Selection and Validation of Induction Chemotherapy Beneficiaries Among Patients With T3N0, T3N1, T4N0 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Using Epstein-Barr Virus DNA: A Joint Analysis of Real-World and Clinical Trial Data

Induction-concurrent chemoradiotherapy with or without sintilimab in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China (CONTINUUM): a multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Anti-PD-1 therapy and chemotherapy is a recommended first-line treatment for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma, but the role of PD-1 blockade remains unknown in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. We assessed the addition of sintilimab, a PD-1 inhibitor, to standard chemoradiotherapy in this patient population.

METHODS

This multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial was conducted at nine hospitals in China. Adults aged 18-65 years with newly diagnosed high-risk non-metastatic stage III-IVa locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (excluding T3-4N0 and T3N1) were eligible. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) using blocks of four to receive gemcitabine and cisplatin induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent cisplatin radiotherapy (standard therapy group) or standard therapy with 200 mg sintilimab intravenously once every 3 weeks for 12 cycles (comprising three induction, three concurrent, and six adjuvant cycles to radiotherapy; sintilimab group). The primary endpoint was event-free survival from randomisation to disease recurrence (locoregional or distant) or death from any cause in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary endpoints included adverse events. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03700476) and is now completed; follow-up is ongoing.

FINDINGS

Between Dec 21, 2018, and March 31, 2020, 425 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to the sintilimab (n=210) or standard therapy groups (n=215). At median follow-up of 41·9 months (IQR 38·0-44·8; 389 alive at primary data cutoff [Feb 28, 2023] and 366 [94%] had at least 36 months of follow-up), event-free survival was higher in the sintilimab group compared with the standard therapy group (36-month rates 86% [95% CI 81-90] vs 76% [70-81]; stratified hazard ratio 0·59 [0·38-0·92]; p=0·019). Grade 3-4 adverse events occurred in 155 (74%) in the sintilimab group versus 140 (65%) in the standard therapy group, with the most common being stomatitis (68 [33%] vs 64 [30%]), leukopenia (54 [26%] vs 48 [22%]), and neutropenia (50 [24%] vs 46 [21%]). Two (1%) patients died in the sintilimab group (both considered to be immune-related) and one (<1%) in the standard therapy group. Grade 3-4 immune-related adverse events occurred in 20 (10%) patients in the sintilimab group.

INTERPRETATION

Addition of sintilimab to chemoradiotherapy improved event-free survival, albeit with higher but manageable adverse events. Longer follow-up is necessary to determine whether this regimen can be considered as the standard of care for patients with high-risk locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

FUNDING

National Natural Science Foundation of China, Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province, Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, Overseas Expertise Introduction Project for Discipline Innovation, Guangzhou Municipal Health Commission, and Cancer Innovative Research Program of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center.

TRANSLATION

For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

The efficacy of induction chemotherapy or adjuvant chemotherapy added to concurrent chemoradiotherapy in T3-4N0-1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a propensity score-matched analysis

This research aimed to assess the effectiveness of combining induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with T3-4N0-1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Before propensity score matching(PSM),we retrospectively collected 457 patients with T3-4N0-1M0 NPC treated with CCRT with or without IC/AC. PSM method selected 285 patients from two cohort(148 in CCRT±IC/AC group,137 in CCRT group). The 3-year overall survival(OS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were estimated. The median follow-up was 41.03 months(range 2.13-94.67 months). No significant differences in 3 year-OS,LRFS and DMFS between CCRT±IC/AC group and CCRT group.Univariate analysis have shown that induction chemotherapy was significantly associated with 3 year LRFS(hazard ratio[HR] 0.214, 95%confidence interval[CI] 0.053-0.861,P = .030).Overall stage(HR 0.260, CI 0.078-0.870, P = .029) and T classification (HR 0.260, CI 0.078-0.870, P = .029)were significantly associated with OS.Multivariate analysis demonstrated no independent factors were related to 3-year OS,LRFS and DMFS. Subgroup analyses revealed that no significant survival differences in the two groups in patients with T3N1.In terms of T4N1 disease, patients received CCRT±IC/AC had lower 3-year DMFS than those treated with CCRT(90.4% vs 98.7%, P = .015). Adding IC or AC to CCRT did not significantly improve the prognosis of T3-4N0-1M0 NPC patients. Patients with T4N1M0 treated with CCRT had better DMFS than those received CCRT±IC/AC.However,more investigations should be confirmed the results.

A Novel Prognostic Model Predicts Outcomes in Non-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Inflammation, Nutrition, and Coagulation Signature

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the prognostic and predictive value of a circulating hematological signature (CHS) and to develop a CHS-based nomogram for predicting prognosis and guiding individualized chemotherapy in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

Patients and Methods

NPC patients were recruited between January 2014 and December 2017 at the Jiangxi Cancer Hospital. The CHS was constructed based on a series of hematological indicators. The nomogram was developed by CHS and clinical factors.

Results

A total of 779 patients were included. Three biomarkers were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, including prognostic nutritional index, albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio, and prealbumin-to-fibrinogen ratio, were used to construct the CHS. The patients in the low-CHS group had better 5-year DMFS and OS than those in the high-CHS group in the training (DMFS: 85.0% vs 56.6%, p<0.001; OS: 90.3% vs 65.4%, p<0.001) and validation cohorts (DMFS: 92.3% vs 43.6%, p<0.001; OS: 92.1% vs 65.5%, p<0.001). The nomogram_CHS showed better performance than clinical stage in predicting distant metastasis (concordance index: 0.728 vs 0.646). In the low-TRS (total risk scores) group, the patients received RT alone, CCRT and IC plus CCRT had similar 5-year DMFS and OS (p>0.05). In the middle-TRS group, the patients received RT alone had worse 5-year DMFS (58.7% vs 80.8% vs 90.8%, p=0.002) and OS (75.0% vs 94.1% vs 95.0%, p=0.001) than those received CCRT or IC plus CCRT. In the high-TRS group, the patients received RT alone and CCRT had worse 5-year DMFS (18.6% vs 31.3% vs 81.5%, p<0.001) and OS (26.9% vs 53.2% vs 88.8%, p<0.001) than those received IC plus CCRT.

Conclusion

The developed nomogram_CHS had satisfactory prognostic accuracy in NPC patients and may individualize risk estimation to facilitate the identification of suitable IC candidates.

Efficacy of induction chemotherapy in lymph node-positive stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma and identification of beneficiaries based on clinical features: A propensity score matching analysis

PURPOSE

To investigate the role of induction chemotherapy (IC) in lymph node-positive (LN-positive) stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).

METHODS

In total, 627 patients with newly diagnosed LN-positive stage III NPC receiving CCRT or IC plus CCRT were included. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Propensity-score matching (PSM) was conducted to balance the intergroup covariates. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was employed to compare survival curves. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

After 1:1 PSM, 414 patients were identified (207 patients per group). Compared with CCRT, IC plus CCRT provided better survival (5-year PFS 88.4% vs. 78.6%, P = 0.01; overall survival [OS] 94.8% vs. 85.3%, P = 0.003; and distant metastasis-free survival [DMFS] 93.1% vs. 85.6%, P = 0.03). The IC beneficial effects on PFS were mainly present in patients with grade 2-3 ENE, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH > 170U/L), and N2 disease. Patients with grade 2 CNN had comparable PFS benefits to those with grade 0-1 CNN. For patients with grade 0-1 ENE combined with LDH ≤ 170U/L, survival between the two groups was similar with 5-year PFS 93.6% vs. 90.4% (P = 0.50), OS 94.2% vs. 93.0% (P = 0.72), and DMFS 98.6% vs. 97.7% (P = 0.98).

CONCLUSION

Adding IC before CCRT improved survival in LN-positive stage III NPC patients. Additional IC did not provide better survival for patients with grade 0-1 ENE combined with LDH ≤ 170U/L and could be avoided in this population. CNN may not be a good risk factor for tailoring a personalized treatment plan.

Efficacy of concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone for loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: long-term follow-up analysis

BACKGROUND

To analysis the clinical outcomes of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) alone based on 10-year results for loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC), so as to provide evidence for individualized treatment strategy and designing appropriate clinical trial for different risk LANPC patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with stage III-IVa (AJCC/UICC 8th) were enrolled in this study. All patients received radical intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and concurrent cisplatin chemotherapy (CDDP). The hazard ratios (HRs) of death risk in patients with T3N0 was used as baseline, relative HRs were calculated by a Cox proportional hazard model to classify different death risk patients. Survival curves for the time-to-event endpoints were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. All statistical tests were conducted at a two-sided level of significance of 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 456 eligible patients were included. With 12-year median follow-up, 10-year overall survival (OS) was 76%. 10-year loco-regionally failure-free survival (LR-FFS), distant failure-free survival (D-FFS) and failure-free survival (FFS) were 72%, 73% and 70%, respectively. Based on the relative hazard ratios (HRs) of death risk, LANPC patients were classified into 3 subgroups, low-risk group (T1-2N2 and T3N0-1) contained 244 patients with HR < 2; medium-risk group (T3N2 and T4N0-1) contained 140 patients with HR of 2 - 5; high-risk group (T4N2 and T1-4N3) contained 72 patients with HR > 5. The 10-year OS for patients in low-, medium-, and high-risk group were 86%, 71% and 52%, respectively. Significantly differences of OS rates were found between each of the two groups (low-risk group vs. medium-risk group, P < 0.001; low-risk group vs. high-risk group, P < 0.001; and medium-risk group vs. high-risk group, P = 0.002, respectively). Grade 3-4 late toxicities included deafness/otitis (9%), xerostomia (4%), temporal lobe injury (5%), cranial neuropathy (4%), peripheral neuropathy (2%), soft tissue damage (2%) and trismus (1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our classification criteria demonstrated that significant heterogeneity in death risk among TN substages for LANPC patients. IMRT plus CDDP alone maybe suitable for low-risk LANPC (T1-2N2 or T3N0-1), but not for medium- and high-risk patients. These prognostic groupings provide a practicable anatomic foundation to guide individualized treatment and select optimal targeting in the future clinical trials.

Individualized number of induction chemotherapy cycles for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients based on early tumor response

BACKGROUND

The optimal number of cycles of induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) is unclear. We aimed to combine the tumor response during IC and tumor stage to individualize the number of IC cycles.

METHODS

Totally, 498 LANPC patients who received IC plus CCRT between 2014 and 2018 were reviewed. Tumor response during IC was used to stratify patients with different risks. All patients were classified into those who received two cycles of IC and those who were treated with three cycles. Propensity score matching methods were performed to compare the treatment efficiency.

RESULTS

After two cycles of IC, 340/498 (68.3%) cases showed complete tumor response (CR)/partial response (PR) and 158 (31.7%) achieved stable disease (SD)/disease progression (PD). Unfavorable responders (SD/PD) exhibited poor survival outcomes. The three-cycle IC regimen was correlated with better OS and PFS than the two-cycle regimen for N2-3 patients in the CR/PR group. However, the use of different IC cycle strategies achieved similar survival outcomes for SD/PD or N0-1 patients. The incidences of acute toxicities were higher in the IC = 3 group.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor response during IC could be a powerful predictor of LANPC and could be used to guide the individualized number of IC cycles. A three-cycle IC regimen seemed to be preferable for N2-3 patients who received CR/PR during IC. However, an additional cycle of IC could not benefit N0-1 or SD/PD patients, and the optimal treatment strategies for these patients require further consideration.

Comparison of induction chemotherapy combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy versus concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone in Lymph-Node-Stage III nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on propensity score-matching

PURPOSE

To explore the role of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) versus CCRT alone in patients diagnosed with N3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 787 patients with newly diagnosed N3 NPC treated with IC + CCRT or CCRT alone were included. Progression-free survival (PFS) was the primary endpoint. We balanced variables using propensity score matching (PSM). Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank tests were applied to evaluate the survival condition of each group. Independent prognostic factors were identified using the Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

PSM assigned 228 patients to IC + CCRT and CCRT alone groups. Survival analysis for the matched data set showed that IC + CCRT achieved better survival outcomes compared with CCRT alone, and significant difference was observed in 5-year PFS [74.8% (95%CI 69.2 ∼ 80.9%) vs 65.4% (95%CI 59.4 ∼ 72.0%), P = 0.008], 5-year OS [(77.4%(95%CI 71.9 ∼ 83.3%) vs66.3%(95%CI 60.3 ∼ 72.9%), P = 0.005)] and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS)[(81.8%(95%CI 76.7 ∼ 87.2%) vs72.4%(95%CI 66.7 ∼ 78.7%), P = 0.007)] between the two treatment groups. In multivariate analysis, IC + CCRT remained an independent protective factor for PFS (adjusted HR, 0.603; 95% CI, 0.433-0.841; P = 0.003), OS (adjusted HR, 0.568; 95% CI, 0.406-0.793; P < 0.001), and DMFS (adjusted HR, 0.541; 95% CI, 0.364-0.805; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

More chemotherapy should be considered in patients with N3 NPC because of its ability to improve survival time. This could be from the use of IC or adjuvant metronomic chemotherapy.

Liquid Biopsy in Head and Neck Cancer: Current Evidence and Future Perspective on Squamous Cell, Salivary Gland, Paranasal Sinus and Nasopharyngeal Cancers

Simple Summary

Head and neck cancer is the sixth most common type of solid tumor and harbors a poor prognosis since most patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage. The study of different tumor components in the blood, saliva or other body fluids is called liquid biopsy. The introduction of novel diagnostic tools such as liquid biopsy could aid in achieving earlier diagnoses and more accurate disease monitoring during treatment. In this manuscript, the reader will find an in-depth review of the current evidence and a future perspective on the role of liquid biopsy in head and neck cancer.

Abstract

Head and neck cancer (HNC) is currently the sixth most common solid malignancy, accounting for a 50% five-year mortality rate. In the past decade, substantial improvements in understanding its molecular biology have allowed for a growing development of new biomarkers. Among these, the field of liquid biopsy has seen a sustained growth in HNC, demonstrating the feasibility to detect different liquid biomarkers such as circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), circulating tumor cells (CTC), extracellular vesicles and microRNAs. Liquid biopsy has been studied in HPV-negative squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN) but also in other subentities such as HPV-related SCCHN, EBV-positive nasopharyngeal cancer and oncogene-driven salivary gland cancers. However, future studies should be internally and externally validated, and ideally, clinical trials should incorporate the use of liquid biomarkers as endpoints in order to prospectively demonstrate their role in HNC. A thorough review of the current evidence on liquid biopsy in HNC as well as its prospects will be conducted.

Can Epstein-Barr virus-deoxyribonucleic acid load after induction chemotherapy combined with American Joint Committee on Cancer stage determine the chemotherapy intensity of locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Induction chemotherapy (IC) comprising docetaxel, cisplatin, and fluorouracil (TPF), combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) effectively improves the survival rate of locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). Selecting patients whose risk of tumor recurrence and metastasis is high and the appropriate chemotherapy intensity is a concern. We combined tumor-node-metastasis staging with the load of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) after IC to select the individualized chemotherapy strength.

METHODS

The clinical data and prognostic factors of patients with stage III-IV LA-NPC treated with TPF IC combined with CCRT were analyzed retrospectively. The conventional treatment group received the standard three cycles TPF IC combined with CCRT. For the new treatment group, the cycles of IC were determined according to whether the EBV-DNA disappeared completely after a certain course of IC, if so, subsequent IC was stopped and the chemoradiotherapy stage was entered. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed at a ratio of 1:1 to balance baseline characteristics. Survival outcomes and adverse events between the conventional treatment group and the new method treatment group were compared.

RESULTS

The study included 256 patients, among whom 192 were matched successfully into 96 pairs. The patients were followed up for a median of 51 months. The proportions of patients receiving three, two, and one cycle of IC after PSM in the routine and new treatment cohorts were 93.8%, 3.1%, 3.1% versus 21.9%, 49.0%, 24.0%, respectively. However, their 3-year distant metastasis-free survival, local recurrence-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival did not differ significantly. The incidence of grade 3-4 neutropenia toxicity in CCRT decreased significantly in patients receiving the new treatment method compared with that in the conventional treatment group (p = 0.026).

CONCLUSION

Combining TNM stage and EBV-DNA load after IC to determine the courses of IC in patients with LA-NPC did not alter the curative effect but decreased toxicity.

A nomogram based on tumor response to induction chemotherapy may predict survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the clinical significance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients and further to develop a nomogram for predicting survival prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 498 patients with stage III-IVA NPC applying IC and concurrent chemotherapy were reviewed (training cohort, n = 376; validation cohort, n = 122).

RESULTS

Tumor response was an independent predictor for clinical outcomes. The nomogram included age, N stage, pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and tumor response achieved an ideal C-index of 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) in the validation cohort for predicting overall survival (OS), which outperformed than that of the TNM system alone (C-index, 0.670, 95% CI: 0.622-0.718). In addition, the nomogram could successfully classified patients into different risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

We established and validated a precise and convenient nomogram based on tumor response for predicting the OS of LANPC patients.

Optimize the number of cycles of induction chemotherapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

Background: There is no conclusive on the optimal number of cycles of induction chemotherapy (IC) with the greatest benefit to patient survival. This study aimed to assess the efficiency and acute toxicities of different cycles of IC for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). Methods: We reviewed data from patients with LA-NPC treated with IC plus concurrent chemoradiation (CCRT). Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to match paired patients. After PSM, survival outcomes of matched patients were compared between two and three cycles of IC groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were carried out to identify potentially independent predictors. Treatment-related acute toxicities between the two groups were compared by Pearson X² test or Fisher's exact test. Results: In total, 189 pairs were selected. The median follow-up time was 60 months (range 5 to 126 months). There was no difference between two and three cycles of IC in terms of 5-year overall survival (87.0% vs. 89.7%, p = 0.991), distant metastasis-free survival (90.1% vs. 86.8%, p = 0.587), locoregional recurrence-free survival (97.0% vs. 93.8%, p = 0.488), or progression-free survival (79.4% vs. 79.3%, p = 0.896). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that T stage, N stage, and clinical stage were independent prognostic factors. Three cycles of IC were associated with a higher incidence of Grade 1-2 acute toxicity than two cycles during IC period. Conclusion: The efficacy of two cycles of IC achieved similar survival outcomes as three cycles and has a lower incidence of treatment-related acute toxicity.

Development and validation of radiologic scores for guiding individualized induction chemotherapy in T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop and validate radiologic scores from [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI to guide individualized induction chemotherapy (IC) for patients with T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

A total of 542 T3N1M0 patients who underwent pretreatment [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI were enrolled in the training cohort. A total of 174 patients underwent biopsy of one or more cervical lymph nodes. Failure-free survival (FFS) was the primary endpoint. The radiologic score, which was calculated according to the number of risk factors from the multivariate model, was used for risk stratification. The survival difference of patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without IC was then compared in risk-stratified subgroups. Another cohort from our prospective clinical trial (N = 353, NCT03003182) was applied for validation.

RESULTS

The sensitivity of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT was better than that of MRI (97.7% vs. 87.1%, p < 0.001) for diagnosing histologically proven metastatic cervical lymph nodes. Radiologic lymph node characteristics were independent risk factors for FFS (all p < 0.05). High-risk patients (n = 329) stratified by radiologic score benefited from IC (5-year FFS: IC + CCRT 83.5% vs. CCRT 70.5%; p = 0.0044), while low-risk patients (n = 213) did not. These results were verified again in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

T3N1M0 patients were accurately staged by both [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI. The radiologic score can correctly identify high-risk patients who can gain additional survival benefit from IC and it can be used to guide individualized treatment of T3N1M0 NPC.

KEY POINTS

• [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT was more accurate than MRI in diagnosing histologically proven cervical lymph nodes. • Radiologic lymph node characteristics were reliable independent risk factors for FFS in T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. • High-risk patients identified by the radiologic score based on [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and MRI could benefit from the addition of induction chemotherapy.

Identifying optimal clinical trial candidates for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of 9,468 real-world cases and validation by two phase 3 multicentre, randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study aims to identify the optimal high-risk candidates for clinical trials in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Non-metastatic NPC patients (n = 9468) were included. Recursive partitioning analyses (RPA) were performed to generate risk stratification. Receiver operating characteristics curve was used to determine the cut-off value of pre-treatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA for progression-free survival (PFS). Individual-level data from two clinical trials were used for validation.

RESULTS

Anatomic stratification based on T and N category (eighth edition TNM, TNM-8) classified the N2-3 or T4 as an anatomic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (95% confidence interval: 68%-71%). Prognostic stratification identified patients with pre-treatment EBV DNA ≥4000 copies/mL as a prognostic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (67%-70%). The c-index was significantly higher for anatomic stratification (0.621, p < 0.001) and prognostic stratification (0.585, p < 0.001) compared with existing TNM-8 stage groups (0.562). The validation cohorts based on clinical trials data showed greater PFS benefit than the results of the original trials [Hazard ratio: NCT01245959, 0.64 vs. 0.67; NCT01872962, 0.42 vs. 0.52]. Moreover, detectable post-treatment EBV DNA indicated a high risk of progression with 5-year PFS of 38.7% and was the most adverse independent factor for all endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

N2-3 or T4 NPC patients were ideal candidates for multicenter clinical trials in locoregionally advanced NPC. Patients with detectable post-treatment EBV DNA are suitable candidates for adjuvant trials.

Development and prospective validation of a risk score model in guiding individualized concurrent chemoradiotherapy in stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma in intensity-modulated radiotherapy era

Purpose

We aimed to develop and prospectively validate a risk score model to guide individualized concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) for patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in intensity‐modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era.

Materials and Methods

In total, 1220 patients who received CCRT or IMRT alone were enrolled in this study, including a training cohort (n = 719), a validation cohort (n = 307), and a prospective test cohort (n = 194). Patients were stratified into different risk groups by a risk score model based on independent prognostic factors, which were developed in the training cohort. Survival rates were compared by the log‐rank test. The validation and prospective test cohorts were used for validation.

Results

Total tumor volume, Epstein–Barr virus DNA, and lactate dehydrogenase were independent risk factors for failure‐free survival (FFS, all p < 0.05). A risk score model based on these three risk factors was developed to classify patients into low‐risk group (no risk factor, n = 337) and high‐risk group (one or more factors, n = 382) in the training cohort. In the high‐risk group, CCRT had better survival rates than IMRT alone (5‐year FFS: 82.6% vs. 74.0%, p = 0.028). However, there was no survival difference between CCRT and IMRT alone either in the whole training cohort (p = 0.15) or in the low‐risk group (p = 0.15). The results were verified in the validation and prospective test cohorts.

Conclusion

A risk score model was developed and prospectively validated to precisely select high‐risk stage II NPC patients who can benefit from CCRT, and thus guided individualized treatment in IMRT era.

Benefit of [18F]-FDG PET/CT for treatment-naïve nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

To test the advantages of positron emission tomography and computed tomography (PET/CT) for diagnosing lymph nodes and staging nasopharyngeal carcinoma and to investigate its benefits for survival and treatment decisions.

Methods

The performance of PET/CT and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in diagnosis was compared based on 460 biopsied lymph nodes. Using the propensity matching method, survival differences of T3N1M0 patients with (n = 1093) and without (n = 1377) PET/CT were compared in diverse manners. A radiologic score model was developed and tested in a subset of T3N1M0 patients.

Results

PET/CT performed better than MRI with higher sensitivity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (96.7% vs. 88.5%, p < 0.001; 88.0% vs. 81.1%, p < 0.001; 0.863 vs. 0.796, p < 0.05) in diagnosing lymph nodes. Accordingly, MRI-staged T3N0-3M0 patients showed nondifferent survival rates, as they were the same T3N1M0 if staged by PET/CT. In addition, patients staged by PET/CT and MRI showed higher survival rates than those staged by MRI alone (p < 0.05), regardless of the Epstein-Barr virus DNA load. Interestingly, SUVmax-N, nodal necrosis, and extranodal extension were highly predictive of survival. The radiologic score model based on these factors performed well in risk stratification with a C-index of 0.72. Finally, induction chemotherapy showed an added benefit (p = 0.006) for the high-risk patients selected by the model but not for those without risk stratification (p = 0.78).

Conclusion

PET/CT showed advantages in staging nasopharyngeal carcinoma due to a more accurate diagnosis of lymph nodes and this contributed to a survival benefit. PET/CT combined with MRI provided prognostic factors that could identify high-risk patients and guide individualized treatment.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05540-8.

Prognostic and Predictive Value of Circulating Inflammation Signature in Non-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Potential Role for Individualized Induction Chemotherapy

Purpose

We sought to assess the prognostic and predictive value of a circulating inflammation signature (CISIG) and develop CISIG-based tools for predicting prognosis and guiding individualized induction chemotherapy (ICT) in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively collected a candidate inflammatory biomarker panel from patients with NPC treated with definitive radiotherapy between 2012 and 2017. We developed the CISIG using candidate biomarkers identified by a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model. The Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the CISIG prognostic value. A CISIG-based prediction model was constructed, validated, and assessed. Potential stratified ICT treatment effects were examined.

Results

A total of 1149 patients were analyzed. Nine biomarkers selected by LASSO regression in the training cohort were used to construct the CISIG, including hyaluronidase, laminin, procollagen III, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, high-density lipoprotein, lactate dehydrogenase, and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio. CISIG was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival (DFS; hazard ratio: 2.65, 95% confidence interval: 1.93–3.64; P < 0.001). High CISIG group (>−0.2) was associated with worse 3-year DFS than low CISIG group in both the training (67.5% vs 88.3%, P < 0.001) and validation cohorts (72.3% vs 85.1%, P < 0.001). We constructed and validated a CISIG-based nomogram, which showed better performance than the clinical stage and Epstein–Barr virus DNA classification methods. A significant interaction between CISIG and the ICT treatment effect was observed (P for interaction = 0.036). Patients with high CISIG values did not benefit from ICT, whereas patients with low CISIG values significantly benefited from ICT.

Conclusion

The developed CISIG, based on a circulating inflammatory biomarker panel, adds prognostic information for patients with NPC. The proposed CISIG-based tools offer individualized risk estimation to facilitate suitable ICT candidate identification.

Pretreatment Plasma EBV-DNA Load Guides Induction Chemotherapy Followed by Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The efficacy of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal cancer (LA-NPC) is controversial. In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis based on relevant studies to provide strong evidence for clinical strategies.

Materials and Methods

We searched the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane, PubMed, and Web of Science databases for studies that stratified patients based on a high or low plasma Epstein–Barr virus deoxyribonucleic acid (EBV-DNA) load before treatment and compared the clinical efficacy of IC+CCRT vs. CCRT alone in LA-NPC. We tested for heterogeneity of studies and conducted sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS).

Results

Seven studies with a total of 5289 cases were finally included in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity test revealed the homogeneity of OS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.794), PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.778), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.997), and LRFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.697) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of ≥4000 copies/ml in both the IC+CCRT and CCRT groups. The results reveal that IC+CCRT significantly extended the OS (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.58-0.83], p=0.000), PFS (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99], p=0.033), and DMFS (HR 0.79 [95% CI 0.69-0.9], p=0.000) of patients compared with the CCRT group, but there were no beneficial effects on LRFS (HR 1.07 [95% CI 0.80-1.42], p=0.647). The heterogeneity test found that there was no significant heterogeneity of PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.564), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.648), LRFS (I² = 22.3%, p=0.257), and OS (I² = 44.6%, p=0.164) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of <4000 copies/ml. The results show that IC+CCRT prolonged DMFS (HR 0.57 [95% CI 0.39-0.85], p=0.006) of patients without significant improvements in OS (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.55-1.26], p=0.240), PFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.74-1.31], p=0.908), and LRFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.54-1.77], p=0.943).

Conclusions

Pretreatment plasma EBV-DNA can be considered a promising effective marker for the use of IC in LA-NPC patients. The addition of IC could improve the OS and PFS of patients with EBV-DNA load ≥4000 copies/ml, but we saw no efficacy in patients with EBV-DNA load <4000 copies/ml. Moreover, regardless of the EBV-DNA load, IC could improve DMFS, but there was no effect on LRFS.

Effect of chemotherapy on survival in patients with stage T3-4N0M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To identify whether chemoradiotherapy improves survival in patients with stage T3-4N0M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data of patients with stage T3-4N0M0 NPC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2016. The patients were divided into radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy groups. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and propensity score matching (PSM) analyses.

RESULTS

We examined 496 patients: 88 who received radiotherapy and 408 who received chemoradiotherapy. Before PSM, chemoradiotherapy was associated with a better 5-year OS (52.58% vs. 38.13%; P = .005) and similar CSS (63.62% vs. 59.26%; P = .196) compared to those associated with radiotherapy. However, chemoradiotherapy was not an independent prognostic factor for OS [hazard ratio (HR)=0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.68-1.32; P = .760] or CSS (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.66-1.56; P = .935). After PSM, similar OS (45.15% vs. 42.78%; P = .626) and CSS (58.22% vs. 60.37%; P = .730) were found between the radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy groups.

CONCLUSION

Radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy are associated with similar OS and CSS in patients with stage T3-4N0M0 NPC.

Identifying optimal candidates for induction chemotherapy among stage II-IVa nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA and nodal maximal standard uptake values of [18 F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography

Objective

This study aimed to select optimal candidates benefiting from the addition of induction chemotherapy (IC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in stage II–IVa nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) based on Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA and nodal maximal standardized uptake values (SUVmax‐N) of [¹⁸F]‐fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography.

Patients and materials

A total of 679 patients diagnosed with stage II–IVa (except N0) NPC were retrospectively included in this study. Overall survival was the primary endpoint. Survival differences between different groups were compared using the log‐rank test. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Both high levels of EBV DNA (>1500 copies/mL) and SUVmax‐N (>12.3) indicated worse survival conditions. All patients were divided into low‐ and high‐risk groups based on these two biomarkers. The risk group was an independent prognostic factor in OS, progression‐free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis‐free survival (DMFS) (all p‐values<0.05). The addition of IC to CCRT was associated with survival improvement in OS, PFS, and DMFS in high‐risk patients, while no survival difference was found between CCRT and IC+CCRT in low‐risk patients.

Conclusions

Our study can help clinicians select stage II–IVa NPC patients who benefit from IC, which is important in guiding individual treatment.

A deep learning MR-based radiomic nomogram may predict survival for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with stage T3N1M0

PURPOSE

To estimate the prognostic value of deep learning (DL) magnetic resonance (MR)-based radiomics for stage T3N1M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients receiving induction chemotherapy (ICT) prior to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).

METHODS

A total of 638 stage T3N1M0 NPC patients (training cohort: n = 447; test cohort: n = 191) were enrolled and underwent MRI scans before receiving ICT + CCRT. From the pretreatment MR images, DL-based radiomic signatures were developed to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in an end-to-end way. Incorporating independent clinical prognostic parameters and radiomic signatures, a radiomic nomogram was built through multivariable Cox proportional hazards method. The discriminative performance of the radiomic nomogram was assessed using the concordance index (C-index) and the Kaplan-Meier estimator.

RESULTS

Three DL-based radiomic signatures were significantly correlated with DFS in the training (C-index: 0.695-0.731, all p < 0.001) and test (C-index: 0.706-0.755, all p < 0.001) cohorts. Integrating radiomic signatures with clinical factors significantly improved the predictive value compared to the clinical model in the training (C-index: 0.771 vs. 0.640, p < 0.001) and test (C-index: 0.788 vs. 0.625, p = 0.001) cohorts. Furthermore, risk stratification using the radiomic nomogram demonstrated that the high-risk group exhibited short-lived DFS compared to the low-risk group in the training cohort (hazard ratio [HR]: 6.12, p < 0.001), which was validated in the test cohort (HR: 6.90, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our DL-based radiomic nomogram may serve as a noninvasive and useful tool for pretreatment prognostic prediction and risk stratification in stage T3N1M0 NPC.