Kampmann B. Timeliness of routine childhood vaccination in 103 low-and middle-income countries, 1978-2021: A scoping review to map measurement and methodological gaps. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 2:e0000325. [PMID: 36962319 PMCID: PMC10021799 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2021] [Accepted: 06/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Empiric studies exploring the timeliness of routine vaccination in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs) have gained momentum in the last decade. Nevertheless, there is emerging evidence suggesting that these studies have key measurement and methodological gaps that limit their comparability and utility. Hence, there is a need to identify, and document these gaps which could inform the design, conduct, and reporting of future research on the timeliness of vaccination. We synthesised the literature to determine the methodological and measurement gaps in the assessment of vaccination timeliness in LMICs. We searched five electronic databases for peer-reviewed articles in English and French that evaluated vaccination timeliness in LMICs, and were published between 01 January 1978, and 01 July 2021. Two reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts and reviewed full texts of relevant articles, following the guidance framework for scoping reviews by the Joanna Briggs Institute. From the 4263 titles identified, we included 224 articles from 103 countries. China (40), India (27), and Kenya (23) had the highest number of publications respectively. Of the three domains of timeliness, the most studied domain was 'delayed vaccination' [99.5% (223/224)], followed by 'early vaccination' [21.9% (49/224)], and 'untimely interval vaccination' [9% (20/224)]. Definitions for early (seven different definitions), untimely interval (four different definitions), and delayed vaccination (19 different definitions) varied across the studies. Most studies [72.3% (166/224)] operationalised vaccination timeliness as a categorical variable, compared to only 9.8% (22/224) of studies that operationalised timeliness as continuous variables. A large proportion of studies [47.8% (107/224)] excluded the data of children with no written vaccination records irrespective of caregivers' recall of their vaccination status. Our findings show that studies on vaccination timeliness in LMICs has measurement and methodological gaps. We recommend the development and implement of guidelines for measuring and reporting vaccination timeliness to bridge these gaps.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oghenebrume Wariri
- Vaccines and Immunity Theme, MRC Unit The Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Uduak Okomo
- Vaccines and Immunity Theme, MRC Unit The Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia
| | | | - Chigozie Edson Utazi
- WorldPop, School of geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
- Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Kris Murray
- MRC Unit The Gambia at The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Chris Grundy
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Beate Kampmann
- Vaccines and Immunity Theme, MRC Unit The Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia
- Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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Makarenko C, San Pedro A, Paiva NS, Santos JPCD, Medronho RDA, Gibson G. Measles resurgence in Brazil: analysis of the 2019 epidemic in the state of São Paulo. Rev Saude Publica 2022; 56:50. [PMID: 35703604 PMCID: PMC9239333 DOI: 10.11606/s1518-8787.2022056003805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2021] [Accepted: 08/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze the epidemiological profile of cases and the pattern of spatial diffusion of the largest measles epidemic in Brazil that occurred in the post-elimination period in the state of São Paulo. METHOD A cross-sectional study based on confirmed measles cases in 2019. Bivariate analysis was performed for socioeconomic, clinical, and epidemiological variables, according to prior vaccination and hospitalization, combined with an analysis of spatial diffusion of cases using the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method. RESULTS Of the 15,598 confirmed cases, 2,039 were hospitalized and 17 progressed to death. The epidemic peak occurred in epidemiological week 33, after confirmation of the first case, in the epidemiological week 6. Most cases were male (52.1%), aged between 18 and 29 years (38.7%), identified as whites (70%). Young adults (39.7%) and children under five years (32.8%) were the most affected age groups. A higher proportion of previous vaccination was observed in whites as compared to Blacks, browns, yellows and indigenous people (p < 0.001), as well as in the most educated group compared to the other categories (p < 0.001). The risk of hospitalization was higher in children than in the older age group (RI = 2.19; 95%CI: 1.66-2.88), as well as in the unvaccinated than in the vaccinated (RI = 1.59; 95%CI: 1.45-1.75). The pattern of diffusion by contiguity combined with diffusion by relocation followed the urban hierarchy of the main cities' regions of influence. CONCLUSION In addition to routine vaccination in children, the findings indicate the need for immunization campaigns for young adults. In addition, studies that seek to investigate the occurrence of clusters of vulnerable populations, prone to lower vaccination coverage, are essential to broaden the understanding of the dynamics of transmission and, thus, reorienting control strategies that ensure disease elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristina Makarenko
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Alexandre San Pedro
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Centro de Estudos, Políticas e Informação sobre Determinantes Sociais da Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Natalia Santana Paiva
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | | | | | - Gerusa Gibson
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
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Makarenko C, Pedro AS, Paiva NS, Souza-Santos R, Medronho RDA, Gibson G. Identificação de áreas de risco e fatores associados à epidemia de sarampo de 2019 no Estado de São Paulo, Brasil. CAD SAUDE PUBLICA 2022; 38:e00039222. [DOI: 10.1590/0102-311xpt039222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Accepted: 08/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
O objetivo foi analisar a ocorrência de clusters e fatores associados ao ressurgimento de casos de sarampo da maior epidemia do período pós-eliminação, ocorrida no Estado de São Paulo, Brasil, em 2019. Fatores sociossanitários e assistenciais foram analisados por modelos de Poisson inflacionado de zero (ZIP) e ZIP com efeito espacial estruturado e não estruturado. A estatística de varredura SCAN foi usada para analisar a ocorrência de clusters de casos. Foram identificados clusters de casos de alto risco em municípios que compõem a região intermediária de São Paulo. No modelo ZIP, foram observadas como fatores de risco no nível municipal as variáveis chefes de domicílio menores de 18 anos (RR ajustado = 1,39; ICr95%: 1,27-1,53), desigualdade na distribuição de renda (RR ajustado = 36,67; ICr95%: 26,36-51,15), desocupação em maiores de 18 anos (RR ajustado = 1,10; ICr95%: 1,08-1,12) e iluminação pública inexistente (RR ajustado = 1,05; ICr95%: 1,04-1,05). Nos modelos ZIP com efeito espacial estruturado e não estruturado, foram identificados como fatores de risco os indicadores chefes de domicílio menores de 18 anos (RR ajustado = 1,36; ICr95%: 1,04-1,90) e desigualdade na distribuição dos rendimentos do trabalho (RR ajustado = 3,12; ICr95%: 1,02-9,48). Em ambos os modelos, a cobertura de agentes de saúde se apresentou como fator de proteção. Os achados reforçam a importância de intensificar as ações de vigilância de sarampo articuladas à Estratégia Saúde da Família, especialmente em áreas de maior vulnerabilidade social, para garantir coberturas vacinais equânimes e satisfatórias e reduzir o risco de reemergência da doença.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Gerusa Gibson
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Brazil
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