Risk of Second Primary Malignancies Based on the Histological Subtypes of Colorectal Cancer

Nomograms for Predicting Overall and Cancer-Specific Survival Among Second Primary Endometrial Cancer in Primary Colorectal Carcinoma Patients

Background

Endometrial cancer (EC) is one of the most frequent gynecologic cancers, approximately 20% of patients are regarded as high-risk with poor prognosis. However, more details of patients with second primary endometrial cancer (SPEC) after colorectal cancer (CRC) remain poorly understood. We therefore proposed to construct two nomograms to predict 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates to facilitate clinical application.

Methods

A total of 1631 participants were identified in the SEER database from 1973 to 2020. We constructed and validated the nomograms for predicting OS and CSS. The receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plot, decision curve analysis, C-index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement were applied to evaluate the predictive performance. Finally, the Prognostic index was calculated and used for risk stratification of Kaplan-Meier survival analysis based on different treatment options.

Results

Nomograms of OS and CSS were formulated based on the independent prognostic factors utilizing the training set. The 3- and 5- years of OS nomogram demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.840 and 0.829, respectively), well-calibrated power, and excellent clinical effectiveness. Our nomograms of predicting OS and CSS had a concordance index of 0.801 and 0.866 compared with 0.676 and 0.746 for the AJCC staging system, and more importantly, demonstrated a better forecast accuracy. Chemoradiotherapy displayed a significant survival benefit in the high-risk groups, but proceeding to surgery plus chemotherapy showed a favorable survival for the low groups based on all patients.

Conclusion

We developed and internally validated multivariable models that predict OS and CSS risk of SPEC in patients with a CRC to help clinicians make applicable clinical decisions for patients.

Obesity and early-onset colorectal cancer risk: emerging clinical evidence and biological mechanisms

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) is defined as diagnosed at younger than 50 years of age and indicates a health burden globally. Patients with EOCRC have distinct risk factors, clinical characteristics, and molecular pathogenesis compared with older patients with CRC. Further investigations have identified different roles of obesity between EOCRC and late-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC). Most studies have focused on the clinical characteristics of obesity in EOCRC, therefore, the mechanism involved in the association between obesity and EOCRC remains inconclusive. This review further states that obesity affects the carcinogenesis of EOCRC as well as its development and progression, which may lead to obesity-related metabolic syndrome, intestinal dysbacteriosis, and intestinal inflammation.

Clinicopathologic and prognostic factors of patients with T3/T4 colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate cancer-specific survival (CSS) and construct a nomogram to predict the CSS of patients with colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC).

METHODS

The data for patients with colorectal SRCC from 2000 to 2019 was identified from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was used to minimize bias between SRCC and adenocarcinoma patients. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to estimate the CSS. A nomogram was constructed based on the independent prognostic factors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. The model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Poor CSS was more common in patients with colorectal SRCC, especially in patients with T4/N2 stage, tumor size > 80 mm, grade III-IV, and chemotherapy. Age, T/N stage, and tumor size > 80 mm were identified as independent prognostic indicators. And a prognostic nomogram was constructed and validated as an accurate model for the CSS of patients with colorectal SRCC by ROC curves and calibration plots.

CONCLUSION

Patients with colorectal SRCC have a poor prognosis. And the nomogram was expected to be effective in predicting the survival of patients with colorectal SRCC.

Incidence and risk outcomes of second primary malignancy of patients with post-operative colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aimed to investigate the incidence and the risk factors of incidence for second primary malignancies (SPMs) onset among survivors diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

A large population-based cohort study was performed. Data of patients diagnosed with CRC was identified and extracted from 8 cancer registries of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from January 1990 to December 2017. The outcome of interest was percentage and common sites of SPM onset after primary CRC diagnosis. The cumulative incidence and standardize incidence rates (SIRs) were also reported. Afterwards, we estimated sub-distribution hazards ratios (SHRs) and relative risks (RRs) for SPM occurrence using multivariable competing-risk and Poisson regression models, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 152,402 patients with CRC were included to analyze. Overall, 23,816 patients of all CRC survivors (15.6%) were reported SPM occurrence. The highest proportion of SPMs development after primary CRC diagnosis was second CRC, followed by lung and bronchus cancer among all survivors. Also, CRC survivors were more susceptible to develop second gastrointestinal cancers (GICs). Besides, pelvic cancers were analyzed with a relative high proportion among patients who received RT in comparison to those without RT. The cumulative incidence of all SPMs onset was 22.16% (95% CI: 21.82-22.49%) after near 30-year follow-up. Several factors including older age, male, married status, and localized stage of CRC were related to the high risk of SPMs onset. In treatment-specific analyses, RT was related to a higher cumulative incidence of SPMs occurrence (all SPMs: 14.08% vs. 8.72%; GICs: 2.67% vs. 2.04%; CRC: 1.01% vs. 1.57%; all p < 0.01). Furthermore, the increased risk of SPMs onset was found among patients who received RT than patients within the NRT group (SHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.32-1.71), p < 0.01; RR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.45-1.79, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The present study described the incidence pattern of SPM among CRC survivors and identified the risk factors of the SPM onset. RT treatment for patients diagnosed with CRC may increase the risk of SPMs occurrence. The findings suggest the need for long-term follow-up surveillance for these patients.