Liver-related mortality among people with hepatitis B and C: Evaluation of definitions based on linked healthcare administrative datasets

Routinely collected and linked healthcare administrative datasets could be used to monitor mortality among people with hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). This study aimed to evaluate the concordance in records of liver-related mortality among people with an HBV or HCV notification, between data on hospitalization for end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and death certificates. In New South Wales, Australia, HBV and HCV notifications (1993-2017) were linked to hospital admissions (2001-2018), all-cause mortality (1993-2018) and cause-specific mortality (1993-2016) datasets. Hospitalization for ESLD was defined as a first-time hospital admission due to decompensated cirrhosis (DC) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Consistency of liver death definition of mortality following hospitalization for ESLD was compared with two death certificate-based definitions of liver deaths coded among primary and secondary cause-specific mortality data, including ESLD-related (deaths due to DC and HCC) and all-liver deaths (ESLD-related and other liver-related causes). Of 63,292 and 107,430 individuals with an HBV and HCV notification, there were 4478 (2.6%) post-ESLD hospitalization deaths, 5572 (3.3%) death certificate liver disease deaths and 2910 (1.7%) death certificate ESLD deaths. Between 2001 and 2016, among HBV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 891), 63% (562) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 83% (741) had death certificate liver disease recorded. Between 2001 and 2016, among HCV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 3587), 58% (2082) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 87% (3135) had death certificate liver disease recorded. At least one-third of death certificates with DC and HCC as cause of death had no mention of HBV, HCV or viral hepatitis. Our study identified limitations in estimating and tracking HBV and HCV liver disease mortality using death certificate-based data only. The optimum data for this purpose is either ESLD hospitalisations with vital status information or a combination of these with cause-specific death certificate data.

Monitoring liver transplant rates in persons diagnosed with hepatitis C: a data linkage study, England 2008 to 2017

Introduction

Liver transplantation is an important measure of burden from hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated liver disease.

Aims

To describe transplant rates and survival in individuals with HCV infection from 2008 to 2017 in England through data linkage.

Methods

This is a retrospective observational cohort study. Laboratory reports of HCV infection were linked to the Liver Transplant Registry for individuals aged 15 years and over, first diagnosed between 1998 and 2017. We estimated age-sex standardised incidence rates and used Poisson regression to investigate predictors of liver transplantation and test for a change in incidence after introduction of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in 2014. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to calculate post-transplant survival rates.

Results

Of 124,238 individuals diagnosed with HCV infection, 1,480 were registered and 1,217 received a liver transplant. Of individuals registered, 1,395 had post-HCV cirrhosis and 636 had hepatocellular carcinoma (618 also had post-HCV cirrhosis). Median time from HCV diagnosis to transplant was 3.4 years (interquartile range: 1.3–6.8 years). Liver transplant rates were lower 2014–17 compared with 2011–13 (incidence rate ratio: 0.64; 95% confidence interval: 0.55–0.76). Survival rates were 93.4%, 79.9% and 67.9% at 1, 5 and 10 years, respectively. Data linkage showed minimal under-reporting of HCV in the transplant registry.

Conclusion

In the post-DAA era, liver transplant rates have fallen in individuals with HCV infection, showing early impact of HCV treatment scale-up; but the short time from HCV diagnosis to liver transplant suggests late diagnosis is a problem.

Causes of death among persons diagnosed with hepatitis C infection in the pre- and post-DAA era in England: A record linkage study

Through record linkage, we describe the causes of death among persons with diagnosis of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in England. Persons ≥1 year with anti-HCV/HCV-PCR tests reported to PHE sentinel surveillance during 2002-2016 were linked to death registrations from the Office for National Statistics during 2008-2016. We found that 8.6% of the 204 265 with evidence of HCV during the study period died. Among them, external causes (accidental poisoning from drugs) and liver disease (end-stage liver disease, liver cancer, hepatitis, alcohol- and non-alcohol-related) were the leading underlying causes of death (18% and 34.5%, respectively); the latter increased to 49.2% if reported anywhere on the death certificate. Median age of death was lower in persons with evidence of HCV than the general population (53 years vs 81 years). A higher proportion of persons with HCV died of external causes, liver disease and HIV compared to the general population (P < 0.001). Potential impact of new HCV treatments was observed as a relative reduction in liver-related deaths in 2016 compared with 2015. Recording of HCV as a contributory cause of death was 28.4% for all underlying causes, but 58.8% among the subgroup who died of liver disease. Data linkage between laboratory diagnosis and deaths data is an important tool for monitoring all-cause mortality among those with HCV and quantifying under-reporting of HCV in death registrations. Changes in mortality trends (causes and prematurity) in people with HCV can help evaluate the impact in the UK of HCV treatment scale-up and other interventions to achieve HCV elimination.

Real-world treatment for chronic hepatitis C infection in Germany: Analyses from drug prescription data, 2010-2015

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) have strongly improved treatment options since 2014, but it is unclear if treatment numbers have increased. We aimed to estimate the number of treatment regimens per month from 2010-2015 and the number of patients treated and cured with DAAs since 2014, as well as the associated costs.

METHODS

Drug prescription data of hepatitis C virus (HCV) antivirals for patients with statutory health insurance in Germany (∼85% of population) from January 2010-December 2015 were evaluated. Standard 28-day prescriptions of pegylated interferon (PegIFN) and 1st/2nd generation DAAs were combined according to treatment guidelines and analysed. Drug costs were calculated from pharmacy sales prices. Mean treatment durations/regimen from real-world data were used to calculate drug costs/regimen and numbers of DAA-treated persons in 2014/15.

RESULTS

From January 2010-December 2015 PegIFN/ribavirin-treatments/month decreased from ∼6500 to ∼650. Monthly HCV-prescriptions rose with the approval of 1st generation DAAs (2011), and decreased at the end of 2013. With the approval of 2nd generation DAAs, prescriptions/month increased (peak: ∼6600; March 2015), and subsequently decreased (∼4000; December 2015). In 2014, ∼7000 patients were treated with DAAs, and ∼20,100 in 2015. Treatment costs/month were stable at 12 million EUR (2010-2011), increased to ∼38 million EUR (March 2012), and peaked to 150 million EUR (March 2015). DAA-drug costs/year added up to ∼664million EUR (2014) and ∼1.3billion EUR (2015).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite an increase in DAA prescriptions, in December 2015 less persons/month were under treatment compared to January 2010, even though access to DAAs is not limited. However, yearly treatment numbers increased from 2014-2015. Under observed conditions, ∼18,000 patients/year can be cured, making substantial reduction of the estimated 160,000 diagnosed patients realizable. Political commitment to achieve further reduce DAA-prices and increase treatment numbers is recommended.

LAY SUMMARY

New treatment options with all-oral second generation direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have resulted in the potential to cure chronic hepatitis C infection, but at high costs. Analyses from HCV drug prescription data of patients with statutory health insurance in Germany from 2010-2015, showed that DAAs replaced treatments with pegylated interferon and ribavirin, but accompanied by a disproportionate rise in costs. Although the monthly number of patients under treatment did not increase over time, the total number of patients yearly treated with DAAs increased from ∼7000 patients in 2014 to ∼20,100 in 2015, with a trend to shorter treatment regimens. Under observed conditions ∼18,000 patients can be cured yearly, making a substantial reduction of the estimated 160,000 diagnosed patients in Germany achievable.

Economic evaluation of ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir and dasabuvir for the treatment of chronic genotype 1 hepatitis c virus infection

OBJECTIVES

To estimate clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir and dasabuvir ± ribavirin (OMB/PTV/r + DSV ± RBV) compared with treatment regimens including pegylated interferon (PegIFN) for patients with chronic genotype 1 hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

METHODS

An Excel spreadsheet Markov model tracking progression through stages of liver disease was developed. Costs and patient utilities for liver disease stages were taken from published studies. Rates of disease progression were based on studies of untreated HCV infection and long-term follow-up of those achieving sustained virologic response (SVR) after drug treatment. Impact of OMB/PTV/r + DSV ± RBV and other drug regimens on progression was estimated through SVR rates from clinical trials. Analyses were performed for treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients. Impact of alternative scenarios and input parameter uncertainty on the results were tested.

RESULTS

For genotype 1 treatment-naive HCV patients, for OMB/PTV/r + DSV ± RBV, PegIFN + ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV), sofosbuvir + PegIFN/RBV, telaprevir + PegIFN/RBV, boceprevir + PegIFN/RBV, lifetime risk of decompensated liver disease was 5.6%, 18.9%, 7.4%, 11.7%, and 14.9%; hepatocellular carcinoma was 5.4%, 9.2%, 5.7%, 7.0%, and 7.4%; and death from liver disease was 8.7%, 22.2%, 10.4%, 14.8%, and 17.6%, respectively. Estimates of the cost-effectiveness of OMB/PTV/r + DSV ± RBV for treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients indicated that it dominated all other regimens except PegIFN/RBV. Compared with PegIFN/RBV, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were £13,864 and £10,258 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) for treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients, respectively. The results were similar for alternative scenarios and uncertainty analyses.

LIMITATIONS

A mixed-treatment comparison for SVR rates for the different treatment regimens was not feasible, because many regimens did not have comparator arms; instead SVR rates were based on those from recent trials.

CONCLUSIONS

OMB/PTV/r + DSV ± RBV is a cost-effective oral treatment regimen for chronic genotype 1 HCV infection compared with standard treatment regimens and is estimated to reduce the lifetime risks of advanced liver disease.

Trends in mortality after diagnosis of hepatitis C virus infection: an international comparison and implications for monitoring the population impact of treatment

BACKGROUND & AIMS

People living with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are at increased risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality, although successful treatment has been shown to reduce this risk. The aim of this study was to provide baseline data on trends in cause-specific mortality and to establish an international surveillance system for evaluating the population level impact of HCV treatments.

METHODS

Population level HCV diagnosis databases from Scotland (1997-2010), Australia (New South Wales [NSW]) (1997-2006), and Canada (British Columbia [BC]) (1997-2003) were linked to corresponding death registries using record linkage. For each region, age-adjusted cause-specific mortality rates were calculated, and trends in annual age-adjusted liver-related mortality were plotted.

RESULTS

Of 105,138 individuals diagnosed with HCV (21,810 in Scotland, 58,484 in NSW, and 24,844 in BC), there were 7275 deaths (2572 in Scotland, 2655 in NSW, and 2048 in BC). Liver-related deaths accounted for 26% of deaths in Scotland, 21% in NSW, and 22% in BC. Temporal trends in age-adjusted liver related mortality were stable in Scotland (males p=0.4; females p=0.2) and NSW (males p=0.9; females p=0.9), while there was an increase in BC (males p=0.002; females p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of liver-related mortality after a diagnosis of HCV has remained stable or increased over time across three regions with well-established diagnosis databases, highlighting that HCV treatment programmes to-date have had minimal impact on population level HCV-related liver disease. With more effective therapies on the horizon, and greater uptake of treatment anticipated, the potential of future therapeutic strategies to reduce HCV-related mortality is considerable.

Descriptive epidemiology of chronic liver disease in northeastern Italy: an analysis of multiple causes of death

Background

The analysis of multiple causes of death data has been applied in the United States to examine the population burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) and to assess time trends of alcohol-related and hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related CLD mortality. The aim of this study was to assess the mortality for CLD by etiology in the Veneto Region (northeastern Italy).

Methods

Using the 2008–2010 regional archive of mortality, all causes registered on death certificates were extracted and different descriptive epidemiological measures were computed for HCV-related, alcohol-related, and overall CLD-related mortality.

Results

The crude mortality rate of all CLD was close to 40 per 100,000 residents. In middle ages (35 to 74 years) CLD was mentioned in about 10% and 6% of all deaths in males and females, respectively. Etiology was unspecified in about half of CLD deaths. In females and males, respectively, HCV was mentioned in 44% and 21% and alcohol in 11% and 26% of overall CLD deaths. A bimodal distribution with age was observed for HCV-related proportional mortality among females, reflecting the available seroprevalence data.

Conclusions

Multiple causes of death analyses can provide useful insights into the burden of CLD mortality according to etiology among different population subgroups.