Association of Total Bilirubin With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in the General Population

Association of total bilirubin and prognosis in disorders of consciousness

Accurate prediction of the recovery of Disorders of Consciousness (DoC) is of paramount significance for clinicians and families. Serum total bilirubin (TBIL) formed by activation of heme oxygenase 2, is associated with incidence and prognosis of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. However, studies that based TBIL and DoC are limited. The study attempted to examine the association between serum TBIL levels and prognosis in patients with DoC. One hundred and sixty-eight patients with DoC in the Second hospital of Shandong University from June 2021 to June 2023 were recruited. The clinical characteristics and venous blood samples were collected within 24 h after admission. The diagnosis of DoC was determined by two skilled investigators employing various behavioral evaluations along the coma recovery scale-revised (CRS-R) and the investigators conducted follow-up assessments of diagnosis at 1, 3, and 6 months after admission. For statistical analysis, we categorized patients with an improvement in clinical diagnosis from study entry as having a "good outcome". In total, 139 individuals enrolled in the study. The median TBIL level was 8.2 μmol/L. Good recovery of DoC at 1, 3, and 6 months occurred in 25 (18.0%), 41 (29.5%), and 56 (40.3%) patients, respectively. After full adjustment, a significant association was found between TBIL levels and the prognosis of DoC at 1, 3, and 6 months. When TBIL levels were analyzed as categorical variables, an increasing trend in the tertiles of TBIL levels demonstrated a significant positive association with the recovery of DoC at 1, 3, and 6 months. Stratified analysis revealed that the association between serum TBIL levels and the recovery of DoC remained consistent across different sub-populations. A high serum TBIL level is associated with an improved likelihood of recovery of DoC. Additional research is required to elucidate the underlying pathophysiological causal association between TBIL levels and DoC.

Effect of bilirubin and Gilbert syndrome on health: cohort analysis of observational, genetic, and Mendelian randomisation associations

Objectives

To compare associations between the Gilbert syndrome genotype in European populations, measured bilirubin concentrations, genetically predicted bilirubin using this genotype, and a wide range of health outcomes in a large cohort.

Design

Cohort study including observational, genetic, and Mendelian randomisation analyses.

Setting

22 centres across England, Scotland, and Wales in UK Biobank (2006-10), with replication in a national Finnish cohort (FinnGen).

Participants

463 060 participants in the UK Biobank were successfully genotyped for a genetic variant (rs887829) that is strongly associated with Gilbert syndrome and 438 056 participants had measured bilirubin concentrations with linked electronic health record data coded using the tenth edition of the International Classification of Diseases. Replication analyses were performed in FinnGen (n=429 209) with linked electronic health record data.

Main outcome measures

Odds ratios for the association between serum bilirubin concentrations, rs887829-T homozygosity (the risk genotype for Gilbert syndrome), genetically predicted bilirubin using rs887829-T allele carriage alone, and a wide range of health outcomes recorded in primary and secondary care.

Results

46 189 participants in UK Biobank (about 10%) were homozygous for rs887829-T defining them as having the genotype characterising Gilbert syndrome. However, only 1701 (3%) of this group had a coded diagnosis of Gilbert syndrome. Variation at this locus explained 37.1% of all variation in measured serum bilirubin. In the observational analyses, higher bilirubin concentrations had strong inverse associations with a wide range of outcomes including overall health status, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, and cholesterol measures. These associations were not identified in people with the Gilbert genotype. We identified associations with genetically predicted bilirubin concentrations and biliary and liver pathology (eg, odds ratio for cholelithiasis 1.16 (95% confidence interval 1.12 to 1.20); P=5.7×10^-16) and a novel association with pityriasis rosea (1.47 (1.27 to 1.69), P=1.28×10^-7).

Conclusions

Only 3% of participants who are homozygous for rs887829-T have a recorded diagnosis of Gilbert syndrome. Carriers of this genotype have modest increases in the odds of developing biliary pathology and pityriasis rosea. Evidence from the analyses of genetic data suggests that bilirubin has no likely causal role in protection from cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or other key healthcare outcomes and therefore represents a poor target for therapeutic intervention for these outcomes.

Association between total bilirubin and gender-specific incidence of fundus arteriosclerosis in a Chinese population: a retrospective cohort study

To investigate the gender-specific relationship between total bilirubin (TBIL) and fundus arteriosclerosis in the general population, and to explore whether there is a dose-response relationship between them. In a retrospective cohort study, 27,477 participants were enrolled from 2006 to 2019. The TBIL was divided into four groups according to the quartile. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the HRs with 95% CIs of different TBIL level and fundus arteriosclerosis in men and women. The dose-response relationship between TBIL and fundus arteriosclerosis was estimated using restricted cubic splines method. In males, after adjusting for potential confounders, the Q2 to Q4 level of TBIL were significantly associated with the risk of fundus arteriosclerosis. The HRs with 95% CIs were 1.217 (1.095-1.354), 1.255 (1.128-1.396) and 1.396 (1.254-1.555), respectively. For females, TBIL level was not associated with the incidence of fundus arteriosclerosis. In addition, a linear relationship between TBIL and fundus arteriosclerosis in both genders (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.0047, respectively). In conclusion, the incidence of fundus arteriosclerosis is positively correlated with serum TBIL level in males, but not in females. In addition, there was a linear dose-response relationship between TBIL and incidence of fundus arteriosclerosis.

The J-shape Association between Total Bilirubin and Stroke in Older Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome: A Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVES

To explore the relationship between total bilirubin (TBil) and stroke risk in older patients with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS).

METHODS

A total of 1,007 patients with OSAS without stroke history aged ≥ 60 years and with complete serum TBil records were enrolled in this study. The median follow-up was 42 months. Participants were divided into four groups based on the quartile of the baseline serum TBil concentration. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used to investigate the association of TBil with the incidence of new-onset stroke.

RESULTS

The PRIMARY part: the third quantile TBil level group had the lowest prevalence of stroke among the four groups. The RCS functions depicted a J-type curve relationship between TBil (3.3-33.3 µmol/L) and stroke (nonlinear P < 0.05). When the TBil level was in the range of 3.3 to 11.5 µmol/L, the possible protective influence of bilirubin against stroke in patients with OSAS enhanced with an increasing TBil level. However, when the TBil level exceeded 11.5 µmol/L and gradually increased, the effect of TBil on stroke risk became more and more pronounced. The SECONDARY part: for every 1 µmol/L increase in TBil levels in the range of 11.5 to 33.3 µmol/L, the risk of stroke in patients with OSAS increased by 16.2% (P < 0.001). In addition, there was a higher risk in women with OSAS (hazard ratio (HR)=1.292, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.093-1.528; P = 0.003). Moreover, an increased TBil level alone was significantly associated with stroke in subjects aged < 75 years (HR: 1.190, 95%CI: 1.069-1.324), patients with mild-to-moderate OSAS (HR: 1.215, 95%CI: 1.083-1.364), and individuals without atrial fibrillation (AF) (HR: 1.179, 95%CI: 1.083-1.285) within a TBil level in the range of 11.5 to 33.3 µmol/L.

CONCLUSIONS

Both lower and higher bilirubin levels may increase the risk of stroke in older persons with OSAS, and there was a J-type dose-response relationship. The risk of stroke was lowest when the TBil level was approximately 11.5 µmol/L.

The predictive effect of direct-indirect bilirubin ratio on clinical events in acute coronary syndrome: results from an observational cohort study in north China

Background:

Patients with extremely high-risk ASCVD usually suffered poor prognosis, bilirubin is considered closely related to cardiovascular outcomes. However, there is controversy over the relationship between bilirubin and coronary artery disease. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the DIBIL ratio in patients with extremely high-risk ASCVD.

Methods:

10,260 consecutive patients with extremely high-risk ASCVD were enrolled in this study. All patients were divided into three groups according to their DIBIL ratio. The incidence of MACCEs was recorded, and in a competing risk regression, the incidence of MACCEs and their subgroups were recorded. The direct-indirect bilirubin ratio (DIBIL ratio) was calculated by the direct bilirubin (umol/L)/indirect bilirubin (umol/L) ratio, all laboratory values were obtained from the first fasting blood samples during hospitalization.

Results:

The area under the ROC curve of the DIBIL ratio to predict the occurrence of all-cause death was 0.668, the cut-off value of which is 0.275. Competing risk regression indicated that DIBIL ratio was positively correlated with all-cause death [1.829 (1.405–2.381), p < 0.001], CV death [1.600 (1.103, 2.321), p = 0.013]. The addition of DIBIL ratio to a baseline risk model had an incremental effect on the predictive value for all-cause death [IDI 0.004(0, 0.010), p < 0.001; C-index 0.805(0.783–0.827), p < 0.001].

Conclusion:

The DIBIL ratio was an excellent tool to predict poor prognosis, suggesting that this index may be developed as a biomarker for risk stratification and prognosis in extremely ASCVD patients.

Association of triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among middle age and elderly US population

Aims

To investigate the association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in middle age and elderly population.

Methods and results

A total of 9,254 participants with age ≥ 45 years were enrolled from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cycle of 1999–2014. The TyG index was determined as ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) x fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality (cardiovascular diseases and malignant neoplasms). The association between the levels of TyG and the risk of mortality was explored with Cox regression models. After a median follow-up of 7.6 years, 1,774 all-cause death occurred. Univariate analysis showed that the TyG was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.11,1.26]; p < 0.001). Furthermore, multivariate-adjusted analysis found that the third TyG quartile (8.72 ~ 9.16) was associated with the lowest risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.84, 95%CI [0.73, 0.98]; p < 0.05). Restricted cubic splines showed that the association between levels of TyG index and the risk of all-cause mortality was non-linear (p for nonlinearity < 0.001) and the inflection point was 9.18 using threshold effect analysis. The HR was 0.82 (95%CI [0.71,0.96]) below 9.18 while the HR was 1.32 (95%CI [1.12,1.55]) above 9.18.

Conclusion

TyG index was U-shaped associated with all-cause mortality and the TyG index associated with the lowest risk of all-cause mortality was 9.18.