Pretreatment Computed Tomography-Based Machine Learning Models to Predict Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients who Received Combined Treatment of Trans-Arterial Chemoembolization and Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor

Systemic chemotherapy improves outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) based neoadjuvant therapy was proven effective in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) also showed promise in HCC treatment. However, the prognostic benefits associated with these treatments remain uncertain. This study aimed to explore the relationship between pathologic response and prognostic features in HCC patients who received neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

HCC patients who received TACE either with or without TKIs/ICIs as neoadjuvant therapy before liver resection were retrospectively collected from the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine in China. Pathologic response was determined by calculating the proportion of non-viable area within the tumor. Major pathologic response (MPR) was defined as the presence of non-viable tumor cells reaching a minimum of 90%. Complete pathologic response (CPR) was characterized by the absence of viable cells observed in the tumor.

RESULTS

A total of 481 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were enrolled, with 76 patients (15.8%) achieving CPR and 179 (37.2%) reaching MPR. The median recurrence-free survival (mRFS) in the CPR + MPR group was significantly higher than the non-MPR group (31.3 vs. 25.1 months). The difference in 3-year overall survival (OS) rate was not significant. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified failure to achieve MPR (hazard ratio = 1.548, 95% confidence interval: 1.122-2.134; P = 0.008), HBsAg positivity (HR = 1.818, 95% CI: 1.062-3.115, P = 0.030), multiple lesions (HR = 2.278, 95% CI: 1.621-3.195, P < 0.001), and baseline tumor size > 5 cm (HR = 1.712, 95% CI: 1.031-2.849, P = 0.038) were independent risk factors for RFS. Subgroup analysis showed that 67 of 93 (72.0%) patients who received the combination of TACE, TKIs, and ICIs achieved MPR + CPR.

CONCLUSIONS

In individuals who received TACE-based neoadjuvant therapy for HCC, failure to achieve MPR emerges as an independent risk factor for RFS. Notably, the combination of TACE, TKIs, and ICIs demonstrated the highest rate of MPR.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Predicting Transarterial Chemoembolization Outcomes: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Major society guidelines recommend transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) as the standard of care for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, predicting treatment response remains challenging.

AIMS

As artificial intelligence (AI) may predict therapeutic responses, this systematic review aims to assess the performance and effectiveness of radiomics and AI-based models in predicting TACE outcomes in patients with HCC.

METHODS

A systemic search was conducted on Medline and Embase databases from inception to 7th April 2024. Included studies generated a predictive model for TACE response and evaluated its performance by area under the curve (AUC), specificity, or sensitivity analysis. Systematic reviews, meta-analyses, case series and reports, pediatric, and animal studies were excluded. Secondary search of references of included articles ensured comprehensiveness.

RESULTS

64 articles, with 13,412 TACE-treated patients, were included. AI in pre-treatment CT scans provided value in predicting the efficacy of TACE in HCC treatment. A positive association was observed for AI in pre-treatment MRI scans. Models incorporating radiomics had numerically better performance than those incorporating manual measured radiological variables. 39 studies demonstrated that combined predictive models had numerically better performance than models based solely on imaging or non-imaging features.

CONCLUSION

A combined predictive model incorporating clinical features, laboratory investigations, and radiological characteristics may effectively predict response to TACE treatment for HCC.

Development and validation of survival prediction models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization plus tyrosine kinase inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Due to heterogeneity of molecular biology and microenvironment, therapeutic efficacy varies among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). We examined combined models using clinicoradiological characteristics, mutational burden of signaling pathways, and radiomics features to predict survival prognosis.

METHODS

Two cohorts comprising 111 patients with HCC were used to build prognostic models. The training and test cohorts included 78 and 33 individuals, respectively. Mutational burden was calculated based on 17 cancer-associated signaling pathways. Radiomic features were extracted and selected from computed tomography images using a pyradiomics system. Models based on clinicoradiological indicators, mutational burden, and radiomics score (rad-score) were built to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, Child-Pugh class, peritumoral enhancement, PI3K_AKT and hypoxia mutational burden, and rad-score were used to create a combined model predicting OS. C-indices were 0.805 (training cohort) and 0.768 (test cohort). The areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.889, 0.900, and 0.917 for 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS, respectively. To predict PFS, alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor enhancement pattern, hypoxia and receptor tyrosine kinase mutational burden, and rad-score were used. C-indices were 0.782 (training cohort) and 0.766 (test cohort). AUCs were 0.885 and 0.925 for 6-month and 12-month PFS, respectively. Calibration and decision curve analyses supported the model's accuracy and clinical potential.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram models are hopeful to predict OS and PFS in patients with intermediate-advanced HCC treated with TACE plus TKIs, offering a promising tool for treatment decisions and monitoring patient progress.

Application of artificial intelligence radiomics in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, with an increasing incidence and poor prognosis. In the past decade, artificial intelligence (AI) technology has undergone rapid development in the field of clinical medicine, bringing the advantages of efficient data processing and accurate model construction. Promisingly, AI-based radiomics has played an increasingly important role in the clinical decision-making of HCC patients, providing new technical guarantees for prediction, diagnosis, and prognostication. In this review, we evaluated the current landscape of AI radiomics in the management of HCC, including its diagnosis, individual treatment, and survival prognosis. Furthermore, we discussed remaining challenges and future perspectives regarding the application of AI radiomics in HCC.

Machine Learning Combined with Radiomics Facilitating the Personal Treatment of Malignant Liver Tumors

In the realm of managing malignant liver tumors, the convergence of radiomics and machine learning has redefined the landscape of medical practice. The field of radiomics employs advanced algorithms to extract thousands of quantitative features (including intensity, texture, and structure) from medical images. Machine learning, including its subset deep learning, aids in the comprehensive analysis and integration of these features from diverse image sources. This potent synergy enables the prediction of responses of malignant liver tumors to various treatments and outcomes. In this comprehensive review, we examine the evolution of the field of radiomics and its procedural framework. Furthermore, the applications of radiomics combined with machine learning in the context of personalized treatment for malignant liver tumors are outlined in aspects of surgical therapy and non-surgical treatments such as ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, radiotherapy, and systemic therapies. Finally, we discuss the current challenges in the amalgamation of radiomics and machine learning in the study of malignant liver tumors and explore future opportunities.

Attempt to Establish Prognostic Predictive System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Artificial Intelligence for Assistance with Selection of Treatment Modality

INTRODUCTION

Because of recent developments in treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), methods for determining suitable therapy for initial or recurrent HCC have become important. This study used artificial intelligence (AI) findings to establish a system for predicting prognosis of HCC patients at time of reoccurrence based on clinical data as a reference for selection of treatment modalities.

METHODS

As a training cohort, 5,701 observations obtained at the initial and each subsequent treatment for recurrence from 1,985 HCC patients at a single center from 2000 to 2021 were used. The validation cohort included 5,692 observations from patients at multiple centers obtained at the time of the initial treatment. An AI calculating system (PRAID) was constructed based on 25 clinical factors noted at each treatment from the training cohort, and then predictive prognostic values for 1- and 3-year survival in both cohorts were evaluated.

RESULTS

After exclusion of patients lacking clinical data regarding albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade or tumor-node-metastasis stage of the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan, 6th edition (TNM-LCSGJ 6th), ALBI-TNM-LCSGJ 6th (ALBI-T) and modified ALBI-T scores confirmed that prognosis for patients in both cohorts was similar. The area under the curve for prediction of both 1- and 3-year survival in the validation cohort was 0.841 (sensitivity 0.933 [95% CI: 0.925-0.940], specificity 0.517 [95% CI: 0.484-0.549]) and 0.796 (sensitivity 0.806 [95% CI: 0.790-0.821], specificity 0.646 [95% CI: 0.624-0.668]), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The present PRAID system might provide useful prognostic information related to short and medium survival for decision-making regarding the best therapeutic modality for both initial and recurrent HCC cases.

Radiomics: A radiological evidence-based artificial intelligence technique to facilitate personalized precision medicine in hepatocellular carcinoma

The high postoperative recurrence rates in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain a major hurdle in its management. Appropriate staging and treatment selection may alleviate the extent of fatal recurrence. However, effective methods to preoperatively evaluate pathophysiologic and molecular characteristics of HCC are lacking. Imaging plays a central role in HCC diagnosis and stratification due to the non-invasive diagnostic criteria. Vast and crucial information is hidden within image data. Other than providing a morphological sketch for lesion diagnosis, imaging could provide new insights to describe the pathophysiological and genetic landscape of HCC. Radiomics aims to facilitate diagnosis and prognosis of HCC using artificial intelligence techniques to harness the immense information contained in medical images. Radiomics produces a set of archetypal and robust imaging features that are correlated to key pathological or molecular biomarkers to preoperatively risk-stratify HCC patients. Inferred with outcome data, comprehensive combination of radiomic, clinical and/or multi-omics data could also improve direct prediction of response to treatment and prognosis. The evolution of radiomics is changing our understanding of personalized precision medicine in HCC management. Herein, we review the key techniques and clinical applications in HCC radiomics and discuss current limitations and future opportunities to improve clinical decision making.