Prognostic Factors for Post Recurrence Survival in Resected Pathological Stage I Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Effect of initial recurrence site on the prognosis of different tissue types of non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

To explore the correlation between the initial recurrence site and survival after recurrence (PRS) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

We collected 588 stages I-III NSCLC patients with recurrence after radical resection in Yunnan Cancer Hospital from January 2013 to December 2018. We used Kaplan-Meier survival curves to compare PRS in patients with different site recurrences. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the impact of the initial recurrence site on PRS.

RESULTS

The recurrence site included the lung (n = 109), brain (n = 113), bone (n = 79), abdomen (n = 28), pleura (n = 24), lymph node (n = 81), and multisite (n = 154). In the total population, patients with multisite recurrence had substantially worse PRS (24.8 months, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 17.46-32.20) than that of patients without multiple sites recurrence (42.2 months, 95% CI 32.24-52.10) (P = 0.026). However, patients with lung recurrence had better RFS (63.1 months, 95% CI 51.13-74.00) than those who did not (31.0 months, 95% CI 25.10-36.96) (P < 0.001). In adenocarcinoma, patients with pleural recurrence had substantially worse PRS (21.3 months, 95% CI 15.07-27.46) than that of patients without pleural recurrence (46.9 months, 95% CI 35.07-58.80) (P = 0.031). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that lung recurrence (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.40-0.82; P = 0.003) was independent protective prognostic factor for PRS in the total population, while pleural recurrence (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.14-4.17; P = 0.018) was independent adverse prognostic factors for PRS in adenocarcinoma patients.

CONCLUSION

The initial recurrence site was associated with PRS in NSCLC patients. Identification of recurrence sites could guide the subsequent treatment.

Preoperative predictors for recurrence sites associated with poor post-recurrence survival after surgery of non-small cell lung cancer: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The recurrence site that influences post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing surgery and the preoperative predictors of recurrence remain unclear.

METHODS

Cohorts 1 and 2 had 4520 (who underwent complete resection for p-stage 0-IIIA NSCLC) and 727 (who experienced recurrence after surgery) patients, respectively. The initial sites of recurrence were the lungs (309 cases), thoracic lymph nodes (225 cases), pleura (112 cases), bone (110 cases), central nervous system (86 cases), adrenal gland (25 cases), abdomen (60 cases), cervical and axillary lymph nodes (38 cases), chest wall (13 cases), skin (5 cases), and eye and tongue (3 cases). For cohort 2 analysis, the initial recurrence site that resulted in poor PRS was analyzed by multivariable analysis using a Cox proportional hazard model. For cohort 1 analysis, the preoperative predictors of recurrence patterns with poor PRS were analyzed by multivariable analysis using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

In cohort 2 analysis, recurrence in the central nervous system (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; p < 0.001), bone (HR, 1.75; p < 0.001), abdomen (HR, 2.39; p < 0.001), and pleura (HR, 1.69; p < 0.001) were independent poor prognostic recurrent sites for PRS and they were high-risk sites (HRS). Intrathoracic lymph nodes, cervical and axillary lymph nodes, lungs, chest wall, adrenal gland, eye and tongue, and skin were low-risk sites (LRS) that did not affect PRS. Patients with multiple LRS without HRS recurrence had a worse prognosis than those with a single LRS without HRS recurrence (5-year PRS 20.2% vs. 37.7%, p < 0.001) and were comparable to those with HRS recurrence (p = 1.000). In cohort 1 analysis, preoperative predictors for HRS and multiple LRS recurrences were positron emission tomography (PET) maximum standardized uptake value (maxSUV) ≥ 3.2 (HR, 5.09; p < 0.001), clinical nodal metastasis (HR, 2.00; p < 0.001), tumor size ≥ 2.4 cm (HR, 1.96; p < 0.001) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥ 5 ng/ml (HR, 1.41; p = 0.004). The cumulative incidence rates of HRS and multiple LRS recurrences within 5 years were 55.9%, 40.9%, 26.3%, 11.1%, and 3.5% (p < 0.001) in patients with 4, 3, 2, 1 and 0 of the above risks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

HRS and multiple LRS were vital recurrences associated with poor PRS. Preoperative PET maxSUV, clinical nodal metastasis, tumor size, and CEA level predicted the incidence of vital recurrence.

Impact of the initial site of recurrence on prognosis after curative surgery for primary lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

This retrospective study aimed to elucidate the impact of the initial site of recurrence on relapse-free survival and post-recurrence survival (PRS) after the curative resection of primary lung cancer.

METHODS

We enrolled 325 patients who developed recurrence after curative resection of pathological stage I-IIIA primary lung cancer between January 2006 and December 2018 at the Kanagawa Cancer Center. Cases were classified as follows based on the initial site of recurrence: cervicothoracic lymph node (n = 144), lung (n = 121), pleural dissemination (n = 52), bone (n = 59), brain and meningeal dissemination (n = 50) and abdominal organ (n = 34) cases. The relapse-free survival and PRS of patients with and without recurrence at each site were compared using the log-rank test. The impact of the initial site of recurrence on PRS was analysed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Relapse-free survival was significantly poorer in patients with abdominal organ recurrence than in patients without abdominal organ recurrence (11.5 vs 17.6 months, P = 0.024). The PRS of patients with bone and abdominal organ recurrences was worse than that of patients without bone (18.4 vs 31.1 months, P < 0.001) or abdominal organ (13.8 vs 30.6 months, P < 0.001) recurrence. Multiple recurrence sites were observed more frequently in patients with bone and abdominal organ recurrences. Bone [hazard ratio (HR) 2.13; P < 0.001] and abdominal organ metastasis (HR 1.71; P = 0.026) were independent poor prognostic factors for PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests surveillance for abdominal organ recurrence in the early postoperative period. Patients with bone and abdominal organ recurrence should receive multimodality treatment to improve their prognosis.

Radiomics Signature Predicts the Recurrence-Free Survival in Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND

We aimed to explore the predictive value of radiomics signature for the recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with resected stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

METHODS

From January 2009 to December 2011, patients with resected stage I non-small cell lung cancer were divided into sub-solid and pure-solid groups according to presence of ground glass opacity in computed tomography. A total of 107 extracted radiomics features were reduced to 8 features by using LASSO Cox analysis to develop a radiomics signature for RFS prediction. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were applied to identify independent prognostic variables, the Harrell concordance index (C-index) was measured to assess their prediction performance.

RESULTS

Our study included 378 patients with a median follow-up time of 63.2 months. The radiomics signature could stratify all patients into high-risk (180 of 378) and low-risk group (198 of 378) with different RFS (P < .001). In the sub-solid group (n = 115), 3 patients who occurred relapse were categorized into the high-risk group by the radiomics signature. In the pure-solid group, patients with low risk (141 of 263) had a better outcome than those with high risk (122 of 263) (P < .001). Multivariate analyses revealed that the histology (P < .001) and the developed radiomics signature (P < .001) remained independent prognostic factors for RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics signature may be an independent imaging biomarker for predicting the survival, which may guide for personalizing treatment option in patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer.