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Xu F, Zhang L, Huang T, Han D, Yang R, Zheng S, Feng A, Huang L, Yin H, Lyu J. Effects of growth trajectory of shock index within 24 h on the prognosis of patients with sepsis. Front Med (Lausanne) 2022; 9:898424. [PMID: 36072946 PMCID: PMC9441919 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.898424] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2022] [Accepted: 08/02/2022] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
BackgroundSepsis is a serious disease with high clinical morbidity and mortality. Despite the tremendous advances in medicine and nursing, treatment of sepsis remains a huge challenge. Our purpose was to explore the effects of shock index (SI) trajectory changes on the prognosis of patients within 24 h after the diagnosis of sepsis.MethodsThis study was based on Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC- IV). The effects of SI on the prognosis of patients with sepsis were investigated using C-index and restricted cubic spline (RCS). The trajectory of SI in 24 h after sepsis diagnosis was classified by latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM). Cox proportional hazard model, double robust analysis, and subgroup analysis were conducted to investigate the influence of SI trajectory on in-hospital death and secondary outcomes.ResultsA total of 19,869 patients were eventually enrolled in this study. C-index showed that SI had a prognostic value independent of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for patients with sepsis. Moreover, the results of RCS showed that SI was a prognostic risk factor. LGMM divided SI trajectory into seven classes, and patients with sepsis in different classes had notable differences in prognosis. Compared with the SI continuously at a low level of 0.6, the SI continued to be at a level higher than 1.0, and the patients in the class whose initial SI was at a high level of 1.2 and then declined had a worse prognosis. Furthermore, the trajectory of SI had a higher prognostic value than the initial SI.ConclusionBoth initial SI and trajectory of SI were found to be independent factors that affect the prognosis of patients with sepsis. Therefore, in clinical treatment, we should closely monitor the basic vital signs of patients and arrive at appropriate clinical decisions on basis of their change trajectory.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fengshuo Xu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Nosocomial Infection Management, Luoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital, Orthopedics Hospital of Henan Province, Zhengzhou, China
- School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Luming Zhang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Tao Huang
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Didi Han
- School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Rui Yang
- School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, China
| | - Shuai Zheng
- School of Public Health, Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine, Xianyang, China
| | - Aozi Feng
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Liying Huang
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Haiyan Yin
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
- Haiyan Yin,
| | - Jun Lyu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Informatization, Guangzhou, China
- *Correspondence: Jun Lyu,
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