Two-Trait Predictor of Venous Invasion on Contrast-Enhanced CT as a Preoperative Predictor of Outcomes for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatectomy

A novel stratification scheme combined with internal arteries in CT imaging for guiding postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) improves survival outcomes in a subset of patients with resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the lack of reliable biomarkers for patient selection remains a significant challenge. The present study aimed to evaluate whether computed tomography imaging can provide more value for predicting benefits from PA-TACE and to establish a new scheme for guiding PA-TACE benefits.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, patients with HCC who had undergone preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography and curative hepatectomy were evaluated. Inverse probability of treatment weight was performed to balance the difference of baseline characteristics. Cox models were used to test the interaction among PA-TACE, imaging features, and pathological indicators. An HCC imaging and pathological classification (HIPC) scheme incorporating these imaging and pathological indicators was established.

RESULTS

This study included 1488 patients [median age, 52 years (IQR, 45-61 years); 1309 male]. Microvascular invasion (MVI) positive, and diameter >5 cm tumors achieved a higher recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) benefit, respectively, from PA-TACE than MVI negative, and diameter ≤5 cm tumors. Patients with internal arteries (IA) positive benefited more than those with IA-negative in terms of RFS ( P =0.016) and OS ( P =0.018). PA-TACE achieved significant RFS and OS improvements in HIPC3 (IA present and diameter >5 cm, or two or three tumors) patients but not in HIPC1 (diameter ≤5 cm, MVI negative) and HIPC2 (other single tumor) patients. Our scheme may decrease the number of patients receiving PA-TACE by ~36.5% compared to the previous suggestion.

CONCLUSIONS

IA can provide more value for predicting the benefit of PA-TACE treatment. The proposed HIPC scheme can be used to stratify patients with and without survival benefits from PA-TACE.

Predicting Outcome after Percutaneous Ablation for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Various Imaging Modalities

Percutaneous ablation is a low-invasive, repeatable, and curative local treatment that is now recommended for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that is not suitable for surgical resection. Poorly differentiated HCC has high-grade malignancy potential. Microvascular invasion is frequently seen, even in tumors smaller than 3 cm in diameter, and prognosis is poor after percutaneous ablation. Biopsy has a high risk of complications such as bleeding and dissemination; therefore, it has limitations in determining HCC tumor malignancy prior to treatment. Advances in diagnostic imaging have enabled non-invasive diagnosis of tumor malignancy. We describe the usefulness of ultrasonography, computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography for predicting outcome after percutaneous ablation for HCC.

Added value of CE-CT radiomics to predict high Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop a computed tomography (CT) model to predict Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to examine the added value of radiomics to clinico-radiological features.

METHODS

A total of 208 patients (training set, n = 120; internal test set, n = 51; external validation set, n = 37) with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) within 1 month before surgery were retrospectively included from January 2014 to September 2021. Radiomics features were extracted and selected from three phases of CE-CT images, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO) was used to select features, and the rad-score was calculated. CE-CT imaging and clinical features were selected using univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively. Three prediction models, including clinic-radiologic (CR) model, rad-score (R) model, and clinic-radiologic-radiomic (CRR) model, were developed and validated using logistic regression analysis. The performance of different models for predicting Ki-67 expression was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

HCCs with high Ki-67 expression were more likely to have high serum α-fetoprotein levels (P = 0.041, odds ratio [OR] 2.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-6.21), non-rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (P = 0.001, OR 15.13, 95% CI 2.87-79.76), portal vein tumor thrombus (P = 0.035, OR 3.19, 95% CI: 1.08-9.37), and two-trait predictor of venous invasion (P = 0.026, OR 14.04, 95% CI: 1.39-144.32). The CR model achieved relatively good and stable performance compared with the R model (AUC, 0.805 [95% CI: 0.683-0.926] vs. 0.678 [95% CI: 0.536-0.839], P = 0.211; and 0.805 [95% CI: 0.657-0.953] vs. 0.667 [95% CI: 0.495-0.839], P = 0.135) in the internal and external validation sets. After combining the CR model with the R model, the AUC of the CRR model increased to 0.903 (95% CI: 0.849-0.956) in the training set, which was significantly higher than that of the CR model (P = 0.0148). However, no significant differences were found between the CRR and CR models in the internal and external validation sets (P = 0.264 and P = 0.084, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative models based on clinical and CE-CT imaging features can be used to predict HCC with high Ki-67 expression accurately. However, radiomics cannot provide added value.

A Predictive Nomogram of Early Recurrence for Patients with AFP-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Underwent Curative Resection

Background: Alpha-fetoprotein-negative (<20 ng/mL) hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) cannot be easily diagnosed in clinical practice, which may affect early treatment and prognosis. Furthermore, there are no reliable tools for the prediction of AFP-NHCC early recurrence that have been developed currently. The objective of this study was to identify the independent risk factors for AFP-NHCC and construct an individual prediction nomogram of early recurrence of these patients who underwent curative resection. Methods: A retrospective study of 199 patients with AFP-NHCC who had undergone curative resection and another 231 patients with AFP-positive HCC were included in case-controlled analyses. All AFP-NHCC patients were randomly divided into training and validation datasets at a ratio of 7:3. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were applied to identify the risk factors, based on which the predictive nomogram of early recurrence was constructed in the training dataset. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve was used to evaluate the predictive performance and discriminative ability of the nomogram, and the results were validated in the validation dataset. Results: Compared to AFP-positive patients, the AFP-negative group with lower values of laboratory parameters, lower tumor aggressiveness, and less malignant magnetic resonance (MR) imaging features. AST (HR = 2.200, p = 0.009), tumor capsule (HR = 0.392, p = 0.017), rim enhancement (HR = 2.825, p = 0.002) and TTPVI (HR = 5.511, p < 0.001) were independent predictors for early recurrence of AFP-NHCC patients. The nomogram integrated these independent predictors and achieved better predictive performance with AUCs of 0.89 and 0.85 in the training and validation datasets, respectively. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis both demonstrated better predictive efficacy and discriminative ability of the nomogram. Conclusions: The nomogram based on the multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis presented accurate individual prediction for early recurrence of AFP-NHCC patients after surgery. This nomogram could assist physicians in personalized treatment decision-making for patients with AFP-NHCC.