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Clayton JA, Bianchi DW, Hodes R, Schwetz TA, Bertagnolli M. Recent Developments in Women's Health Research at the US National Institutes of Health. JAMA 2025; 333:891-897. [PMID: 39761025 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2024.25878] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2025]
Abstract
Importance This article highlights key National Institutes of Health (NIH) programs, policies, and scientific advances that have informed and improved the health of women and describe the promise and potential of harnessing cutting-edge science and integrative approaches to advance women's health research. Policy updates combined with recent scientific and programmatic initiatives are intended to expand understanding of women's health, deliver diagnostics, and develop preventive approaches and novel therapies to meet critical health needs of contemporary women. Observations To benefit all people through the work funded and conducted by the NIH biomedical research enterprise, NIH has implemented policies that broadly expanded the knowledge of human health and disease from the laboratory to the clinic. Historically, women's health research initially focused on reproductive health and female-specific conditions. It has since expanded to encompass all aspects of the health of women. As new knowledge is generated, novel insights are uncovered about how diseases and conditions affect women uniquely, differently, or disproportionately and how sex and gender, as biological and social factors, respectively, influence health and disease at multiple levels. Although cutting-edge research has generated scientific advances leading to lifesaving vaccines, diagnostics, and treatments for women, many still do not have access to them. Thus, the White House announced an initiative that catalyzes innovative, integrative women's health research and propels translation from basic science to practical benefits, improving outcomes for all women across the lifespan. Conclusions and Relevance NIH's policies, programs, and research funding fill gaps in knowledge about the health of women. Their synergistic results generate evidence for data-driven decision-making and targeted interventions that will improve the health not just of women, but of all people.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janine Austin Clayton
- Office of Research on Women's Health, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Diana W Bianchi
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Richard Hodes
- National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Tara A Schwetz
- Division of Program Coordination, Planning, and Strategic Initiatives, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
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Moro F, Giudice MT, Ciancia M, Zace D, Baldassari G, Vagni M, Tran HE, Scambia G, Testa AC. Application of artificial intelligence to ultrasound imaging for benign gynecological disorders: systematic review. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2025; 65:295-302. [PMID: 39888598 PMCID: PMC11872345 DOI: 10.1002/uog.29171] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2024] [Revised: 12/05/2024] [Accepted: 12/05/2024] [Indexed: 02/01/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Although artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly being applied to ultrasound imaging in gynecology, efforts to synthesize the available evidence have been inadequate. The aim of this systematic review was to summarize and evaluate the literature on the role of AI applied to ultrasound imaging in benign gynecological disorders. METHODS Web of Science, PubMed and Scopus databases were searched from inception until August 2024. Inclusion criteria were studies applying AI to ultrasound imaging in the diagnosis and management of benign gynecological disorders. Studies retrieved from the literature search were imported into Rayyan software and quality assessment was performed using the Quality Assessment Tool for Artificial Intelligence-Centered Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-AI). RESULTS Of the 59 studies included, 12 were on polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), 11 were on infertility and assisted reproductive technology, 11 were on benign ovarian pathology (i.e. ovarian cysts, ovarian torsion, premature ovarian failure), 10 were on endometrial or myometrial pathology, nine were on pelvic floor disorder and six were on endometriosis. China was the most highly represented country (22/59 (37.3%)). According to QUADAS-AI, most studies were at high risk of bias for the subject selection domain (because the sample size, source or scanner model was not specified, data were not derived from open-source datasets and/or imaging preprocessing was not performed) and the index test domain (AI models were not validated externally), and at low risk of bias for the reference standard domain (the reference standard classified the target condition correctly) and the workflow domain (the time between the index test and the reference standard was reasonable). Most studies (40/59) developed and internally validated AI classification models for distinguishing between normal and pathological cases (i.e. presence vs absence of PCOS, pelvic endometriosis, urinary incontinence, ovarian cyst or ovarian torsion), whereas 19/59 studies aimed to automatically segment or measure ovarian follicles, ovarian volume, endometrial thickness, uterine fibroids or pelvic floor structures. CONCLUSION The published literature on AI applied to ultrasound in benign gynecological disorders is focused mainly on creating classification models to distinguish between normal and pathological cases, and on developing models to automatically segment or measure ovarian volume or follicles. © 2025 The Author(s). Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
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Affiliation(s)
- F. Moro
- Dipartimento Scienze della Salute della Donna, del Bambino e di Sanità PubblicaFondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
- UniCamillus International Medical UniversityRomeItaly
| | - M. T. Giudice
- Dipartimento Scienze della Salute della Donna, del Bambino e di Sanità PubblicaFondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
| | - M. Ciancia
- Dipartimento Scienze della Salute della Donna, del Bambino e di Sanità PubblicaFondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
| | - D. Zace
- Infectious Disease Clinic, Department of Systems MedicineTor Vergata UniversityRomeItaly
| | - G. Baldassari
- Radiomics G‐STeP Research Core Facility, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
| | - M. Vagni
- Istituto di RadiologiaUniversità Cattolica del Sacro CuoreRomeItaly
| | - H. E. Tran
- Radiomics G‐STeP Research Core Facility, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
| | - G. Scambia
- Dipartimento Scienze della Salute della Donna, del Bambino e di Sanità PubblicaFondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
- Dipartimento Universitario Scienze della Vita e Sanità PubblicaUniversità Cattolica del Sacro CuoreRomeItaly
| | - A. C. Testa
- Dipartimento Scienze della Salute della Donna, del Bambino e di Sanità PubblicaFondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCSRomeItaly
- Dipartimento Universitario Scienze della Vita e Sanità PubblicaUniversità Cattolica del Sacro CuoreRomeItaly
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Panjwani B, Yadav J, Mohan V, Agarwal N, Agarwal S. Optimized Machine Learning for the Early Detection of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome in Women. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2025; 25:1166. [PMID: 40006393 PMCID: PMC11859304 DOI: 10.3390/s25041166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2025] [Revised: 02/07/2025] [Accepted: 02/11/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025]
Abstract
Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a medical condition that impacts millions of women worldwide; however, due to a lack of public awareness, as well as the expensive testing involved in the identification of PCOS, 70% of cases go undiagnosed. Therefore, the primary objective of this study is to design an expert machine learning (ML) model for the early diagnosis of PCOS based on initial symptoms and health indicators; two datasets were amalgamated and preprocessed to accomplish this goal, resulting in a new symptomatic dataset with 12 attributes. An ensemble learning (EL) model, with seven base classifiers, and a deep learning (DL) model, as the meta-level classifier, are proposed. The hyperparameters of the EL model were optimized through the nature-inspired walrus optimization (WaO), cuckoo search optimization (CSO), and random search optimization (RSO) algorithms, leading to the WaOEL, CSOEL, and RSOEL models, respectively. The results obtained prove the supremacy of the designed WaOEL model over the other models, with a PCOS prediction accuracy of 92.8% and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.93; moreover, feature importance analysis, presented with random forest (RF) and Shapley additive values (SHAP) for positive PCOS predictions, highlights crucial clinical insights and the need for early intervention. Our findings suggest that patients with features related to obesity and high cholesterol are more likely to be diagnosed as PCOS positive. Most importantly, it is inferred from this study that early PCOS identification without expensive tests is possible with the proposed WaOEL, which helps clinicians and patients make better informed decisions, identify comorbidities, and reduce the harmful long-term effects of PCOS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bharti Panjwani
- Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Shri Madhwa Vadiraja Institute of Technology and Management, Bantakal 574115, Karnataka, India;
| | - Jyoti Yadav
- Department of Instrumentation and Control Engineering, Netaji Subhas University of Technology, Sector-3 Dwarka, New Delhi 110078, Delhi, India;
| | - Vijay Mohan
- Department of Mechatronics, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal 576104, Karnataka, India
| | - Neha Agarwal
- School of Chemical Engineering, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan 38541, Republic of Korea
| | - Saurabh Agarwal
- Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan 38541, Republic of Korea
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Di Michele S, Fulghesu AM, Pittui E, Cordella M, Sicilia G, Mandurino G, D’Alterio MN, Vitale SG, Angioni S. Ultrasound Assessment in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome Diagnosis: From Origins to Future Perspectives-A Comprehensive Review. Biomedicines 2025; 13:453. [PMID: 40002866 PMCID: PMC11853298 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines13020453] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2024] [Revised: 02/07/2025] [Accepted: 02/11/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
Background: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is the most prevalent endocrinopathy in women of reproductive age, characterized by a broad spectrum of clinical, metabolic, and ultrasound findings. Over time, ultrasound has evolved into a cornerstone for diagnosing polycystic ovarian morphology (PCOM), thanks to advances in probe technology, 3D imaging, and novel stromal markers. The recent incorporation of artificial intelligence (AI) further enhances diagnostic precision by reducing operator-related variability. Methods: We conducted a narrative review of English-language articles in PubMed and Embase using the keywords "PCOS", "polycystic ovary syndrome", "ultrasound", "3D ultrasound", and "ovarian stroma". Studies on diagnostic criteria, imaging modalities, stromal assessment, and machine-learning algorithms were prioritized. Additional references were identified via citation screening. Results: Conventional 2D ultrasound remains essential in clinical practice, with follicle number per ovary (FNPO) and ovarian volume (OV) functioning as primary diagnostic criteria. However, sensitivity and specificity values vary significantly depending on probe frequency, cut-off thresholds (≥12, ≥20, or ≥25 follicles), and patient characteristics (e.g., adolescence, obesity). Three-dimensional (3D) ultrasound and Doppler techniques refine PCOS diagnosis by enabling automated follicle measurements, stromal/ovarian area ratio assessments, and evaluation of vascular indices correlating strongly with hyperandrogenism. Meanwhile, AI-driven ultrasound analysis has emerged as a promising tool for minimizing observer bias and validating advanced metrics (e.g., SA/OA ratio) that may overcome traditional limitations of stroma-based criteria. Conclusions: The continual evolution of ultrasound, encompassing higher probe frequencies, 3D enhancements, and now AI-assisted algorithms, has expanded our ability to characterize PCOM accurately. Nevertheless, challenges such as operator dependency and inter-observer variability persist despite standardized protocols; the integration of AI holds promise in further enhancing diagnostic accuracy. Future directions should focus on robust AI training datasets, multicenter validation, and age-/BMI-specific cut-offs to optimize the balance between sensitivity and specificity, ultimately facilitating earlier and more precise PCOS diagnoses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefano Di Michele
- Division of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Cagliari, SS554, 4, Monserrato, 09042 Cagliari, Italy; (A.M.F.); (E.P.); (M.C.); (G.S.); (G.M.); (M.N.D.); (S.G.V.); (S.A.)
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Micolon E, Loubiere S, Zimmermann A, Berbis J, Auquier P, Courbiere B. Development and validation of a model to identify polycystic ovary syndrome in the French national administrative health database. BMC Med Res Methodol 2025; 25:5. [PMID: 39794688 PMCID: PMC11721591 DOI: 10.1186/s12874-024-02447-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 12/16/2024] [Indexed: 01/13/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aimed to develop and validate an algorithm for identifying women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in the French national health data system. METHODS Using data from the French national health data system, we applied the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) related diagnoses E28.2 for PCOS among women aged 18 to 43 years in 2021. Then, we developed an algorithm to identify PCOS using combinations of clinical criteria related to specific drugs claims, biological exams, international classification of Diseases (ICD-10) related diagnoses during hospitalization, and/or registration for long-term conditions. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of different combinations of algorithm criteria were estimated by reviewing the medical records of the Department of Reproductive Medicine at a university hospital for the year 2022, comparing potential women identified as experiencing PCOS by the algorithms with a list of clinically registered women with or without PCOS. RESULTS We identified 2,807 (0.01%) women aged 18 to 43 who received PCOS-related care in 2021 using the ICD-10 code for PCOS in the French National health database. By applying the PCOS algorithm to 349 women, the positive and negative predictive values were 0.90 (95%CI (83-95) and 0.93 (95%CI 0.90-0.96) respectively. The sensitivity of the PCOS algorithm was estimated at 0.85 (95%CI 0.77-0.91) and the specificity at 0.96 (95%CI 0.92-0.98). CONCLUSION The validity of the PCOS diagnostic algorithm in women undergoing reproductive health care was acceptable. Our findings may be useful for future studies on PCOS using administrative data on a national scale, or even on an international scale given the similarity of coding in this field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eugénie Micolon
- Department of Gynecology-Obstetric and Reproductive Medicine, AP-HM, La Conception University teaching Hospital, 147 Boulevard Baille, Marseille, 13005, France.
| | - Sandrine Loubiere
- Department of Clinical Research and Innovation, Support Unit for Clinical Research and Economic Evaluation, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France
- Research Unit UR 3279, CEReSS-Health Service Research and Quality of Life Center, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France
| | - Appoline Zimmermann
- Department of Gynecology-Obstetric and Reproductive Medicine, AP-HM, La Conception University teaching Hospital, 147 Boulevard Baille, Marseille, 13005, France
| | - Julie Berbis
- Department of Clinical Research and Innovation, Support Unit for Clinical Research and Economic Evaluation, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France
- Research Unit UR 3279, CEReSS-Health Service Research and Quality of Life Center, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France
| | - Pascal Auquier
- Department of Clinical Research and Innovation, Support Unit for Clinical Research and Economic Evaluation, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France
- Research Unit UR 3279, CEReSS-Health Service Research and Quality of Life Center, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France
| | - Blandine Courbiere
- Department of Gynecology-Obstetric and Reproductive Medicine, AP-HM, La Conception University teaching Hospital, 147 Boulevard Baille, Marseille, 13005, France
- IMBE, Aix Marseille Univ, Avignon Univ, CNRS, IRD, Marseille, France
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Wang F, Liu X, Hao X, Wang J, Liu J, Bai C. Oviduct Glycoprotein 1 (OVGP1) Diagnoses Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) Based on Machine Learning Algorithms. ACS OMEGA 2024; 9:49054-49063. [PMID: 39713694 PMCID: PMC11656370 DOI: 10.1021/acsomega.4c03111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2024] [Revised: 11/10/2024] [Accepted: 11/18/2024] [Indexed: 12/24/2024]
Abstract
Aims: To investigate the diagnostic value of oviduct glycoprotein 1 (OVGP1) levels for polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). Materials and Methods: Serum OVGP1 concentrations were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Associations between OVGP1 and endocrine parameters were evaluated by Spearman's correlation analysis. Diagnostic capacity was assessed by utilizing machine learning algorithms and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: OVGP1 levels were significantly decreased in PCOS patients and correlated with the serum follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) concentration and the luteinizing hormone/follicle-stimulating hormone (LH/FSH) ratio, which are predictors of PCOS occurrence. The diagnostic value of OVGP1 combined with six signatures (LH/FSH, progesterone, total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and anti-Müllerian hormone) or three clinical indicators has the potential to significantly improve the accuracy of diagnosing PCOS patients. Conclusion: OVGP1 enhances the ability to diagnose when combined with clinical indicators.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Xiaoyan Hao
- Department of Clinical Laboratory
Medicine, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military
Medical University (Air Force Military Medical University), Xi’an 710032, China
| | - Jing Wang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory
Medicine, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military
Medical University (Air Force Military Medical University), Xi’an 710032, China
| | - Jiayun Liu
- Department of Clinical Laboratory
Medicine, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military
Medical University (Air Force Military Medical University), Xi’an 710032, China
| | - Congxia Bai
- Department of Clinical Laboratory
Medicine, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military
Medical University (Air Force Military Medical University), Xi’an 710032, China
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Verma P, Maan P, Gautam R, Arora T. Unveiling the Role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) Diagnosis: A Comprehensive Review. Reprod Sci 2024; 31:2901-2915. [PMID: 38907128 DOI: 10.1007/s43032-024-01615-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2023] [Accepted: 06/02/2024] [Indexed: 06/23/2024]
Abstract
Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) is one of the most widespread endocrine and metabolic disorders affecting women of reproductive age. Major symptoms include hyperandrogenism, polycystic ovary, irregular menstruation cycle, excessive hair growth, etc., which sometimes may lead to more severe complications like infertility, pregnancy complications and other co-morbidities such as diabetes, hypertension, sleep apnea, etc. Early detection and effective management of PCOS are essential to enhance patients' quality of life and reduce the chances of associated health complications. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have recently emerged as a popular methodology in the healthcare industry for diagnosing and managing complex diseases such as PCOS. AI utilizes machine learning algorithms to analyze ultrasound images and anthropometric and biochemical test result data to diagnose PCOS quickly and accurately. AI can assist in integrating different data sources, such as patient histories, lab findings, and medical records, to present a clear and complete picture of an individual's health. This information can help the physician make more informed and efficient diagnostic decisions. This review article provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolving role of AI in various aspects of the management of PCOS, with a major focus on AI-based diagnosis tools.
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Graca S, Alloh F, Lagojda L, Dallaway A, Kyrou I, Randeva HS, Kite C. Polycystic Ovary Syndrome and the Internet of Things: A Scoping Review. Healthcare (Basel) 2024; 12:1671. [PMID: 39201229 PMCID: PMC11354210 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare12161671] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2024] [Revised: 08/11/2024] [Accepted: 08/17/2024] [Indexed: 09/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a prevalent endocrine disorder impacting women's health and quality of life. This scoping review explores the use of the Internet of Things (IoT) in PCOS management. Results were grouped into six domains of the IoT: mobile apps, social media, wearables, machine learning, websites, and phone-based. A further domain was created to capture participants' perspectives on using the IoT in PCOS management. Mobile apps appear to be useful for menstrual cycle tracking, symptom recording, and education. Despite concerns regarding the quality and reliability of social media content, these platforms may play an important role in disseminating PCOS-related information. Wearables facilitate detailed symptom monitoring and improve communication with healthcare providers. Machine learning algorithms show promising results in PCOS diagnosis accuracy, risk prediction, and app development. Although abundant, PCOS-related content on websites may lack quality and cultural considerations. While patients express concerns about online misinformation, they consider online forums valuable for peer connection. Using text messages and phone calls to provide feedback and support to PCOS patients may help them improve lifestyle behaviors and self-management skills. Advancing evidence-based, culturally sensitive, and accessible IoT solutions can enhance their potential to transform PCOS care, address misinformation, and empower women to better manage their symptoms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sandro Graca
- School of Health and Society, Faculty of Education, Health and Wellbeing, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton WV1 1LY, UK; (S.G.); (F.A.); (A.D.)
| | - Folashade Alloh
- School of Health and Society, Faculty of Education, Health and Wellbeing, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton WV1 1LY, UK; (S.G.); (F.A.); (A.D.)
- Department of Nursing Sciences, Faculty of Health & Social Sciences, Bournemouth University, Fern Barrow, Poole BH12 5BB, UK
| | - Lukasz Lagojda
- Warwickshire Institute for the Study of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism (WISDEM), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK; (L.L.)
- Clinical Evidence Based Information Service (CEBIS), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK
- Sheffield Centre for Health and Related Research, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S1 4DA, UK
| | - Alexander Dallaway
- School of Health and Society, Faculty of Education, Health and Wellbeing, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton WV1 1LY, UK; (S.G.); (F.A.); (A.D.)
- Warwickshire Institute for the Study of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism (WISDEM), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK; (L.L.)
| | - Ioannis Kyrou
- Warwickshire Institute for the Study of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism (WISDEM), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK; (L.L.)
- Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK
- Centre for Sport, Exercise and Life Sciences, Research Institute for Health & Wellbeing, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK
- Institute for Cardiometabolic Medicine, University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK
- Aston Medical School, College of Health and Life Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham B4 7ET, UK
- College of Health, Psychology and Social Care, University of Derby, Derby DE22 1GB, UK
- Laboratory of Dietetics and Quality of Life, Department of Food Science and Human Nutrition, School of Food and Nutritional Sciences, Agricultural University of Athens, 11855 Athens, Greece
| | - Harpal S. Randeva
- Warwickshire Institute for the Study of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism (WISDEM), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK; (L.L.)
- Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK
- Centre for Sport, Exercise and Life Sciences, Research Institute for Health & Wellbeing, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK
- Institute for Cardiometabolic Medicine, University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK
| | - Chris Kite
- School of Health and Society, Faculty of Education, Health and Wellbeing, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton WV1 1LY, UK; (S.G.); (F.A.); (A.D.)
- Warwickshire Institute for the Study of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism (WISDEM), University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, Coventry CV2 2DX, UK; (L.L.)
- Centre for Sport, Exercise and Life Sciences, Research Institute for Health & Wellbeing, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK
- Chester Medical School, University of Chester, Shrewsbury SY3 8HQ, UK
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Mogos R, Gheorghe L, Carauleanu A, Vasilache IA, Munteanu IV, Mogos S, Solomon-Condriuc I, Baean LM, Socolov D, Adam AM, Preda C. Predicting Unfavorable Pregnancy Outcomes in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) Patients Using Machine Learning Algorithms. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2024; 60:1298. [PMID: 39202579 PMCID: PMC11356493 DOI: 10.3390/medicina60081298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2024] [Revised: 07/21/2024] [Accepted: 08/09/2024] [Indexed: 09/03/2024]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a complex disorder that can negatively impact the obstetrical outcomes. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive performance of four machine learning (ML)-based algorithms for the prediction of adverse pregnancy outcomes in pregnant patients diagnosed with PCOS. Materials and Methods: A total of 174 patients equally divided into 2 groups depending on the PCOS diagnosis were included in this prospective study. We used the Mantel-Haenszel test to evaluate the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes for the PCOS patients and reported the results as a crude and adjusted odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). A generalized linear model was used to identify the predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes in PCOS patients, quantifying their impact as risk ratios (RR) with 95% CIs. Significant predictors were included in four machine learning-based algorithms and a sensitivity analysis was employed to quantify their performance. Results: Our crude estimates suggested that PCOS patients had a higher risk of developing gestational diabetes and had a higher chance of giving birth prematurely or through cesarean section in comparison to patients without PCOS. When adjusting for confounders, only the odds of delivery via cesarean section remained significantly higher for PCOS patients. Obesity was outlined as a significant predictor for gestational diabetes and fetal macrosomia, while a personal history of diabetes demonstrated a significant impact on the occurrence of all evaluated outcomes. Random forest (RF) performed the best when used to predict the occurrence of gestational diabetes (area under the curve, AUC value: 0.782), fetal macrosomia (AUC value: 0.897), and preterm birth (AUC value: 0.901) in PCOS patients. Conclusions: Complex ML algorithms could be used to predict adverse obstetrical outcomes in PCOS patients, but larger datasets should be analyzed for their validation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raluca Mogos
- Department of Mother and Child Care, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (R.M.); (I.-A.V.)
| | - Liliana Gheorghe
- Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania
| | - Alexandru Carauleanu
- Department of Mother and Child Care, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (R.M.); (I.-A.V.)
| | - Ingrid-Andrada Vasilache
- Department of Mother and Child Care, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (R.M.); (I.-A.V.)
| | - Iulian-Valentin Munteanu
- Clinical and Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, ‘Dunarea de Jos’ University, 800216 Galati, Romania
| | - Simona Mogos
- Endocrinology Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (S.M.)
| | - Iustina Solomon-Condriuc
- Department of Mother and Child Care, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (R.M.); (I.-A.V.)
| | - Luiza-Maria Baean
- Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania
| | - Demetra Socolov
- Department of Mother and Child Care, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (R.M.); (I.-A.V.)
| | - Ana-Maria Adam
- Clinical and Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, ‘Dunarea de Jos’ University, 800216 Galati, Romania
| | - Cristina Preda
- Endocrinology Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (S.M.)
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Xu L, Li C, Zhang J, Guan C, Zhao L, Shen X, Zhang N, Li T, Yang C, Zhou B, Bu Q, Xu Y. Personalized prediction of mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke using explainable artificial intelligence. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:341. [PMID: 38902792 PMCID: PMC11188208 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-01940-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2024] [Accepted: 06/17/2024] [Indexed: 06/22/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Research into the acute kidney disease (AKD) after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is rare, and how clinical features influence its prognosis remain unknown. We aim to employ interpretable machine learning (ML) models to study AIS and clarify its decision-making process in identifying the risk of mortality. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving AIS patients from January 2020 to June 2021. Patient data were randomly divided into training and test sets. Eight ML algorithms were employed to construct predictive models for mortality. The performance of the best model was evaluated using various metrics. Furthermore, we created an artificial intelligence (AI)-driven web application that leveraged the top ten most crucial features for mortality prediction. RESULTS The study cohort consisted of 1633 AIS patients, among whom 257 (15.74%) developed subacute AKD, 173 (10.59%) experienced AKI recovery, and 65 (3.98%) met criteria for both AKI and AKD. The mortality rate stood at 4.84%. The LightGBM model displayed superior performance, boasting an AUROC of 0.96 for mortality prediction. The top five features linked to mortality were ACEI/ARE, renal function trajectories, neutrophil count, diuretics, and serum creatinine. Moreover, we designed a web application using the LightGBM model to estimate mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS Complete renal function trajectories, including AKI and AKD, are vital for fitting mortality in AIS patients. An interpretable ML model effectively clarified its decision-making process for identifying AIS patients at risk of mortality. The AI-driven web application has the potential to contribute to the development of personalized early mortality prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lingyu Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Chenyu Li
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
- Division of Nephrology, Medizinische Klinik Und Poliklinik IV, Klinikum der Universität, Munich, Germany
| | - Jiaqi Zhang
- Yidu Central Hospital of Weifang, Weifang, China
| | - Chen Guan
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Long Zhao
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Xuefei Shen
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Ningxin Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Tianyang Li
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Chengyu Yang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Bin Zhou
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Quandong Bu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Yan Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China.
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Zad Z, Jiang VS, Wolf AT, Wang T, Cheng JJ, Paschalidis IC, Mahalingaiah S. Predicting polycystic ovary syndrome with machine learning algorithms from electronic health records. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 15:1298628. [PMID: 38356959 PMCID: PMC10866556 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1298628] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Predictive models have been used to aid early diagnosis of PCOS, though existing models are based on small sample sizes and limited to fertility clinic populations. We built a predictive model using machine learning algorithms based on an outpatient population at risk for PCOS to predict risk and facilitate earlier diagnosis, particularly among those who meet diagnostic criteria but have not received a diagnosis. Methods This is a retrospective cohort study from a SafetyNet hospital's electronic health records (EHR) from 2003-2016. The study population included 30,601 women aged 18-45 years without concurrent endocrinopathy who had any visit to Boston Medical Center for primary care, obstetrics and gynecology, endocrinology, family medicine, or general internal medicine. Four prediction outcomes were assessed for PCOS. The first outcome was PCOS ICD-9 diagnosis with additional model outcomes of algorithm-defined PCOS. The latter was based on Rotterdam criteria and merging laboratory values, radiographic imaging, and ICD data from the EHR to define irregular menstruation, hyperandrogenism, and polycystic ovarian morphology on ultrasound. Results We developed predictive models using four machine learning methods: logistic regression, supported vector machine, gradient boosted trees, and random forests. Hormone values (follicle-stimulating hormone, luteinizing hormone, estradiol, and sex hormone binding globulin) were combined to create a multilayer perceptron score using a neural network classifier. Prediction of PCOS prior to clinical diagnosis in an out-of-sample test set of patients achieved an average AUC of 85%, 81%, 80%, and 82%, respectively in Models I, II, III and IV. Significant positive predictors of PCOS diagnosis across models included hormone levels and obesity; negative predictors included gravidity and positive bHCG. Conclusion Machine learning algorithms were used to predict PCOS based on a large at-risk population. This approach may guide early detection of PCOS within EHR-interfaced populations to facilitate counseling and interventions that may reduce long-term health consequences. Our model illustrates the potential benefits of an artificial intelligence-enabled provider assistance tool that can be integrated into the EHR to reduce delays in diagnosis. However, model validation in other hospital-based populations is necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zahra Zad
- Division of Systems Engineering, Center for Information and Systems Engineering (CISE), Boston University, Brookline, MA, United States
| | - Victoria S. Jiang
- Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Amber T. Wolf
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Taiyao Wang
- Division of Systems Engineering, Center for Information and Systems Engineering (CISE), Boston University, Brookline, MA, United States
| | - J. Jojo Cheng
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States
| | - Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis
- Division of Systems Engineering, Center for Information and Systems Engineering (CISE), Boston University, Brookline, MA, United States
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, Department of Biomedical Engineering, and Faculty for Computing & Data Sciences, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Shruthi Mahalingaiah
- Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
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