Blinded Clinical Evaluation for Dementia of Alzheimer's Type Classification Using FDG-PET: A Comparison Between Feature-Engineered and Non-Feature-Engineered Machine Learning Methods

Recent applications of positron emission tomographic (PET) imaging in psychiatric drug discovery

INTRODUCTION

Psychiatry is one of the medical disciplines that suffers most from a lack of innovation in its therapeutic arsenal. Many failures in drug candidate trials can be explained by pharmacological properties that have been poorly assessed upstream, in terms of brain passage, brain target binding and clinical outcomes. Positron emission tomography can provide pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data to help select candidate-molecules for further clinical trials.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to explain and discuss the various methods using positron-emitting radiolabeled molecules to trace the cerebral distribution of the drug-candidate or indirectly measure binding to its therapeutic target. More than an exhaustive review of PET studies in psychopharmacology, this article highlights the contributions this technology can make in drug discovery applied to psychiatry.

EXPERT OPINION

PET neuroimaging is the only technological approach that can, in vivo in humans, measure cerebral delivery of a drug candidate, percentage and duration of target binding, and even the pharmacological effects. PET studies in a small number of subjects in the early stages of the development of a psychotropic drug can therefore provide the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic data required for subsequent clinical evaluation. While PET technology is demanding in terms of radiochemical, radiopharmacological and nuclear medicine expertise, its integration into the development process of new drugs for psychiatry has great added value.

Deep learning combining FDG-PET and neurocognitive data accurately predicts MCI conversion to Alzheimer's dementia 3-year post MCI diagnosis

INTRODUCTION

This study reports a novel deep learning approach to predict mild cognitive impairment (MCI) conversion to Alzheimer's dementia (AD) within three years using whole-brain fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) and cognitive scores (CS).

METHODS

This analysis consisted of 150 normal controls (CN), 257 MCI, and 205  AD subjects from ADNI. FDG-PET and CS were obtained at MCI diagnosis to predict AD conversion within three years of MCI diagnosis using convolutional neural networks.

RESULTS

Neurocognitive scores predicted better than FDG-PET per se, but the best model was a combination of FDG-PET, age, and neurocognitive data, yielding an AUC of 0.785 ± 0.096 and a balanced accuracy of 0.733 ± 0.098. Saliency maps highlighted putamen, thalamus, inferior frontal gyrus, parietal operculum, precuneus cortices, calcarine cortices, temporal gyrus, and planum temporale to be important for prediction.

DISCUSSION

Deep learning accurately predicts MCI conversion to AD and provides neural correlates of brain regions associated with AD conversion.

Machine Learning for Dementia Prediction: A Systematic Review and Future Research Directions

Nowadays, Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have successfully provided automated solutions to numerous real-world problems. Healthcare is one of the most important research areas for ML researchers, with the aim of developing automated disease prediction systems. One of the disease detection problems that AI and ML researchers have focused on is dementia detection using ML methods. Numerous automated diagnostic systems based on ML techniques for early prediction of dementia have been proposed in the literature. Few systematic literature reviews (SLR) have been conducted for dementia prediction based on ML techniques in the past. However, these SLR focused on a single type of data modality for the detection of dementia. Hence, the purpose of this study is to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of ML-based automated diagnostic systems considering different types of data modalities such as images, clinical-features, and voice data. We collected the research articles from 2011 to 2022 using the keywords dementia, machine learning, feature selection, data modalities, and automated diagnostic systems. The selected articles were critically analyzed and discussed. It was observed that image data driven ML models yields promising results in terms of dementia prediction compared to other data modalities, i.e., clinical feature-based data and voice data. Furthermore, this SLR highlighted the limitations of the previously proposed automated methods for dementia and presented future directions to overcome these limitations.

Predicting time-to-conversion for dementia of Alzheimer's type using multi-modal deep survival analysis

Dementia of Alzheimer's Type (DAT) is a complex disorder influenced by numerous factors, and it is difficult to predict individual progression trajectory from normal or mildly impaired cognition to DAT. An in-depth examination of multiple modalities of data may yield an accurate estimate of time-to-conversion to DAT for preclinical subjects at various stages of disease development. We used a deep-learning model designed for survival analyses to predict subjects' time-to-conversion to DAT using the baseline data of 401 subjects with 63 features from MRI, genetic, and CDC (Cognitive tests, Demographic, and CSF) data in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. Our study demonstrated that CDC data outperform genetic or MRI data in predicting DAT time-to-conversion for subjects with Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). On the other hand, genetic data provided the most predictive power for subjects with Normal Cognition (NC) at the time of the visit. Furthermore, combining MRI and genetic features improved the time-to-event prediction over using either modality alone. Finally, adding CDC to any combination of features only worked as well as using only the CDC features.

Searching for optimal machine learning model to classify mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes using multimodal MRI data

The intervention at the stage of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is promising for preventing Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study aims to search for the optimal machine learning (ML) model to classify early and late MCI (EMCI and LMCI) subtypes using multimodal MRI data. First, the tract-based spatial statistics (TBSS) analyses showed LMCI-related white matter changes in the Corpus Callosum. The ROI-based tractography addressed the connected cortical areas by affected callosal fibers. We then prepared two feature subsets for ML by measuring resting-state functional connectivity (TBSS-RSFC method) and graph theory metrics (TBSS-Graph method) in these cortical areas, respectively. We also prepared feature subsets of diffusion parameters in the regions of LMCI-related white matter alterations detected by TBSS analyses. Using these feature subsets, we trained and tested multiple ML models for EMCI/LMCI classification with cross-validation. Our results showed the ensemble ML model (AdaBoost) with feature subset of diffusion parameters achieved better performance of mean accuracy 70%. The useful brain regions for classification were those, including frontal, parietal lobe, Corpus Callosum, cingulate regions, insula, and thalamus regions. Our findings indicated the optimal ML model using diffusion parameters might be effective to distinguish LMCI from EMCI subjects at the prodromal stage of AD.

Machine learning, artificial intelligence and the prediction of dementia

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Artificial intelligence and its division machine learning are emerging technologies that are increasingly applied in medicine. Artificial intelligence facilitates automatization of analytical modelling and contributes to prediction, diagnostics and treatment of diseases. This article presents an overview of the application of artificial intelligence in dementia research.

RECENT FINDINGS

Machine learning and its branch Deep Learning are widely used in research to support in diagnosis and prediction of dementia. Deep Learning models in certain tasks often result in better accuracy of detection and prediction of dementia than traditional machine learning methods, but they are more costly in terms of run times and hardware requirements. Both machine learning and Deep Learning models have their own strengths and limitations. Currently, there are few datasets with limited data available to train machine learning models. There are very few commercial applications of machine learning in medical practice to date, mostly represented by mobile applications, which include questionnaires and psychometric assessments with limited machine learning data processing.

SUMMARY

Application of machine learning technologies in detection and prediction of dementia may provide an advantage to psychiatry and neurology by promoting a better understanding of the nature of the disease and more accurate evidence-based processes that are reproducible and standardized.

Application of artificial intelligence in brain molecular imaging

Initial development of artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) dates back to the mid-twentieth century. A growing awareness of the potential for AI, as well as increases in computational resources, research, and investment are rapidly advancing AI applications to medical imaging and, specifically, brain molecular imaging. AI/ML can improve imaging operations and decision making, and potentially perform tasks that are not readily possible by physicians, such as predicting disease prognosis, and identifying latent relationships from multi-modal clinical information. The number of applications of image-based AI algorithms, such as convolutional neural network (CNN), is increasing rapidly. The applications for brain molecular imaging (MI) include image denoising, PET and PET/MRI attenuation correction, image segmentation and lesion detection, parametric image formation, and the detection/diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease and other brain disorders. When effectively used, AI will likely improve the quality of patient care, instead of replacing radiologists. A regulatory framework is being developed to facilitate AI adaptation for medical imaging.

Machine Learning Based Multimodal Neuroimaging Genomics Dementia Score for Predicting Future Conversion to Alzheimer's Disease

BACKGROUND

The increasing availability of databases containing both magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and genetic data allows researchers to utilize multimodal data to better understand the characteristics of dementia of Alzheimer's type (DAT).

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to develop and analyze novel biomarkers that can help predict the development and progression of DAT.

METHODS

We used feature selection and ensemble learning classifier to develop an image/genotype-based DAT score that represents a subject's likelihood of developing DAT in the future. Three feature types were used: MRI only, genetic only, and combined multimodal data. We used a novel data stratification method to better represent different stages of DAT. Using a pre-defined 0.5 threshold on DAT scores, we predicted whether a subject would develop DAT in the future.

RESULTS

Our results on Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database showed that dementia scores using genetic data could better predict future DAT progression for currently normal control subjects (Accuracy = 0.857) compared to MRI (Accuracy = 0.143), while MRI can better characterize subjects with stable mild cognitive impairment (Accuracy = 0.614) compared to genetics (Accuracy = 0.356). Combining MRI and genetic data showed improved classification performance in the remaining stratified groups.

CONCLUSION

MRI and genetic data can contribute to DAT prediction in different ways. MRI data reflects anatomical changes in the brain, while genetic data can detect the risk of DAT progression prior to the symptomatic onset. Combining information from multimodal data appropriately can improve prediction performance.

Early diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease on ADNI data using novel longitudinal score based on functional principal component analysis

Methods: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a worldwide prevalent age-related neurodegenerative disease with no available cure yet. Early prognosis is therefore crucial for planning proper clinical intervention. It is especially true for people diagnosed with mild cognitive impairment, to whom the prediction of whether and when the future disease onset would happen is particularly valuable. However, such prognostic prediction has been proven to be challenging, and previous studies have only achieved limited success. Approach: In this study, we seek to extract the principal component of the longitudinal disease progression trajectory in the early stage of AD, measured as the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived structural volume, to predict the onset of AD for mild cognitive impaired patients two years ahead. Results: Cross-validation results of LASSO regression using the longitudinal functional principal component (FPC) features show significant improved predictive power compared to training using the baseline volume 12 months before AD conversion [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.802 versus 0.732] and 24 months before AD conversion (AUC of 0.816 versus 0.717). Conclusions: We present a framework using the FPCA to extract features from MRI-derived information collected from multiple timepoints. The results of our study demonstrate the advantageous predictive power of the population-based longitudinal features to predict the disease onset compared with using only cross-sectional data-based on volumetric features extracted from a single timepoint, demonstrating the improved prediction power using FPC-derived longitudinal features.