Patterns of fetal lung growth in fetuses with isolated left-sided congenital diaphragmatic hernia

Does Prediction of Neonatal Mortality by the Observed/Expected Lung-To-Head Ratio Change during Pregnancy in Fetuses with Left Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia?

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to evaluate prediction of neonatal mortality in fetuses with isolated left congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) when the observed/expected lung-to-head ratio (O/E LHR) was estimated at two different gestational time points during pregnancy.

METHODS

Forty-four (44) fetuses with isolated left CDH were included. O/E LHR was estimated at the time of referral (first scan) and before delivery (last scan). The main outcome was neonatal death due to respiratory complications.

RESULTS

There were 10/44 (22.7%) perinatal deaths. The areas under (AU) the ROC curves were: first scan, 0.76, best O/E LHR cut-off 35.5% with 76% sensitivity and 70% specificity; last scan, AU-ROC 0.79, best O/E LHR cut-off 35.2%, with 79.0% sensitivity and 80% specificity. Considering an O/E LHR cut-off ≤35% to define high-risk fetuses at any examination, prediction for perinatal mortality showed: 80% sensitivity, 73.5% specificity, 47.1% positive and 92.6% negative predictive values, and 3.02 (95% CI 1.59-5.73) positive and 0.27 (95% CI 0.08-0.96) negative likelihood ratios. Prediction was similar in the two evaluations as 16/21 (76.2%) of fetuses considered at risk had an O/E LHR ≤35% in the two examinations; in the remaining 5 cases, two were identified only in the first and three only in the last scan.

CONCLUSION

The O/E LHR is a good predictor of perinatal death in fetuses with left isolated CDH. Approximately 80% of fetuses at risk of perinatal death can be identified with an O/E LHR ≤35%, and 90% of them will have similar O/E LHR values at the first and at the last ultrasound examinations prior to delivery. In general, 88.6% of all CDH fetuses have a similar severity classification based on the O/E LHR at the first diagnostic ultrasound or at the ultrasound examination prior to delivery.

Expected small left heart size in the presence of congenital diaphragmatic hernia: Fetal values and Z-scores for infants confirmed to have no heart disease postnatally

OBJECTIVES

In fetuses with left-sided congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH), left heart structures may appear small, but usually normalize after birth in the absence of structural cardiac anomalies. To decrease the possibility of an erroneous diagnosis of structural heart disease, we identify normal values for left heart structures in the presence of left CDH and secondarily investigate the relationship of left heart size and survival to neonatal hospital discharge.

METHODS

Left heart structures [mitral valve (MV) and aortic valve (AoV) annulus diameter, left ventricle (LV) length and width] were measured by fetal echocardiogram in fetuses with left CDH and no congenital heart disease. We generated linear regression models to establish the relationship of gestational age for each left heart structure using data from fetuses who survived after birth. We calculated z-scores (normalized to gestational age), and assessed the relationship of survival to the size of each structure.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-two fetuses underwent fetal echocardiogram (median 25 weeks' gestation, IQR 23, 27 weeks). Left heart structures were deemed small when using published normative data from unaffected fetuses (z-scores: MV -1.09 ± 1.35, AoV -2.12 ± 1.16, LV length -1.36 ± 1.24, LV width -4.79 ± 0.79). CDH-specific models derived from log-transformed values yielded left-shifted distributions, reflecting the small structures (mean z-score lower by: MV 0.99 ± 0.30, AoV 2.04 ± 0.38, LV length 1.30 ± 0.36, and LV width 4.69 ± 0.28; p < 0.0001 for all comparisons). Non-survivors had worse z-scores than survivors for all measurements, but this did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Log-transformed linear models generated new normative data for fetal left heart structures in left CDH, which may be used to allay antenatal concerns regarding structural left heart anomalies. There were no significant differences in z-scores between survivors and non-survivors, suggesting that in the absence of true structural disease, cardiac evaluation is not predictive in isolation and that causes of mortality are likely multifactorial in this population.