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Hamad A, Abdelhai MY, Elsherbiny M, Abdelwahed A, Tolba H, Chembolu S, Yasin F, Ibrahim R, Joseph S, Almuhanadi T, Alkadi M, Al Malki H. Severe acute respiratory infections: An epidemiological analysis of surveillance data in Bahrain, 2018-2022. Qatar Med J 2024; 2024:28. [PMID: 38974774 PMCID: PMC11227247 DOI: 10.5339/qmj.2024.28] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2023] [Accepted: 04/29/2024] [Indexed: 07/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Severe acute respiratory tract infections (SARI) pose a health threat to children and adults worldwide. The SARI surveillance program was initiated in 2018 in Bahrain to monitor the activity of respiratory pathogens. Salmaniya Medical Complex (SMC) was chosen as the sentinel site for the SARI surveillance program. This study aimed to describe the epidemiology of SARI patients admitted to SMC from 2018 to 2022. Methods Patients meeting the World Health Organization definition of SARI and presenting with cough and fever within the last 10 days and admitted to SMC from January 2018 until December 2022 were included in the study. Epidemiological data on SARI cases were collected from SARI surveillance data and analyzed using SPSS version 25 and Excel. Results A total of 1362 SARI cases were enrolled from January 2018 to the end of December 2022; the majority were males (57.7%, n = 786). The highest SARI incidence rates were recorded among individuals over 65 years old (155.5 per 100,000) in 2021 and among those under 5 years old (887 per 100,000) in 2020. About half of the patients had at least one comorbidity (54.0%, n = 735), with diabetes (23.0%, n = 313) and hypertension (17.2%, n = 234) being the most common. The highest number of cases was observed in 2021 (27%, n = 373), followed by 2018 (20%, n = 267). A viral pathogen was detected in 30.7% (n = 418) of the SARI patients. The most prevalent pathogen was influenza A (11.5%, n = 156), followed by SARS-CoV-2 (9.7%, n = 132), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (5.1%, n = 69), and influenza B (3.9%, n = 53). The highest percentage of SARI cases was recorded in the winter months, mainly January (17%, n = 236). The percentages of influenza A and RSV cases were highest in December, at 22% (n = 39) and 14% (n = 25), respectively. Influenza B cases were recorded predominantly in March (9%, n = 11). Conclusion The incidence of SARI was highest among patients above 65 years old. The majority had comorbidities. Influenza and respiratory syncytial viruses were the most frequent causes of SARI, with influenza A being the most prevalent. December and January were the months with the highest SARI cases and viral detection rates. Promoting vaccination, timely testing, and prompt treatment, especially for the elderly and those with comorbidities, is key to reducing SARI-related morbidity and mortality, especially during peak seasons.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abdullah Hamad
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Mohamed Yahya Abdelhai
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Mostafa Elsherbiny
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | | | - Hoda Tolba
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | | | - Fadumo Yasin
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Rania Ibrahim
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Shajahan Joseph
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Teha Almuhanadi
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Mohamad Alkadi
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
| | - Hassan Al Malki
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar *
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Potdar V, Vijay N, Mukhopadhyay L, Aggarwal N, Bhardwaj SD, Choudhary ML, Gupta N, Kaur H, Narayan J, Kumar P, Singh H, Abdulkader RS, Murhekar M, Mishra M, Thangavel S, Nagamani K, Dhodapkar R, Fomda BA, Varshney U, Majumdar A, Dutta S, Vijayachari P, Turuk J, Majumdar T, Sahoo GC, Pandey K, Bhargava A, Negi SS, Khatri PK, Kalawat U, Biswas D, Khandelwal N, Borkakoty B, Manjushree S, Singh MP, Iravane J, Kaveri K, Shantala GB, Brijwal M, Choudhary A, Dar L, Malhotra B, Jain A, ILI-SARI Surveillance Team. Pan-India influenza-like illness (ILI) and Severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) surveillance: epidemiological, clinical and genomic analysis. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1218292. [PMID: 37927860 PMCID: PMC10624221 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1218292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2023] [Accepted: 09/18/2023] [Indexed: 11/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Over time, COVID-19 testing has significantly declined across the world. However, it is critical to monitor the virus through surveillance. In late 2020, WHO released interim guidance advising the use of the existing Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) for the integrated surveillance of influenza and SARS-CoV-2. Methods In July 2021, we initiated a pan-India integrated surveillance for influenza and SARS-CoV-2 through the geographically representative network of Virus Research and Diagnostic Laboratories (VRDLs) across 26 hospital and laboratory sites and 70 community sites. A total of 34,260 cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) and Severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) were enrolled from 4 July 2021 to 31 October 2022. Findings Influenza A(H3) and B/Victoria dominated during 2021 monsoon season while A(H1N1)pdm09 dominated during 2022 monsoon season. The SARS-CoV-2 "variants of concern" (VoC) Delta and Omicron predominated in 2021 and 2022, respectively. Increased proportion of SARI was seen in extremes of age: 90% cases in < 1 year; 68% in 1 to 5 years and 61% in ≥ 8 years age group. Approximately 40.7% of enrolled cases only partially fulfilled WHO ILI and SARI case definitions. Influenza- and SARS-CoV-2-infected comorbid patients had higher risks of hospitalization, ICU admission, and oxygen requirement. Interpretation The results depicted the varying strains and transmission dynamics of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 viruses over time, thus emphasizing the need to continue and expand surveillance across countries for improved decision making. The study also describes important information related to clinical outcomes of ILI and SARI patients and highlights the need to review existing WHO ILI and SARI case definitions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Neetu Vijay
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Labanya Mukhopadhyay
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Neeraj Aggarwal
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | | | | | - Nivedita Gupta
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Harmanmeet Kaur
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Jitendra Narayan
- Division of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Prabhat Kumar
- Biomedical Informatics (BMI) Division, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Harpreet Singh
- Biomedical Informatics (BMI) Division, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | | | | | - Meena Mishra
- VRDL, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Nagpur, India
| | | | - K. Nagamani
- VRDL, Gandhi Medical College, Secunderabad, India
| | - Rahul Dhodapkar
- VRDL, Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research, Puducherry, India
| | | | | | - Agniva Majumdar
- ICMR-National Institute of Cholera and Enteric Diseases, Kolkata, India
| | - Shanta Dutta
- ICMR-National Institute of Cholera and Enteric Diseases, Kolkata, India
| | - P. Vijayachari
- ICMR-Regional Medical Research Centre, Port Blair, India
| | | | | | | | - Krishna Pandey
- ICMR-Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Patna, India
| | | | | | | | - Usha Kalawat
- VRDL, Sri Venkateswara Institute of Medical Sciences, Tirupati, India
| | - Debasis Biswas
- VRDL, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhopal, India
| | | | | | | | - Mini P. Singh
- VRDL, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | | | - K. Kaveri
- VRDL, King Institute of Preventive Medicine and Research, Chennai, India
| | - G. B. Shantala
- VRDL, Bangalore Medical College and Research Institute, Bangalore, India
| | - Megha Brijwal
- VRDL, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Lalit Dar
- VRDL, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Amita Jain
- VRDL, King George’s Medical University, Lucknow, India
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Mohamed AM, Al Sayyad A, Matar E, Isa HM, Hasan WF, Hashim NSJY, Alajaimi BA, Aldolabi Q. Factors associated with poor outcomes in patients with severe acute respiratory infections in Bahrain. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2023; 17:e13133. [PMID: 37123813 PMCID: PMC10133729 DOI: 10.1111/irv.13133] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2023] [Revised: 03/24/2023] [Accepted: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 05/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Severe acute respiratory tract infection (SARI) is a major global health threat. This study aimed to examine risk factors associated with poor outcomes in patients with SARI. Methods All patients who met World Health Organization's (WHO) SARI case definition and were admitted to Salmaniya Medical Complex from January 2018 to December 2021 were included. Epidemiological and virological data were obtained and analyzed. Results Of 1159 patients with SARI included, 731 (63.1%) patients were below 50 years, and 357 (30.8%) tested positive for viral pathogens. The most prevalent virus was Flu-A (n = 134, 37.5%), SARS-CoV2 (n = 118, 33%), RSV (n = 51, 14.3%), Flu B (n = 49,13.7%), other viruses (n = 3, 0.8%), and combined infection (n = 2, 0.6%). Six hundred fifty-eight (56.8%) patients had comorbidities, mainly diabetes (n = 284, 43%) and heart disease (n = 217, 33%). 183 (16%) patients were admitted to ICU, 110 (9%) needed mechanical ventilation, and 80 (7%) patients died.The odds of ICU admission were higher for patients with hematological (OR 5.9, 95% CI 3.1-11.1) and lung diseases (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.6-4.6). The odds of mechanical ventilation were higher among patients with lung disease (OR 3.1, 95% 1.7-5.5). The mortality odds were higher among patients above 50 (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4-4.1) and chronic kidney disease (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.2). Conclusions Being 50 years or above or having kidney, lung, or heart diseases was associated with worse SARI outcomes. Efforts and actions in developing better strategies to vaccinate individuals at high risk and early diagnosis and treatment should help in reducing the burden of SARI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Afaf Merza Mohamed
- Consultant Family Medicine & Public HealthMinistry of HealthManamaBahrain
| | - Adel Al Sayyad
- Consultant Family Medicine, Epidemiology & Public Health, Chief of Disease Control Section, Ministry of Health. Associate Prof. of Family and Community MedicineCMMS, AGUManamaBahrain
| | - Ebrahim Matar
- Medical Intern, Eastern Health ClusterDammamSaudi Arabia
| | - Hasan M. Isa
- Consultant Pediatric Gastroenterologist, Pediatric DepartmentSalmaniya Medical Complex, Arabian Gulf UniversityManamaBahrain
| | | | | | | | - Qatrmeer Aldolabi
- Public Health Specialist (PHS), Disease Control SectionMinistry of HealthManamaBahrain
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Ayuso García B, Marchan A, Arrieta Ortubay E, Castillo Maza C, Romay Lema E, Lalueza A, Lumbreras C. In-hospital incidence of and risk factors for influenza-associated respiratory failure. Eur J Clin Invest 2022; 52:e13858. [PMID: 35997028 DOI: 10.1111/eci.13858] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2022] [Revised: 08/14/2022] [Accepted: 08/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory failure (RF) is the most important complication of influenza virus infection. Its definition and incidence are heterogeneous in the literature. METHODS This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to determine the incidence of and risk factors for RF in patients hospitalized with influenza. Electronic databases were searched for articles on RF in patients hospitalized for influenza infection up to December 2021 regardless of their geographical location. Observational and experimental studies were considered for inclusion, excluding case series. The Newcastle-Ottawa and Johanna Briggs scales were used for quality assessment. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed, followed by subgroup analyses according to, among others, presence/absence of pneumonia, RF definition, serotype and time period. PRISMA guidelines were followed for this review. RESULTS Thirty-six studies were finally included in the meta-analysis. Overall, RF incidence was 24% (range 5%-85%, 95% confidence interval [95CI] 19%-31%). Significantly higher incidences of RF were found in patients with pneumonia (42%, 95CI 28%-57%, p = .006), when RF was defined as hypoxemia (58%, 95CI 31%-81%, p < .001), and during the 2009 pandemic (25%, 95CI 16%-36%) and postpandemic period (23%, 95CI 15%-34%, p = .01). No differences were found between human influenza serotypes. Assessment of risk factors associated with the development of RF was not possible due to their inconsistent and heterogeneous reporting. CONCLUSION Respiratory failure is frequent in hospitalized influenza patients, especially in patients with pneumonia and since the 2009 pandemic, although its definition and reporting widely vary in the literature. This complicates its characterization and comparison between cohorts and with other respiratory viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Blanca Ayuso García
- Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Alvaro Marchan
- Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | - Eva Romay Lema
- Infectious Diseases Unit, University Hospital Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain
| | - Antonio Lalueza
- Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain.,Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Complutense University, Madrid, Spain.,Research Institute of Hospital 12 de Octubre (i+12), Madrid, Spain
| | - Carlos Lumbreras
- Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain.,Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Complutense University, Madrid, Spain.,Research Institute of Hospital 12 de Octubre (i+12), Madrid, Spain.,Infectious Diseases Unit, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
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5
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Ayuso B, Lalueza A, Arrieta E, Romay EM, Marchán-López Á, García-País MJ, Folgueira D, Gude MJ, Cueto C, Serrano A, Lumbreras C. Derivation and external validation of a simple prediction rule for the development of respiratory failure in hospitalized patients with influenza. Respir Res 2022; 23:323. [PMID: 36419130 PMCID: PMC9684757 DOI: 10.1186/s12931-022-02245-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2022] [Accepted: 11/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza viruses cause seasonal epidemics worldwide with a significant morbimortality burden. Clinical spectrum of Influenza is wide, being respiratory failure (RF) one of its most severe complications. This study aims to elaborate a clinical prediction rule of RF in hospitalized Influenza patients. METHODS A prospective cohort study was conducted during two consecutive Influenza seasons (December 2016-March 2017 and December 2017-April 2018) including hospitalized adults with confirmed A or B Influenza infection. A prediction rule was derived using logistic regression and recursive partitioning, followed by internal cross-validation. External validation was performed on a retrospective cohort in a different hospital between December 2018 and May 2019. RESULTS Overall, 707 patients were included in the derivation cohort and 285 in the validation cohort. RF rate was 6.8% and 11.6%, respectively. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunosuppression, radiological abnormalities, respiratory rate, lymphopenia, lactate dehydrogenase and C-reactive protein at admission were associated with RF. A four category-grouped seven point-score was derived including radiological abnormalities, lymphopenia, respiratory rate and lactate dehydrogenase. Final model area under the curve was 0.796 (0.714-0.877) in the derivation cohort and 0.773 (0.687-0.859) in the validation cohort (p < 0.001 in both cases). The predicted model showed an adequate fit with the observed results (Fisher's test p > 0.43). CONCLUSION we present a simple, discriminating, well-calibrated rule for an early prediction of the development of RF in hospitalized Influenza patients, with proper performance in an external validation cohort. This tool can be helpful in patient's stratification during seasonal Influenza epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Blanca Ayuso
- grid.411171.30000 0004 0425 3881Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, 12 de Octubre, Av Córdoba Km 5,400, 28041 Madrid, Spain
| | - Antonio Lalueza
- grid.411171.30000 0004 0425 3881Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, 12 de Octubre, Av Córdoba Km 5,400, 28041 Madrid, Spain
| | - Estibaliz Arrieta
- grid.411171.30000 0004 0425 3881Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, 12 de Octubre, Av Córdoba Km 5,400, 28041 Madrid, Spain
| | - Eva María Romay
- grid.414792.d0000 0004 0579 2350Infectious Diseases Unit, University Hospital Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain
| | - Álvaro Marchán-López
- grid.411171.30000 0004 0425 3881Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, 12 de Octubre, Av Córdoba Km 5,400, 28041 Madrid, Spain
| | - María José García-País
- grid.414792.d0000 0004 0579 2350Infectious Diseases Unit, University Hospital Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain
| | - Dolores Folgueira
- grid.144756.50000 0001 1945 5329Department of Microbiology, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - María José Gude
- grid.414792.d0000 0004 0579 2350Department of Microbiology, University Hospital Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain
| | - Cecilia Cueto
- grid.144756.50000 0001 1945 5329Department of Biochemistry, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Antonio Serrano
- grid.144756.50000 0001 1945 5329Department of Immunology, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
| | - Carlos Lumbreras
- grid.411171.30000 0004 0425 3881Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, 12 de Octubre, Av Córdoba Km 5,400, 28041 Madrid, Spain ,grid.144756.50000 0001 1945 5329Infectious Diseases Unit, University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
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Çalık Başaran N, Tan Ç, Özışık L, Özbek B, İnkaya AÇ, Alp Ş, Ersoy EO, Ayvaz DÇ, Tezcan İ. Evaluation of the peripheral blood T and B cell subsets and IRF-7 variants in adult patients with severe influenza virus infection. Health Sci Rep 2022; 5:e492. [PMID: 35229048 PMCID: PMC8865064 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.492] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2021] [Revised: 12/03/2021] [Accepted: 12/16/2021] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Influenza virus is one of the leading infections causing death among human being. Despite known risks, primary immune deficiency due to Interferon Regulatory Factor-7 (IRF7) gene defect was reported as a possible cause of the risk factors for complicated influenza. We aimed to investigate the changes in peripheral T and B cell subsets in adult patients with severe seasonal influenza virus infection and the investigation of variants of IRF7 gene. METHODS In this study, 32 patients, hospitalized due to influenza infection-related acute respiratory failure were included. RESULTS The median age of the patients was 76 years (26-96), and 13/32 (40.6%) were in the intensive care unit. Central memory Th, effector memory Th, TEMRA Th, cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTL), central memory CTL of the patients were found to be increased, naive CTL were decreased. There was a significant increase in the percentage of effector memory Th, and a decrease in the percentage of naive CTL in patients ≥65 years-old compared to patients <65 years old (P = .039, and P = .017, respectively). IRF7 gene analysis revealed two different nucleotide changes in three patients; c.535 A > G; p.Lys179Glu (K179E) and c584A > T; p.His195Leu (H195L), located in the fourth exon of the IRF7 gene. DISCUSSION The increases in central and effector memory Th, central memory CTL and decrease of naive CTLs may be secondary to the virus infection. K179E (rs1061502) and H195L (rs139709725) variants were not reported to be related with susceptibility to an infection yet. It is conceivable to investigate for novel variants in other genes related to antiviral immunity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nursel Çalık Başaran
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, General Internal Medicine DivisionHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Çağman Tan
- Faculty of Medicine, İhsan Doğramacı Children's Hospital, Section of Pediatric ImmunologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Lale Özışık
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, General Internal Medicine DivisionHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Begüm Özbek
- Faculty of Medicine, İhsan Doğramacı Children's Hospital, Section of Pediatric ImmunologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Ahmet Çağkan İnkaya
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical MicrobiologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Şehnaz Alp
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical MicrobiologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Ebru Ortaç Ersoy
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Intensive Care DivisionHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - Deniz Çağdaş Ayvaz
- Faculty of Medicine, İhsan Doğramacı Children's Hospital, Section of Pediatric ImmunologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
| | - İlhan Tezcan
- Faculty of Medicine, İhsan Doğramacı Children's Hospital, Section of Pediatric ImmunologyHacettepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
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Van Goethem N, Robert A, Bossuyt N, Van Poelvoorde LAE, Quoilin S, De Keersmaecker SCJ, Devleesschauwer B, Thomas I, Vanneste K, Roosens NHC, Van Oyen H. Evaluation of the added value of viral genomic information for predicting severity of influenza infection. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:785. [PMID: 34376182 PMCID: PMC8353062 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06510-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2021] [Accepted: 07/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The severity of an influenza infection is influenced by both host and viral characteristics. This study aims to assess the relevance of viral genomic data for the prediction of severe influenza A(H3N2) infections among patients hospitalized for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), in view of risk assessment and patient management. METHODS 160 A(H3N2) influenza positive samples from the 2016-2017 season originating from the Belgian SARI surveillance were selected for whole genome sequencing. Predictor variables for severity were selected using a penalized elastic net logistic regression model from a combined host and genomic dataset, including patient information and nucleotide mutations identified in the viral genome. The goodness-of-fit of the model combining host and genomic data was compared using a likelihood-ratio test with the model including host data only. Internal validation of model discrimination was conducted by calculating the optimism-adjusted area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC) for both models. RESULTS The model including viral mutations in addition to the host characteristics had an improved fit ([Formula: see text]=12.03, df = 3, p = 0.007). The optimism-adjusted AUC increased from 0.671 to 0.732. CONCLUSIONS Adding genomic data (selected season-specific mutations in the viral genome) to the model containing host characteristics improved the prediction of severe influenza infection among hospitalized SARI patients, thereby offering the potential for translation into a prospective strategy to perform early season risk assessment or to guide individual patient management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nina Van Goethem
- Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institut de Recherche Expérimentale et Clinique, Faculty of Public Health, Université Catholique de Louvain, Clos Chapelle-aux-champs 30, 1200, Woluwe-Saint-Lambert, Belgium.
| | - Annie Robert
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institut de Recherche Expérimentale et Clinique, Faculty of Public Health, Université Catholique de Louvain, Clos Chapelle-aux-champs 30, 1200, Woluwe-Saint-Lambert, Belgium
| | - Nathalie Bossuyt
- Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Laura A E Van Poelvoorde
- Transversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Sophie Quoilin
- Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Brecht Devleesschauwer
- Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
- Department of Veterinary Public Health and Food Safety, Ghent University, Salisburylaan 133, 9820, Merelbeke, Belgium
| | - Isabelle Thomas
- National Reference Center Influenza, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Kevin Vanneste
- Transversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Nancy H C Roosens
- Transversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Herman Van Oyen
- Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, De Pintelaan 185, 9000, Ghent, Belgium
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Behavior of hospitalized severe influenza cases according to the outcome variable in Catalonia, Spain, during the 2017-2018 season. Sci Rep 2021; 11:13587. [PMID: 34193898 PMCID: PMC8245597 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92895-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2020] [Accepted: 06/14/2021] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Influenza is an important cause of severe illness and death among patients with underlying medical conditions and in the elderly. The aim of this study was to investigate factors associated with ICU admission and death in patients hospitalized with severe laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 2017–2018 season in Catalonia. An observational epidemiological case-to-case study was carried out. Reported cases of severe laboratory-confirmed influenza requiring hospitalization in 2017–2018 influenza season were included. Mixed-effects regression analysis was used to estimate the factors associated with ICU admission and death. A total of 1306 cases of hospitalized severe influenza cases were included, of whom 175 (13.4%) died and 217 (16.6%) were ICU admitted. Age 65–74 years and ≥ 75 years and having ≥ 2 comorbidities were positively associated with death (aOR 3.19; 95%CI 1.19–8.50, aOR 6.95, 95%CI 2.76–1.80 and aOR 1.99; 95%CI 1.12–3.52, respectively). Neuraminidase inhibitor treatment and pneumonia were negatively associated with death. The 65–74 years and ≥ 75 years age groups were negatively associated with ICU admission (aOR 0.41; 95%CI 0.23–0.74 and aOR 0.30; 95%CI 0.17–0.53, respectively). A factor positively associated with ICU admission was neuraminidase inhibitor treatment. Our results support the need to investigate the worst outcomes of hospitalized severe cases, distinguishing between death and ICU admission.
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Li J, Song CL, Wang T, Ye YL, Du JR, Li SH, Zhu JM. Etiological and epidemiological characteristics of severe acute respiratory infection caused by multiple viruses and Mycoplasma pneumoniae in adult patients in Jinshan, Shanghai: A pilot hospital-based surveillance study. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0248750. [PMID: 33750952 PMCID: PMC7984646 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2020] [Accepted: 03/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) results in a tremendous disease burden worldwide. Available research on active surveillance among hospitalized adult patients suffering from SARI in China is limited. This pilot study aimed to identify associated etiologies and describe the demographic, epidemiological and clinical profiles of hospitalized SARI patients aged over 16 years in Jinshan, Shanghai. Methods Active surveillance was conducted at 1 sentinel hospital in Jinshan district, Shanghai, from April 2017 to March 2018. Hospitalized SARI patients aged over 16 years old were enrolled, and nasopharyngeal swabs were collected within 24 hours of admission and tested for multiple respiratory viruses (including 18 common viruses) and Mycoplasma pneumoniae with real-time polymerase chain reaction. Demographic, epidemiological and clinical information was obtained from case report forms. Results In total, 397 SARI patients were enrolled; the median age was 68 years, and 194 (48.9%) patients were male. A total of 278 (70.0%) patients had at least one underlying chronic medical condition. The most frequent symptoms were cough (99.2%) and sputum production (88.4%). The median duration of hospitalization was 10 days. A total of 250 infection patients (63.0%) were positive for at least one pathogen, of whom 198 (49.9%) were positive for a single pathogen and 52 (13.1%) were positive for multiple pathogens. The pathogens identified most frequently were M. pneumoniae (23.9%, 95/397), followed by adenovirus (AdV) (11.6%, 46/397), influenza virus A/H3N2 (Flu A/H3N2) (11.1%, 44/397), human rhinovirus (HRhV) (8.1%, 32/397), influenza virus B/Yamagata (Flu B/Yamagata) (6.3%, 25/397), pandemic influenza virus A/H1N1 (Flu A/pH1N1) (4.0%, 16/397), parainfluenza virus (PIV) type 1 (2.0%, 8/397), human coronavirus (HCoV) type NL63 (2.0%, 8/397), HCoV 229E (1.5%, 6/397), HCoV HKU1 (1.5%, 6/397), PIV 3 (1.5%, 6/397), human metapneumovirus (HMPV) (1.5%, 6/397), PIV 4 (1.3%, 5/397), HCoV OC43 (1.0%, 4/397), influenza virus B/Victoria (Flu B/Victoria) (0.5%, 2/397), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) type B (0.5%, 2/397), and human bocavirus (HBoV) (0.3%, 1/397). The seasonality of pathogen-confirmed SARI patients had a bimodal distribution, with the first peak in the summer and the second peak in the winter. Statistically significant differences were observed with respect to the rates of dyspnea, radiographically diagnosed pneumonia and the presence of at least one comorbidity in patients who were infected with only M. pneumoniae, AdV, HRhV, Flu A/H3N2, Flu A /pH1N1 or Flu B/Yamagata. The differences in the positivity rates of the above 6 pathogens among the different age groups were nonsignificant. Conclusions M. pneumoniae, AdV and Flu A/H3N2 were the main pathogens detected in hospitalized SARI patients aged over 16 years old in Jinshan district, Shanghai. Our findings highlight the importance of sustained multipathogen surveillance among SARI patients in sentinel hospitals, which can provide useful information on SARI etiologies, epidemiology, and clinical characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian Li
- Clinical Research Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
- * E-mail: (JL); (JMZ)
| | - Can-Lei Song
- Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
| | - Tang Wang
- Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu-Long Ye
- Department of Microbiology, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
| | - Jian-Ru Du
- Department of Microbiology, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
| | - Shu-Hua Li
- Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
| | - Jian-Min Zhu
- Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control, Jinshan District Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China
- * E-mail: (JL); (JMZ)
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