Strategies to Assure Optimal Trade-Offs Among Competing Objectives for the Genetic Improvement of Soybean

Models to estimate genetic gain of soybean seed yield from annual multi-environment field trials

KEY MESSAGE

Simulations demonstrated that estimates of realized genetic gain from linear mixed models using regional trials are biased to some degree. Thus, we recommend multiple selected models to obtain a range of reasonable estimates. Genetic improvements of discrete characteristics are obvious and easy to demonstrate, while quantitative traits require reliable and accurate methods to disentangle the confounding genetic and non-genetic components. Stochastic simulations of soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.] breeding programs were performed to evaluate linear mixed models to estimate the realized genetic gain (RGG) from annual multi-environment trials (MET). True breeding values were simulated under an infinitesimal model to represent the genetic contributions to soybean seed yield under various MET conditions. Estimators were evaluated using objective criteria of bias and linearity. Covariance modeling and direct versus indirect estimation-based models resulted in a substantial range of estimated values, all of which were biased to some degree. Although no models produced unbiased estimates, the three best-performing models resulted in an average bias of [Formula: see text] kg/ha[Formula: see text]/yr[Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text] bu/ac[Formula: see text]/yr[Formula: see text]). Rather than relying on a single model to estimate RGG, we recommend the application of several models with minimal and directional bias. Further, based on the parameters used in the simulations, we do not think it is appropriate to use any single model to compare breeding programs or quantify the efficiency of proposed new breeding strategies. Lastly, for public soybean programs breeding for maturity groups II and III in North America, the estimated RGG values ranged from 18.16 to 39.68 kg/ha[Formula: see text]/yr[Formula: see text] (0.27-0.59 bu/ac[Formula: see text]/yr[Formula: see text]) from 1989 to 2019. These results provide strong evidence that public breeders have significantly improved soybean germplasm for seed yield in the primary production areas of North America.

Weighted kernels improve multi-environment genomic prediction

Crucial to variety improvement programs is the reliable and accurate prediction of genotype's performance across environments. However, due to the impactful presence of genotype by environment (G×E) interaction that dictates how changes in expression and function of genes influence target traits in different environments, prediction performance of genomic selection (GS) using single-environment models often falls short. Furthermore, despite the successes of genome-wide association studies (GWAS), the genetic insights derived from genome-to-phenome mapping have not yet been incorporated in predictive analytics, making GS models that use Gaussian kernel primarily an estimator of genomic similarity, instead of the underlying genetics characteristics of the populations. Here, we developed a GS framework that, in addition to capturing the overall genomic relationship, can capitalize on the signal of genetic associations of the phenotypic variation as well as the genetic characteristics of the populations. The capacity of predicting the performance of populations across environments was demonstrated by an overall gain in predictability up to 31% for the winter wheat DH population. Compared to Gaussian kernels, we showed that our multi-environment weighted kernels could better leverage the significance of genetic associations and yielded a marked improvement of 4-33% in prediction accuracy for half-sib families. Furthermore, the flexibility incorporated in our Bayesian implementation provides the generalizable capacity required for predicting multiple highly genetic heterogeneous populations across environments, allowing reliable GS for genetic improvement programs that have no access to genetically uniform material.

Artificial selection methods from evolutionary computing show promise for directed evolution of microbes

Directed microbial evolution harnesses evolutionary processes in the laboratory to construct microorganisms with enhanced or novel functional traits. Attempting to direct evolutionary processes for applied goals is fundamental to evolutionary computation, which harnesses the principles of Darwinian evolution as a general-purpose search engine for solutions to challenging computational problems. Despite their overlapping approaches, artificial selection methods from evolutionary computing are not commonly applied to living systems in the laboratory. In this work, we ask whether parent selection algorithms—procedures for choosing promising progenitors—from evolutionary computation might be useful for directing the evolution of microbial populations when selecting for multiple functional traits. To do so, we introduce an agent-based model of directed microbial evolution, which we used to evaluate how well three selection algorithms from evolutionary computing (tournament selection, lexicase selection, and non-dominated elite selection) performed relative to methods commonly used in the laboratory (elite and top 10% selection). We found that multiobjective selection techniques from evolutionary computing (lexicase and non-dominated elite) generally outperformed the commonly used directed evolution approaches when selecting for multiple traits of interest. Our results motivate ongoing work transferring these multiobjective selection procedures into the laboratory and a continued evaluation of more sophisticated artificial selection methods.

Humans have long known how to co-opt evolutionary processes for their own benefit. Carefully choosing which individuals to breed so that beneficial traits would take hold, they have domesticated dogs, wheat, cows and many other species to fulfil their needs.

Biologists have recently refined these ‘artificial selection’ approaches to focus on microorganisms. The hope is to obtain microbes equipped with desirable features, such as the ability to degrade plastic or to produce valuable molecules. However, existing ways of using artificial selection on microbes are limited and sometimes not effective.

Computer scientists have also harnessed evolutionary principles for their own purposes, developing highly effective artificial selection protocols that are used to find solutions to challenging computational problems. Yet because of limited communication between the two fields, sophisticated selection protocols honed over decades in evolutionary computing have yet to be evaluated for use in biological populations.

In their work, Lalejini et al. compared popular artificial selection protocols developed for either evolutionary computing or work with microorganisms. Two computing selection methods showed promise for improving directed evolution in the laboratory. Crucially, these selection protocols differed from conventionally used methods by selecting for both diversity and performance, rather than performance alone. These promising approaches are now being tested in the laboratory, with potentially far-reaching benefits for medical, biotech, and agricultural applications.

While evolutionary computing owes its origins to our understanding of biological processes, it has much to offer in return to help us harness those same mechanisms. The results by Lalejini et al. help to bridge the gap between computational and biological communities who could both benefit from increased collaboration.