Impact of the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Trade between Canada and the United States

Energizing Research at the Intersection of Public Policy and Supply Chain Resilience: A Systematic Review and Guiding Framework

Academic scholars and US political leaders have called for a better understanding of the connection between public policy and supply chain resilience. In this structured literature review we analyze and synthesize literature published in high‐quality public policy and business journals at this intersection. We leverage existing frameworks in public policy and supply chain resilience to help analyze the relationships studied to date, resulting in a conceptual framework that elucidates the connections between public policy and resilience and leads to the development of a platform for future research inquiries. We encourage and provide guidance for future work in the space from both supply chain management and public policy scholars that can drive actionable results for policymakers, firm decision‐makers, and the welfare of society.

An Empirical Examination of the Effect of COVID-19 Travel Restrictions on Canadians' Cross-Border Travel and Canadian Retailers

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been devastating for many Canadian retailers. In this article, we estimate the offsetting positive effects of decreased international travel by Canadians on retail revenues. We use data from 1991 to 2021 on Canadians' travel to the United States to estimate a model of cross-border travel and establish community-level counterfactual staying rates had the pandemic not occurred. Combined with actual staying rates and elasticities of retailers' revenues with respect to staying rates, we estimate offsetting revenue gains due to the fall in cross-border travel. Our results suggest that, on average, the border closure generated a 1.49 percent offsetting gain in revenues for small Canadian retailers located within 150 kilometres of the border. We document variation across communities and sub-sectors, with estimates ranging from 0 to 125 percent. Retailers located in less-affluent communities near US shopping opportunities, and those operating in sub-sectors catering to travellers, experienced the largest gains.