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Kartakis S, Horrocks KJ, Cingiz K, Kriticos DJ, Wesseler J. Migration extent and potential economic impact of the fall armyworm in Europe. Sci Rep 2025; 15:17405. [PMID: 40389579 PMCID: PMC12089574 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-02595-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2025] [Accepted: 05/14/2025] [Indexed: 05/21/2025] Open
Abstract
The fall armyworm (FAW), Spodoptera frugiperda (J.E. Smith, 1979), is a major agricultural pest native to the Americas that feeds on several crops, particularly maize. Since 2016, FAW has invaded more than 50 African countries, much of Southeast Asia, and Oceania, severely impacting agriculture and posing a threat to global food security. Following its recent detections in Europe in 2023, this study investigates FAW's migratory capacity and potential direct economic impact on European grain maize production under a "no-control" scenario-areas previously unexplored in the context of Europe. We explored FAW's potential distribution across the European continent by incorporating updated climatic data, refined parameter values, and an expanded occurrence dataset into a revised CLIMEX niche model. Our results reveal sizable potential economic impacts with the southern European Member States facing up to €546 ha- 1 grain maize gross margin annual losses, exceeding €900 million under the worst-case scenario. These member states bear the highest risk since they include areas projected to be climatically suitable for both permanent FAW establishment and transient populations during warmer months. This study provides important insights into the risks posed by FAW to Europe and can inform preparedness and decision-making to mitigate the economic consequences of its invasion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stelios Kartakis
- Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
| | | | - Kutay Cingiz
- Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
| | - Darren J Kriticos
- Cervantes Agritech Pty Limited, Canberra, ACT, Australia
- Applied Biosciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Justus Wesseler
- Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
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Adegbaju MS, Ajose T, Adegbaju IE, Omosebi T, Ajenifujah-Solebo SO, Falana OY, Shittu OB, Adetunji CO, Akinbo O. Genetic engineering and genome editing technologies as catalyst for Africa's food security: the case of plant biotechnology in Nigeria. Front Genome Ed 2024; 6:1398813. [PMID: 39045572 PMCID: PMC11263695 DOI: 10.3389/fgeed.2024.1398813] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2024] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 07/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Many African countries are unable to meet the food demands of their growing population and the situation is worsened by climate change and disease outbreaks. This issue of food insecurity may lead to a crisis of epic proportion if effective measures are not in place to make more food available. Thus, deploying biotechnology towards the improvement of existing crop varieties for tolerance or resistance to both biotic and abiotic stresses is crucial to increasing crop production. In order to optimize crop production, several African countries have implemented strategies to make the most of this innovative technology. For example, Nigerian government has implemented the National Biotechnology Policy to facilitate capacity building, research, bioresource development and commercialization of biotechnology products for over two decades. Several government ministries, research centers, universities, and agencies have worked together to implement the policy, resulting in the release of some genetically modified crops to farmers for cultivation and Commercialization, which is a significant accomplishment. However, the transgenic crops were only brought to Nigeria for confined field trials; the manufacturing of the transgenic crops took place outside the country. This may have contributed to the suspicion of pressure groups and embolden proponents of biotechnology as an alien technology. Likewise, this may also be the underlying issue preventing the adoption of biotechnology products in other African countries. It is therefore necessary that African universities develop capacity in various aspects of biotechnology, to continuously train indigenous scientists who can generate innovative ideas tailored towards solving problems that are peculiar to respective country. Therefore, this study intends to establish the role of genetic engineering and genome editing towards the achievement of food security in Africa while using Nigeria as a case study. In our opinion, biotechnology approaches will not only complement conventional breeding methods in the pursuit of crop improvements, but it remains a viable and sustainable means of tackling specific issues hindering optimal crop production. Furthermore, we suggest that financial institutions should offer low-interest loans to new businesses. In order to promote the growth of biotechnology products, especially through the creation of jobs and revenues through molecular farming.
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Affiliation(s)
- Muyiwa Seyi Adegbaju
- Department of Crop, Soil and Pest Management, Federal University of Technology Akure, Akure, Ondo, Nigeria
| | - Titilayo Ajose
- Fruits and Spices Department, National Horticultural Institute, Ibadan, Oyo, Nigeria
| | | | - Temitayo Omosebi
- Department of Agricultural Technology, Federal College of Forestry, Jos, Nigeria
| | | | - Olaitan Yetunde Falana
- Department of Genetics, Genomic and Bioinformatics, National Biotechnology Research and Development Agency, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Olufunke Bolatito Shittu
- Department of Microbiology, College of Biosciences, Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta, Nigeria
| | | | - Olalekan Akinbo
- African Union Development Agency-NEPAD, Office of Science, Technology and Innovation, Midrand, South Africa
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Niassy S, Omuse ER, Khang’ati JE, Bächinger I, Kupesa DM, Cheseto X, Mbatha BW, Copeland RS, Mohamed SA, Gama M, Mitti JM, Belayneh Y, Delabays N, Lefort F, Ekesi S, Subramanian S. Validating Indigenous Farmers' Practice in the Management of the Fall Armyworm Spodoptera frugiperda (J. E. Smith) in Maize Cropping Systems in Africa. Life (Basel) 2024; 14:180. [PMID: 38398690 PMCID: PMC10890150 DOI: 10.3390/life14020180] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Revised: 01/01/2024] [Accepted: 01/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Before the invasion of the fall armyworm (FAW) Spodoptera frugiperda into Africa, smallholder farmers had been using indigenous practices such as applying fish soup to plants to manage stemborer pests. Although farmers have since begun adapting this practice against FAW, no attempt has been made to scientifically evaluate this practice. Therefore, we assessed the efficacy of applying fish soup to maize plants that were artificially infested with FAW under semi-field conditions. Our results showed that foliar damage is inversely correlated with the concentration of a fish soup and sugar solution, with the highest (100%) concentration resulting in the lowest foliar damage and the highest plant recovery. The FAW foliar damage results for maize plants treated with 100%, 50%, 10% fish soup and sugar, and distilled water were 46.3 ± 5.6, 51.1 ± 5.0, 71.6 ± 5.2, and 99.4 ± 0.4%, respectively, whereas plant recovery results from the same treatments were 35.2 ± 3.7, 31.1 ± 5.4, 20.0 ± 4.6, and 0.0 ± 0.0%, respectively. A concentration of fish soup and sugar solution of at least 25.9% was required to achieve the lowest foliar damage of 17.8% and peak plant recovery of 73.6%. Fish soup and sugar solutions attracted a wide range of insects, including potential natural enemies (predators and parasitoids) of FAW, in a dose-dependent manner. Maize plants treated with fish soup and sugar showed higher chlorophyll content and better growth than the control did. Proximate and chemical analysis showed that fish soup contains essential plant growth nutrients (e.g., nitrogen, phosphorus, and calcium). Through GC-MS analyses, we identified 76 volatile organic compounds in fish soup, of which 16 have been reported as insect attractants, highlighting their potential ecological significance. Therefore, the indigenous pest management practices for FAW, such as the use of fish soup, deserve particular attention. These practices could contribute to food security and improve the livelihoods of vulnerable communities. Further field validation studies, economic analyses, product development, and optimisation are therefore required to optimise the use of fish soup based on fish waste.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saliou Niassy
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Evanson Rigan Omuse
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - John Emanuel Khang’ati
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Ines Bächinger
- Research Institute Land Nature Environment, Geneva School of Engineering Architecture and Landscape, HES-SO University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland, CH-1254 Jussy, Switzerland; (I.B.); (N.D.)
| | - David Mfuti Kupesa
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Xavier Cheseto
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Benjamin W. Mbatha
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Robert S. Copeland
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Samira Abuelgasim Mohamed
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Mphatso Gama
- Machinga Agricultural Development Division, Liwonde Private Bag 3, Malawi;
| | - Joyce Mulila Mitti
- Figtree Limited (Figtree Consulting Services), Lusaka P.O. Box 33304-10101, Zambia;
| | - Yeneneh Belayneh
- USAID’s Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA) and Technical and Program Quality (TPQ), 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, DC 20523, USA;
| | - Nicolas Delabays
- Research Institute Land Nature Environment, Geneva School of Engineering Architecture and Landscape, HES-SO University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland, CH-1254 Jussy, Switzerland; (I.B.); (N.D.)
| | - François Lefort
- Research Institute Land Nature Environment, Geneva School of Engineering Architecture and Landscape, HES-SO University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland, CH-1254 Jussy, Switzerland; (I.B.); (N.D.)
| | - Sunday Ekesi
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
| | - Sevgan Subramanian
- International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology, Nairobi P.O. Box 30772-00100, Kenya; (E.R.O.); (J.E.K.); (D.M.K.); (X.C.); (B.W.M.); (R.S.C.); (S.A.M.); (S.E.); (S.S.)
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Tao WC, Zhang XY, Zhang Y, Deng XY, Zhang HL, Zhang ZH, Li Q, Jiang CX. Effects of the Host Plants of the Maize-Based Intercropping Systems on the Growth, Development and Preference of Fall Armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae). INSECTS 2024; 15:26. [PMID: 38249032 PMCID: PMC10816231 DOI: 10.3390/insects15010026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Revised: 12/20/2023] [Accepted: 12/30/2023] [Indexed: 01/23/2024]
Abstract
In this paper, the effects of maize and its three intercropping plants, sweet potato, soybean and peanut, on the growth and development of FAW, feeding preference of larvae, olfactory response and oviposition preference of adults were studied in the laboratory. The results showed that maize and peanut were suitable for the survival and development of FAW, while sweet potato and soybean were not suitable for multigenerational reproduction. The larvae significantly preferred to feed on maize compared to the other three plants. The olfactory response test indicated that soybean showed a strong deterrent effect against FAW adults. Furthermore, the intercropping plants reduced the host selection rate of adults compared to maize alone. In two-choice tests of the maize vs. the intercropping plants, the female adult preferred to oviposit and lay more eggs on maize rather than on the intercropping plants. The intercropping plants significantly reduced the oviposition selection of FAW adults when the combination (maize + intercropping plant), especially soybean and sweet potato, was compared to maize alone. These may be the reasons for why the maize-soybean intercropping system reduced FAW damage in the field. We also speculated that the maize-sweet potato system may also reduce the FAW damage. This study provided a theoretical basis for the comprehensive management of FAW by utilizing an intercropping system.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Chun-Xian Jiang
- College of Agronomy, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
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Maphumulo N, du Plessis H, Van den Berg J. The Effect of Wood Ash and Soil Applications on the Behavior and Survival of Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) Larvae on Maize. INSECTS 2023; 14:813. [PMID: 37887825 PMCID: PMC10607555 DOI: 10.3390/insects14100813] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2023] [Revised: 10/03/2023] [Accepted: 10/08/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023]
Abstract
Cryptic feeding inside maize whorls makes it difficult to control fall armyworm (FAW). Smallholder farmers use alternative methods of control, of which the efficacy is uncertain. We determined the efficacy of wood ash and soil for the control of FAW and recorded its effect on larval preference and ballooning. Maize plants were artificially infested with larvae of different instars and treatments were either soil, wet ash, or dry ash, applied as single preventative or curative applications. Larvae exhibited non-preference for treated leaves in choice tests. The efficacy of treatments varied largely between experiments. Under laboratory conditions, ash treatments resulted in significant mortality of 1st and 5th instars. Dry and wet ash as curative applications for 1st instars resulted in 67 and 66% mortality, respectively, compared to mortality recorded in the control (22%). Under field conditions, survival of 3rd instars on treated plants was low (21-34%), compared to 70% on untreated plants. Due to the high variability in efficacy, the use of these alternative methods does not guarantee effective control. They do, however, have a place in IPM systems if applied as soon as infestations are observed and when larvae as still small. Recommendations on the use of ash and soil as spot treatments against FAW are provided.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Johnnie Van den Berg
- Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, Potchefstroom 2520, South Africa
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Kamweru I, Beyene Y, Anani B, Adetimirin VO, Prasanna BM, Gowda M. Hybrid breeding for fall armyworm resistance: Combining ability and hybrid prediction. PLANT BREEDING = ZEITSCHRIFT FUR PFLANZENZUCHTUNG 2023; 142:607-620. [PMID: 39822656 PMCID: PMC11737609 DOI: 10.1111/pbr.13129] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 01/19/2025]
Abstract
Fall armyworm (FAW, Spodoptera frugiperda) emerged as a major lepidopteran pest destroying maize in sub-Saharan Africa. A diallel mating design was used to generate 210 experimental hybrids from 21 lines. Experimental hybrids and four checks were evaluated in two locations. Commercial checks suffered higher foliar and ear damage compared to the top 15 hybrids. Mean squares associated with the genotypic variation were higher than genotype-by-environment interactions for foliar and ear damage traits. Heritabilities were moderate to high. Significant correlations were observed between grain yield (GY) with ear rot (-0.54) and ear damage (-0.45). Positive and significant GCA effects were observed for GY in seven parental lines, which were developed from multiple insect resistance breeding programmes. CKSBL10153 has the highest GCA value for GY and shows significant GCA effects for foliar and ear damage traits. These lines were identified as the ideal combiners for GY and FAW resistance and are therefore recommended for utilization as testers in the development of FAW-resistant three-way cross-hybrid maize with correlated response for increased GY. GCA and marker-based prediction correlations of GY were 0.79 and 0.96, respectively. Both GCA effects and marker-based models were effective in predicting hybrid performance for FAW resistance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Isaac Kamweru
- International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Nairobi, Kenya
- Life and Earth Sciences Institute (Including Health and Agriculture), Pan African University, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | - Yoseph Beyene
- International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Bruce Anani
- International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Victor O. Adetimirin
- Department of Crop and Horticultural Sciences, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | | | - Manje Gowda
- International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Nairobi, Kenya
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Wang J, Huang Y, Huang L, Dong Y, Huang W, Ma H, Zhang H, Zhang X, Chen X, Xu Y. Migration risk of fall armyworm ( Spodoptera frugiperda) from North Africa to Southern Europe. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2023; 14:1141470. [PMID: 37077648 PMCID: PMC10106561 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2023.1141470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2023] [Accepted: 03/22/2023] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
With the development of globalization and agriculture trade, as well as its own strong migratory capacity, fall armyworm (FAW) (Spodoptera frugiperda) (J.E. Smith) has invaded more than 70 countries, posing a serious threat to the production of major crops in these areas. FAW has now also been detected in Egypt in North Africa, putting Europe, which is separated from it only by the Mediterranean Sea, at high risk of invasion. Therefore, this study integrated multiple factors of insect source, host plant, and environment to provide a risk analysis of the potential trajectories and time periods of migration of FAW into Europe in 2016~2022. First, the CLIMEX model was used to predict the annual and seasonal suitable distribution of FAW. The HYSPLIT numerical trajectory model was then used to simulate the possibility of the FAW invasion of Europe through wind-driven dispersal. The results showed that the risk of FAW invasion between years was highly consistent (P<0.001). Coastal areas were most suitable for the expansion of the FAW, and Spain and Italy had the highest risk of invasion, with 39.08% and 32.20% of effective landing points respectively. Dynamic migration prediction based on spatio-temporal data can enable early warning of FAW, which is important for joint multinational pest management and crop protection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Wang
- National Engineering Research Center for Agro-Ecological Big Data Analysis and Application, Anhui University, Hefei, China
| | - Yanru Huang
- Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals, Beijing, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Linsheng Huang
- National Engineering Research Center for Agro-Ecological Big Data Analysis and Application, Anhui University, Hefei, China
| | - Yingying Dong
- Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals, Beijing, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Wenjiang Huang
- Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals, Beijing, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Huiqin Ma
- School of Automation, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Hansu Zhang
- National Engineering Research Center for Agro-Ecological Big Data Analysis and Application, Anhui University, Hefei, China
| | - Xueyan Zhang
- College of Plant Protection, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xinyu Chen
- National Engineering Research Center for Agro-Ecological Big Data Analysis and Application, Anhui University, Hefei, China
| | - Yunlei Xu
- National Engineering Research Center for Agro-Ecological Big Data Analysis and Application, Anhui University, Hefei, China
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