A new objective scoring system for the prediction of successful induction of labour

A predictive model for successfully inducing active labor among pregnant women: Combining cervical status assessment and clinical characteristics

Objective

To develop a predictive model for successfully inducing active labor by using a combination of cervical status and maternal and fetal characteristics.

Study design

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among pregnant women who underwent labor induction between January 2015 and December 2019. Successfully inducing active labor was defined as achieving a cervical dilation > 4 cm within 10 h after adequate uterine contractions. The medical data were extracted from the hospital database; statistical analyses were performed using a logistic regression model to identify the predictors associated with the successful induction of labor. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model.

Results

In total, 1448 pregnant women were enrolled; 960 (66.3 %) achieved successful induction of active labor. Multivariate analysis revealed that maternal age, parity, body mass index, oligohydramnios, premature rupture of membranes, fetal sex, dilation, station, and consistency were significant factors associated with successful labor induction. The ROC curve of the logistic regression model had an AUC of 0.7736. For the validated score system to predict the probability of success, we found that a total score > 60 has a 73.0 % (95 % CI 59.0-83.5) probability of successful induction of labor into the active phase stage within 10 h.

Conclusions

The predictive model for successfully achieving active labor using the combination of cervical status and maternal and fetal characteristics had good predictive ability.

A randomized clinical trial of Premaquick biomarkers versus transvaginal cervical length for pre-induction cervical assessment at term among pregnant women

Objectives

To compare Premaquick biomarkers (combined insulin-like growth-factor binding protein 1 and interleukin-6) and cervical length measurement via transvaginal ultrasound for pre-induction cervical evaluation at term among pregnant women.

Methods

A randomized clinical trial of consenting pregnant women at the Nnamdi Azikiwe University Teaching Hospital, Nnewi, Nigeria. The women were randomized equally into Premaquick group (n = 36) and transvaginal ultrasound group (n = 36). The cervix was adjudged 'ripe' if the Premaquick test was positive or if the trans-vaginal measured cervical length was less than 28 mm. The primary outcome measures were the proportions of women who needed prostaglandin analogue for cervical ripening and the proportion that achieved vaginal delivery after induction of labour. The trial was registered in Pan African clinical trial registry (PACTR) registry with approval number PACTR202001579275333.

Results

The baseline characteristics were similar between the two groups (p > 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in terms of proportion of women that required prostaglandins for pre-induction cervical ripening (41.7 versus 47.2%, p = 0.427), vaginal delivery (77.8 versus 80.6%, p = 0.783), mean induction to delivery interval (22.9 ± 2.81 h versus 24.04 ± 3.20 h, p = 0.211), caesarean delivery (22.2 versus 19.4%, p = 0.783), proportion of neonate with birth asphyxia (8.30 versus 8.30%, p = 1.00) and proportion of neonate admitted into special care baby unit (16.7 versus 13.9%, p = 0.872). Subgroup analysis of participants with 'ripe' cervix at initial pre-induction assessment showed that the mean induction to active phase of labour interval and mean induction to delivery interval were significantly shorter in Premaquick than transvaginal ultrasound group.

Conclusion

Pre-induction cervical assessment at term with either Premaquick biomarkers or transvaginal ultrasound for cervical length is effective, objective and safe with similar and comparable outcome. However, when compared with women with positive transvaginal ultrasound at initial assessment, women with positive Premaquick test at initial assessment showed a significantly shorter duration of onset of active phase of labour and delivery of baby following induction of labour.

The use of ultrasound, fibronectin and other parameters to predict the success of labour induction

Induction of labour is a common obstetrical procedure and is undertaken when the benefits of delivery are considered to outweigh the risks of continuation of pregnancy. However, more than one-fifth of induction cases fail to result in vaginal births and lead to unplanned caesarean deliveries, which compromise the birth experience and have negative clinical and resource implications. The need for accurate prediction of successful labour induction is increasingly recognised and many researchers have attempted to evaluate the potential predictability of different factors including maternal characteristics, Bishop score, various biochemical markers and ultrasound markers and derive predictive models to address this issue.

The Uterocervical Angle Combined with Bishop Score as a Predictor for Successful Induction of Labor in Term Vaginal Delivery

The objective of this study was to determine the value of uterocervical angle (UCA) in predicting successful induction of labor (IOL) in singleton pregnant women compared to the Bishop score and cervical length (CL). A total of 205 normal term, singleton labor-induction cases were analyzed. Successful IOL was defined as the onset of active labor of induction. A comparative analysis was performed to evaluate the effectiveness of UCA, Bishop score, and CL in predicting IOL. Compared to the non-successful IOL group, the women in the successful IOL group had significantly wider UCA (p = 0.012) and higher Bishop score (p = 0.001); however, the CL was not significantly different (p = 0.130). UCA alone did not perform better than the Bishop score when predicting successful IOL. However, UCA combined with the Bishop score showed higher performance in predicting IOL (combined UCA > 108.4° and favorable Bishop score as sensitivity of 44.6%, specificity of 96.0%, PPV of 96.2%, and NPV of 43.6; combined UCA > 108.4° or favorable Bishop score as sensitivity of 85.7%, specificity of 50.0%, PPV of 78.7%, and NPV of 61.9). In conclusion, UCA combined with Bishop score may be an effective sonographic method for predicting successful IOL.

Recent advances in the induction of labor

The rate of labor induction is steadily increasing and, in industrialized countries, approximately one out of four pregnant women has their labor induced. Induction of labor should be considered when the benefits of prompt vaginal delivery outweigh the maternal and/or fetal risks of waiting for the spontaneous onset of labor. However, this procedure is not free of risks, which include an increase in operative vaginal or caesarean delivery and excessive uterine activity with risk of fetal heart rate abnormalities. A search for “Induction of Labor” retrieves more than 18,000 citations from 1844 to the present day. The aim of this review is to summarize the controversies concerning the indications, the methods, and the tools for evaluating the success of the procedure, with an emphasis on the scientific evidence behind each.

The value of ultrasound measurement of cervical length and parity in prediction of cesarean section risk in term premature rupture of membranes and unfavorable cervix

AIM

To evaluate the influence of cervical length (CL) and parity as prediction factors for assessment of cesarean section (CS) risk in women with premature rupture of membranes (PROM) at term and unfavorable cervix, undergoing induction of labor (IOL) with dinoprostone intracervical gel.

METHODS

A prospective study involved 50 nulliparous and 51 multiparous women admitted for IOL. Pre-induction CL was measured and delivery outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS

Nulliparous women were younger than the multiparous (26.6±5.2 vs. 30.5±4.9; P<0.001) and had longer pre-induction CL (35.6±5.5 vs. 31.5±4.8; P<0.001) and induction-delivery interval (582 vs. 420 min; P<0.001). There was no difference in the mode of delivery, CS indications, Apgar score, neonatal weight, the rate of neonatal intensive care unit admission and perinatal death in respect of parity. CL was significantly shorter in vaginal vs. cesarean deliveries regardless of parity (31.4 vs. 38.8 mm, P<0.001, respectively). Cut-off values of CL for predicting CS were 37.5 mm in nulliparae and 34.5 mm in multiparae.

CONCLUSIONS

CLs of 37.5 mm in nulliparae and 34.5 mm in multiparae were determined as the cut-off values in predicting CS risk in women with PROM at term and unfavorable cervix.

Definition of Failed Induction of Labor and Its Predictive Factors: Two Unsolved Issues of an Everyday Clinical Situation

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this review were to identify the predictive factors of induction of labor (IOL) failure or success as well as to highlight the current heterogeneity regarding the definition and diagnosis of failed IOL.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Only studies in which the main or secondary outcome was failed IOL, defined as not entering the active phase of labor after 24 h of prostaglandin administration ± 12 h of oxytocin infusion, were included in the review. The data collected were: study design, definition of failed IOL, induction method, IOL indications, failed IOL rate, cesarean section because of failed IOL and predictors of failed IOL.

RESULTS

The database search detected 507 publications. The main reason for exclusion was that the primary or secondary outcomes were not the predetermined definition of failed IOL (not achieving active phase of labor). Finally, 7 studies were eligible. The main predictive factors identified in the review were cervical status, evaluated by the Bishop score or cervical length.

DISCUSSION

Failed IOL should be defined as the inability to achieve the active phase of labor, considering that the definition of IOL is to enter the active phase of labor. A universal definition of failed IOL is an essential requisite to analyze and obtain solid results and conclusions on this issue. An important finding of this review is that only 7 of all the studies reviewed assessed achieving the active phase of labor as a primary or secondary IOL outcome. Another conclusion is that cervical status remains the most important predictor of IOL outcome, although the value of the parameters explored up to now is limited. To find or develop predictive tools to identify those women exposed to IOL who may not reach the active phase of labor is crucial to minimize the risks and costs associated with IOL failure while opening a great opportunity for investigation. Therefore, other predictive tools should be studied in order to improve IOL outcome in terms of health and economic burden.

Methods for assessing pre-induction cervical ripening

BACKGROUND

Induction of labour is the artificial initiation of labour in a pregnant woman after the age of fetal viability but without any objective evidence of active phase labour and with intact fetal membranes. The need for induction of labour may arise due to a problem in the mother, her fetus or both, and the procedure may be carried out at or before term. Obstetricians have long known that for this to be successful, it is important that the uterine cervix (the neck of the womb) has favourable characteristics in terms of readiness to go into the labour state.

OBJECTIVES

To compare Bishop score with any other method for assessing pre-induction cervical ripening in women admitted for induction of labour.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group's Trials Register (31 March 2015) and reference lists of retrieved studies to identify randomised controlled trials (RCTs).

SELECTION CRITERIA

All RCTs comparing Bishop score with any other methods of pre-induction cervical assessment in women admitted for induction of labour. Cluster-RCTs were eligible for inclusion but none were identified. Quasi-RCTs and studies using a cross-over design were not eligible for inclusion. Studies published in abstract form were eligible for inclusion if they provided sufficient information.Comparisons could include the following.1. Bishop score versus transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS).2. Bishop score versus Insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1).3. Bishop score versus vaginal fetal fibronectin (fFN).However, we only identified data for a comparison of Bishop score versus TVUS.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently assessed the trials for inclusion, extracted the data and assessed trial quality. Data were checked for accuracy.

MAIN RESULTS

We included two trials that recruited a total of 234 women. The overall risk of bias was low for the two studies. Both studies compared Bishop score withTVUS.The two included studies did not show any clear difference between the Bishop score and TVUS groups for the following main outcomes: vaginal birth (RR 1.07, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.25, moderate quality evidence), caesarean delivery (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.49 to 1.34, moderate quality evidence), neonatal admission into neonatal intensive care unit (RR 1.67, 95% CI 0.41 to 6.71, moderate quality evidence). Both studies only provided median data in relation to induction-delivery interval and reported no clear difference between the Bishop and TVUS groups. Perinatal mortality was not reported in the included studies.For the review's secondary outcomes, the need for misoprostol for cervical ripening was more frequent in the TVUS group compared to the Bishop score group (RR 0.52, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.66, two studies, 234 women, moderate quality evidence). In contrast, there were no clear differences between the Bishop scope and TVUS groups in terms of meconium staining of the amniotic fluid, fetal heart rate abnormality in labour, and Apgar score less than seven. Only one trial reported median data on the induction-delivery interval and induction to active phase interval, the trialist reported no difference between the Bishop group and the TVUS group for this outcome. Neither of the included studies reported on uterine rupture.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Moderate quality evidence from two small RCTs involving 234 women that compared two different methods for assessing pre-induction cervical ripening (Bishop score and TVUS) did not demonstrate superiority of one method over the other in terms of the main outcomes assessed in this review. We did not identify any data relating to perinatal mortality. Whilst use of TVUS was associated with an increased need for misoprostol for cervical ripening, both methods could be complementary.The choice of a particular method of assessing pre-induction cervical ripening may differ depending on the environment and need where one is practicing since some methods (i.e. TVUS) may not be readily available and affordable in resource-poor settings where the sequelae of labour and its management is prevalent.The evidence in this review is based on two studies that enrolled a small number of women and there is insufficient evidence to support the use of TVUS over the standard digital vaginal assessment in pre-induction cervical ripening. Further adequately powered RCTs involving TVUS and the Bishop score and including other methods of pre-induction cervical ripening assessment are warranted. Such studies need to address uterine rupture, perinatal mortality, optimal cut-off value of the cervical length and Bishop score to classify women as having favourable or unfavourable cervices and cost should be included as an outcome.

The role of sonographic cervical length in labor induction at term

The purpose of this study is to review the literature examining the role of ultrasound in the induction of labor. Databases including Ovid, PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and UpToDate were searched and current guidelines from the SOGC, the ACOG, the RCOG, and the RANZCOG were reviewed. Although studies have not demonstrated the superiority of cervical sonography to the Bishop score, the evidence indicates that sonography could be useful in planning induction of labor, significantly reducing the need for cervical ripening agents. A more comprehensive method integrating both sonography and digital exam may be more appropriate.