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Wang R, Rong J, Xu J, He M. A prognostic model incorporating the albumin-corrected anion gap in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Front Neurol 2024; 15:1361888. [PMID: 38962480 PMCID: PMC11220265 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1361888] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 07/05/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients typically have poor prognoses. The anion gap (AG) has been proven to correlate with mortality in various critically ill patients. However, hypoalbuminemia can lead to underestimations of the true anion gap levels. This study was conducted to verify the prognostic value of single AG and albumin-corrected anion gap (ACAG) among aSAH patients. Methods Significant factors in the univariate logistic regression analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis to explore the risk factors for mortality in aSAH patients and to confirm the independent relationship between ACAG and mortality. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to visually show the relationship between ACAG level and mortality risk of aSAH patients. The predictive model for mortality was developed by incorporating significant factors into the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The prognostic value of ACAG and the developed model was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). Results Among 710 aSAH patients, a 30-day mortality was observed in 20.3% of the cases. A positive relationship was demonstrated between the ACAG level and mortality in aSAH patients using the RCS curve. The multivariate logistic regression analysis helped discover that only six factors were finally and independently related to mortality of aSAH patients after adjusting for confounding effects, including the Hunt-Hess scale score (p = 0.006), surgical options (p < 0.001), white blood cell count (p < 0.001), serum chloride levels (p = 0.023), ACAG (p = 0.039), and delayed cerebral ischemia (p < 0.001). The AUC values for the AG, albumin, and ACAG in predicting mortality among aSAH patients were 0.606, 0.536, and 0.617, respectively. A logistic regression model, which includes the Hunt-Hess scale score, surgical options, white blood cell count, serum chloride levels, ACAG, and delayed cerebral ischemia, achieved an AUC of 0.911 for predicting mortality. Conclusion The ACAG is an effective prognostic marker for aSAH patients. A prognostic model incorporating ACAG could help clinicians evaluate the risk of poor outcomes among aSAH patients, thereby facilitating the development of personalized therapeutic strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruoran Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Juan Rong
- West China Centre of Excellence for Pancreatitis, Institute of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Jianguo Xu
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Min He
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
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Labib H, Tjerkstra MA, Coert BA, Post R, Vandertop WP, Verbaan D, Müller MCA. Sodium and Its Impact on Outcome After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Patients With and Without Delayed Cerebral Ischemia. Crit Care Med 2024; 52:752-763. [PMID: 38206089 PMCID: PMC11008454 DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000006182] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/12/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To perform a detailed examination of sodium levels, hyponatremia and sodium fluctuations, and their association with delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). DESIGN An observational cohort study from a prospective SAH Registry. SETTING Tertiary referral center focused on SAH treatment in the Amsterdam metropolitan area. PATIENTS A total of 964 adult patients with confirmed aSAH were included between 2011 and 2021. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS A total of 277 (29%) developed DCI. Hyponatremia occurred significantly more often in DCI patients compared with no-DCI patients (77% vs. 48%). Sodium levels, hyponatremia, hypernatremia, and sodium fluctuations did not predict DCI. However, higher sodium levels were significantly associated with poor outcome in DCI patients (DCI onset -7, DCI +0, +1, +2, +4, +5, +8, +9 d), and in no-DCI patients (postbleed day 6-10 and 12-14). Also, hypernatremia and greater sodium fluctuations were significantly associated with poor outcome in both DCI and no-DCI patients. CONCLUSIONS Sodium levels, hyponatremia, and sodium fluctuations were not associated with the occurrence of DCI. However, higher sodium levels, hypernatremia, and greater sodium fluctuations were associated with poor outcome after aSAH irrespective of the presence of DCI. Therefore, sodium levels, even with mild changes in levels, warrant close attention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Homeyra Labib
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Maud A Tjerkstra
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Bert A Coert
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - René Post
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - W Peter Vandertop
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Dagmar Verbaan
- Department of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Neurosurgery, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Amsterdam Neurosciences, Neurovascular Disorders, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Marcella C A Müller
- Department of Intensive Care, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Miao G, Cai Z, He X, Yang J, Zhang Y, Ma A, Zhao X, Tan M. Development of a predictive nomogram for 28-day mortality risk in non-traumatic or post-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage patients. Neurol Sci 2024; 45:2149-2163. [PMID: 37994964 DOI: 10.1007/s10072-023-07199-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2023] [Accepted: 11/08/2023] [Indexed: 11/24/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with high rates of mortality and permanent disability. At present, there are few definite clinical tools to predict prognosis in SAH patients. The current study aims to develop and assess a predictive nomogram model for estimating the 28-day mortality risk in both non-traumatic or post-traumatic SAH patients. METHODS The MIMIC-III database was searched to select patients with SAH based on ICD-9 codes. Patients were separated into non-traumatic and post-traumatic SAH groups. Using LASSO regression analysis, we identified independent risk factors associated with 28-day mortality and incorporated them into nomogram models. The performance of each nomogram was assessed by calculating various metrics, including the area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS The study included 999 patients with SAH, with 631 in the non-traumatic group and 368 in the post-traumatic group. Logistic regression analysis revealed critical independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in non-traumatic SAH patients, including gender, age, glucose, platelet, sodium, BUN, WBC, PTT, urine output, SpO2, and heart rate and age, glucose, PTT, urine output, and body temperature for post-traumatic SAH patients. The prognostic nomograms outperformed the commonly used SAPSII and APSIII systems, as evidenced by superior AUC, NRI, IDI, and DCA results. CONCLUSION The study identified independent risk factors associated with the 28-day mortality risk and developed predictive nomogram models for both non-traumatic and post-traumatic SAH patients. The nomogram holds promise in guiding prognosis improvement strategies for patients with SAH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guiqiang Miao
- Department of Orthopedics, Foshan Fosun Chancheng Hospital, Foshan, 528010, China
| | - Zhenbin Cai
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China
| | - Xin He
- Clinical Laboratory Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China
| | - Jie Yang
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China
| | - Yunlong Zhang
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China
| | - Ao Ma
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China
| | - Xiaodong Zhao
- Department of Orthopedics, Foshan Fosun Chancheng Hospital, Foshan, 528010, China.
| | - Minghui Tan
- Department of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, China.
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Liu J, Li J, Zhang Q, Wang L, Wang Y, Zhang J, Zhang J. Association between serum sodium levels within 24 h of admission and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database. Front Neurol 2023; 14:1234080. [PMID: 37780696 PMCID: PMC10540434 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2023.1234080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2023] [Accepted: 08/23/2023] [Indexed: 10/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective The study aimed to evaluate the relationship between serum sodium and mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. Methods This is a retrospective investigation of critically ill non-traumatic patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) utilizing the MIMIC-IV database. We collected the serum sodium levels at admission and determined the all-cause death rates for the ICU and hospital. We employed a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis to ascertain the relationship between serum sodium and all-cause mortality. In order to evaluate the consistency of correlations, interaction and subgroup analyses were also conducted. Results A total of 864 patients with non-traumatic SAH were included in this study. All-cause mortality in the ICU and hospital was 32.6% (282/864) and 19.2% (166/864), respectively. Sodium levels at ICU admission showed a statistically significant J-shaped non-linear relationship with ICU and hospital mortality (non-linear P-value < 0.05, total P-value < 0.001) with an inflection point of ~141 mmol/L, suggesting that mortality was higher than normal serum sodium levels in hypernatremic patients. Multivariate analysis after adjusting for potential confounders showed that high serum sodium levels (≥145 mmol/L) were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in the ICU and hospital compared with normal serum sodium levels (135-145 mmol/L), [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.07-2.01, P = 0.017] and (HR = 2.26, 95% CI:1.54-3.32, P < 0.001). Similarly, Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves showed lower survival in patients with high serum sodium levels. Stratified analysis further showed that the association between higher serum sodium levels and hospital all-cause mortality was stronger in patients aged < 60 years with a hospital stay of <7 days. Conclusion High serum sodium levels upon ICU admission are related to higher ICU and hospital all-cause mortality in patients with non-traumatic SAH. A new reference is offered for control strategies to correct serum sodium levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junjie Liu
- College of Clinical Medicine, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Jianmin Li
- College of Clinical Medicine, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Qiuhua Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Liang Wang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Yichao Wang
- College of Clinical Medicine, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Jingxi Zhang
- College of Clinical Medicine, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Junwei Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
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